MistaFlava
Cheerleader
MistaFlava's 2007 CFB Record: 33-26-2 (+156.90 Units)
MistaFlava's 2007 ATS Record: 31-23-2 (+162.80 Units)
MistaFlava's 2007 O/U Record: 0-1 (-5.50 Units)
MistaFlava's 2007 2nd Half Record: 2-2 (-0.40 Units)
Last 3 weeks: 24-14-2 ATS (+191.50 Units)
COLLEGE GAMEDAY PLAYS OF THE WEEK: 4-0 ATS (+130.00 Units)
Week 1: ---
Week 2: Louisiana State -11
Week 3: USC -9.5
Week 4: Georgia +3.5
Week 5: California +6.5
Welcome to my College Football threads for the 2007-2008 season. Not the kind of start I was looking for but after observing and watching things play out this past weekend, I think it helped a lot of grow as cappers and Im a big believer in the 'watch and learn' type of theory. The rule changes didn't make much of a difference but new coaches did (Dantonio was impressive) and I would love to turn things around this week with the help of my new little friend. Anybody remember my PS2 simulations a while back? Almost time to bring them back for good. Yeah right! LOL!
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Tuesday, October 2
Marshall Thundering Herd +2.5 (10 Units)
The Marshall Thundering Herd have not had much luck this season as they come into this game with an 0-4 straight up record and 1-2 ATS record. But hold on a second guys. Marshall has had it tougher than most teams in the Country with their first four games having to play against the Miami Hurricanes, West Virginia Mountaineers and Cincinnati Bearcats. Their other game was at home against I-AA New Hampshire and they somehow lost that one but I don't think it meant much. The bottom line is that playing against Memphis in this game is a HUGE step down in competition for the Thundering Herd so they have a good chance. They had some competitive moments in the West Virginia and Cincinnati games which is a good indication that this team will be hungry to win for the first time this season. The Thundering Herd don't have it easy from here on in so making it to a Bowl Game is going to be tough but their new season starts tonight and coach Mark Snyder has deemed this a MUST WIN game for his 14 returning starters. I know Marshall has been horrendous over the last seven seasons as a road underdog (6-18 ATS) but this is the one road game I think they have a great chance of winning. The Thundering Herd come into this game averaging only 18.8 points per game on 380.0 total yards of offense and 5.4 yards per play this season but don't forget who they have played against. Memphis has allowed a whopping 32.0 points per game this season on 414.3 total yards of offense and 5.5 yards per play. On the ground, Marshall has not had success running the ball as they average only 84.8 rushing yards per game on 2.8 yards per carry but things are about to get a bit easier for RB Darius Marshall who is averaging 6.7 yards per carry this season on 28 carries. He is up against a Memphis defense that has allowed 171.3 rushing yards per game on 4.0 yards per carry. If the freshman can open things up on the ground, QB Bernard Morris should really lead this team to a win. Morris has completed 67.7% of his passes this season for 1087 passing yards, 8.6 yards per pass attempt and 7 touchdowns with 4 interceptions. He is up against a Memphis secondary that has allowed opponents to complete 58.0% of their passes this season for 7.4 yards per pass attempt. If you want to beat Marshall you have to have an effective pass rush and the Tigers really don't with their 1.3 sacks per game. They also have only 1 interception on the season and Bernard Morris should have his best game of the year and countering Memphis scores should not be a problem in this game for Marshall.
