Hey everyone,
I wanted to start up a thread early this week as I believe I will be pretty active this weekend and have plenty of thoughts to come all week!
Of course, we'll be quite active in the BIG thread and will start adding more Nebraska vs Michigan content sooner rather than later...
As I have stated late Saturday night and since then, I have USC -14 that I played at 1 am eastern while the action was wrapping up for the evening. That number was available at BOL, and I also saw the same at Drag Queens right around that time. I will go into detail as we get closer to the game if/what numbers I like USC at. I recommend hanging tight for now while the injury situation works itself out. I certainly am not a fan of hanging 17 plus the hook -- for now.
For tonight, I just want to start off with what games I am looking at and maybe some angles. Please chime in with thoughts and anything that can sway me to dive in or stay outta the pool. I'll be going in order of the rotation... when plays are official, they'll be posted here...
I have talked to very respected cappers so far this week who have totally different opinions on the SMU-TCU game. As I love betting these teams, I am looking deeper tonight. The Mustangs have an issue valuing the ball. I am still a bit ticked at last week, as those losses turned my Saturday into pedestrian. Hefty total here. More than likely, this will be a live market stalk when all is said and done.
I believe @M.W. made a statement about Clemson in this spot traditionally? I'll await that comment. I believe that was in the in-game thread.
Quite the bummer that this fantastic match-up between Texas Tech and Utah is kicking at 10 am local time! The ole Big Noon slot strikes again! This is a low-key one of the games of the afternoon (well, morning). With this early start, I'll be forced to wait and bet live/halftime. I think how I'll strike this game is via live TT's. I'm a fan of both teams this year.
UAB is awful, although they played a helluva half at Navy. Tennessee is in a big-time hangover spot. There is no way they are not devastated. I certainly am not taking a full game UAB or Vols TT under bet, but that has to be the initial thought. I think a 1Q under, or live, might be in play. Slow start. Sluggish.
Another low-key excellent game is Auburn at Oklahoma. The Sooners are a playoff-type team, assuming Mateer stays healthy. I don't have a lean here, but this is a game I will be watching as much of as I can to learn for later down the line.
Michigan at Nebraska is obviously my game I'll have on for 60 full minutes. We'll get into this one a bit more in the conference thread, but I won't have pregame bets. I do have some leans on the live market, though. I'll dig into props for this game as well.
I hope Notre Dame comes out hungover and starts slow. Much like we did with Oregon last week -- looking for value on an in-game team total here.
Kansas is a stalk in a few different ways. WVU with the big win last week. The Jayhawks were off last week, coming off that barnburner vs Mizzou. I think they will be crisp and ready to go. Kansas will be in my weekly 3/4 team ML parlay and maybe lay the 13.5.
The battle between Miami and Florida will be heavily talked about, but frankly, I have no lean here. This feels like a game the Gators really get up for with a chance to salvage the month of September. Backs are against the wall here, and a wounded tiger is nothing I like to fade. The Canes look really solid though!
Illinois and Indy is a game that will be closely watched by me. I value defense at all times, and I hope the Illini can showcase theirs here. Tough to cap Indiana when they have yet to play anyone. We'll have a good feel for them after this one. Total may be high? First half under?
ASU at Baylor is another good one! The Bears have recovered from the Auburn game and should be feeling good about themselves. I am not sold on that defense whatsoever! Arizona State's team total is likely a play.
Vanderbilt has their next two games vs Ga State and Utah State. After that...
-Bama
-LSU
-Missouri
-Texas
-Auburn
That is 5 straight likely ranked teams.
They close at Tennessee (after a game vs UK).
So, they may be ranked now, but that will soon be an afterthought. Likely a 5-0 team before that gauntlet begins. Just thinking ahead here and also thinking how they approach these next two games,
We do not have a lot of late games this week -- I think 6 games that kick off from 9 pm and onward. The nice thing is, they are spread out pretty well. Two of those games will be on my radar..
Michigan State heads out to USC for the 11 pm Eastern kick. Woah. I've been waiting to play USC Team Totals for 10 plus days now... The MSU pass defense is awful. Meanwhile, the offense is putting up passing yards, which should help to keep the pace up. We need to get the info in on Marsh before we go all out on this match. The total is low, and that is likely due to injuries. I'll have a USC team total or two, for sure. I have that previous -14 as well. I'll be live betting almost for sure. I love this game.
Out on the island, one of my favorite teams so far this year, Fresno State, invades... BIG STALK and maybe a pregame ML here...
Okay, that is my initial thoughts on this week. Feedback is encouraged, and plays will be added as they come together!
More to come!!
(Thread title is an 'ode' to the old days of CTG).
