Last week saw a bevy of outrights... What is in store for Week 11 ML Dogs!?

B.A.R.

CTG Partner
Staff member
Helluva week for the ML underdogs last week!

Using our contest selections, we saw 16 dogs cash!

One of my favorite teams this year, Fresno State, ended up as the best cash overall.

SMU was the most popular underdog, winning its biggest home game in that situation since 1974!

West Virginia broke out of their doldrums as well with a big win!!

What do we see for this week?

Can Kentucky do it again? Florida is off a tough rivalry game.

SMU off that huge win in another sleepy spot in Chestnut Hill. We saw how they reacted the week before Miami.

Stanford already with a big cash a few weeks ago. The Heels off a win laying over a TD is interesting.

Georgia is heading to Messy State for an early game.

Missouri is catching a tuddy at home to top 3 TAMU. This feels like one of "those" games to me.

BYU is catching 10 points down in Lubbock. Is this a 'false' line, sort of like Utah hosting Cincy? Morton looked back in form after a slow start vs Purple State.

Oregon is heading to Iowa City as a 6-point favorite. This should be a defensive battle, and that means anything can happen.

Talk to me !!
 
already wrote a bunch bout Mizzou in few places. Love them w the points, Aggies Tt under, and think they have a great shot to pull the upset. 3rd straight on road for AM, this only be the 2nd real good defense they have faced and they only managed 16 at home vs Aub who’s offense never helps out the d like Missouri does by shortening the game. Really don’t care who plays qb for mizzou it is fucking insane they getting 6 more points than lsu last week, maybe some that was lsu at night mystic but there no freaking world where lsu is 6 points better than Mizzou this year on any field at any time.
 
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Someone has a way better write up on ucon than I could give but agree them with the points for sure and there def a chance last team with ball wins this game so nothing wrong w sprinkling the ml, Duke d is so beatable.
 
UTSA is one of those teams I never seem to get a handle on. They had the big win over Tulane last week. Might be worth a look tonight?
 
UTSA is one of those teams I never seem to get a handle on. They had the big win over Tulane last week. Might be worth a look tonight?

I think they get ran out the stadium for real but I’m god awful when I like favs so you might be right 🤣
 
Bog letdown spot for SMU but it's really hard to back BC

not laying it but yea, Agree not a great spot for smu but not sure it so bad to ignore all the ugly in this matchup for bc? Pretty much everything Smu does well bc is awful at, turnovers, protecting the qb, red zone efficiency, and that just the bc offensive side, I have little doubt Smu can pretty much do whatever they want offensively. Even if it takes them a qrtr or half to wake up I can’t see bc even covering considering how damn near every team with any pulse has beaten them by dd. Probably not a game I mess with but if I’m paying attention and smu gets down early I’d probably look to play them live. If I was so inclined to look at bc cause the spot I think I’d prob look more 1st qrtr or 1st half, just can’t see them hanging for 60 minutes. At least with wake the week before Miami we could look at their d and see a path for smu to struggle, it way tougher here. If I did trust bc to put up a fight I think that would push me to Jennings passing props but just not sure I even see that.
 
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I think if you like Auburn, Miss St or UConn......the 1st H might be the way to go.....if they arent in the game at half, I seriously doubt it gets better.

Not as sure bout ucon but agree on the other 2. That Duke/ucon game gonna be rough on the defenses, It wouldn’t shock me at all if either team went up a few scores and the other ran them down. Especially Duke with a lead cause they can be a little turnover prone at times and the weather appears like it gonna be ripe to see turnovers.

Honestly I don’t think aub wins, cover maybe but I prefer the Vandy tt under 26.5. I trust the aub d, they havnt allowed anyone to hit 27 and let’s face the truth bout Vandy, against sec defenses their offense is kinda limited. Pavia a gamer but it ain’t incredibly hard to stop what they run. Take away the counter qb runs and the middle the field passing and they pretty much don’t have other ways to beat ya, don’t think pavia all that good throwing outside the hashes and they don’t really have the talent on the outside.

