slim5150
Freelance Gynecologist
Luck was on my side for a few of these games. I will take it and move on.
Big card today. First blush i like most of these personally, but i am sticking to let the model do its thing. The 1st 5 plays haven done as well as i had hoped. But that is why you test things. Ill keep tracking it here before i look to tweaks.
When i started this, i was trying to look at undervalued teams and bet into that. This has worked well of late given the inordinate amount of favorites hitting. I keep waiting for the tide to turn, but it hasnt yet. Starting a new series always gets me a bit nervous, but this is almost 4 weeks in and its been ok so far. If it aint broke....
Full game. All plays at bol unless noted.
Milw -114 bm
Mia -146
Hou -197
Balt -140 bm
Ari -118
Tor 122
Nyy -143
Phi -120
Atl -140
Det -258
Wash -108
Bos -117
Sd -162
1st 5 ml plays. All from bol unless noted.
Milw -110 bm
Mia -145
Hou -170
Balt -134
Ari -130
Tor 110 bm
Nyy -135
Phi -128
Atl -135
Det -240
Wash -125
Bos -105 bm
Sd -140 bm
FUll games yesterday 5-1 +4.27
Full game season 52-33 +11.55 61% win rate
1st 5 yeaterday 3-3 -.31
1st 5 season 36-29-18 -1.63
Big card today. First blush i like most of these personally, but i am sticking to let the model do its thing. The 1st 5 plays haven done as well as i had hoped. But that is why you test things. Ill keep tracking it here before i look to tweaks.
When i started this, i was trying to look at undervalued teams and bet into that. This has worked well of late given the inordinate amount of favorites hitting. I keep waiting for the tide to turn, but it hasnt yet. Starting a new series always gets me a bit nervous, but this is almost 4 weeks in and its been ok so far. If it aint broke....
Full game. All plays at bol unless noted.
Milw -114 bm
Mia -146
Hou -197
Balt -140 bm
Ari -118
Tor 122
Nyy -143
Phi -120
Atl -140
Det -258
Wash -108
Bos -117
Sd -162
1st 5 ml plays. All from bol unless noted.
Milw -110 bm
Mia -145
Hou -170
Balt -134
Ari -130
Tor 110 bm
Nyy -135
Phi -128
Atl -135
Det -240
Wash -125
Bos -105 bm
Sd -140 bm
FUll games yesterday 5-1 +4.27
Full game season 52-33 +11.55 61% win rate
1st 5 yeaterday 3-3 -.31
1st 5 season 36-29-18 -1.63