Monday I love the A's bullpen Discussion

GWarner27

Meatballin' in Celtics Stadium
Overnight leans:
CHC +139
chw o8.5
MIN u8
DET u8
TEX +146

on the radar:
LAD u7.5
TB +101
TEX o9.5 (want 9)
SD u6.5
ATL u7
 
Washington RL first thought. Yanks, Dodgers first 5 over. Cubs look reasonable
 
Yankee game is tough but Archer is on 5 and Tampa is 2-8 on Monday. Also I think I will read a trend tomorrow about fading Tampa after high scoring games.
By the way since in Haren games first 5 over is an auto play why not play the game under second half. Starting to doubt I play NY. No run support for Tanaka and today after Lackey left 0 also not understanding the Archer situation. Last game a major dump on good rest does that create a bounce back?
 
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Do you want a day-of-the-week trend? I have a Monday trend for you guys. The Padres are 10-1 SU since 2012 at home on Mondays after playing their previous game at home. All 11 of those games were the first games of their respective series. The average line for the Padres in those 11 games was -109:

[TABLE="width: 854"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TD]Date[/TD]
[TD]Day[/TD]
[TD]Site[/TD]
[TD]Team[/TD]
[TD]Starter[/TD]
[TD]Opp[/TD]
[TD]Starter[/TD]
[TD]Final[/TD]
[TD]W/L[/TD]
[TD]O/U[/TD]
[TD]Line[/TD]
[TD]Total[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]7-May-12[/TD]
[TD]Mon[/TD]
[TD]home[/TD]
[TD]Padres[/TD]
[TD]Edinson Volquez - R[/TD]
[TD]Rockies[/TD]
[TD]Drew Pomeranz - L[/TD]
[TD]3-2[/TD]
[TD]W[/TD]
[TD]U[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-115[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6.5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]6-Aug-12[/TD]
[TD]Mon[/TD]
[TD]home[/TD]
[TD]Padres[/TD]
[TD]Eric Stults - L[/TD]
[TD]Cubs[/TD]
[TD]Travis Wood - L[/TD]
[TD]2-0[/TD]
[TD]W[/TD]
[TD]U[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-132[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]20-Aug-12[/TD]
[TD]Mon[/TD]
[TD]home[/TD]
[TD]Padres[/TD]
[TD]Edinson Volquez - R[/TD]
[TD]Pirates[/TD]
[TD]Kevin Correia - R[/TD]
[TD]3-1[/TD]
[TD]W[/TD]
[TD]U[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-143[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]10-Sep-12[/TD]
[TD]Mon[/TD]
[TD]home[/TD]
[TD]Padres[/TD]
[TD]Eric Stults - L[/TD]
[TD]Cardinals[/TD]
[TD]Jaime Garcia - L[/TD]
[TD]11-3[/TD]
[TD]W[/TD]
[TD]O[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]105[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]6-May-13[/TD]
[TD]Mon[/TD]
[TD]home[/TD]
[TD]Padres[/TD]
[TD]Andrew Cashner - R[/TD]
[TD]Marlins[/TD]
[TD]Wade LeBlanc - L[/TD]
[TD]5-0[/TD]
[TD]W[/TD]
[TD]U[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-170[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]20-May-13[/TD]
[TD]Mon[/TD]
[TD]home[/TD]
[TD]Padres[/TD]
[TD]Jason Marquis - R[/TD]
[TD]Cardinals[/TD]
[TD]Shelby Miller - R[/TD]
[TD]4-2[/TD]
[TD]W[/TD]
[TD]U[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]130[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]24-Jun-13[/TD]
[TD]Mon[/TD]
[TD]home[/TD]
[TD]Padres[/TD]
[TD]Eric Stults - L[/TD]
[TD]Phillies[/TD]
[TD]Cliff Lee - L[/TD]
[TD]4-3[/TD]
[TD]W[/TD]
[TD]O[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]105[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6.5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]19-Aug-13[/TD]
[TD]Mon[/TD]
[TD]home[/TD]
[TD]Padres[/TD]
[TD]Andrew Cashner - R[/TD]
[TD]Pirates[/TD]
[TD]Francisco Liriano - L[/TD]
[TD]1-3[/TD]
[TD]L[/TD]
[TD]U[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]125[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6.5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]23-Sep-13[/TD]
[TD]Mon[/TD]
[TD]home[/TD]
[TD]Padres[/TD]
[TD]Eric Stults - L[/TD]
[TD]Diamondbacks[/TD]
[TD]Brandon McCarthy - R[/TD]
[TD]4-1[/TD]
[TD]W[/TD]
[TD]U[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-110[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]14-Apr-14[/TD]
[TD]Mon[/TD]
[TD]home[/TD]
[TD]Padres[/TD]
[TD]Eric Stults - L[/TD]
[TD]Rockies[/TD]
[TD]Jordan Lyles - R[/TD]
[TD]5-4[/TD]
[TD]W[/TD]
[TD]O[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]-120[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]5-May-14[/TD]
[TD]Mon[/TD]
[TD]home[/TD]
[TD]Padres[/TD]
[TD]Eric Stults - L[/TD]
[TD]Royals[/TD]
[TD]Yordano Ventura - R[/TD]
[TD]6-5[/TD]
[TD]W[/TD]
[TD]O[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]110[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6.5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]30-Jun-14[/TD]
[TD]Mon[/TD]
[TD]home[/TD]
[TD]Padres[/TD]
[TD]Jesse Hahn - R[/TD]
[TD]Reds[/TD]
[TD]Mat Latos - R[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD="align: right"]108[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]6.5[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]1-Sep-14[/TD]
[TD]Mon[/TD]
[TD]home[/TD]
[TD]Padres[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Diamondbacks[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="align: right"]22-Sep-14[/TD]
[TD]Mon[/TD]
[TD]home[/TD]
[TD]Padres[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD]Rockies[/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[TD][/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
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[TABLE="width: 100%"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TD="class: matchupCells Text, bgcolor: #F6F6F6"]COLORADO is 45-63 (-21.0 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: matchupCells Text, bgcolor: #F6F6F6"]WASHINGTON is 16-2 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in home games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: matchupCells Text, bgcolor: #F6F6F6"]ZIMMERMANN is 42-15 (+23.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
[TABLE="width: 100%"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TD="class: matchupHeader, bgcolor: #EEEEDD, align: center"]JORDAN ZIMMERMANN vs. COLORADO [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][TABLE="width: 100%"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TD="class: matchupCells Text, bgcolor: #F6F6F6"]ZIMMERMANN is 4-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 1.42 and a WHIP of 1.158[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
CHI WHITE SOX are 20-7 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Monday over the last 3 seasons.

NOESI 6-2 night starts L2 seasons (teams record)
 
[TABLE="width: 100%"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TD="class: matchupHeader, bgcolor: #EEEEDD, align: center"]CHRIS ARCHER vs. NY YANKEES [/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD][TABLE="width: 100%"]
<tbody>[TR]
[TD="class: matchupCells Text, bgcolor: #F6F6F6"]ARCHER is 4-0 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 1.26 and a WHIP of 0.628.[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
[/TD]
[/TR]
</tbody>[/TABLE]
 
KLUBER is 13-5 (+9.0 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

HAREN is 25-33 (-20.3 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
 
CHICAGO CUBS are 0-12 (-12.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
 
LA ANGELS are 9-20 (-16.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday over the last 2 seasons.
 
updated leans:
CHC +139
chw o9
MIN u8
DET u9
ATL u7
LAD u7

on the radar:

TEX o9.5 (want 9)
SD u6.5
 
Arrieta is always good Especially after 2 Cub losses but he is much better in the day. No idea what to do in Houston. Houston playing great. Splits are bad for McHugh. He does not like pitching at home or on 4 days rest. Lean Seattle
Looking at 2.5 in Washington
 
I doubt that this is a problem but Hahn on a very small sample has not been good at night.
 
Arrieta is always good Especially after 2 Cub losses but he is much better in the day. No idea what to do in Houston. Houston playing great. Splits are bad for McHugh. He does not like pitching at home or on 4 days rest. Lean Seattle
Looking at 2.5 in Washington

i can handle your first part of the first sentence, no umps lined up for me

played Cubs +148
 
Feeling much better in Washington. Third play in contest will be in Padre game. Either padres or under.
 
Latos 3.86 ERA with ump who seems to llean under and home dogs. Will bet both but list Padres both bets small.
 
this is ridiculous.....

Hahn 97 pitches in 5 and reds can't manage even one run across the board
 
this is ridiculous.....

Hahn 97 pitches in 5 and reds can't manage even one run across the board

He does have 9 Ks in those 5 innings though. That right there will drive up a pitch count a little bit.
 
This man loves the A's pen too

20140630_ajl_aa1_235.JPG.0_standard_709.0.jpg
 
Do you want a day-of-the-week trend? I have a Monday trend for you guys. The Padres are 10-1 SU since 2012 at home on Mondays after playing their previous game at home. All 11 of those games were the first games of their respective series.

If you extrapolate this trend to the subsequent Tuesday the Padres are 5-6 SU in those 11 Tuesday games (0-6 L6 with 1.5 ±0.5 runs scored per game in those last six).
 
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