KSimp Week 5 CFB

ksimpsc

ksimpsc

Pretty much a regular
Week 4 Record:
19-9-4 ATS
12-15 Totals
0-5 ML
7-8 2H or live
9-3 Teaser
11-3 Parlay
+12.54

Overall Record:
97-87-10 ATS including totals
7-17 ML
19-19-3 2H or live
24-16 Teaser
19-10 Parlay


Locked plays:

UNC +10
App St -20.5
Iowa +8
UNLV +10 2u
WKU -7
Houston -7 & .5u -6.5
Navy -6.5
BC +7
Vandy +3.5
Mizzou -3.5
So Miss -14
GaSou -7
NMSU +14.5
Purdue +24
Pitt +5
Nebraska -7
Texas +17.5
Ball St. +9
Bama +2.5
Temple -23.5 -105
miami -6
OSU -20.5
Lou +4.5
iowa st -15.5
Florida St -19
Wazzu +19
army+24 -105
OM -7
UCM +3
ND -1 & +3
Boise -23.5
ECU -6
auburn -21
OM 1H -3.5
1H UCLA -7

.75u Ok Lite -5.5
.75u UTSA -2.5
.75u SDSU -6.5

.5u marshall -20.5
.5u Idaho +20.5
.5u Uconn +17.5
.5u Colorado St +6

Totals:
Houston/Tulsa O80.5
Wazzu/Cal O67.5
AFA/Navy U55.5
NMSU/NM O65
Memphis/USF O61
Toledo/Ball U56
Kansas/Iowa St O57.5
Alabama/UGA O51.5
ECU/SMU O65.5
WKU/Rice O69.5
Mia/Cin O66.5
UNC/GT O61
Pitt/VT O49
Texas/TCU O71.5
NIU/CMU U52

.5u Ohio/Akron U46
.5u purdue/msu U58
.5u vandy/midTen U53
.5u OSU/Indiana O62
.5u Gamecocks/Mizzou U43

ML:
.5u Pitt
.5u Lou
.5u ND
.5u vandy +110

Teaser:
3 team 10pt WV +17, Iowa +17, Pitt +15.5
.75u 2 team 6.5pt memphis -2.5, Temple -16.5
3 team 10pt Minn +10.5, Lou +14.5, WV +17
2 team 7pt Alabama +9.5, Bama/UGA O48
3 team 10pt Ball St +16.5, Alabama +12.5, So Miss -6.5
3 team 10pt iowa st -6.5, sou miss -6.5, FSU -10
3 team 10pt rice +17, Cocks +12, Maryland +26
3 team 10pt Texas +24, Bama +12.5, Bama/UGA U65
2 team 7 pt Az St +20, ND +10

Parlay:
Temple -20.5, Houston -6.5, FSU -19 navy -2.5, Wazzu +21.5 to win 14.59u
 iowa st -16.5, iowa +7.5, Pitt +7, ECU/SMU O66, So Miss -16.5 1 for 15.5u
Gamecocks +3.5, ND -1
Houston, BG
Houston, Ok St
BG, Ok St
BG, Ok St, Houston
sdsu, OM, GaSou
OM, GaSou
sdsu, OM
sdsu, GaSou
OM, Vandy
A&M, stanford, ucla
.5u boise -26.5, oregon -7, SDSU -7, Stanford ML to win 3.91u

2H or live:
2H Minn/NW U19 .5u
2H Pitt/VT O21 .5u
2H Akron pk .5u
2H Wyoming .5u
2H Rice +2.5 .5u
2H Idniana +11.5 .5u
6u Live Wake +17.5
.5u 2H Ga Sou -2

Futures:
Clemson U 9 (3-0)
Houston O 8 (3-0)
Georgia U 9 (4-0)
Ok St O 7.5 (4-0)
BYU O 8 (2-2)
Pitt O 6 (2-1)
Virginia U 4 (1-3)
Indiana O5.5 (4-0)
Boise O 10 (3-0)
Iowa U 7.5 (4-0)
Florida O7 (4-0)
Vandy U3.5 (1-3)
 
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UNC +10
App St -20.5
Iowa +8
UNLV +10
WKU -7
Houston -7
Navy -6.5
BC +7
Vandy +3.5
Mizzou -3.5
So Miss -14
GaSou -7
NMSU +14.5
UNLV +10
 
was out with the lady and missed the opener fuck me. App St moved 3 points before I even got to the comp lol. Going back to Iowa UNC Appst Houston GaSou and Navy and a little more punishment from BC. Will be looking at the rest of the games to see what I think
 
Gamecocks looked like trash against UCF in the first half and somehow covered the under and the -14. UCF is that bad and we played that bad in the first half. O'Leary didn't even look happy cause he knew it was a fluke. Mizzou struggled against Kentucky but I am blown away this line is not higher. Their offense may suck like ours does but I will put the money that their defense is better than ours.

Can I just rant for this for a second? Spurrier acting like that was a damn practice. Puts in Orth cold after Nunez has been moving the ball fresh off the safety. He goes three and out at midfield and they get the jenk punt recovery score and then score again right after. Let Nunez fucking play more than 3 sieries if you gonna start him.

Honestly really liked what I saw out of Nunez. Him on the road in a big game will be a different story. I just don't see how we come out of there with a win. Might be another bet the UNDER the second it pops type game.
 
really eye balling Colorado but going to see if the pub buys back Oregon even after that mess last week lol
 
Probably going to be on Pitt after how VT looked last week, hopefully that number keeps going 5 is a bit stale
 
Purdue +24, is this real life? Will MSU give me the chance to take some money 3 weeks in a row?
 
Ohio played great against Minn, obviously Minn sucks but they are a consideration under a fg. They coming off an emotional loss, Akron coming off a big win. Will check into it
 
Nebraska -7
.5u Idaho +20.5, go back for some more Idaho dog pain. Lost the time I played them on Trojans.
 
if anyone could fuck themselves out of a cover its Texas but hopefully they can't screw up 17.5 against a shattered defense.

Texas +17.5
 
ksimpsc said:
if anyone could fuck themselves out of a cover its Texas but hopefully they can't screw up 17.5 against a shattered defense.

Texas +17.5
Click to expand...
this, and we get value off of last 2 home l's and both could've been dubs...crush this week :cheers3:
 
Update on my season win totals:

Futures:
Clemson U 9 (3-0) The grind begins
Houston O 8 (3-0) This will hopefully be an easy cash the way they are playing
Georgia U 9 (4-0) This is looking bad now haha
Ok St O 7.5 (4-0) On track, big win this weekend
BYU O 8 (2-2) got a couple big games on the schedule still will be close
Pitt O 6 (2-1) Iowa game would have helped but still very doable
Virginia U 4 (1-3) On track, may not win in October
Indiana O5.5 (4-0) oh yea wake
Boise O 10 (3-0)
Iowa U 7.5 (4-0) their schedule is beginning now as well but they have been playing good
Florida O7 (4-0) nice jenk
Vandy U3.5 (1-3) they actually may be Gamecocks
 
.5u Uconn +17.5 this could be too little too late but Uconn did surprisingly well on Navy. Didn't expect to sweat a cover at all.
 
may have to put my money where my mouth is and take Bama as a dog. UGA match up for Bama is not favorable. They won't dunk and dive all over Bama like they did the Gamecocks and the rest of the cake they played so far
 
.75u Ok Lite -5.5

could just be acting stubborn here but Ok lite should roll K st from what I have seen. On the list with NCst of one of the weakest OOC schedules in the country
 
.5u Colorado St +6

I felt like this weekend was a poor showing from Colo St against UTSA, and one of UTSAs better performances. Typically a team I like to bet in Utah St. I usually lose betting against them but I will take a dive
 
ksimpsc said:
.5u Colorado St +6

I felt like this weekend was a poor showing from Colo St against UTSA, and one of UTSAs better performances. Typically a team I like to bet in Utah St. I usually lose betting against them but I will take a dive
Click to expand...


Based on Past lines with CSU, this just seems like value to me. If you look at the Colorado line and the Minnesota line with CSU and then compare how the game was played to that line ... then think of what utah state would be at home to either of those clubs ...
 
clowncar said:
Based on Past lines with CSU, this just seems like value to me. If you look at the Colorado line and the Minnesota line with CSU and then compare how the game was played to that line ... then think of what utah state would be at home to either of those clubs ...
Click to expand...
Yea that's a good way to look at it. Also Utah st isn't going to move the ball as well as utsa did last week on colo st
 
ksimpsc said:
the line moves on this UTSA game are wild. Watched the whole UTSA game against Colo St. they were moving the ball well. Was just watching the line last night as it was bouncing some.

check the spread graph for the bets http://account.sportsinsights.com/spreadbasic.aspx?sport_id=11&v_nss=209&v_date=10/3/2015&gtype=4

UTSA was my side but I thought the line was going back my way and got slammed back to -2.5

.75u UTSA -2.5
Click to expand...
wow, fucker went to -3 literally right after I hit it.
 
And yes, the early action on UTEP was the biggest head scratcher for me last night as the only early position I took that moved significantly against me at first. You got punked, books! lol
 
yea man shit happens I guess. Probably still be on ND just as a Clemson fade. Not going to make that same mistake in the Alabama game.

Bama +2.5, this is a match up nightmare for UGA
 
damn I didn't even pay attention to that line enough. ATM already -7.5 on Miss st. Prob would have taken under the 7
 
worked out well for me last week. Line movement against a strong feel of a play and I add .5u on the other side of it. Have Houston -7 line went to -8 and now down to -6.5.

May be RAS again. The GaSou play was RAS last week and I not only hit my .5u but even the opening number I got.

.5u Houston -6.5
 
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ill buy my lean. Ohio played very well against Minn last week. Ohio has won their meetings in the last 5 years. I will take under the -3 for a team that is 4-0 ATS

Ohio -2.5
 
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Temple -23.5 -105 LETS F'ing GO, coming off beating umass in a close one and second consecutive road game for them so probably not a great spot to be laying sizable road chalk but this should be a practice for these guys. I don't see the Temple O getting slowed down by Charlotte after the first 3 games Temple has had. Perpetual Cahrlotte fade leh doez
 
the totals don't have as many that jump out to me today which is probably a good thing because I missed a lot of the early ones last week. I will have to do some digging on a lot of these. locked a few

Houston/Tulsa O80.5
Wazzu/Cal O67.5
AFA/Navy U55.5
.5u vandy/midTen U53
.5u OSU/Indiana O62
.5u Gamecocks/Mizzou U43 (prob should have waited for the public to buy this up)
 
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