I wanted to start up a thread early this week as I believe I will be pretty active this weekend and have plenty of thoughts to come all week!
Of course, we'll be quite active in the BIG thread and will start adding more Nebraska vs Michigan content sooner rather than later...
As I have stated late Saturday night and since then, I have USC -14 that I played at 1 am eastern while the action was wrapping up for the evening. That number was available at BOL, and I also saw the same at Drag Queens right around that time. I will go into detail as we get closer to the game if/what numbers I like USC at. I recommend hanging tight for now while the injury situation works itself out. I certainly am not a fan of hanging 17 plus the hook -- for now.
For tonight, I just want to start off with what games I am looking at and maybe some angles. Please chime in with thoughts and anything that can sway me to dive in or stay outta the pool. I'll be going in order of the rotation... when plays are official, they'll be posted here...
I have talked to very respected cappers so far this week who have totally different opinions on the SMU-TCU game. As I love betting these teams, I am looking deeper tonight. The Mustangs have an issue valuing the ball. I am still a bit ticked at last week, as those losses turned my Saturday into pedestrian. Hefty total here. More than likely, this will be a live market stalk when all is said and done.
I believe @M.W. made a statement about Clemson in this spot traditionally? I'll await that comment. I believe that was in the in-game thread.
Quite the bummer that this fantastic match-up between Texas Tech and Utah is kicking at 10 am local time! The ole Big Noon slot strikes again! This is a low-key one of the games of the afternoon (well, morning). With this early start, I'll be forced to wait and bet live/halftime. I think how I'll strike this game is via live TT's. I'm a fan of both teams this year.
UAB is awful, although they played a helluva half at Navy. Tennessee is in a big-time hangover spot. There is no way they are not devastated. I certainly am not taking a full game UAB or Vols TT under bet, but that has to be the initial thought. I think a 1Q under, or live, might be in play. Slow start. Sluggish.
Another low-key excellent game is Auburn at Oklahoma. The Sooners are a playoff-type team, assuming Mateer stays healthy. I don't have a lean here, but this is a game I will be watching as much of as I can to learn for later down the line.
Michigan at Nebraska is obviously my game I'll have on for 60 full minutes. We'll get into this one a bit more in the conference thread, but I won't have pregame bets. I do have some leans on the live market, though. I'll dig into props for this game as well.
I hope Notre Dame comes out hungover and starts slow. Much like we did with Oregon last week -- looking for value on an in-game team total here.
Kansas is a stalk in a few different ways. WVU with the big win last week. The Jayhawks were off last week, coming off that barnburner vs Mizzou. I think they will be crisp and ready to go. Kansas will be in my weekly 3/4 team ML parlay and maybe lay the 13.5.
The battle between Miami and Florida will be heavily talked about, but frankly, I have no lean here. This feels like a game the Gators really get up for with a chance to salvage the month of September. Backs are against the wall here, and a wounded tiger is nothing I like to fade. The Canes look really solid though!
Illinois and Indy is a game that will be closely watched by me. I value defense at all times, and I hope the Illini can showcase theirs here. Tough to cap Indiana when they have yet to play anyone. We'll have a good feel for them after this one. Total may be high? First half under?
ASU at Baylor is another good one! The Bears have recovered from the Auburn game and should be feeling good about themselves. I am not sold on that defense whatsoever! Arizona State's team total is likely a play.
Vanderbilt has their next two games vs Ga State and Utah State. After that...
-Bama
-LSU
-Missouri
-Texas
-Auburn
That is 5 straight likely ranked teams.
They close at Tennessee (after a game vs UK).
So, they may be ranked now, but that will soon be an afterthought. Likely a 5-0 team before that gauntlet begins. Just thinking ahead here and also thinking how they approach these next two games,
We do not have a lot of late games this week -- I think 6 games that kick off from 9 pm and onward. The nice thing is, they are spread out pretty well. Two of those games will be on my radar..
Michigan State heads out to USC for the 11 pm Eastern kick. Woah. I've been waiting to play USC Team Totals for 10 plus days now... The MSU pass defense is awful. Meanwhile, the offense is putting up passing yards, which should help to keep the pace up. We need to get the info in on Marsh before we go all out on this match. The total is low, and that is likely due to injuries. I'll have a USC team total or two, for sure. I have that previous -14 as well. I'll be live betting almost for sure. I love this game.
Out on the island, one of my favorite teams so far this year, Fresno State, invades... BIG STALK and maybe a pregame ML here...
Okay, that is my initial thoughts on this week. Feedback is encouraged, and plays will be added as they come together!
More to come!!
(Thread title is an 'ode' to the old days of CTG).
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