The Memphis Tigers have been preparing for this game for a while but because of a makeup game on Saturday, did not have the time off they had planned. Now but those preparations were brutally interrutped two nights ago when one of their teammates was killed. Put all that aside, which I think is going to be impossible to do for these guys, and the Tigers come into this game with a 1-3 record straight up and 2-1 ATS record. Their only win of the season has come against I-AA Jacksonville State with their losses coming against Mississippi, Arkansas State and Central Florida. In last year's meeting with the Thundering Herd on the road, Memphis lost 41-27 and allowed more than 400 yards while getting 400+ yards of their own in that game. You can call this a revenge game all you want but the bottom line is that both teams NEED this win and there is a big difference between wanting and needing. Sure the Tigers team was being hailed as one of the most improved teams in this Country according to some pre-season experts but they have yet to show any kind of defensive effiency and until they can do that, they won't be winning football games. The Tigers come into this game averaging 26.8 points per game this season on 412.5 total yards of offense and 5.6 yards per play. It's tough to judge how Marshall has played defensively because although it looks bad on paper, three of their four opponents are TOP 25 or potential TOP 25 opponents. The Thundering Herd have allowed 41.8 points per game on 447.5 total yards and 6.4 yards per play this season. On the ground, Memphis rushes almost 40 times per game and average 153.8 rushing yards on 4.1 yards per carry. So im thinking that Marshall will know what to expect in this game as they have allowed 263.0 rushing yards per game this season on 5.9 yards per carry and can only improve on that side of things. If they can stack the box and keep things controlled, that will force Memphis QB Martin Hankins to throw a lot more than he is used to throwing. Hankins has completed 61.1% of his passes this season for 6.6 yards per pass attempt but has been hampered by interception problems having thrown 5 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Last season Hankins threw 18 touchdown passes and 13 interceptions. Marshall has not done much to shut down opponents air attacks allowing 65.7% of passes against them to be completed for 7.5 yards per pass attempt but that was against teams like West Virginia, Cincinnati and Miami, who's QB's are all more efficient than Hankins and company. I know Memphis is going to give this game a good run but I don't know that they can exact revenge with everything that has happened in the last 48 hours on campus.
The mood will be somber tonight for the Memphis Tigers as they try to recover from the devastating news that one of their own players was fatally shot to death late on Sunday Night. That makes this game less than 48 hours after the incident and although I don't usually incorporate events like that into my capping, it's hard look past this and I think the Memphis players are going to be affected by it a lot more than we think. It's still fresh, it's still a mystery and a lot of guys are probably still in shock. So much that it messed up their preparations for this game. Marshall has not looked good at all this year but they have played against three TOP 25 teams or potential TOP 25 teams and the stats are probably a bit more misleading then you think. This is a MUST WIN game for both teams and I think im a bigger fan of Marshall QB Bernard Morris (Senior) than I am of Memphis QB Martin Hankins (Senior) who has made a lot more mistakes than Morris over the years. Memphis is only 9-14 ATS as as home favorite over the last seven seasons so that probably cancels out Marshall's dismal road ATS record as an underdog the last seven years. This is going to be a high-scoring back and forth kind game and I like Marshall to make bigger plays when it matters and come out on top.
Trend of the Game: Memphis is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.
Marshall 42, Memphis 21
GL to all this week!
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MistaFlava's 2007 ATS Record: 31-23-2 (+162.80 Units)
MistaFlava's 2007 O/U Record: 0-1 (-5.50 Units)
MistaFlava's 2007 2nd Half Record: 2-2 (-0.40 Units)
Last 3 weeks: 24-14-2 ATS (+191.50 Units)
COLLEGE GAMEDAY PLAYS OF THE WEEK: 4-0 ATS (+130.00 Units)
Week 1: ---
Week 2: Louisiana State -11
Week 3: USC -9.5
Week 4: Georgia +3.5
Week 5: California +6.5
Welcome to my College Football threads for the 2007-2008 season. Not the kind of start I was looking for but after observing and watching things play out this past weekend, I think it helped a lot of grow as cappers and Im a big believer in the 'watch and learn' type of theory. The rule changes didn't make much of a difference but new coaches did (Dantonio was impressive) and I would love to turn things around this week with the help of my new little friend. Anybody remember my PS2 simulations a while back? Almost time to bring them back for good. Yeah right! LOL!
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Tuesday, October 2
Marshall Thundering Herd +2.5 (10 Units)
The Marshall Thundering Herd have not had much luck this season as they come into this game with an 0-4 straight up record and 1-2 ATS record. But hold on a second guys. Marshall has had it tougher than most teams in the Country with their first four games having to play against the Miami Hurricanes, West Virginia Mountaineers and Cincinnati Bearcats. Their other game was at home against I-AA New Hampshire and they somehow lost that one but I don't think it meant much. The bottom line is that playing against Memphis in this game is a HUGE step down in competition for the Thundering Herd so they have a good chance. They had some competitive moments in the West Virginia and Cincinnati games which is a good indication that this team will be hungry to win for the first time this season. The Thundering Herd don't have it easy from here on in so making it to a Bowl Game is going to be tough but their new season starts tonight and coach Mark Snyder has deemed this a MUST WIN game for his 14 returning starters. I know Marshall has been horrendous over the last seven seasons as a road underdog (6-18 ATS) but this is the one road game I think they have a great chance of winning. The Thundering Herd come into this game averaging only 18.8 points per game on 380.0 total yards of offense and 5.4 yards per play this season but don't forget who they have played against. Memphis has allowed a whopping 32.0 points per game this season on 414.3 total yards of offense and 5.5 yards per play. On the ground, Marshall has not had success running the ball as they average only 84.8 rushing yards per game on 2.8 yards per carry but things are about to get a bit easier for RB Darius Marshall who is averaging 6.7 yards per carry this season on 28 carries. He is up against a Memphis defense that has allowed 171.3 rushing yards per game on 4.0 yards per carry. If the freshman can open things up on the ground, QB Bernard Morris should really lead this team to a win. Morris has completed 67.7% of his passes this season for 1087 passing yards, 8.6 yards per pass attempt and 7 touchdowns with 4 interceptions. He is up against a Memphis secondary that has allowed opponents to complete 58.0% of their passes this season for 7.4 yards per pass attempt. If you want to beat Marshall you have to have an effective pass rush and the Tigers really don't with their 1.3 sacks per game. They also have only 1 interception on the season and Bernard Morris should have his best game of the year and countering Memphis scores should not be a problem in this game for Marshall.
The Memphis Tigers have been preparing for this game for a while but because of a makeup game on Saturday, did not have the time off they had planned. Now but those preparations were brutally interrutped two nights ago when one of their teammates was killed. Put all that aside, which I think is going to be impossible to do for these guys, and the Tigers come into this game with a 1-3 record straight up and 2-1 ATS record. Their only win of the season has come against I-AA Jacksonville State with their losses coming against Mississippi, Arkansas State and Central Florida. In last year's meeting with the Thundering Herd on the road, Memphis lost 41-27 and allowed more than 400 yards while getting 400+ yards of their own in that game. You can call this a revenge game all you want but the bottom line is that both teams NEED this win and there is a big difference between wanting and needing. Sure the Tigers team was being hailed as one of the most improved teams in this Country according to some pre-season experts but they have yet to show any kind of defensive effiency and until they can do that, they won't be winning football games. The Tigers come into this game averaging 26.8 points per game this season on 412.5 total yards of offense and 5.6 yards per play. It's tough to judge how Marshall has played defensively because although it looks bad on paper, three of their four opponents are TOP 25 or potential TOP 25 opponents. The Thundering Herd have allowed 41.8 points per game on 447.5 total yards and 6.4 yards per play this season. On the ground, Memphis rushes almost 40 times per game and average 153.8 rushing yards on 4.1 yards per carry. So im thinking that Marshall will know what to expect in this game as they have allowed 263.0 rushing yards per game this season on 5.9 yards per carry and can only improve on that side of things. If they can stack the box and keep things controlled, that will force Memphis QB Martin Hankins to throw a lot more than he is used to throwing. Hankins has completed 61.1% of his passes this season for 6.6 yards per pass attempt but has been hampered by interception problems having thrown 5 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Last season Hankins threw 18 touchdown passes and 13 interceptions. Marshall has not done much to shut down opponents air attacks allowing 65.7% of passes against them to be completed for 7.5 yards per pass attempt but that was against teams like West Virginia, Cincinnati and Miami, who's QB's are all more efficient than Hankins and company. I know Memphis is going to give this game a good run but I don't know that they can exact revenge with everything that has happened in the last 48 hours on campus.
The mood will be somber tonight for the Memphis Tigers as they try to recover from the devastating news that one of their own players was fatally shot to death late on Sunday Night. That makes this game less than 48 hours after the incident and although I don't usually incorporate events like that into my capping, it's hard look past this and I think the Memphis players are going to be affected by it a lot more than we think. It's still fresh, it's still a mystery and a lot of guys are probably still in shock. So much that it messed up their preparations for this game. Marshall has not looked good at all this year but they have played against three TOP 25 teams or potential TOP 25 teams and the stats are probably a bit more misleading then you think. This is a MUST WIN game for both teams and I think im a bigger fan of Marshall QB Bernard Morris (Senior) than I am of Memphis QB Martin Hankins (Senior) who has made a lot more mistakes than Morris over the years. Memphis is only 9-14 ATS as as home favorite over the last seven seasons so that probably cancels out Marshall's dismal road ATS record as an underdog the last seven years. This is going to be a high-scoring back and forth kind game and I like Marshall to make bigger plays when it matters and come out on top.
Trend of the Game: Memphis is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite.
Marshall 42, Memphis 21
GL to all this week!
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rayer
