KJ Round 1

KJ

KJ

Bump. Set. Shuma!
Certainly not a pro at this sport but I'm here to try

b365

4/19

Jannis o31.5 -120 3*
1h Pace -3.5 -110 4*
Live Cade o20.5 pts -135 3*

4/20

1h OKC -8 -110 3*

4/21

1h Clips ML -115 3* b365

4/22

OKC tt o122.5 -115 3*
Naz Reid o11.5 pts -130 2*
Naz Reid o11.5 pts/Luka o3.5 threes/game o204.5 parlay +406 (boost) .5* DK

4/23

Derrick White o21.5 pts/assists -115 4* b365
1h Cavs -6.5 -120 2.5* Fanatics

4/24

Cade o36.5 pts/assists -115 4* Fanatics
OKC/LAC ML parlay -131 3* Fanatics
Jalen Williams o4.5 assists -145 2* b365
OKC -9.5 -110 DK

4/25

Banchero o1.5 3s -145 4* b365
Bucks (-205)/Wolves (-155) ML parlay +144 2* DK
Naz o9.5 pts/Ant o4.5 reb parlay -120 4*
Naz Reid o14.5 pts +165
Ant o6.5 reb +135

4/26

Cavs/Clip ML parlay +109 3* DK
Herro o2.5 3s -155 3* b365
Herro o3.5 3s +160 1.5* b365
Grizz tt o102.5 -110 2.5* DK
Podziemski o2.5 3s +145 2* b365
Live end 1Q GSW tt o96.5 +100 4* Fanatics

4/27

Pistons/Celtics ML parlay +125 4* DK
Duren o2.5 assists +125 3* b365
Pacers +3.5 -105 3* Fanatics
Pacers ML +145 everywhere
Celtics/Pacers ML parlay +215 2* Fanatics
Siakam o31.5 PAR -110 3* DK

4/28

Steph o4.5 3s -105 4* Fanatics

5/1

Harden o3.5 turnover +100 3* Fanatics

5/2

GSW ML/Chef o5.5 assists parlay +130 3* b365

5/3

Kawhi o4.5 assists +124 3* DK
Murray o21.5 pts -120 4* Fanatics
Jokic o22.5 reb/assists -110 2* Fanatics

5/4

Steph o2.5 threes/FVV o2.5 threes parlay +125 2* b365
Butler o23.5 pts -125 3* Fanatics
Butler o24.5 pts +100 1.5* Fanatics
 
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Thx fellas

Going the 1h route to hopefully eliminate potential Murray going off late or the tried and true Jimmy late failures. Not really sure if this will warrant a chase, going to watch first and hopefully it won't matter.

4/21

1h Clips ML -115 3* b365
 
4/22

OKC tt o122.5 -115 3*
Naz Reid o11.5 pts -130 2*
Naz Reid o11.5 pts/Luka o3.5 threes/game o204.5 parlay +406 (boost) .5* DK
 
Well that was fun while it lasted. Love those quick 3 fouls on Naz. And he still scored 9 in the 4th, kick to the nuts on that one if I still had them left after the 3rd Q in OKC.

Tonight I'd been eyeing Pritchard in some way but looks like a couple have nailed it down already so won't post that as a play because I'm still not sure how I'm playing it and I like White better anyway so similar props on two players on the same team might not make much sense.

4/23

Derrick White o21.5 pts/assists -115 4* b365
 
1h Cavs -6.5 -120 2.5* Fanatics

Likely be it for tonight unless something pops live. No clue what to think about the late game.
 
4/24

Cade o36.5 pts/assists -115 4* Fanatics
OKC/LAC ML parlay -131 3* Fanatics
Jalen Williams o4.5 assists -145 2* b365
OKC -9.5 -110 DK

Bit chalky tonight but for good reason. The reason for Williams is due to this Action Network blurb, and after pricing my available options, I've decided to roll with the assists.

For one, I'm going back to Jalen Williams over 9.5 rebounds + assists.

Williams has exceeded this in six of seven games against the Grizzlies. Over that run, he has fallen below five assists just once (finishing with exactly four), and has gotten five or more boards every single time.
 
Hadn't even read this bit from another one of their writers until just now but it makes sense

Jalen Williams Over 4.5 Assists (Thunder–Grizzlies Game 3)
“Potential assists: 10 in game one, 13 in game two. He’s technically leading the team in potential assists over SGA.”
• 🚀 Jalen Williams has cleared this in 5 of 6 matchups vs Memphis.
• “This is just an easy, low-maintenance wagon.”
 
KJ said:
Hadn't even read this bit from another one of their writers until just now but it makes sense

Jalen Williams Over 4.5 Assists (Thunder–Grizzlies Game 3)
“Potential assists: 10 in game one, 13 in game two. He’s technically leading the team in potential assists over SGA.”
• 🚀 Jalen Williams has cleared this in 5 of 6 matchups vs Memphis.
• “This is just an easy, low-maintenance wagon.”
Click to expand...
Very interesting! I might just tail that.
 
B.A.R. said:
Very interesting! I might just tail that.
Click to expand...
Another tidbit about your Duren but did not play him

Jalen Duren Over 2.5 Assists
“I’m going to go with Duren over two and a half assists again back to the well on that one because we’re down to minus 110.”
• Matt’s betting on home shooting variance helping assists convert. "Role players shoot better at home."
• “He had seven potential assists and only two actual assists in Game 2 — brutal.”
 
