Wiretowire
Pretty much a regular
YTD 0
First bets of the year, I normally don't like to bet a new season until after most of the starters have gone 3 times which is usually later in April, but I figure since I haven't posted football or baskets, I would take a small step to, if nothing else, show you I am still around.
First things first, I bet from BETMGM. I use their lines and as you will soon see their betting offers. As for the time I use their lines, because as you know MLB can swing wildly, my lines and bets are first placed and then I post so yes, it is possible to see a line swing by the time you read this especially if I am writing a lot like today. So, if you question my lines because you are reading this just before game time just breath. I have been on the internet posting for over 20 years so I'm not going to cheat to make myself look good although my wife says even though I am older than dirt I still look good. But she's paid to say that so take it for what it's worth.
Next, I buy runs off totals when I am betting overs, and I buy runs on totals when I bet unders. When I buy a 1/2 run off totals I set the odds at -140 and -130 when buying 1/2 run on for unders. I do this so I am not wasting time doing the math at -117 buying 1/2 run off. That shit will drive you crazy. Over the years -140 for overs and -130 for unders works out over the course of a season if you are only buying off or adding the hook. Yes, Virginia, most people bet overs, so it is cheaper to bet unders. If you don't like this and must feel the need to tell me the buying over 1/2 run is now -144 instead of -140 then you aren't really serious about making money so just go away. I don't have time for that shit. Now if you think I'm bat shit crazy for betting against Skenes then by all means tell me I am stupid, and we will discuss it. That's what these forums are for. We don't have to agree on everything.
Next, and I say this every year. You didn't learn anything from spring training. Pitchers are working on new pitches or hitting spots and hitters are trying out new stances, swings, or swing angles. Throw in some minor leaguers who can't hit or pitch and trust me you didn't learn anything about the coming season.
Well, I think that about covers it but before I tell you what I bet let me point out two more things. First, Skenes and Skubal were two of the best pitchers in baseball last year. But that was last year and believe me things change for some players. Second, betting over early in the season when a really good pitcher is on the mound is a sound strategy because only a lunatic for a manager would let his best pitchers go more than 6 innings in their first few starts. Think about it.
All parlays from BETMGM. If you want to see where I got my lines go to a game, hit all wagers in the lower right, go to totals and you will see all the offerings for that game.
Phil/Wash over 4 -750
Pitt/Mia over 4 -525
Det/la over 4 -550
-50/+80
ATL/SD over 4 -625
Pitt/Mia over 4 -525
Det/la over 4 -550
-50/+80
NYY/MLW over 4 -1200
Pitt/Mia over 4 -525
Det/la over 4 -550
-50/+75
GL
First bets of the year, I normally don't like to bet a new season until after most of the starters have gone 3 times which is usually later in April, but I figure since I haven't posted football or baskets, I would take a small step to, if nothing else, show you I am still around.
First things first, I bet from BETMGM. I use their lines and as you will soon see their betting offers. As for the time I use their lines, because as you know MLB can swing wildly, my lines and bets are first placed and then I post so yes, it is possible to see a line swing by the time you read this especially if I am writing a lot like today. So, if you question my lines because you are reading this just before game time just breath. I have been on the internet posting for over 20 years so I'm not going to cheat to make myself look good although my wife says even though I am older than dirt I still look good. But she's paid to say that so take it for what it's worth.
Next, I buy runs off totals when I am betting overs, and I buy runs on totals when I bet unders. When I buy a 1/2 run off totals I set the odds at -140 and -130 when buying 1/2 run on for unders. I do this so I am not wasting time doing the math at -117 buying 1/2 run off. That shit will drive you crazy. Over the years -140 for overs and -130 for unders works out over the course of a season if you are only buying off or adding the hook. Yes, Virginia, most people bet overs, so it is cheaper to bet unders. If you don't like this and must feel the need to tell me the buying over 1/2 run is now -144 instead of -140 then you aren't really serious about making money so just go away. I don't have time for that shit. Now if you think I'm bat shit crazy for betting against Skenes then by all means tell me I am stupid, and we will discuss it. That's what these forums are for. We don't have to agree on everything.
Next, and I say this every year. You didn't learn anything from spring training. Pitchers are working on new pitches or hitting spots and hitters are trying out new stances, swings, or swing angles. Throw in some minor leaguers who can't hit or pitch and trust me you didn't learn anything about the coming season.
Well, I think that about covers it but before I tell you what I bet let me point out two more things. First, Skenes and Skubal were two of the best pitchers in baseball last year. But that was last year and believe me things change for some players. Second, betting over early in the season when a really good pitcher is on the mound is a sound strategy because only a lunatic for a manager would let his best pitchers go more than 6 innings in their first few starts. Think about it.
All parlays from BETMGM. If you want to see where I got my lines go to a game, hit all wagers in the lower right, go to totals and you will see all the offerings for that game.
Phil/Wash over 4 -750
Pitt/Mia over 4 -525
Det/la over 4 -550
-50/+80
ATL/SD over 4 -625
Pitt/Mia over 4 -525
Det/la over 4 -550
-50/+80
NYY/MLW over 4 -1200
Pitt/Mia over 4 -525
Det/la over 4 -550
-50/+75
GL
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