ML Dogs Week 13 Discussion!

B.A.R.

B.A.R.

CTG Partner
Staff member
They were barking a bit again last week!

Syracuse easily...

Incredible finish and cash by Stanford!

Florida, Air Force, Troy, LA Tech and USU all cashed before nighttime as well...

New Mexico, Kansas, ASU, South Bama, Rutgers and Arky State all came in during the evening...

What's on tap this week??
 
Kansas. But feels to obvious.

UCLA? Even though they got smoked vs Dub- Bruins need the W to keep bowl hopes alive

Air Force continues to play well recently. Can beat Nevada if you can run the ball..
 
Cincy. Wheels seem to have fallen off in Manhattan. Head scratcher as Kleiman seems like a very good coach. One of my favorites.
 
air force last two have been at home
they haven't won a roadie since last October 28
0-6 L6 away and haven't been close like double digits every time
3-0 ATS L3 games though 🤷‍♀️
 
ucla might have picked up some value last week. and feels like something finally kinda clicked with them before that. them and their coach

USC 5-1 su and 6-0 ats home/neutral
but 0-4 su and ats away this year
they haven't won a road game since last October 28 either just like Air Force
and 1-8 ats on the road overall since last year
only road spread they covered was +16.5 at Oregon

large majority of bets on USC rn
UCLA looks good to me I just talked myself into the 4.5
 
austinhous said:
air force last two have been at home
they haven't won a roadie since last October 28
0-6 L6 away and haven't been close like double digits every time
3-0 ATS L3 games though 🤷‍♀️
Click to expand...
Nevada and Air Force have played 7 times ever (all since 2012).. Nevada has never beaten Air Force by more than 3 points (2-5, both wins by 3)

Also, randomly, Air Force has scored 40 or more every game in this series outside 2018 as well (lost 25-28)
 
satnightfever05 said:
Nevada and Air Force have played 7 times ever (all since 2012).. Nevada has never beaten Air Force by more than 3 points (2-5, both wins by 3)

Also, randomly, Air Force has scored 40 or more every game in this series outside 2018 as well (lost 25-28)
Click to expand...
Interesting stuff
 
I’ve been on the Pitt fade train the past few weeks, but this might be the time to jump back on them. They played well vs Clemson last week and now back OTR against a team they have had success against. Taking pts for sure, but upset would not surprise me.
 
C-MAN said:
I’ve been on the Pitt fade train the past few weeks, but this might be the time to jump back on them. They played well vs Clemson last week and now back OTR against a team they have had success against. Taking pts for sure, but upset would not surprise me.
Click to expand...
I felt this one too at first glance.

Solid last week -- albeit Clemson is fading badly
 
satnightfever05 said:
Nevada and Air Force have played 7 times ever (all since 2012).. Nevada has never beaten Air Force by more than 3 points (2-5, both wins by 3)

Also, randomly, Air Force has scored 40 or more every game in this series outside 2018 as well (lost 25-28)
Click to expand...
The total in the AF game is surprisingly low. I know AF has struggled offensively, but expect them to be able to score this week.
 
austinhous said:
ucla might have picked up some value last week. and feels like something finally kinda clicked with them before that. them and their coach

USC 5-1 su and 6-0 ats home/neutral
but 0-4 su and ats away this year
they haven't won a road game since last October 28 either just like Air Force
and 1-8 ats on the road overall since last year
only road spread they covered was +16.5 at Oregon

large majority of bets on USC rn
UCLA looks good to me I just talked myself into the 4.5
Click to expand...

UCLA big time for me. Want no part of laying money on the road with Riley. UCLA also now has another week of film on Maiava.
 
Not sure bout ml but love the gophers at home catching double digits, wouldn’t shock me at all if they pulled the outright, pen st doesn’t scare me in the slightest. This a pj fleck special.
 
satnightfever05 said:
Kansas. But feels to obvious.

UCLA? Even though they got smoked vs Dub- Bruins need the W to keep bowl hopes alive

Air Force continues to play well recently. Can beat Nevada if you can run the ball..
Click to expand...

Ya’ll know how high I am on ku but not sure here, I think best move is to forget the side and hit the over, assuming weather good this game should be a fireworks show. Both playing for a lot, Ku needs to win out to go bowling despite these idiots having a lead in damn near every game going into 4th qrtr. Then of course buffs control destiny into playoffs. Both are play on teams for me right now so it tough to pick, but I’d be shocked if this game wasn’t played close to or above 70 points!! Really think the byu field is what made ku offense look so pedestrian last week, that won’t happen here.
 
2daBank said:
Not sure bout ml but love the gophers at home catching double digits, wouldn’t shock me at all if they pulled the outright, pen st doesn’t scare me in the slightest. This a pj fleck special.
Click to expand...
Yup.

I think this is a 3-7 point game TBH!
 
Feel like byu could be dead men walking after blowing the undefeated season last week, asu on a pretty good roll, after playing bunch of short lines on byu all year think I’m down with fading them for 2nd week in a row. Havnt really looked at it from a matchup perspective just my feeling for how they both trending.
 
Duke feels like a solid home dog, I think their d is more than good enough to limit vtech qb. My only issue is I really really don’t trust that kid playing qb for Duke, he all over the place with his throws.
 
Agree with Kansas and Duke, also like BC. And I know Terps looked bad against Rutgers but Iowa is literally starting a QB who was playing scout team LB a few weeks ago.
 
BiffTFinancial said:
Agree with Kansas and Duke, also like BC. And I know Terps looked bad against Rutgers but Iowa is literally starting a QB who was playing scout team LB a few weeks ago.
Click to expand...

I really think the over the play in the buffs/ku game, I honestly think these the best 2 teams in big12 despite ku record, they could easily be 8-2 if they didn’t blow so many leads and that was with Daniel’s playing way below his potential the 1st 5-6 weeks. I just don’t know who wins that one, but I’d be shocked if both teams didn’t get into the 30s.
 
With the points gophers feels like strongest play of the week, whether they pull the upset I dunno but the odds are prob good enough it worth a few bucks to see.
 
My 1st thought was I loved wvu at home but ucf seems like they sound a qb who can actually throw which makes game tougher.
 
2daBank said:
I really think the over the play in the buffs/ku game, I honestly think these the best 2 teams in big12 despite ku record, they could easily be 8-2 if they didn’t blow so many leads and that was with Daniel’s playing way below his potential the 1st 5-6 weeks. I just don’t know who wins that one, but I’d be shocked if both teams didn’t get into the 30s.
Click to expand...
I like that over. Problem is, I was on KU/BYU over last week that didn't come close and find myself questioning every lean to death since haven't been running too well.
 
2daBank said:
With the points gophers feels like strongest play of the week, whether they pull the upset I dunno but the odds are prob good enough it worth a few bucks to see.
Click to expand...
I am waiting. If it gets to +13 then Ill play it
 
Posted YTD: -$546.54
All plays at FD.

Trying something different this weekend....gonna try to win!! 😂 😂 🤔

3, 4, & 5-teamer RRs:

Troy +250
Florida +375
Minny +360
Vandy +255
Houston +230
Risked $8 ($0.50 per parlay) to Win $1,329.98

Troy 1st Half +210
Florida 1st Half +300
Minny 1st Half +250
Vandy 1st Half +225
Houston 1st Half +186
Risked $8 ($0.50 per parlay) to Win $692.17

🍀🍀🍀🍀
 
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