KJ said:
Another tidbit about your Duren but did not play him

Jalen Duren Over 2.5 Assists
“I’m going to go with Duren over two and a half assists again back to the well on that one because we’re down to minus 110.”
• Matt’s betting on home shooting variance helping assists convert. "Role players shoot better at home."
• “He had seven potential assists and only two actual assists in Game 2 — brutal.”
Click to expand...
Interesting here.
 
KJ said:
Another tidbit about your Duren but did not play him

Jalen Duren Over 2.5 Assists
“I’m going to go with Duren over two and a half assists again back to the well on that one because we’re down to minus 110.”
• Matt’s betting on home shooting variance helping assists convert. "Role players shoot better at home."
• “He had seven potential assists and only two actual assists in Game 2 — brutal.”
Click to expand...
He has 3 assists
 
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Bucks (-205)/Wolves (-155) ML parlay +144 2* DK

Lines for both better at DK than elsewhere that I looked

Have a couple more props I'm pricing out now but wanted to get the first two wagers in for this evening
 
All b365

Naz o9.5 pts/Ant o4.5 reb parlay -120 4*
Naz Reid o14.5 pts +165
Ant o6.5 reb +135
 
You're seeing it extremely well the past few days and frankly the whole week has been very solid!

Let's bang out a few more this weekend!
 
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Couple before crashing

4/26

Cavs/Clip ML parlay +109 3* DK
Herro o2.5 3s -155 3* b365
Herro o3.5 3s +160 1.5* b365
Grizz tt o102.5 -110 2.5* DK
Podziemski o2.5 3s +145 2* b365
 
KJ said:
Couple before crashing

4/26

Cavs/Clip ML parlay +109 3* DK
Herro o2.5 3s -155 3* b365
Herro o3.5 3s +160 1.5* b365
Grizz tt o102.5 -110 2.5* DK
Podziemski o2.5 3s +145 2* b365
Click to expand...
Most everything makes sense...

Definitely some new found value on the Memphis # but if they are down, can we expect a 48 min effort to get those points?

Vacations are booked ...

If you're liking full game over I totally understand
 
B.A.R. said:
Most everything makes sense...

Definitely some new found value on the Memphis # but if they are down, can we expect a 48 min effort to get those points?

Vacations are booked ...

If you're liking full game over I totally understand
Click to expand...
I think without Ja we see a full fledged pick up game and reason I go Memphis on that is thinking OKC can get the main guys some rest if they get up comfortably. Full game over would work, just like the Grizz team total better and it's probably needed to get the full game there anyway. Packing the bags usually means no defense to me but you still gots ta play 48 with capable basketball players.
 
B.A.R. said:
Makes sense
Click to expand...
Don't get me wrong, the concern is certainly there that it ends up in some ho hum 105-82 game and the play was just OKC all along, that crossed my mind as well. Just put more weight into some kind of Grizz team showing up without sleeping on any kind of pressure tonight, likely see some qualified role players getting their moment to put up some numbers in the postseason they never otherwise would be able to.
 
First time this postseason I've completely whiffed on expected chances (outside of Naz foul trouble) but only three shots from beyond the arc to this point for Herro, to know that would have been a hammer on the Cavs laying the points. Only chance the Heat could stay competitive is if he takes 8+, not 3. Moving on.
 
4/27

Pistons/Celtics ML parlay +125 4* DK
Duren o2.5 assists +125 3* b365

Crazy discrepancy on the assists prop....just the three places I priced, DK is -120, Fanatics is -105, b365 +125? Yes please. If he stays out of foul trouble and it's a big if....this cashes.
 
Pistons really messed this up but it happens. Really just wanted to include Boston ML into something and that seemed the way to go. Not trying to force things but I do think it's fair to say the Pacers are the better team in the series. 3.5 is a strong Bucks line, can't care about that right now.

Pacers +3.5 -105 3* Fanatics
Pacers ML +145 everywhere
Celtics/Pacers ML parlay +215 2* Fanatics
 
Trying hard to not force anything

Heat are really bad. Not playoff worthy. Don't care the trends, just gonna say if that's what you need....have you even watched them? They are incredibly awful and not sure how you can comfortably put money on them. Normally I love a team in this spot. Not that team.

Late game is another story.
 
Barring a complete blowout I'm expecting 12-14 attempts so making 5 is more than reasonable. I do think GSW hammer home the narrative in this series and this is the game to do it so no prisoners taken. Like virtually everything about them tonight but sticking with just the Steph prop for now.
 
Had to cram stuff in after the Derby

5/3

Kawhi o4.5 assists +124 3* DK
Murray o21.5 pts -120 4* Fanatics
Jokic o22.5 reb/assists -110 2* Fanatics
 
KJ said:
Had to cram stuff in after the Derby

5/3

Kawhi o4.5 assists +124 3* DK
Murray o21.5 pts -120 4* Fanatics
Jokic o22.5 reb/assists -110 2* Fanatics
Click to expand...
Like both Denver props and actually just played Bubble Murray myself
 
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Got overly involved in what I figured to be a good game 7 and completely got burned with the blowout. Was going to keep it simple and just do Jimmy points tonight but alas bet 365 threw out a boost I simply can't pass up.

5/4

Steph o2.5 threes/FVV o2.5 threes parlay +125 2* b365
Butler o23.5 pts -125 3* Fanatics
Butler o24.5 pts +100 1.5* Fanatics
 
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