Here is my outlook:
I think that the East is being under rated here. They will be much better this year and will have a few solid teams....I will discuss more team that I know a lot about- all Ohio teams(Akron, Kent, BGSU, Toledo, Ohio).
One thing that I disagree with Linde, is the coaching asepct you talked about. You said that Ohio has a HUGE advantage in this department (as far as East teams). Kent and Akron have two of the best young coaches around. J.D. Brookhart has brought the top recruiting classes in the MAC (East or West) the last 3 years. He was a recruiter/assistant at Pitt before coming to Akron a few years back. He has taken a team that was the laughing stock of the MAC(let alone the nation) and turned them into a good program. In his short 3 years, they have won the MAC East (and championship) and went to a bowl game. Also, they traveled and beat NC State in front of a hostile crowd. Yes, they were 5-7 last year but you have to expect that with a new team. They have some very solid parts returning. Also, they might have the best defense in the MAC. You throw these things in with the ammount of young talent, they will be a tough opponent....
Akron
All over I see people saying how Akron is over hyped every year. They are not really over hyped but undervalue by the public IMO. When I say undervalued I mean because a lot of people do not see what is going on in the AK Rowdy. You guys, this program has been building the last three years (ever since JD Brookhardt took over). Yes, last years 5-7 mark was a slipup BUT that happens to programs that are building. They have sent 2 QB to the NFL in the L4 years. Brookhardt is one of the best young coaches in the MAC/NCAA IMO. 2 years ago, they won the MAC East and made their first bowl appearance ever. They have had a Top 70 recruiting class in each of the L3 years (#1 in the MAC since Brookhardt has been there). On campus they have built a brand new training facility/Rec Center. When it was built it was said to be a top 3 Rec Center in the natinon (as far as features and technology).
http://www3.uakron.edu/onat/srwc/home/reccenter.html Anyways, expectations around this football team are big again…
OFFENSE
QB Supposedly, this is still a 3 man race between Freshmen Sean Hakes, and Sophomores Carlton Jackson and Chris Jaquemain. All of these guys have plenty of talent and showed it throughout the Spring. Hakes is a strong armed kid that was pretty highly touted after wining back to back state titles in high school. Jaquemain lost out to Jackson last year (when they were freshies) for the number 2 slot. The guy I like the most is Jackson- he is fast as hell and has a decent arm. He got a little PT last year but often worked with the number 1s. From what I hear, he is going to start Game one against Army but I wouldn’t rule out multiple QB s getting an opportunity.
RB Dennis Kennedy is the main man in a talented backfield. He ran for nearly 1000 yards and caught 39 balls for nearly 200 yards (11 games). Andre Walker, last years backup, will see a push from Bryan Williams and Alex Allen. Allen missed the majority (maybe all?) with an injury. Williams is a beast! He is a local kid from Akron’s west side who was a pretty touted recruit of Pitt. After getting in some trouble and not having the grades he went to a military academy. He seems to have his shit together and should get many touches. Though Akron struggled, as a team, on the ground last year I expect much more success this season.
WR Jabari Arthur (was a QB, I think he should start at that spot but it is irrelevant what I think) returns after leading the Zips in receptions a year ago. He was player of the year in Canada his senior year. David Harvey seems to be the big question mark coming into this season. He was a beast last year (120 all purpose yards per game) as a freshman. He led the team with nearly 1000 receiving yards. His status to return is in question right now…At TE the Zips have two very viable players: Merce Poindexter and Kris Kasperek
OL After losing Andy Alleman to the Saints (3<SUP>rd</SUP> round pick), the Zips have questions upfront. One thing is sure Chris Kemme will be back (Second Team All MAC). They do have 3 starters back and they also have a couple of seniors that have played multiple positions, as backups, throughout their careers. There is also 3 or 4 true freshman that will compete for spots. The chemistry of these guys upfront will be key for this offense…
KICKER This was an area of trouble for the Zips last year. They do have one of the top kickers in the nation coming in this year. He is from Serbia or Bosnia or somewhere like that….
DEFENSE
This defense returns 8 starters and should do a great job…
DL They have a tackle and end back that did well a year ago. With young talent (the recruits from past), this should be a pretty completive line
LB The best core in the MAC are back and ready to rock Doug Williams (LB the DL last year) as slimmed down and will be back at LB this season. He will team up with two players that had phenomenal seasons a year ago (SAM Brion Stokes 79 Tackles and MIDDLE Kevin Grant 87 Tackles). Behind these 3, the Zips return 2 backups from a season ago. Akron also have 3 incoming Freshmen that expect to see some action.
