KJ NFL Week 8

KJ

KJ

Minister of Communication
+2.55 Week 7
+22.09 ytd

10/23

Vikes/Charge o6.5 sacks -105 3* b365
Charge defense anytime TD +650 .5* FD
Vikes defense anytime TD +800 .5* FD

10/26

Kyle Pitts anytime TD +175
Texans -2.5 -120 2* DK
Mark Andrews anytime TD +300 FD
Hunter Henry anytime TD +180
Giants +7.5 -115 2.5* FD
Giants ML +315 .5* FD
Dalton Kincaid anytime TD +215 FD
Jets +5.5 -105 2.5*
Jets ML +220 .5*
live Cade Otton anytime TD +200 FD
Tyler Warren anytime TD +110 2*
Cowboys tt o23.5 -115 4*
Cowboys tt o24.5 +102 FD
Cowboys +3.5 -115 2* FD
Cowboys ML +154 FD
Steelers +3 -118 2* FD
Steelers ML +130

10/27

Chiefs tt o30.5 -108 1.5* DK
Brashard Smith anytime TD +350 2* FD
Mariota anytime TD +375 b365
 
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10/23

Vikes/Charge o6.5 sacks -105 3* b365
Charge defense anytime TD +650 .5* FD
Vikes defense anytime TD +800 .5* FD

On a night where virtually nothing else is appealing to bet, I'm looking at two of the worst offensive lines in football to deliver in a unique way.
 
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Also in case it needs to be pointed out, if you ever do one of these carnival type bets, every book I know does NOT include special teams with defensive TDs for wagering reasons like fantasy would. Unless your book is unique, it requires and interception or fumble recovery/return.
 
Two games I really like before I do the terrible morning slate. Both public dogs so buyer beware! First one is a fade of an insanely overrated defense in my book, second is a home dog that shouldn't be dogged (again, in my book). Great spots to attack these overrated defenses. Not doing Steez tt yet...

Cowboys tt o23.5 -115 4*
Cowboys tt o24.5 +102 FD
Cowboys +3.5 -115 2* FD
Cowboys ML +154 FD
Steelers +3 -118 2* FD
Steelers ML +130
 
Tight Ends Day, games I have no feel for I'm taking a TE TD for the favorite

Kyle Pitts anytime TD +175
Texans -2.5 -120 2* DK
Mark Andrews anytime TD +300 FD
Hunter Henry anytime TD +180
Giants +7.5 -115 2.5* FD
Giants ML +315 .5* FD
Dalton Kincaid anytime TD +215 FD
Jets +5.5 -105 2.5*
Jets ML +220 .5*
 
live Cade Otton anytime TD +200 FD
Tyler Warren anytime TD +110 2*
 
Rough riding with the public on the Boys and the Steez. You reap what you sow.

Very compelling arguments I've seen for both sides tonight which means don't play one. I get the feeling the real line should be about -11 which falls in line with where it's at. Wouldn't feel comfy on KC laying double digits in this spot but sure as hell wouldn't feel comfortable being on Washington by anything less than 14.

Bet % and $ % are both heavily on the KC/over sides but the line movement is simply due to the thought Daniels would play so have fun trying to read that.

Likely props alone for me tonight.
 
10/27

Chiefs tt o30.5 -108 1.5* DK
Brashard Smith anytime TD +350 2* FD
Mariota anytime TD +375 b365

Might parlay those TD props, +1700 at DK right now. Obvious dart throw but don't see why it couldn't happen.
 
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