L2KA ⚾️

Thu 03/27/25

1:10P
White Sox {Sean Burke} vs Angels {Yusei Kikuchi}
Rate Field - Chicago, Illinois
O7.5 -115
Predictive total 8.65 runs

1:15P
Cardinals {Sonny Gray} vs Twins {Pablo Lopez}
Busch Stadium - St. Louis, Missouri
Cardinals +108
Implied win probability 55% (ML -122)

●Overvalued - Kansas City -170 (Cleveland +155) Implied win probability Kansas City 51.2% (-105/+105)●
 
Sides - 1-0, +1.08 units
Totals - 1-0, +1.0 units
Overvalued - 1-0, +1.55 units


Good start to the season on opening day. Stay smart and disciplined.

The White Sox/Angels total was fortunate to have 6 runs scored in the 8th/9th innings to push it over by 1.5 runs.

The Royals game line was a stunner to me. The line was off by 65 cents on the dollar.

The Cardinals got the lead early in the first 3 innings and led the game from start to finish. The Cardinals should have been a low -120's favorite.
 
Fri 3/28/25, 6:40
Mariners {Luis Castillo} vs Athletics {Jeffrey Springs}
T-Mobile Park - Seattle, Washington
O7 -115
Mariners vs Athletics - Predictive total 8.17 runs
 
Sat 3/29/25

1:10
Reds {Nick Lodolo} vs Giants {Justin Verlander}
Great American Ball Park - Cincinnati, Ohio
Giants +112
Giants - Implied win probability 52.7% (ML -111)
 
Sun, 03/30
10:40
Overvalued - Rockies -108 {Ryan Feltner} @ Rays {Taj Bradley}
Implied win probability - Rockies 34.9% {ML +187}
Rays {Taj Bradley} -102
 
Sat 3/29/25

1:10
Reds {Nick Lodolo} vs Giants {Justin Verlander}
Great American Ball Park - Cincinnati, Ohio
Giants +112
Giants - Implied win probability 52.7% (ML -111)
Verlander Pitch count was too high.. Lodo was just too good.

Sun, 03/30
10:40
Overvalued - Rockies -108 {Ryan Feltner} @ Rays {Taj Bradley}
Implied win probability - Rockies 34.9% {ML +187}
Rays {Taj Bradley} -102
That line is wrong.??
Tampa w/Bradley is -200. It opened at 190. Have no idea where you found -102?

Sun, 03/30
11:15
Cardinals {Andre Pallante} vs Twins {Bailey Ober}
O7 -115
Predictive total 8.05 runs
Same issue with Runs. Its 8.0. Opened at 8. There was never any 7???

What site are you using? You might want to FACT CHECK your lines. Just sayin...
5 major sites are all consistent...
 
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