Monday - MLK day 01/21/13 NBA discussion thread

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The Spurs can suck my manhood
[TABLE="class: linesTbl, width: 934"]
<tbody style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; outline: 0px;">[TR="class: linesHeader"]
[TD="colspan: 8"][h=4]NBA BASKETBALL BASKETBALL - MON 1/21[/h][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesColumns"]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, colspan: 4, align: center"]GAME[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]HANDICAP[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]MONEY LINE[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]TOTAL POINTS[/TD]
[TD="bgcolor: #000032, align: center"]MORE[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Mon 1/21[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]701[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Indiana Pacers[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+7 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Over 173 2.000[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]10:05 AM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]702[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Memphis Grizzlies[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-7 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Under 173 1.909[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Mon 1/21[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]703[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Sacramento Kings[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]+7 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Over 190.5 1.971[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]10:05 AM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]704[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]New Orleans Hornets[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]-7 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Under 190.5 1.935[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Mon 1/21[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]705[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Houston Rockets[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-6.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Over 207.5 2.000[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]11:05 AM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]706[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Charlotte Bobcats[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+6.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Under 207.5 1.909[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Mon 1/21[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]707[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Minnesota Timberwolves[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]+8 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Over 186 2.000[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]11:05 AM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]708[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Atlanta Hawks[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]-8 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Under 186 1.909[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Mon 1/21[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]709[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Brooklyn Nets[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]+3.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Over 193.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt1"]
[TD="bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]12:35 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]710[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]New York Knicks[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]-3.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #E6EEFB"]Under 193.5 1.952[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="class: linesDate, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Mon 1/21[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]713[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]San Antonio Spurs[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]-6.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Over 194.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE, align: center"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR="class: linesAlt2"]
[TD="bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]04:05 PM[/TD]
[TD="class: linesRotNumBold, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]714[/TD]
[TD="class: linesTeam, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Philadelphia 76ers[/TD]
[TD="class: linesScore, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesSpread, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]+6.5 1.952[/TD]
[TD="class: linesMLine, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"][/TD]
[TD="class: linesTotals, bgcolor: #C1D2EE"]Under 194.5 1.952[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
Unders in early games are the usual suspects.
Sixers will probably be a play.
Maybe Pacers.

What do you think the Lakers line will be?
 
bunch of plays:

Sac/NOLA Under- early game. Don't think Sac's gonna be trying, and love the early start to slow everything up
Houston- obviously need a win. this loss brings them below .500. Charlotte is horrible
Brooklyn- double revenge. Can't let thoughts on the NY sweep in the inaugural season. Nets better with new coach
Philly- think the schedule made them look way worse than they actually are. Big line imo

slightly more on:
Indi/Memphis Under- 2 great defensive teams on an early ass start which usually leads to even slower games. yup
NOLA- Sac should be content off the win with their trip. NOLA playing much better off a bad loss at home
 
The average in games between Memphis, Chicago and Indiana - three of the best defensive teams in the league is 157.5 poins only.
 
The nets/Knicks game is the hottest ticket of the year. Lowest ticket price is $225 on stub hub. That's insane.
 
Lakers still without a loss ATS wise playing B2B when both games on a road.
They lost the first leg of B2B in all four occasions, just like last night, so that sets up pretty good.
Bulls are 2 - 3 ATS playing at home after home loss.
 
Looking at Hornets team total over. Assuming its going to be 98/99? Early game is a concern. The average home scores for each of the 3 refs: 101.4, 98.7, 102.5. Sacremento given up 103 over last 5. NO averaging 101 last 5.

Houston wins no doubt, not sure if I can pull the trigger. They have to win today and it sets up an awful spot coming back home vs. Denver. (at least for them).

Lean slightly to GS. Clips have OKC tomorrow, GS have them Wed.

Portland is sliding. They've been getting off to terrible starts. Wizards (my team) have been playing a lot better once Wall returned, Wiz have a very underated defense and I don't like Portlands offense that much. Maybe Portland team total under. Possibly Wiz 1H. Not sure.
 
Memphis off top of head has played well in these early MLK games at home. Obviously MLK has much more of a motivational factor for the home team here.

Hornets were a victim of some insane 1h shooting by GS 2 days ago. They couldn't miss and then NOLA came back to basically blow a cover/su win. Think they win this one.
 
Grizz/hornets ML parlay -110

prob a popular one given they are in the same time slot but that's what I gotta go with.
 
Took the same parlay, but added Hawks to the mix.

Also took Under in different ways in all four early games.

Leaning towards Nets, Wizards, Lakers and almost surely will be on the Sixers.
 
Looking to play a few open teasers to close with Balty in the SB. Brooklyn +8.5 will be the first play.
 
nbafan88 said:
I wish you luck but I see absolutely no idea why you would do this. Teasing basketball isn't smart IMHO.
Click to expand...

I don't think teasing anything is smart on a long-term, regular basis, but I like to do this around the big games (Nat Champ, SB, etc) to get a little extra action on the side I like in the game. It is also my way of having fun gambling on MLK day.
 
If Lee is a go i'll likely be on GS. Final game of 4 in season series, GS does lead 2-1 but most recent game 1/5 was a Clips win 115-89. Im going to view this as a pay back, plus look ahead spot.
 
Took Nets +4.

Made also Hawks live - very nice odds on them and while they appear to try and fire Drew, they still can win this one...
 
last open teaser GS +9.5. Good start for the Atl 2H - just have to play even from here...
 
Somebody talk to me about pace in the LAL/Chi game. Chi has only seen a total this high once this season. On the other hand, LAL have only seen a total this low once or twice since the first week of the season. Chi will obviously try to slow the game down. Any thoughts? My lean is under 194.5.
 
C-MAN said:
Somebody talk to me about pace in the LAL/Chi game. Chi has only seen a total this high once this season. On the other hand, LAL have only seen a total this low once or twice since the first week of the season. Chi will obviously try to slow the game down. Any thoughts? My lean is under 194.5.
Click to expand...
Too much of a toss up if you ask me. I capped it at 195, but that Bulls offense is so unbelievably bad. On the one hand, the Bulls are 6-16 O/U at United Center this season, and 3-13 O/U against the Lakers the last 16; on the other, the two games against the Knicks showed the Bulls are capable of playing run and gun if you make them. Will the Lakers make them? I don't really feel like finding out...

Good luck either way.
 
divol said:
Took Nets +4.

Made also Hawks live - very nice odds on them and while they appear to try and fire Drew, they still can win this one...
Click to expand...

Bet on Hawks with odds 3.00 won, so really happy about it.
Had really great trades in Memphis game. If they would have won, would have won more than 30 units... Should have green out evenly...
At least the Under cashed in.
 
Looking for some thoughts on the Lakers game...Stats point toward Lakers ATS...however I got burned on that heat game ...
 
BTW, Wolves with another 1st quarter on the road ATS cover. 17th this season...

I took Lakers and Under on the Spurs. Stats point in LA favor, but it's obviously anyone's game.
Miss of Deng should really hurt the Bulls...
 
Fan you're entitled to your opinion but Lopez is not the best center in the East. Been playing very very well but that is a huge reach.
 
Deron needs to step up his game some if the nets are to make noise in the playoffs. Everything else is dandy in Brooklyn
 
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