Monday 7-29 MLB Discussion

[Big_Degenerate]

Jordan Lyles made sure he got one more start in July for us

 

[Big_Degenerate]

Jordan Lyles, 0-18 in career July starts

PITT 0-8 in Lyles last 8 starts

 

[Big_Degenerate]

Gray vs buckos in 2019 (both before June 1)

1-1 12.2 IP , 2ER , 14K

 

[Big_Degenerate]

Jordan Lyles is currently a +183 underdog Monday vs the Reds

He is the most profitable pitcher to Fade when he is a dog of +150 or more in his career...

SU: 13-49 (21%) for (-23.7 Units)

RL: 25-37 (40.3%) for (-17 Units)

 

[tuck321]

Made a mistake. Thought Gray and Maeda were both on 4 days rest. Maeda is very good on 4. on 5 2-4 3.61ERA Monday is also the Dodgers worst day of week. I did make a small bet on Colorado plus 30 Now I might as well wait to grab the 15 cents

 

[aplous]

Reds -1 and F5 RL. Pirates are a dumpster fire and Lyles is a hot pile of dog shit. And Sonny has life again.

 

[tuck321]

Added KC minus 23. Not my usual here you have much better current form and it seems like it should be minus 40

 

[Brewers888]

Lyles was traded to the Brewers. I can hardly contain my excitement.

 

[tuck321]

Actually need to see ump but some interest in 2.5 and parlaying Reds first 5 with various options i am looking at

 

[tuck321]

Lyles is not pitching oh no

 

[aplous]

God Damn

 

[peelpub94]

Alex McRae will start for the Bucs. I'd expect a -200 CIN line once it reopens.

 

[Brewers888]

You guys will just have to wait a day to fade Lyles.

 

[Big_Degenerate]

SU trends (ROI%)


H 833-748 (-2,-1)

F 955-585 (+4,-11)

AF 349-206 (+8,-15)

HF 606-379 (+2,-8)

OU 757-744-72 (-3,-5)

 

[Big_Degenerate]

RL trends


H 708-864 (-8,0)

F 704-830 (-1,-6)

AF 284-271 (+6,-12)

HF 420-559 (-5,-2)

 

[Big_Degenerate]

O/U


Overall: 757-744-72 (-3,-5)

< 8: 98-127-7 (-16,+8)

8-9: 350-369-48 (-7,-2)

> 9: 309-248-17 (+6,-14)

10+: 192-127-17 (+14,-23)
__________________

 

[Big_Degenerate]

O/U by situation


Home favorites + total < 8: 54-75-4 (-20,+11)

Road favorites + total > 9: 136-86-8 (+17,-25)

 

[Big_Degenerate]

Coors O/U this season


31-18-1 (+21 O)

total 12 or more: 17-6 (+43)

home dog: 8-6 (+11)

COL off loss: 15-7-1 (+29)

game 1s: 12-3-1 (+49)

 

[Big_Degenerate]

LA isn’t the cash cow the public thinks they are

Dodgers have a league-best 69-38 (.645) record, But because they’re almost always a favorite laying a big minus number, LA has profited only 4.75 units this season

 

[tuck321]

Colorado probably flies. They hate the Dodgers just to start and they really do not like this season

 

[VirginiaCavs]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1155576411312263168

 

[Big_Degenerate]

The Nationals have now gone under the F5 total in 16 of their last 20 games

 

[jimbof20]

Tuck (or anyone). Thoughts on the umps in LA? Feel like this game should fly over. Angels TT as well

 

[Big_Degenerate]

Can’t decide on Halos -1.5 or the over

 

[jimbof20]

Can’t decide on Halos -1.5 or the over

Their pitching is too suspect for me. Took Over and Detroit TT over

 

[Big_Degenerate]

Their pitching is too suspect for me. Took Over and Detroit TT over

Fading Zim mostly. Tigers haven’t scored more than 3 runs in quite a few contests. How many does LAA put up

 

[Big_Degenerate]

the degenerate in me told me to

 

[jimbof20]

the degenerate in me told me to

View attachment 41296

9-5 Halos!! GL buddy

 

[Big_Degenerate]

9-5 Halos!! GL buddy

Same to you jimbo

 

[VirginiaCavs]

Starting to sweat my ff under in colorado didn‘t think i‘d have to

 

[VirginiaCavs]

Thank you Jesus

 

[tuck321]

Kind of thought the Dodgers would score more than 1 run

 

[tuck321]

No involvement but Arizona really seems to be slipping

 

[tuck321]

Played the Reds rl but also parlayed them with the Angels ml. If its not too much to ask could the Angels win the game?