Last Weekend of June Discussion Thread...
- Thread starter B.A.R.
- Start date
Eovaldi first start off the IL. You’d think he’d be on some sort of pitch count. Surprised to see Seattle and Gilbert as dogs especially with Gilbert on the hill. Trying to figure out how I’m gonna play this. Options I’m considering:
- Eovaldi K’s under 4.5 (doubt he goes more than 5)
- Eovaldi over 1.5 earned
- Seattle 1st 5 ml
- Seattle ml
What’s your thoughts here boys. Where’s @2daBank when you need him.
- Eovaldi K’s under 4.5 (doubt he goes more than 5)
- Eovaldi over 1.5 earned
- Seattle 1st 5 ml
- Seattle ml
What’s your thoughts here boys. Where’s @2daBank when you need him.
KJ
Minister of Communication
As to this, it's about time I ramp up the inevitable M's fail train but it's warranted
Kirby seems to be back. Which makes him elite. And Gilbert is elite. And Woo is making a case to be elite. If Castillo is even a .500 type pitcher which we know he's still capable of being above....the bullpen is elite. I really don't care about schedules, etc, when this team goes on the run it will run hard and doesn't matter the who. Hitting is so much better than in past years, almost want to play the offense off a bad game at this point knowing the pitching will be there.
slim5150
Freelance Gynecologist
Really wanted to go against mets with their recent unstellar play, notwithstanding taking a couple from the braves, but hard to back pit here. Kellers weakness is lefties with home splits even worse than road. The mets have loaded up on lefties in their expected lineup. Peterson seems looks to be have more difficulty with righties than lefties, but away from citi its about even. This pitt lineup just doesnt inspire much confidence to get things done and there seem to be some issues with oneil cruz and his uninspired play. Maybe a mets tt ov.
Oakland could win this, and i could technically get that coveted date with selma hayak. Spence and warren both have some issues. I like the dogs, but dont think they bark here. Best of luck if you play. Over would be a stronger opinion than a yanks rl.
As mentioned, normally a dog guy, but just cant discount the recent form with the rays. Their biggest struggle is against lefty pitchers and they are not getting that here today. Sugano looks to be on a very cold streak. I normally look yo want to buy into an improvement potential but i just dont think this is the spot. Rays will be a play for me, unofficially.
Minn and det feature 2 statistically terrible pitchers. Thats about as far as i made it. Det or over...with det probably the better side at a -120 or so price
Really would like to fade the padres also, but mr. Martinez doesnt inspire much confidence. Cease has been pitching well and think the padres bats will get it done. Sd and a sd tt ov are my leans.
Cardinals had a rough go of it yesterday against the returning yamamoto. Cle is coming off a series loss to toronto. Didnt dig into this one much, but given the pitching matchup, a 1st 5 under migbt be worth a look.
Toronto and boston i didnt look into that much. Just really no interest either way.
Wanted to fade atlanta here as i think they are hanging on by a thread. Elder isnt a world beater, but he has had some recent hiccups. Abel started out looking sharp but he has fallen off. Overnigbt philly was like a 135 dog. That has ballooned to about 157. Phillys bats have been ice cold, but they did face MUCH more talented pitching in houston than they will see here today. If im goimg to play the phils, ill want, be greedy, and see if i can get more.
You couldnt pay me to take sfg as a road favorite. You couldnt pay me to take cws as a dog with civale on the hill. Think the giants bats can keep getting some in play here. Giants tt ov and game over look interesting.
The sea/texas tilt sees a hot team with a great starter on the mound versus a good team on paper with a great starter returning to the mound from an IR stint. Figure evoldi wont get to finish 5 innings. First 5 under maybe. Sea would be a the side of choice
CUbs/ houston under or nothing.
WOuld like to back col on the road at this price, but freeland has such bad splits versus righties and the milw bats have been rolling lately. Not in love with quintana,s splits here either. Feels like an under play for some reason.
Like kc here today in this spot going against may. Mostly due to mays road splita and his challenges against lefty batrers. While kc is normally a limited run production team, they dis just come off a series where tb had super dominant pitching. Dodgers off 3 scrimmages vs col at coors. Maybe their tming is off a little. Id like to see a little more price.camero, outside of a horrible outing a few games ago against the yanks, has looked fairly sharp. His weakness appeara to be walkimg righties more than lefties, and rigbty batters fare a bit better against him at home. Where these weaknesses could hurt things is if he geta guys on base via walks and dodgers get up a few. Kc will be a play for me, just waiting on a better price. I like it where it is, just figure it gets steamed up a bit. At 140 ill lock it in.
Really like playing both nata and marlins...but the pitxhing matchups are horrible, imo. Soriano has looked sharp lately and kelly has as well. Wash had opportunities against the padres and couldnt convert while miami had hreat pitching, mostly, but red hot bats. An ariz tt over looks enticing. And iff the laa price keeps coming down, i migjt have some interest.
Sorry for the novel, those are my thoughts. Sorry for all the misspellings too. Big thumbs little keyboard
Oakland could win this, and i could technically get that coveted date with selma hayak. Spence and warren both have some issues. I like the dogs, but dont think they bark here. Best of luck if you play. Over would be a stronger opinion than a yanks rl.
