Alright, 2-1 yesterday but down (0.02) units with the bigger play on Orlando.
Sitting at 38-17-4 with 20.28 units to the good side
Lets go ahead and dive into Monday's card...
New York Vs San Antonio
Alright, I first want to go through the Spurs road history from last season a bit. There is always talk about the Spurs struggling on B2B's so I went game by game through last season and found this..
-First, the Spurs(unless I missed something) only play one set of 'four in five nights'. Thats amazing. I looked 3 times so I may have missed something but do not think that I did. They finished off that set against the Clippers at home. They lost 92-100 laying 8 points.
-Second, back to backs where the second leg was on the road. Before we go into the numbers, this is as far as I went with this. You could also see how they performed the day before in relation to the B2B result. I will look into that more when this current 06-07 edition has played a few of those this season. i think the general breakdown can be applied to this team. Alright...
*Spurs were 4-7 SU last year on B2B games where 2nd game was on road
*Spurs were 3-8 ATS in those same eleven games
San Antonio was never a dog in these games. They always layed chalk except for a PK game at Phoenix they lost. Here are the games, with lines.
11-12-05 @ Washington 95-110(-4.5)
12-10-05 @ Atlanta 84-94(-10)
12-18-05 @ New Orleans 76-89(-6)
12-21-05 @ New York 109-96(-5)
1-7-06 @ Phoenix 86-91(PK)
1-25-06 @ New Orleans 94-68(-4)
2-2-06 @ Golden State 89-86(-7.5)
2-13-06 @ Cleveland 87-101(-2)
3-9-06 @ LA Clippers 85-99(-2.5)
3-18-06 @ Houston 92-77(-5.5)
3-22-06 @ Denver 92-104(-2)
I have taken the liberty of highlighting the SU/ATS wins. Notice the NY in there(lol).
Basically, we have a few games to compare from last year. The game at Golden St, the NY game, the Atlanta game and perhaps the first NOK game:
The Spurs lost 3 of those SU. Clearly at that point inferior opponents.
Heres the situations we have set up:
1.) The old four in five situation
2.) Back to Back games
3.) San Antonio already 0-1 on b2b this season(regardless of venue)
Situationally, I really like the Knicks here. I also like the pressure NY is under. After Saturday's game they better come in with a sense of energy or it will get ugly in MSG quick. New York will push the ball and I think Spurs get heavy legs come 4th quarter. This could be an upset in the making.
New York +6 +107
Dallas vs Golden State
I won't be as long and boring with this write-up. This is a few things colliding together...
-Dallas sitting at 0-2 and coming out with fire
-Golden State not being that good of a team
I think its time to get over last season Dallas. While I guess we can expect a sluggish November ats and even su from Dallas I think they burn off some of that tonight at home. This is still too good of a team do lose how they did Saturday night.
Dallas -9.5 -103
Utah vs Detroit
Alright, nice little situation seting up here. This is no technical situation. Its forces converging for what should be an easy play.
First of all, Detroit has struggled for 20 years it seems playing in the Delta Center or old Salt Palace. Its just always been a struggle out there. I can guess many of you folks remember last years game. Detroit was up nicely at half and Utah blew them outta the water in the 2nd half. It was quite the infamous game. I am not sure if DET was the first team but others complained as well about the higher pressure in balls used at the Delta Center. Its a good approach for Utah. Long rebounds for a very good rebounding team. That game last year Utah had a shitload of offensive rebounds. Detroit couldn't buy a jumper in the second half either. You could tell the balls were bouncing a bit stronger off those rims.
Second point, Utah's front line should have huge advantage over Detroit's. Now, the Stons are not chopped liver even w/o Ben up front. I just think the Jazz have one of the better frontlines in the enitre association. Mehmet, Boozer and AK are a great line-up. All can score, rebound and impact defensively in their own unique ways.
Utah has had a most impressive start to the season. Detroit is 2-1 but those wins were against two of the worst 5 teams in the league right now IMO. They will only get better as season lets on. This has been a tough venue for Detroit and I think its an excellent spot here for the Jazz. There is a reason they are favored. Remember, they also beat Stons ta Palace last year in OT. Its one of those teams we have trouble with
Utah -3 -105 3 units
Best of luck nba monday all!:cheers:
Sitting at 38-17-4 with 20.28 units to the good side
Lets go ahead and dive into Monday's card...