I’ve pretty much gotten to point last few weeks fading Uga 1st half then looking to bet them live at some point is kinda automatic for me. No clue why they come out flat or that Kirby so good making adjustments but not so much having them ready to start games but at this point think it pretty safe to say it not a coincidence. Think the 1st half in this spot could be tough for a lot of teams and Uga has made struggling early a habit.
 
I am really having a hard time talking myself off of BC. SMU fresh off Miami with Cards on deck.

It's either then or The Herd.

These teams have some familiarity from a bowl game a couple of years ago, too. SMU seemed to struggle as big favs in Boston I think it was?
 
I am really having a hard time talking myself off of BC. SMU fresh off Miami with Cards on deck.

It's either then or The Herd.

Don't think it was mentioned...?

Early morning start - RED BANDANA GAME. BC is healthier now (was super banged up). Ponies only play well this year in big games / struggle with weak opponents - can't run at all.

edit: RBG is a tad overrated (as far as BC performance).....early they had a few huge upsets, not much since ....but they do tend to play slightly better. Forgot the ats number, believe its slightly above 50%
 
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Don't think it was mentioned...?

Early morning start - RED BANDANA GAME. BC is healthier now (was super banged up). Ponies only play well this year in big games / struggle with weak opponents - can't run at all.

edit: RBG is a tad overrated (as far as BC performance).....early they had a few huge upsets, not much since ....but they do tend to play slightly better. Forgot the ats number, believe its slightly above 50%

I think the rbg is kinda baked into line also, or it just the spot for smu? really tough for me to see them laying -10 when clemson was -13.5 at bc, ville was just -25 that was at ville but that still implies a big ass number at bc. We know Clemson not better than smu and I have my doubts ville is much better. The spot is no doubt awful for smu and I agree they tend to play to the comp level but ville next week means nothing if they fuck around and lose here. I actually hope smu looks flat early and bc gets a lead cause think I’d be happy taking smu live anything under a td. I just have no interst trusting my money to bc given their track record and smu d is actually pretty strong exposing the things bc struggles most with on offense.
 
Whelp....season is winding down and time is running out for me to hit one of these. Who knows, will today be the day? 😎

Played these three....at +2000 odds I had to throw the Middies in there somewhere:

Play #1 - 3, 4, & 5-teamer RR with:
Mizzou +200
Delaware +180
BYU +370
Arky State +190
Tulsa +142
Risked $20 ($1 per Parlay + $5 on 5-teamer) to Win $2,128.53

Play #2 - 2, 3, 4, 5, & 6-teamer RR with:
Mizzou +200
Delaware +180
BYU +370
Arky State +190
Tulsa +142
Navy +2000
Risked $14.25 ($0.25 per Parlay) to Win $6,332.11

Play #3 - 2, 3, 4, 5, & 6-teamer RR with:
Mizzou +200
Delaware +180
BYU +370
Arky State +190
Tulsa +142
Navy 1st half +980
Risked $14.25 ($0.25 per Parlay) to Win $3,387.88

BOLTA!!

🍀🍀🍀🍀
 
Whelp....season is winding down and time is running out for me to hit one of these. Who knows, will today be the day? 😎

Played these three....at +2000 odds I had to throw the Middies in there somewhere:

Play #1 - 3, 4, & 5-teamer RR with:
Mizzou +200
Delaware +180
BYU +370
Arky State +190
Tulsa +142
Risked $20 ($1 per Parlay + $5 on 5-teamer) to Win $2,128.53

Play #2 - 2, 3, 4, 5, & 6-teamer RR with:
Mizzou +200
Delaware +180
BYU +370
Arky State +190
Tulsa +142
Navy +2000
Risked $14.25 ($0.25 per Parlay) to Win $6,332.11

Play #3 - 2, 3, 4, 5, & 6-teamer RR with:
Mizzou +200
Delaware +180
BYU +370
Arky State +190
Tulsa +142
Navy 1st half +980
Risked $14.25 ($0.25 per Parlay) to Win $3,387.88

BOLTA!!

🍀🍀🍀🍀

I did a 4 team RR with Mizzou, arky st, Delaware, messy st 1st half. Might do another with Iowa but I’m pretty invested in them with the points already. Gl buddy
 
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