Monday Discussion Thread

Here we go again when kc gonna be do a team they should be very competitive with. I’ll take kc pen, I’ll that the starter in this case who happens to like pitching in the Bronx. But I lost 2 kc sides playing them as dogs over Weeened then today they had the nerve go make them such big favs that wernt reaklg playable! If you one them guys who spits out the future after he gets a quarter than good for you you shookd crush this way! Unfomutsyrky I dunno if/when teams gonna win, I know when to get down on their prices that make money over time. There was no chance even With Ragans going kc shoulda been -150s after they werr small dogs the other games, don’t let the outcome trick you into thinking that means shit!! Of course I like to win them all but just ain’t happening that way. There no way you could watch gm 2 when Bubic was awesome and kc just could not get a big hit when needed and tell me they severed fi be -150 today even tho I love Ragans, untimely both games came down to a few at bats that coulda easily dipped the results.

All this to say why in the hell Lugo a dog to Carrasco when I think kc pen one the filthiest in this league, sure nyy might have a bit more offense but I don’t think they a great lineup.
 
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Here we go again when kc gonna be do a team they should be very competitive with. I’ll take kc pen, I’ll that the starter in this case who happens to like pitching in the Bronx. But I lost 2 kc sides playing them as dogs over Weeened then today they had the nerve go make them such big favs that wernt reaklg playable! If you one them guys who spits out the future after he gets a quarter than good for you you shookd crush this way! Unfomutsyrky I dunno if/when teams gonna win, I know when to get down on their prices that make money over time. There was no chance even With Ragans going kc shoulda been -150s after they werr small dogs the other games, don’t let the outcome trick you into thinking that means shit!! Of course I like to win them all but just ain’t happening that way. There no way you could watch gm 2 when Bubic was awesome and kc just could not get a big hit when needed and tell me they severed fi be -150 today even tho I love Ragans, untimely both games came down to a few at bats that coulda easily dipped the results.

All this to say why in the hell Lugo a dog to Carrasco when I think kc pen one the filthiest in this league, sure nyy might have a bit more offense but I don’t think they a great lineup.
Lugo's stuff is a little down to start this year. Judge is 0-9 vs Lugo in career.
 
What are we looking at here

Pretend I'm coming off a weekend-long bender and really need someone to hold my hand
Skenes L10 starts has gone under 18.5 outs 9 times, averaging 16 outs per start. Line is set at 18.5

Starting pitchers vs the Nationals L10 have gone under 18.5 outs 10/10, averaging 15.5 outs.

Under is juiced to reflect these trends.
 
Lugo's stuff is a little down to start this year. Judge is 0-9 vs Lugo in career.
He had a career year last season. It's not realistic to think he can repeat that even if he has an excellent season....very much a watch for me in April/May
 
Lugo's stuff is a little down to start this year. Judge is 0-9 vs Lugo in career.

I think he just takes a little time to get going, most his career he has started a little slow. How long that takes or is it cause he getting older also? I’d say Carrasco stuff seems more in decline.
 
I’d def consider playing Baz especially at 5.5 k’s
Will likely be on Baz over 5.5, probably have to wrap it in a parlay with something (it's -175). Was on my leans list yesterday before he got pushed back a day and it doesn't seem to be anything involving injury. Red Sox have been striking out like crazy.
 
Det/milw 1st inn u2.5 h,re -143

I like what Milw doing here for our purposes and maybe they get a lot of innings out this guy even tho he often used in the pen. What I like is Anderson is a lefty and tigers outside torkelson are predominately more talented from the left side, we don’t even know if a few their lefties can hit lhp cause they platoon them out which I think is moronic but that what they have done w a couple their best players. Feel like we just need Anderson to avoid a mistake to tork, hell just walk him and think we be fine. Dont expect milw to do any early damage to Skubal so this feels pretty solid at a good price.
 