As mentioned, normally a dog guy, but just cant discount the recent form with the rays. Their biggest struggle is against lefty pitchers and they are not getting that here today. Sugano looks to be on a very cold streak. I normally look yo want to buy into an improvement potential but i just dont think this is the spot. Rays will be a play for me, unofficially.
Minn and det feature 2 statistically terrible pitchers. Thats about as far as i made it. Det or over...with det probably the better side at a -120 or so price
Really would like to fade the padres also, but mr. Martinez doesnt inspire much confidence. Cease has been pitching well and think the padres bats will get it done. Sd and a sd tt ov are my leans.
Cardinals had a rough go of it yesterday against the returning yamamoto. Cle is coming off a series loss to toronto. Didnt dig into this one much, but given the pitching matchup, a 1st 5 under migbt be worth a look.
Toronto and boston i didnt look into that much. Just really no interest either way.
Wanted to fade atlanta here as i think they are hanging on by a thread. Elder isnt a world beater, but he has had some recent hiccups. Abel started out looking sharp but he has fallen off. Overnigbt philly was like a 135 dog. That has ballooned to about 157. Phillys bats have been ice cold, but they did face MUCH more talented pitching in houston than they will see here today. If im goimg to play the phils, ill want, be greedy, and see if i can get more.
You couldnt pay me to take sfg as a road favorite. You couldnt pay me to take cws as a dog with civale on the hill. Think the giants bats can keep getting some in play here. Giants tt ov and game over look interesting.
The sea/texas tilt sees a hot team with a great starter on the mound versus a good team on paper with a great starter returning to the mound from an IR stint. Figure evoldi wont get to finish 5 innings. First 5 under maybe. Sea would be a the side of choice
CUbs/ houston under or nothing.
WOuld like to back col on the road at this price, but freeland has such bad splits versus righties and the milw bats have been rolling lately. Not in love with quintana,s splits here either. Feels like an under play for some reason.
Like kc here today in this spot going against may. Mostly due to mays road splita and his challenges against lefty batrers. While kc is normally a limited run production team, they dis just come off a series where tb had super dominant pitching. Dodgers off 3 scrimmages vs col at coors. Maybe their tming is off a little. Id like to see a little more price.camero, outside of a horrible outing a few games ago against the yanks, has looked fairly sharp. His weakness appeara to be walkimg righties more than lefties, and rigbty batters fare a bit better against him at home. Where these weaknesses could hurt things is if he geta guys on base via walks and dodgers get up a few. Kc will be a play for me, just waiting on a better price. I like it where it is, just figure it gets steamed up a bit. At 140 ill lock it in.
Really like playing both nata and marlins...but the pitxhing matchups are horrible, imo. Soriano has looked sharp lately and kelly has as well. Wash had opportunities against the padres and couldnt convert while miami had hreat pitching, mostly, but red hot bats. An ariz tt over looks enticing. And iff the laa price keeps coming down, i migjt have some interest.
Sorry for the novel, those are my thoughts. Sorry for all the misspellings too. Big thumbs little keyboard
slim5150
Freelance Gynecologist
Severino on the bump is always a challenge to unders. He pitched a steamimg pile against the yanks earlier in the year at Oak giving up 8 runs on 9 hits and 2 walks and no home runs. Not only was the park assuredly a factor, the bombers were on fire offensivly at that time.
Id expect better form today as big lou's home road splits are considerably different.(6.79 home era, 2.27 road era, .300 home oba, .211 rd oba) . Batter vs pitcher splits are not helpful since most all come from that lone game earlier this year.
Stromans limited work this year would give the expectation of runs. Hes coming off an IL stint for knee pain and disnt have super positive rehab starts. Of the teams he faced prior in the year (sf,pit,milw) 2 have been very low run production teams(sf and pitt) with the opposimg team almost reaching double digit runs in each.
Oaklands bullpen has definetly given up some games for the starters, and who knows what will happen with the yanks relivers when marcus gets run early.
Lookimg at the first 5 inning lines, oak is still a large dog with the yanks almost a 200 fav. Oaklands game tt over 4.5 is +115. I just dont understand that pricing and is probably where i will find myself investing today.
I think we would have gotten a little better numbers had the A's not blanked them yesterday.
Id expect better form today as big lou's home road splits are considerably different.(6.79 home era, 2.27 road era, .300 home oba, .211 rd oba) . Batter vs pitcher splits are not helpful since most all come from that lone game earlier this year.
Stromans limited work this year would give the expectation of runs. Hes coming off an IL stint for knee pain and disnt have super positive rehab starts. Of the teams he faced prior in the year (sf,pit,milw) 2 have been very low run production teams(sf and pitt) with the opposimg team almost reaching double digit runs in each.
Oaklands bullpen has definetly given up some games for the starters, and who knows what will happen with the yanks relivers when marcus gets run early.
Lookimg at the first 5 inning lines, oak is still a large dog with the yanks almost a 200 fav. Oaklands game tt over 4.5 is +115. I just dont understand that pricing and is probably where i will find myself investing today.
I think we would have gotten a little better numbers had the A's not blanked them yesterday.