Yesterday 6-5 +2.5
Ytd 133-162 +19.47 45% win rate 6.6%roi
Doing this model thing, ive learned you cant always trust the output. For example, Colorado shows up on there alot and, other than not being compensated enough for their relative skills, i just dont take them. Doesnt make long term sense.
Others show up that dont meet my general minimum price target, or its just a terrible spot.
What it has taught me is diving way deeper into the numers than i ever have, but also having a deeper understanding of what these numbers have told us, and how they can generally point you in their potential future direction.
I find that i appreciate games more, and general feats of accomplishment that far greater exceed what the player appears to be capable of.
Just had a moment of reflection. This is a good space, with super smart people (also in sports other than baseball) and it was great i found this place all those years ago.
Lets keep trying to pick winners folks.