Hunt and I were messaging each other about my beloved OU Sooners and I thought I would share my penny or two of how I am feeling going into the season.
I am looking forward to CFB again but regarding my Sooners I am uncomfortable.
I don't like that big target that the Top 5 teams and especially the Top 2 get on them, preseason, unless it's Bama, Ohio State, Clemson, schools like this who seem immune to the pressure.
The Sooners do Not seem immune to this pressure even going back to the Stoops days.
On paper, we look pretty strong in all 3 phases but our young Center and RB's will have to step up.
Let's look at the schedule:
9/4 @ Tulane -Mean Green have 16 starters back and seem well coached by Fritz. tricky game but I think we win by DD when it's said and done. still, tricky first game on the road.
9/18 v Nebraska. I expect the Huskers to a be much improved team but it probably does not show up this early in the season and in Norman. I think we win comfortably on the scoreboard but only because it is early in the season and at home. Without those two factors I could see the margin being inside of 10 had it been later in the year and at Lincoln (like it is next year :-O)
10/2 at K State. Need I say anymore? Toss up game IMO.
10/9 v texasss. no comments necessary. they are young at QB and brand new coach, but is the RRR. very unpredictable. i will say we win, but not easy at all.
10/16 v TCU. Patterson is a witch. tons of returning starters incl QB. very tough game. we sneak by this one if both teams healthy at key spots.
10/30 v Tex Tech. Wells' team in Year 3 under him could break out this year. we win, but closer than it looks on paper.
11/13 at Baylor. Aranda, at home, in year 2. Look out. close win.
11/20 v Iowa State. Campbell, Purdy, Breece. what a coach, what a QB, and what a RB. even more, what a team around on them in all 3 phases. Toss up game.
11/27 at okie lite. they are always lying in wait, no matter what. Gundy a great coach. their young team (esp on O) will be much more seasoned by then and ready to play spoiler.
If healthy at key spots like Spencer and a few other *irreplaceable* spots, I see us going 11-1 with many close wins and a crappy nonconf which hurts us in the Playoff ranking.
Then at 11-1 and perhaps ranked #4 or lower in the playoff rankings, we head to Jerry's World to play a strong team in the B12 conf title game and we Lose. Yes, we Lose.
final record 11-2 and NO playoff this year.
This is my gut feeling. I am hopeful but I try as much as possible to put my fandom aside when analyzing a team and their prospects for the season.
Between the B12 schedule which is much stronger than some might think, and having to play one of those schools a second time (if, if, if we make it to Jerry's world), I am seeing at least 2 losses this year and looking on the outside for a second straight year in the CFB playoff.
Obviously, I am hoping I am wrong.
I welcome any and all comments and thoughts.
Thanks and enjoy the season, Fellas.