MistaFlava
Cheerleader
2006 CFB Record: 51-36-2 (-9.60 Units)
2006 CFB ATS Record: 41-28-2 ATS (-11.80 Units)
2006 CFB O/U Record: 10-7 (+2.20 Units)
PLAYS OF THE WEEK: 4-4 (-2.00 units)
PLAY OF THE MONTH: 2-0 (+20.00 Units)
PLAYS OF THE YEAR: 0-1 (-55.00 Units)
35-14-2 ATS (71%) in Football the last three weeks
Last weekend wasn't my best CFB betting weekend but it was still a good one and I am looking to make large profits again this week. Things are getting a lot more complicated now with sharp lines and all but there are still some gifts out there for the taking. Good luck to all this week!
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Thursday, October 26
Virginia Tech Hokies +4.5 (20 Units) ***THURSDAY ESPN PLAY OF THE MONTH***
The Clemson Tigers have cost me some money this season and they have won me money this season. I can't say that going against a team that is 6-2 ATS on the season makes any sense really but I would like to remind all the inexperienced sports gamblers out there that betting on a football team is not always about overall talent and overall skill. If things were that easy, every favortie would win and cover every game which is obviously never the case. Intangibles play a huge part in College Football weekday games and certain variables sometimes overtake whatever skill advantage a team may have. The Tigers are 7-1 on the season and in clear control of the ACC Atlantic Division. However, they do have some teams like Wake Forest that are knocking on the door and quite anxiously waiting for the Tigers to fail. Lets have a look at their road games so far this season. The Tigers went into BC (tough atmosphere) and lost in OT. They then went to FSU (Tallahassee is quiet these days) and won. They then went to Wake Forest where they trailed by a lot the entire game before winning on a late play. Then there was the Temple game...enough said. The Tigers are averaging only 29.0 points per road game this season on a whopping 417.3 total yards and 6.0 yards per play. However, those games were against some rather weak teams. The Hokies defense is allowing only 11.4 points per home game this season on 233.4 total yards and only 4.0 yards per play. Not bad at all for a Frank Beamer defense that is big play hungry. The Tigers could be without their star RB James Davis which would be a huge deal because they average 167.0 rushing yards per road game on 4.6 yards per carry in the last three. Even if Davis does play, VTech is allowing only 102.2 rushing yards per game at home on 2.2 yards per carry. Without Davis, Clemson is in trouble. In the air, QB Will Proctor is completing 61.0% of his passes on the road for 7.5 yards per pass attempt and one interception per game. However, VTech's defense loves to make big plays as they average 1.2 interceptions per home game and 4.0 sacks per home game. Expect this to be a game where Proctor looks lost at times because VT's secondary is one of the best in the business.
The Virginia Tech Hokies were on National TV exactly two weeks ago tonight and believe me when I say that the players remember the embarassing loss to Boston College in Boston. Now here comes another chance for these kids to play on National TV, at home this time, and show the College Football world that this edition of the Hokies is just as much about business as last season's team. What people seems to forget is that Clemson is sitting pretty in the Atlantic Division of this Conference and losing a game won't be a huge deal. However, Virginia Tech is currently tied for first place with Miami and Georgia Tech which means that this is the game of their season for the time being. You cannot lose at home in Blacksburg with a game in Miami coming up next week. Beamer has made things quite clear for his team all week and he made sure that they know that their season is on the line tonight. In their last three meetings, Virginia Tech has won and covered all three games and the wins have come by a total combined score of 109-31. Beamer has always has a chip on his shoulder when it comes to playing against Clemson because it was the Tigers that made Beamer 0-1 as a Virginia Tech coach when he made his debut back in 1986 was it? The Hokies average 33.2 points per game at home this season on 382.4 total yards of offense and 6.2 yards per play. They are up against a Clemson defense allowing 23.7 points per game on the road on a respectable 248.3 total yards and 4.0 yards per play. On the ground, RB Brandon Ore is ready to rock and roll as the Hokies average 4.3 yards per carry at home but must deal with a tough Clemson defense that allows only 2.3 yards per carry on the road. I think Ore can find some holes but they won't come easy. In the air, the Hokies are going with a two QB gameplan. If Sean Glennon falters early and fails to get this offense going like he did against BC, Ike Whitaker's ass is coming in and taking over. The Hokies are passing for 8.4 yards per pass attempt at home this season and are up against a rather suspect Clemson secondary that allows road opponents to complete 63.4% of their passes for 6.1 yards per pass attempt away from home. Glennon has thrown only 0.8 interceptions per home game while Clemson's secondary lacks big play killer instinct and have picked off only one pass away from home all season. This is going to be VTech's best overall performance of the season as they shock Clemson at home...just the way Frank Beamer has envisioned it everytime these two teams play. The games just means too much to the Hokies.
Trend of the Game: Virginia Tech is 5-0 ATS the last five as a home underdog.
