KSimp Week 3 plays

ksimpsc

ksimpsc

Pretty much a regular
Record for Week 2:
26-32-1 Total
19-26-1 Straight
2-3 on 2H or live
5-3 Teaser
2-1 Parlay

Record Total:
53-48-4 Total
39-36-4 Straight
6-8 on 2H or live
6-3 Teaser
2-1 Parlay

Little bit of a down week but I had a few teams figured wrong that cost me. On to the next.

Locked plays Week 3:
Wake -3 PUSH
NC St -16.5
K St. -10
SC +17
Navy -3
BYU +17
NC -7
Troy +35
Rice -7
USC -10
WKU +3 (.5 buy) PUSH
So Miss +3
Florida -3
air force +24.5
Louisville +6
.5u colo st +4
.5u smu +38
.5u UTEP -2
.5u Iowa -5.5
.5u Cal -6.5
.5u EMU +5
.5u Tulsa +32
.5u Auburn +7.5
.5u USF +7
.5u ark -10
.5u Oregon -42
.5u MTst -17

Totals:
Temple/Umass O53.5
Ball St/EMU O61.5
NCst./ODU U62
Colo/Colo St. U59.5
Utah St./Wash U46
UTSA/OKst U55.5
WKU/Indiana O67.5
Clemson/Lou U54
Kent/Minn U48.5
NW/Duke U49
Rice/NT U56
VT/Purdue U48
Neb/Mia O57.5
TT/Ark O65
SF/Mary U52.5
SJSU/OregSt U51
SoAla/SDSU U48
Miss/Ala O49
Wazzu/Wyoming O64
TT/Ark O70.5
GT/ND O55.5
1H UNLV/Mich U27
BG/Mem U78 .5u
Cal/Texas O58 .5u

ML:
.5u Lou +210
.5u Purdue +210
.5u Nebraska +135
.5u WKU +110
.5u Ball st -180
.5u NW +146
.5u Auburn +217
.5u Colo St. +130
.5u USF +210

teaser:
2 team BC/FSU U55.5, Trojans -4
2 team Clemson pk, NM/AZst O59.5
2 team 6.5 pt Lou +12, Rice -2.5
2 team 6.5 pt BC +14, SC/GA U59
2 team 7pt Alabama Pk, Purdue +13
2 team 6.5pt lou +11.5, rice -2.5
2 team 7pt Trojans-3, NM/AZst U70.5
2 team 7 pt Lou +12, Clemson/Lou O46.5
2 team 7pt 2u So Miss +9.5, O60
2 team 7pt Cocks +23, Un 60
3 team 10pt Clemson +4.5, bama +3.5, ucla -6.5
3 team 10 pt Lou +16, Rice +1, Nebraska +13
3 team 10pt BC +19, Zona St -15.5, Boise -16.5
3 team10pt NM/AZst O54, Mem +7, Mem/BG U88.5
3 team 10pt Stanford +19.5, AFA +34.5, BYU +26.5
3 team 10pt Memphis +8, Mem/BG U88, Stanford +19.5
3 team 10pt Temple -2.5, Ball St +6, Minn -14
3 team 10pt Temple -2.5, Oklite -15.5, Indiana +7.5
3 team 10 pt So miss +12.5 O57, BG+13.5

parlay:
.5u syracuse -7. VT -6, Wash -6, iowa -5.5 BYU +16
.5u syracuse -6.5, rice -7, USC +17, Mem/BG U80, AFA +25.5
.5u Syracuse -6.5, Rice -6.5, SCar +17, GT/ND O55.5
.5u Syracuse ML, Rice ML, Navy ML, Trojans ML
.5u Cuse ML, Rice ML, Navy ML, LSU ML
.5u Wake ML, UNC ML
.5u Rice ML, UNC ML
.5u Wake ML, UNC ML, Rice ML
.5u rice ML, navy ML, wash ML
.5u Temple ML, Kst ML, Wash ML, Trojans ML
.5u Kst ML, Navy ML, Wash ML
.5u Temple ML, Rice ML, Kst ML, Bama ML

2H or Live:
2H Minn -11
.5u 2H FAU -1
.5u Ill.NC O29.5
2H Wake/Army U21.5 for 2u
2H Ball St. -4 2u
.5u 2H NIU +15.5
.5u 2H UTSA +10.5
2H Navy -1.5
2H TT +4
2H wazzu/was O34
 
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Heading out the door to a few appointments. Will come back to post record and some lines that I hit early.
 
Quick thoughts on the SC game since I was there to witness the beating:

Missed FG early in the game from Fry put us in a bad spot late in the game going for that 2 pt conversion that was screwed up from what I thought was a poor play call. Then they run it back on us and put us in an even worse spot. To me the game mirrored last year about how i thought it would. They had a lot of misdirection and ran the ball down our throats. Either motion to the outside and run up the gut or just running straight at our DBs. I will say our defense looks a lot stronger and in the second half had a good run of holds when it was needed. Mitch did not look that good anyways and honestly I think the Connor Mitch Era at SC will not be a long one. Was hoping they would just play Nunez at QB the rest of the game. Perry Orth gets the spot. Best part of the game was when I got the people in the stands around me to join me in a "Perry" chant. Fuggin Perry. Was looking pretty good and dialed in until he throws across his body on the move for a bad pick channeling Blake Mitchell in pure SC form to have a bad turnover when needed.

+17 against GA may have some value as Spurrier has covered at least 7 times out of 10 against GA and that is a lot of points. SC was a +19 dog last year against Auburn and I bet my roll on it knowing that would cash and they nearly won the game. Though GA is the much better team, we are having trouble scoring, and having trouble stopping the run so they may just bring out the stable and cram it down our throats so I'll take +17 for a small play for now and see where the line goes.
 
fwiw biggest loss at Georgia in last 5 goes was 11 points. The second half team can easily cover 17. The first half team would get 50 put up on them by Ga.
 
Lines I grabbed early yesterday

Wake -3
NC St -16.5
K St. -10
SC +17
Navy -3
BYU +17
NC -7
Troy +35
Rice -7
 
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adding USC -10, missed the number on -8 and have been against them two weeks in a row misjudging them so learned my lesson and coming back for some money. Even at 10 I still feel that line should be a little higher from what I have seen out of Stanford so far
 
adding WKU +3 (.5 buy) at Indiana. Feel like Wku should be favored even at home. Going to watch the line and see what it goes to.
 
adding So Miss +3 at Tx St. Liked what I saw out of them against Miss St. Ill take the points.
 
Temple/Umass O53.5
Ball St/EMU O61.5
NCst./ODU U62
Colo/Colo St. U59.5
Utah St./Wash U46
UTSA/OKst U55.5
WKU/Indiana O67.5
 
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Gotta like your cocks right? No way Richt beats Spurrier by 3 scores

Think I'm gonna sprinkle some on the ML
 
that was classic 2003-2006 Gamecock football, the kind I watched from the stands as a student.
 
oh shit ETG you were there a couple years ahead of me. Went to HS in Columbia as well.

Schrute, yea I do like the cocks with the points I think. What scares me is our run defense allowing over 6ypc against NC and over 5ypc against Kentucky. Again 1st half SC and 2nd half SC against Kentucky were two different teams. We do have a habit of pulling wins out of our asses against GA. Spurrier would have to coach his ass off and we hit a few deep balls for that to happen I think.
 
I wouldn't worry about your run defense. If history is any indication Richt will throw it 40 times
 
Haha solid point there. As long as there isn't a complete meltdown then we have a legit chance, but I have little faith in us winning the TO battle.
 
I don't know -- USC has beaten UGA four of the last five. I'd like Georgia better if USC were off a win, but UGA between Vandy and Southern should be well focused on some payback. I'd lay the big number.
 
M.W. said:
I don't know -- USC has beaten UGA four of the last five. I'd like Georgia better if USC were off a win, but UGA between Vandy and Southern should be well focused on some payback. I'd lay the big number.
Click to expand...
MW Yea when I say legit chance I mean we could be in the game but that would take us playing lights out, which I do not likely see. I considered buying myself off but its only a small bet so I will let it ride. I am afraid the floodgates open. If that happens they likely won't close. Early turnover and we are toast
 
Clemson/Lou U54
Kent/Minn U48.5
NW/Duke U49
Rice/NT U56
VT/Purdue U48
Neb/Mia O57.5
TT/Ark O65
SF/Mary U52.5
SJSU/OregSt U51
SoAla/SDSU U48

sjsu ogsu went down a point while i was locking but decided to roll it.
 
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Really hope you hit the first leg of that most recently posted teaser

Hope you win 'em all but really pulling for that one...ha
 
haha thanks and BOl to the team. I am going to take the points at whatever gets the highest but feel Clemson is going to win the game from what I have seen. They are looking pretty strong not looking forward to Thanksgiving from what I have seen thusfar lol
 
adding florida -3, Kentucky honestly did not look that good in person and nearly got shut out in the second half by a mediocre SC D. I'll take some action with Florida only laying 3
 
.5u Texas +7
Louisville +6 (f'ed around waiting for the 6.5 to go to 7 and missed it completely)
2 team 6.5 pt Lou +12, Rice -2.5
2 team 6.5 pt BC +14, SC/GA U59
2 team 7pt Alabama Pk, Purdue +13
 
GL Simp...hope Ville gets a TD to lose by 4 with about 6 seconds left to get the middle for me and the cover for you
 
haha wishful thinking I love it. I was a clown and sat on my hands when i saw the +6.5 -105 thinking it would jump and missed it so stuck with a +6. That line is still seeing action (down to -5.5 -105 at mine) Nicely done with your lines to have a middle spot. What is your actual thoughts on the game? A little surprised to see this much Lou love though this is a decent spot
 
was hedging that total last night with that teaser, silly since I knew it would be an under. Figured the top would pop off more than it did.

adding ML
.5u Purdue +210
.5u Nebraska +135
.5u WKU +110
 
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thought there may be some value on texas +7, but better QB with a team that is 5-0 ATS on the road.

Cal -6.5 for 1u to cover my .5u on Texas. Sitting .5u on Cal now.
 
thanks bar!

adding
a jenk master special courtesy of my man Bum
3 team 10pt BC +19, Zona St -15.5, Boise -16.5

3 team 10pt NM AZst O54, Mem +7, Mem/BG U88.5,
TT/Ark O70.5
GT/ND O55.5 (saw report of some decently high winds but still on it)

 
air force +24.5, air force is 6-0 as more than a 19pt dog last 25 yrs. with mich st in potentially a let down spot after beating oregon. I'll take a dive at it
 
thanks guys for the well wishes! looking through some things now for a few ML parlays and a few plays before kick. will post them soon
 
was thinking of taking NW with the points but the line movement has me a little sketched out. Movement in favor of Duke with the public on NW, may just lay off
 
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