New York Vs San Antonio
Alright, I first want to go through the Spurs road history from last season a bit. There is always talk about the Spurs struggling on B2B's so I went game by game through last season and found this..
-First, the Spurs(unless I missed something) only play one set of 'four in five nights'. Thats amazing. I looked 3 times so I may have missed something but do not think that I did. They finished off that set against the Clippers at home. They lost 92-100 laying 8 points.
-Second, back to backs where the second leg was on the road. Before we go into the numbers, this is as far as I went with this. You could also see how they performed the day before in relation to the B2B result. I will look into that more when this current 06-07 edition has played a few of those this season. i think the general breakdown can be applied to this team. Alright...
*Spurs were 4-7 SU last year on B2B games where 2nd game was on road
*Spurs were 3-8 ATS in those same eleven games
San Antonio was never a dog in these games. They always layed chalk except for a PK game at Phoenix they lost. Here are the games, with lines.
11-12-05 @ Washington 95-110(-4.5)
12-10-05 @ Atlanta 84-94(-10)
12-18-05 @ New Orleans 76-89(-6)
12-21-05 @ New York 109-96(-5)
1-7-06 @ Phoenix 86-91(PK)
1-25-06 @ New Orleans 94-68(-4)
2-2-06 @ Golden State 89-86(-7.5)
2-13-06 @ Cleveland 87-101(-2)
3-9-06 @ LA Clippers 85-99(-2.5)
3-18-06 @ Houston 92-77(-5.5)
3-22-06 @ Denver 92-104(-2)
I have taken the liberty of highlighting the SU/ATS wins. Notice the NY in there(lol).
Basically, we have a few games to compare from last year. The game at Golden St, the NY game, the Atlanta game and perhaps the first NOK game:
The Spurs lost 3 of those SU. Clearly at that point inferior opponents.
Heres the situations we have set up:
1.) The old four in five situation
2.) Back to Back games
3.) San Antonio already 0-1 on b2b this season(regardless of venue)
Situationally, I really like the Knicks here. I also like the pressure NY is under. After Saturday's game they better come in with a sense of energy or it will get ugly in MSG quick. New York will push the ball and I think Spurs get heavy legs come 4th quarter. This could be an upset in the making.
New York +6 +107
Dallas vs Golden State
I won't be as long and boring with this write-up. This is a few things colliding together...
-Dallas sitting at 0-2 and coming out with fire
-Golden State not being that good of a team
I think its time to get over last season Dallas. While I guess we can expect a sluggish November ats and even su from Dallas I think they burn off some of that tonight at home. This is still too good of a team do lose how they did Saturday night.
Dallas -9.5 -103
Utah vs Detroit
Alright, nice little situation seting up here. This is no technical situation. Its forces converging for what should be an easy play.
First of all, Detroit has struggled for 20 years it seems playing in the Delta Center or old Salt Palace. Its just always been a struggle out there. I can guess many of you folks remember last years game. Detroit was up nicely at half and Utah blew them outta the water in the 2nd half. It was quite the infamous game. I am not sure if DET was the first team but others complained as well about the higher pressure in balls used at the Delta Center. Its a good approach for Utah. Long rebounds for a very good rebounding team. That game last year Utah had a shitload of offensive rebounds. Detroit couldn't buy a jumper in the second half either. You could tell the balls were bouncing a bit stronger off those rims.
Second point, Utah's front line should have huge advantage over Detroit's. Now, the Stons are not chopped liver even w/o Ben up front. I just think the Jazz have one of the better frontlines in the enitre association. Mehmet, Boozer and AK are a great line-up. All can score, rebound and impact defensively in their own unique ways.
Utah has had a most impressive start to the season. Detroit is 2-1 but those wins were against two of the worst 5 teams in the league right now IMO. They will only get better as season lets on. This has been a tough venue for Detroit and I think its an excellent spot here for the Jazz. There is a reason they are favored. Remember, they also beat Stons ta Palace last year in OT. Its one of those teams we have trouble with
Utah -3 -105 3 units
Best of luck nba monday all!:cheers:
