MLB June 27th Discussion - Can Luis Cessa stop this train?

[mrpickem]

Dude actually hasn't pitched that bad. (Away and Night splits all good)

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NY Yankees:

• Under is 9-0 in NYY last 9 interleague games.
• Under is 11-1 in NYY last 12 road games.
• Under is 19-2 in NYY last 21 overall.

Philadelphia:

• Under is 6-2 in PHI last 8 interleague home games.
• Under is 9-4-2 in PHI last 15 interleague games.
• Under is 11-5 in PHI last 16 games as an underdog.

Eflin could help derail it too, but he's been decent lately

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[mrpickem]

The board...

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[mrpickem]

Better odds at youwager, or at least you get dime lines up to 185, but Tony still the low juice king with dime lines on RL and totals as well

 

[tuck321]

What do the Days say
They say fade Arizona 2-9
They say play Colorado 7-4 to 6-6 but not loudly
They say Houston 9-3 vs Toronto 4-8
Yanks and Boston
Milwaukee 8-3 to 2-9
Cleveland another 9-3
They do not always win

 

[tuck321]

Sorry they are loud today and also like Atlanta and Pitt
Freeland is on 5 getting real plus money
Major homer ump but Bum has about a 6 ERA with him. If I play this I guess first 5

 

[tuck321]

Poor ump in Atlanta
Luis splits stink Newcomb good
Ref in Milwaukee looks good for the dog
My first thought in Philadelphia was to play Eflin first half. Now I am very unsure
Ump loves the road teams and Eflin has a 6.75 ERA with him on 5.1 innings and has not been good on 4 days but in his recent spurt has really been playing well. Thoughts? Seems to be a theme of lousy umps so far.
Houston spread seems dropping. Works for me. Ref seems bad but maybe not. Dallas about 7 ERA I think 6 or 7 innings. Estrada 14 innings 5.79 ERA. On 4 5.11 ERA 24.2 innings
Dallas on 4 3.82 35.1 innings 3.29 Day ERA to 3.25 Estrada 18-6 day record to 17-16 for the teams. Need to do some reading

 

[mrpickem]

Braves pretty tough at home in DAY games in conference. 25-14 last 2 years and under is 23-14-1

DAY and team = Braves and HC and date > 20160612
SU: 25-14 (0.74, 64.1%) avg line: 100.7 / -111.8 on / against: +$1,393 / -$1,611 ROI: +31.0% / -33.6%
RL: 20-18 (0.58, 52.6%) avg line: 117.9 / -136.8 on / against: +$502 / -$832 ROI: +11.3% / -14.9%
OU: 14-23-1 (-0.62, 37.8%) avg total: 8.8 over / under: -$1,055 / +$805 ROI: -25.5% / +19.1%

 

[tuck321]

hit them first half Luis slurp and a little rl
Cubs first half maybe

 

[Inspekdah]

Newcomb's 1.5 WHIP day ERA and Reds improving form vs. Ls

 

[tuck321]

Both starters have best catchers in Milwaukee. Suter splits much better dog ref

 

[tuck321]

Lets just start playing Reds. Luis is now a dominant road pitcher on the road and in the day.

 

[tuck321]

Actually maybe I was just WRONG. Atlanta has gone through a lot of losing. When you get used to losing you are not worth betting

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

Tuck, Castillo on road last 3 has not been good at all, nothing special during day either that I notice.

 

[tuck321]

I know that is why I bet Atlanta and I am very happy to see Atlanta WAKE UP

 

[tuck321]

Wrong catcher in Toronto

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

I was confused by post 11 , so gnarly, go bravos

 

[tuck321]

I bet a half unit under in Miami and Philadelphia. Not science just 2 monster under refs I always bet under. Think about it

 

[tuck321]

Heaney with Morales the ump
10 innings 8.10 ERA
Swing low sweet chariot

 

[Johnnyonthespot]

Beiber & Flaherty are two young studs,played u8, was thinking FF under as well but just played FG

 

[tuck321]

Bench bet under 8 in the Cards game. It may work as the 2 starters are great. I picked under 4.5 first 5 because the ref is 9-4 over and I want in and out. I ill be atching the game live hoping to bet Cleveland another 9-3 team.
In the Baltimore game a lot of people like Baltimore. I played Seattle first 5 because Cobb on 4 days rest has a 9 ERA and LeBlanca has a 2 ERA on this rest.
Boston will be my last chalk today.
Will probably be on Freeland first 5. Ump is a massive homer but Bumgarner 6 ERA with him
Would like to gamble with Philadelphia but just can not here
Also looking hard at Cubs again tonight
but need line ups GL

 

[tuck321]

Typing terrible as usual

 

[tuck321]

By the way I survied Atlanta because I had twice as much on Atlanta ML first half but time to run away from that team

 

[tuck321]

Adding Nova plus 8 cents
Better pitcher better day of week opp who never wins

 

[T-Rex]

I took Atlanta for the game, but I bet it last night. I knew I was screwed when I saw the line dropped from -145 to -125 at game time. I guess I am just gonna hop on this yanks under that apparently has been tearing it up lately. Tribe and tribe under both sound good as I like to bet for teams to avoid the sweep and both first games have been very high scoring

 

[tuck321]

9-4 over ump Cleveland 9-3 playing off a loss. The game under seems very dangerous to me

 

[T-Rex]

Tuck, what are you taking?

 

[austinhous]

I've been taking action. It dries your mouth out but the sex is amazing.

 

[mrpickem]

like under is st loo
under ref
cards 63% under @home in JUN-JUL when temp 75-85 https://goo.gl/UcqS8u

edit:
my bad, temp will range from 83-88 tonight so the query should be 80-90 degrees and much better at 73% under and 37.6% ROI