DB The cupboard is stocked at this spot too. My boy John Mackey (many of you might remember DeAngelo Williams breaking him 2 years ago lol) is a Mike Doss type Safety/Rover. Not saying he is Doss but he is a big hitter that lead this team in tackles a season ago…blitzes a lot. Reggie Corner, (who plays corner) Davanzo Tate, and Andre Jones are all returning starters in this secondary. Once again they have 3 backups with experience and plenty of young freshmen that will help.
CONCLUSION
Ultimately Akron’s success will rely on it’s offensive line. IF they can take care of the ball and run the ball they will have a chance to have a very good season. The pieces are in order, it is just about execution now. This defense is loaded guys. I can see a couple of shutouts with this schedule (meaning the MAC). Akron has a very interesting schedule: They open up against Army (will be played at Cleveland Browns Stadium) the have to go right to Columbus and play O State. They then travel to Indiana. After finally getting a home game against rival and a tough team Kent State they are back on the road. At UCONN and Western Michigan will be their next two…The Zips got unlucky with their schedule (they have to play 2 of the top west teams Western and Central Michigan). 2 games I have targeted right now are @ Indiana and @ UCONN. Akron has played and won in tough situations before. They won at NC State last year in front of a hostile crowd. I believe this will give them the confidence to beat both these foes SU.
Prediction
8-4 or 9-3 5-2 in the MAC
What to Bet
ATS in select games and UNDER
Doug Martin is the coach at Kent...He has been there for a couple of years, after being an assistant to the former coach. The attitude around this program, like AKrons, has changed drastically. They also have the tools to be a solid player in the MAC East...
Kent State
This is a team that we must watch early IMO. Doug Martin has done wonders with this team. They are no longer the bottom dwellers of year’s past. Locally, they have done a tremendous job with advertisements and getting some fans to the games. It is amazing how the attitude about Kent State has changed. They went from a basketball pipeline, where people around here did not know they had a football team, to in contention for a MAC East Title. Last season the Flashes had their first non-losing season since 2001! Their last five season win totals look like 3 5 5 1 and then 6 last year. The amazing thing is that they started 5-2 last year before finishing 1-3. It was not that they faced tougher opponents, they just choked. All off season they have stressed finishing the job and expecting to win.
OFFENSE
QB Julian Edelman is back and will once again be one of the more exciting players in the MAC. He is a junior JUCO transfer that is a very good runner. Last season, after taking the starting job, he ran for nearly 700 yards. What is unknown is how strong Edelman’s arm is. People I have talked to, within the KSU program, have told be that he has a very strong arm. The reason we did not see it much last season was because he played the whole second half of the season with a torn labrum. He has had surgery and has rehabbed to 100%. I look for him to have a big year in this weak defensive conference.
RB Eugene Jarvis will once again be back for the Flashes. If you have not seen this kid, you need to. No he did not have HUGE stats last year, but he was a freshman and he was very productive.
He is listed at 5’5” 158 lbs. I have played basketball with him and my 8 year old nephew seems bigger than he is. Regardless, his size is the only reason that he is not at a bigger school (no pun intended). Also at back, sophomore Greg Keys has switched back to RB from safety and Michigan State transfer (last year) Tony Howard will get some touches.
WR, KSU lost their top 2 targets. With that being said they only had 10 TD s threw the air, a year ago. They have many young WR s, so it will be interesting who will start and who will earn PT. Gray-shirt Freshman Aaron Robinson has been slotted at the X slot. Luneric Mundrow is another smaller guy that has some speed. He is only 5’6” but is explosive.
OL will definitely be a very strong part of this KSU offense. They performed well last year and return 4 out of 5 starters.
Kicker appears to be Nate Reed this year. If you bet for KSU, I am sure you lost a bet or two because of their kicking game. From what I have heard/read Reed has been working very hard had hit about 90% in the Spring….we will see
DEFENSE
The DL should once again be pretty strong. They lost a big time player that is in camp with the Lions or Packers or somewhere. Collin Ferrell will once again start at NG…he is a beast.
LB return 2 starters but depth seems to be the question….Jameson has started and will do well
DB s were the strength of this KSU team a year ago. They lost 4 of their main players….many people think their will be a major drop off, but from what I hear it will not be a huge drop off. They were very deep last year and should be adequate this year.
CONCLUSION
Kent State has one that MAC East just one time ever! That was in the 70s! I expect them to compete for a league title this year. They have to play Iowa State at night to open the season, before going to Kentucky. I look for week to be a strong ATS and maybe SU play. Martin graduated from Kentucky and it would mean a lot to beat his former school.
Prediction (7-5) 8-4 if the ball really bounces their way 5-2 in the MAC
What to look to bet?
ATS early- I do not see this team getting much love early because of the way the finished last season. I am targeting that week 2 game at Kentucky as a big play.