MLB Friday 3/28

[Wiretowire]

YTD +235
3-0 last

Thanks for the replies Laopadak, Peelpub, and Doubleup. I appreciate it. GL

That reminds me, I often don't come back into my posts. With that in mind I apologize in advance if someone asks me a question and I don't get back in in time to answer. I will try to look again at the post before game time, but I don't always get a chance. Sorry about that.

All bets placed at BETMGM and that's probably the last time I need to say that unless someone later in the season asks. One note, I often find that when you play those parlays with reduced runs the odds for over 3 1/2 are often the same as over 4 so I take the lower total because a push (4 runs total scored in the game) is then a win not a push. That was the case for today.

Col/TB over 3 1/2 -1200
Balt/Tor over 3 1/2 -1600
Bost/Tex over 3 1/2 -1400
Mets/Hou over 3 1/2 -1400
Atl/SD over 3 1/2 -2000
Det/LA over 3 1/2 -900

-50/+70

And for those that can't get BETMGM I will try to throw in a somewhat regular play occasionally.

Pitt -70/+50 - I can't say for sure Keller will be as good as he usually is but I have seen Gillespie in the past and he was never all that. The only thing that scares me is Pitt offense is horrible so go slow. GL

 

[Wiretowire]

I also forgot to mention yesterday the games I pick for these overs (early in the season) are based on my limited knowledge of the pitchers but also mostly on the offensive capabilities of the teams. Later as the stats come in overs will be determined by the starting pitcher stats. There will be a lecture from me later about ignoring the names of the pitchers and only look at their last 3 starts no matter what their name is. GL

 

[Smallmouth_bass]

At Draft Kings, 3 and 1/2 total over for Padres/Braves is 750 juice instead of 2000 unless I'm missing something. I've checked like 5 times. Just making sure I have the right game. Cease vs Lopez.

 

[Wiretowire]

Thanks Smallmouth. I just checked it as well at MGM and Atl is -900 now also as you said. It may have dropped since I placed the bet at 9 am this morning but that is a lot of drop. I just reentered those plays at the present prices at MGM and the parlay came up paying -50/+80 well +79 now which is higher than the +70 I got this morning. But what is really weird is while Atl went from -2000 to -900 the Bost game is now -2000 to get over 3 1/2.

There are going to be line changes and if the total drops 1 run or even 1/2 run it's going to be significant. In final you aren't crazy and I checked the numbers on my bet and they were right as well with Atl -2000. I guess all I can say is lines change but it wouldn't make me not bet as all those changes will amount to a few dollars payoff one way or another on the parlay. GL