Will likely be on Baz over 5.5, probably have to wrap it in a parlay with something (it's -175). Was on my leans list yesterday before he got pushed back a day and it doesn't seem to be anything involving injury. Red Sox have been striking out like crazy.

I wish baz swinging strike rate was a little higher for that price, only way I’d feel comfy going to 6.5 would be if I trusted rays more when it comes to leaving pitchers in. They have let him go 6 and 7 thus far which a ton for them but I’m always worried w a rays pitcher they gonna decide to yank him cause a bloop hit in 5th or even a freaking error! Def think he can get there, he goes last 6 I think he get us 7. Tough to count on that. 6+ parlayed with the u2.5 h,r,e play above was close to +160.
 
I wish baz swinging strike rate was a little higher for that price, only way I’d feel comfy going to 6.5 would be if I trusted rays more when it comes to leaving pitchers in. They have let him go 6 and 7 thus far which a ton for them but I’m always worried w a rays pitcher they gonna decide to yank him cause a bloop hit in 5th or even a freaking error! Def think he can get there, he goes last 6 I think he get us 7. Tough to count on that. 6+ parlayed with the u2.5 h,r,e play above was close to +160.
Think I might go with Pirates ML which gets it to around +135
 
2 team +178

Hou/stl 1st inn un2.5 h,r,rbi
Nats/pit 1st un 2.5 h,r,rbi

I think cards offense is slowly but surely coming back down to earth, started crazy hot which I don’t think anyone expected. I do think a healthy Nootbaar makes them better, Arenado I guess had some pride left and refused to get traded so he could prove something, or cause he knows he won’t get booed and showered w expectations here, your call. Lol. We all know what Gorman is even tho he prob won’t play today, burleson and Donovan fine j guess but they also lefties. One the rare hopes I have is they were right not to trade Walker but so far his limited time this year and last in bigs he can hit I think obvious but is the power there? He shouldn’t get a 1st inning at bat anyways. Anyone else on team nobodies or vastly overpaid used to be somebodies (former cub and yadi boy of course). Anyways, if Framber pitches well he should skate thru the 1st inning if not 6+!

Sonny gray always been a strong 1st inning pitcher, his best era in the 1st and 2nd best ops in his career come in the 1sy inning. He gonna get 2 little guys who love to pull the ball over that garbage short porch in Houston unfortunately for them they in stl and the home runs that hit in that little box are outs here. 81 at bats and twins have 5 doubles vs gray, that it. 3 of them Yordan who isn’t really hitting yet and a double doesn’t beat us anyway, just handle business around him.

Nats/pitates shat to say? Now Abram’s out the top the order, should be quick work for skenes. Do we worry bout pirates getting anything off skenes? They be lucky to make contact.
 
Torkelson ov 1.5 h,r,rbi -140

Dude is crushing lhp he gonna get 1-2 at bats at the very least against 1. I’ll bet he keeps ripping the cover off the ball vs avg at best lhp,

Sgp +190

Tigers ml
Skubal 7+ k’s
Torres 1+ hit

Obviously not much to say bout Skubal or tigers winning, that pays +125 and nothing with w that at all, I’m just greedy and it appears to me Torres will be one the tigers platoon guys, he has a career .850 ops in his career vs rhp, I’d suspect he hits closer to top the lineup. Could have easily went tork here but they don’t allow h,r,RBI in this or parlays so i have enough on him.
 
Such a shitty overcast day

Let's bet on soccer

Is the World Cup on yet? I know it not Euro or offers. Love soccer but that all I can bet, I can’t keep up with all the freaking leagues, no playoffs, team wins championship with weeks to go. It just doesn’t work for my American sensibilities. It’s really a shame too cause I love soccer, not just betting it but it inside my top 4 to watch. No commercials helps that! All the lying down and taking dives too much like nba!
 
Atletico/Bournemouth +140

Bournemouth are +120 but I can't figure out a way that Atletico don't win so the bump to +140 is warranted
 
Is the World Cup on yet? I know it not Euro or offers. Love soccer but that all I can bet, I can’t keep up with all the freaking leagues, no playoffs, team wins championship with weeks to go. It just doesn’t work for my American sensibilities. It’s really a shame too cause I love soccer, not just betting it but it inside my top 4 to watch. No commercials helps that! All the lying down and taking dives too much like nba!
No

I will do some club world cup commentary come mid May as it's the first time it's ever been done like the World Cup format
 
No

I will do some club world cup commentary come mid May as it's the first time it's ever been done like the World Cup format

I know it during nfl is it this year or next? Greatest battle in nfl history, finally someone doesn’t back down to them! I’ll skip plenty of nfl to watch WC matches
 
I know it during nfl is it this year or next? Greatest battle in nfl history, finally someone doesn’t back down to them! I’ll skip plenty of nfl to watch WC matches
Not sure WC

Club WC is a new thing and it's all in the USA this Summer lol. I haven't even tried to break it down yet
 
Not sure WC

Club WC is a new thing and it's all in the USA this Summer lol. I haven't even tried to break it down yet

I’m talking the real Wc! I know it goes on during football just didht know if it was this year it next, feel like used to be even years but civid might have screwed things up?
 
I’m talking the real Wc! I know it goes on during football just didht know if it was this year it next, feel like used to be even years but civid might have screwed things up?
I know

Club WC is coming to the US this Summer. Of course I'm interested since City are involved but we might be moving 8 players this Summer
 
Kc ml. Line just crazy to me, last year Lugo went into here against a better lineup and totally shut them down for 7 innings’ really nobody outside goldsmidt has hit him, apparently he wasn’t washed he was just sick of cardinals front office as he been raking, maybe it annoyed him cards made guys but their own roids!! That would piss me off too! Anyways I think we have the better starting pitcher, better pen, kc could use some more timely hitting but they have young guys who can play. Neither team playing at their best this month, to me this game a pick so give me +124..
 
I know random soccer guy loves World Cup. I kinda think beyond that lol

It’s not my fault they’re so many damn leagues and none of it makes sense off the damn field! I resent random soccer guy cause I’m more likely to watch an entire soccer match than just bout any sport these days! I just like when guys playing for their country and the bracket easy to follow! I’ve even got over ties, although I do have the penalty shot often deciding a massive game. There gotta be a better way !
 
PSG are up 3-1 on Villa so the match at Villa could be boring as fuck tomorrow

But PSG advance, French cat lives for another round and I'm all for it
 
It’s not my fault they’re so many damn leagues and none of it makes sense off the damn field! I resent random soccer guy cause I’m more likely to watch an entire soccer match than just bout any sport these days! I just like when guys playing for their country and the bracket easy to follow! I’ve even got over ties, although I do have the penalty shot often deciding a massive game. There gotta be a better way !
I treat soccer like you treat baseball. All good. I love tennis too

Bet 365 is my house
 
Been a long time since I crashed like that last night. Then a 5 hour phone call.

I need a fucking shrink bank
 
I treat soccer like you treat baseball. All good. I love tennis too

Bet 365 is my house

I never really followed tennis outside the grand slams either, now i barely even know the guys in top 10!!!

Golf mostly majors as well but I do at least know most the guys on leader boards.
 
I never really followed tennis outside the grand slams either, now i barely even know the guys in top 10!!!

Golf mostly majors as well but I do at least know most the guys on leader boards.
Yeah different strokes. It's why I do this...we all have our strengths and need to embrace them
 
I treat soccer like you treat baseball. All good. I love tennis too

Bet 365 is my house

The one thing bout soccer other than all the leagues Im totally lost on how to cap it! Obviously I’m not watching all those leagues so I need a way to come up w a good number! The WC, euro, that good stuff I just watch and bet the eye test!
 
The one thing bout soccer other than all the leagues Im totally lost on how to cap it! Obviously I’m not watching all those leagues so I need a way to come up w a good number! The WC, euro, that good stuff I just watch and bet the eye test!
Champions League tomorrow. PSG are 3-1 up on Villa, Barcelona are 4-0 up on Dortmund

So basically nothing worth anything in the quarters tomorrow. Wednesday should be more entertaining.

I'm doing French cat avy since I'm pulling for PSG so moving on to the semis means French cat for at least a few more weeks.
 
Skenes L10 starts has gone under 18.5 outs 9 times, averaging 16 outs per start. Line is set at 18.5

Starting pitchers vs the Nationals L10 have gone under 18.5 outs 10/10, averaging 15.5 outs.

Under is juiced to reflect these trends.
Something about Skenes. Looked really good opening day but gm 2 he struggled to get 5 Ks. then in game 3 didnt have that zip in the fastball and gave up 5 earned runs for 1 st time in career. May be nothing but 2 games in a row early in season and didnt seem to have that explosiveness.
 
Champions League tomorrow. PSG are 3-1 up on Villa, Barcelona are 4-0 up on Dortmund

So basically nothing worth anything in the quarters tomorrow. Wednesday should be more entertaining.

I'm doing French cat avy since I'm pulling for PSG so moving on to the semis means French cat for at least a few more weeks.

I had thought you maybe took a new job as crazy cat lady, or like Adam Sandler dressing cats in one his movies, “his name not fat shit cat and he eating your crab cakes”.
 
Something about Skenes. Looked really good opening day but gm 2 he struggled to get 5 Ks. then in game 3 didnt have that zip in the fastball and gave up 5 earned runs for 1 st time in career. May be nothing but 2 games in a row early in season and didnt seem to have that explosiveness.
Good looking out - something to monitor tonight for sure. Can't wait for the slate!
 
I had thought you maybe took a new job as crazy cat lady, or like Adam Sandler dressing cats in one his movies, “his name not fat shit cat and he eating your crab cakes”.
I do cat stuff on social media and it's pretty funny. I get clowned like I'm crazy cat lady...I haven't owned a cat since 2014 but by God I'm gonna act like I have ten of 'em if perception dictates it
 
CHC/SD o7.5 (+100)
TOR FF RL (+120)

Easton Lucas (L) is working a pretty nasty 4-seam. Atlanta as a team is having all kinds of trouble vs lefties to start out, (CHW level bad), wrc+ is 57 vs LHP. Ozuna is not in the lineup tonight. Grant Holmes isn't exactly intimidating for the Braves either against an above average offense at home. So I like the Jays chances in the first half to be ahead by at least a run.
 
I rocked with my 2nd under k prop on the year. Trust me unless they start getting lined crazy won’t be many. Actually think overall they have started making much better k lines unfortunately, seems like a huge number been landing by half run one way or other. I miss the days they be cashing by 3rd inning! lol. Anyways hit my 1st under, this pitcher far more dangerous than last fade.

Jack Ryan un 5.5 k’s +170 (I think this was it I’m waiting on ride but pretty close)., prior years I be jumping all over Ryan at 5.5 k’s while he was sporting a 14-15% swinging strike rate. So far this year that ain’t him, his swinging strike way down and there are things that point to it being more than just small sample. He has that fastball that never had massive velo, living around 94-95 but he had that spin that gave hitters the appearance it was rising. This year he throwing it much more and at the moment he only averaging 92.5 or so, they a pretty healthy drop, I don’t know if his spin down I wasn’t able to look, he still has solid indicators and guys are not hitting the pitch so maybe I’m coo-coo for coke coke puffs. Just think Mets can hit this guy, I never know what it take Rocco to pull guy from a game, sometimes a bloop single or an error he yanks dude. Sometimes he leaves guy out there getting blistered so I’m not gonna try to guess, just hope muts are centering the ball and not expanding the zone.
 
I do cat stuff on social media and it's pretty funny. I get clowned like I'm crazy cat lady...I haven't owned a cat since 2014 but by God I'm gonna act like I have ten of 'em if perception dictates it

Only cat we ever had was a real bastard. Only got him cause we moved somewhere that hate some mice. Hr handled that shit, he was inside outside cat like did whatever he wanted, he was a bad mofo always killing shit and playing with it before putting it away! You couldn’t leave bread or nothing on counter tho or that mfer would rip loaf apart! I’ve met other ppl normal lazy cats I liked better than dogs cause they didn’t do much of anything and stayed out your way other than wanting to be petted some. My puppy a fucking nut case, he might actually have more shit wrong than I do! And he got add out the ass, I’ve never let dog sleep w me before but I think he can tell when I’m bummed after seeing Theresa, and I know he misses her so some nights I let him snuggle a bit but the Mfer, everytime he things he hears anything going on he bolting to see what going on. I be like I warned your ass you jump off you stay off!! He has to be involved in freaking everything and can’t miss shit!! He is crazy! I shouldn’t have named him gizmo, he was all cute then but now when he gets groomed you can tell he really one them fucking gremlins that shot out of gixmo when he got wet or ate at night, going around fucking up everything!
 
Only cat we ever had was a real bastard. Only got him cause we moved somewhere that hate some mice. Hr handled that shit, he was inside outside cat like did whatever he wanted, he was a bad mofo always killing shit and playing with it before putting it away! You couldn’t leave bread or nothing on counter tho or that mfer would rip loaf apart! I’ve met other ppl normal lazy cats I liked better than dogs cause they didn’t do much of anything and stayed out your way other than wanting to be petted some. My puppy a fucking nut case, he might actually have more shit wrong than I do! And he got add out the ass, I’ve never let dog sleep w me before but I think he can tell when I’m bummed after seeing Theresa, and I know he misses her so some nights I let him snuggle a bit but the Mfer, everytime he things he hears anything going on he bolting to see what going on. I be like I warned your ass you jump off you stay off!! He has to be involved in freaking everything and can’t miss shit!! He is crazy! I shouldn’t have named him gizmo, he was all cute then but now when he gets groomed you can tell he really one them fucking gremlins that shot out of gixmo when he got wet or ate at night, going around fucking up everything!
Man I grew up with cat on my pillow and dog at my feet every night. It's hard to not have pets but I don' have it in me to be responsible for anyone or anything other than myself at this point and that's tricky
 
Man I grew up with cat on my pillow and dog at my feet every night. It's hard to not have pets but I don' have it in me to be responsible for anyone or anything other than myself at this point and that's tricky

I homestly never wanted a pet once I got out on my own. I’m not big on responsibility for my own life let alone others. Right around when Theresa got diagnosed I gave in and said we could have a puppy. I didn’t want any those shedding mfers so got a Bernie-doodle, got lucky when it came to potty training it didht take him 2 weeks to be using doggy door into back yard and hardly had to clean up anything! That was a huge plus!! Unfortunately the luck of being able to leave doggy door open all day so he could come and go when he pleased was short lived, this mfer is like a damn 5 star gymnasts! Wasn’t long till he was 3 yards over playing w other dogs, Couldn’t really afford or really want to dig all the post and do a privacy fence. So I rocked w this bamboo shit that you just twisted to gate and it added 3-4 feet. Apparently they didn’t test it on dumb shit’s like me or my puppy who figured out real fast if he jumped into that stuff as hard he could a few times he could punch a hole right thru and go where ever he wanted again. Which was never far away he just has crazy desire to know everything going the fuck on! After weeks of rapairing this fence thinking I had him beat I still had to pretty much watch him
Or he find a new way thru.. so now the dummy has to be on a chain inside fence until I give in any build privacy fence. Few times he got this thing out the ground and damn near hung himself jumping fence then the thing getting stuck. Freaked me out. Maybe after his “terrible 2s” he be better., sometimes weed calms him down! I wasn’t supposed to be raising on my own but I am glad we got this little Bastard!!
 
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