Virginia Tech 27, Clemson 10
:cheers:
2006 CFB ATS Record: 41-28-2 ATS (-11.80 Units)
2006 CFB O/U Record: 10-7 (+2.20 Units)
PLAYS OF THE WEEK: 4-4 (-2.00 units)
PLAY OF THE MONTH: 2-0 (+20.00 Units)
PLAYS OF THE YEAR: 0-1 (-55.00 Units)
35-14-2 ATS (71%) in Football the last three weeks
Last weekend wasn't my best CFB betting weekend but it was still a good one and I am looking to make large profits again this week. Things are getting a lot more complicated now with sharp lines and all but there are still some gifts out there for the taking. Good luck to all this week!
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Thursday, October 26
Virginia Tech Hokies +4.5 (20 Units) ***THURSDAY ESPN PLAY OF THE MONTH***
The Clemson Tigers have cost me some money this season and they have won me money this season. I can't say that going against a team that is 6-2 ATS on the season makes any sense really but I would like to remind all the inexperienced sports gamblers out there that betting on a football team is not always about overall talent and overall skill. If things were that easy, every favortie would win and cover every game which is obviously never the case. Intangibles play a huge part in College Football weekday games and certain variables sometimes overtake whatever skill advantage a team may have. The Tigers are 7-1 on the season and in clear control of the ACC Atlantic Division. However, they do have some teams like Wake Forest that are knocking on the door and quite anxiously waiting for the Tigers to fail. Lets have a look at their road games so far this season. The Tigers went into BC (tough atmosphere) and lost in OT. They then went to FSU (Tallahassee is quiet these days) and won. They then went to Wake Forest where they trailed by a lot the entire game before winning on a late play. Then there was the Temple game...enough said. The Tigers are averaging only 29.0 points per road game this season on a whopping 417.3 total yards and 6.0 yards per play. However, those games were against some rather weak teams. The Hokies defense is allowing only 11.4 points per home game this season on 233.4 total yards and only 4.0 yards per play. Not bad at all for a Frank Beamer defense that is big play hungry. The Tigers could be without their star RB James Davis which would be a huge deal because they average 167.0 rushing yards per road game on 4.6 yards per carry in the last three. Even if Davis does play, VTech is allowing only 102.2 rushing yards per game at home on 2.2 yards per carry. Without Davis, Clemson is in trouble. In the air, QB Will Proctor is completing 61.0% of his passes on the road for 7.5 yards per pass attempt and one interception per game. However, VTech's defense loves to make big plays as they average 1.2 interceptions per home game and 4.0 sacks per home game. Expect this to be a game where Proctor looks lost at times because VT's secondary is one of the best in the business.
The Virginia Tech Hokies were on National TV exactly two weeks ago tonight and believe me when I say that the players remember the embarassing loss to Boston College in Boston. Now here comes another chance for these kids to play on National TV, at home this time, and show the College Football world that this edition of the Hokies is just as much about business as last season's team. What people seems to forget is that Clemson is sitting pretty in the Atlantic Division of this Conference and losing a game won't be a huge deal. However, Virginia Tech is currently tied for first place with Miami and Georgia Tech which means that this is the game of their season for the time being. You cannot lose at home in Blacksburg with a game in Miami coming up next week. Beamer has made things quite clear for his team all week and he made sure that they know that their season is on the line tonight. In their last three meetings, Virginia Tech has won and covered all three games and the wins have come by a total combined score of 109-31. Beamer has always has a chip on his shoulder when it comes to playing against Clemson because it was the Tigers that made Beamer 0-1 as a Virginia Tech coach when he made his debut back in 1986 was it? The Hokies average 33.2 points per game at home this season on 382.4 total yards of offense and 6.2 yards per play. They are up against a Clemson defense allowing 23.7 points per game on the road on a respectable 248.3 total yards and 4.0 yards per play. On the ground, RB Brandon Ore is ready to rock and roll as the Hokies average 4.3 yards per carry at home but must deal with a tough Clemson defense that allows only 2.3 yards per carry on the road. I think Ore can find some holes but they won't come easy. In the air, the Hokies are going with a two QB gameplan. If Sean Glennon falters early and fails to get this offense going like he did against BC, Ike Whitaker's ass is coming in and taking over. The Hokies are passing for 8.4 yards per pass attempt at home this season and are up against a rather suspect Clemson secondary that allows road opponents to complete 63.4% of their passes for 6.1 yards per pass attempt away from home. Glennon has thrown only 0.8 interceptions per home game while Clemson's secondary lacks big play killer instinct and have picked off only one pass away from home all season. This is going to be VTech's best overall performance of the season as they shock Clemson at home...just the way Frank Beamer has envisioned it everytime these two teams play. The games just means too much to the Hokies.
Trend of the Game: Virginia Tech is 5-0 ATS the last five as a home underdog.
Virginia Tech 27, Clemson 10
:cheers:
