KJ Conference Finals

KJ

KJ

Minister of Communication
+10.08 round 1
+5.80 conf semis

Futures

Wolves +2.5 games -165 3* DK
Pacers +1.5 games -160 1.5*
Wolves series +300 .5*
Pacers series +135 .5*

5/20

Jalen Williams o9.5 reb/assts -145 3* b365
Jalen Williams o10.5 reb/assts +105 Fanatics
Jalen Williams o24.5 pts/assts -115 2* b365
Ant o11.5 reb/assts -130 2* b365
Ant o12.5 reb/assts +105 DK
Wolves +7 -108 2* DK

5/21

Haliburton double double +130 3* b365
live HT Pacers +6.5 -110 DK
live HT Pacers ML +250 .5* b365

5/22

Jalen Williams o10.5 reb/assts -125 4* b365
Gobert o6.5 pts -115 3* DK
Conley o5.5 reb/assts -145 2* Fanatics

5/23

Obi Toppin o12.5 pts/rebs/assts -120 3* b365
Obi Toppin o14.5 pts/rebs/assts +115 DK
Brunson o6.5 made FTs -110 2* DK
Brunson o7.5 made FTs +150 DK
Brunson o8.5 made FTs +280 .5* DK

5/24

Jalen Williams o10.5 reb/assts -140 4* b365
Jalen Williams o11.5 reb/assts +100 2* DK
Gobert o5.5 pts -150 3* DK
Gobert o6.5 pts +105 2* DK
Conley o5.5 reb/assts -145 2* Fanatics
1Q Wolves ML -110 3* b365

5/25

1h Knicks ML -110 3* b365
Haliburton double double -105 3* b365
Robinson o8.5 rebs -150 2.5* Fanatics
Robinson o9.5 rebs +105 b365
Brunson o5.5 made FTs -160 4* DK
Brunson o6.5 made FTs +110 2* DK
Brunson o7.5 made FTs +210 1.5* DK
Brunson o8.5 made FTs +380 .5* DK

5/26

Wolves +3.5 -110 3* Fanatics
Randle o18.5 pts -110 2* b365
Randle o19.5 pts +125 b365
NAW o8.5 pts +100 2* DK
NAW o9.5 pts +135 b365
Jalen Williams o10.5 reb/assts -125 4* b365
SGA o6.5 assts/o29.5 pts parlay +180 2* b365
SGA o9.5 made FTs +125 2* DK
ANTMan o7.5 rebounds -140 4* Fanatics
ANTMan o8.5 rebounds +120 2* Fanatics
Conley o5.5 reb/assts -140 3* b365
Conley o6.5 reb/assts +114 DK
Conley o.5 steals -125 2* b365
Conley o1.5 steals +390 .5* DK

5/27

1h Pacers ML -140 4* b365
KAT o1.5 threes -140 3* Fanatics
KAT o2.5 threes +230 Fanatics
Haliburton double double +105 3*
Robinson u14.5 pts/rebs -115 2* b365
Brunson o 6.5 FTs made -125 4* b365
Brunson o7.5 FTs made +110 1.5* DK
Brunson o8.5 FTs made +190 DK
Brunson o9.5 FTs made +350 .5* DK
Brunson o10.5 FTs made +600 .25* DK
Live HT 3Q o54.5 -115 2* Fanatics

5/28

NAW o9.5 pts -125 4* b365
NAW o11.5 pts +135 Fanatics
NAW o14.5 pts +320 .5* b365
SGA o39.5 pts/assts -140 2.5* DK
SGA o40.5 pts/assts -115 2* b365
SGA o8.5 FTs made -125 3* b365
SGA o10.5 FTs attempt +100 b365
SGA o1.5 made 3s -125 DK
SGA o2.5 made 3s +245 .5* DK

5/29

1h Pacers +3 -110 4* DK
1h Pacers ML +140 b365
Tyrese o14.5 reb/assts -125 3* Fanatics
Tyrese o15.5 reb/assts +105 DK
Tyrese double double -120 3* b365 (big discrepancy in lines on this one)
Brunson o7.5 FTs made -160 5* b365 (even more massive discrepancy than the d/d)
Brunson o9.5 FTs made -120 DK
Brunson o10.5 FTs made +140 .5* DK
Brunson o11.5 FTs made +200 .25* DK
Brunson o29.5 pts -135 4* DK (another massive discrepancy)
Brunson o30.5 pts -105 2* DK (again, way different than others)
live HT Pacers +9.5 -110 10* Fanatics

5/31

Josh Hart o9.5 rebs +100 4* DK
Nesmith o.5 assts -140 2.5* b365
McConnell o6.5 pts/Pacers ML parlay +145 2*
 
Last edited:
Everything will be bet 365 unless noted

Futures

Wolves +2.5 games -165 3* DK
Pacers +1.5 games -160 1.5*
Wolves series +300 .5*
Pacers series +135 .5*
 
5/20

Jalen Williams o9.5 reb/assts -145 3* b365
Jalen Williams o10.5 reb/assts +105 Fanatics
Ant o11.5 reb/assts -130 2* b365
Ant o12.5 reb/assts +105 DK
Wolves +7 -108 2* DK

This last one I was going to leave alone because I do like the R/A better but bet 365 is a full point lower than the others so worth a couple on it. Only just noticed it and already played the above so not going to start dissecting whether P/R/A would have been better all around, running low on time. Seems like a lot of bets for one game but essentially it's a bet on one side and two guys getting stats.

Jalen Williams o24.5 pts/assts -115 2* b365
 
5/21

Haliburton double double +130 3* b365

It's +105 at DK and +110 at Fanatics, figure I won't find a better price without doing a bunch of work if at all
 
Would've been a helluva night with one more P/A from Jalen and one more R/A from Ant...lines are definitely tight
 
B.A.R. said:
What was Jalen PRA?

I'm guessing 30.5 or 31.5?
Click to expand...
Not sure, thus the last minute add. Assuming juiced heavily 30.5 but simply didn't have the time to look. I really didn't want to include pts but as I mentioned above I added it because it was a full point lower on the P/A at b365 than the others at same juice
 
live HT Pacers +6.5 -110 DK
live HT Pacers ML +250 .5* b365

Pace is ideal not just for the game but for the series for Indiana. Hesitated playing a side until seeing the 1h, thought it could get uglied up but nope. Right into Pacers style out the gate.
 
Back to the well with Jalen. Should have at least done this one last night and I was so caught up in not betting this game based on Edwards's injury I screwed up and forgot about what's been so good to me. Hell it's hit chase mode at this point if it doesn't hit on Jalen. The other two are not sexy but after reading up and an expectation of the Wolves to change up logic in this game for obvious reasons, they make a bunch of sense.

5/22

Jalen Williams o10.5 reb/assts -125 4* b365
Gobert o6.5 pts -115 3* DK
Conley o5.5 reb/assts -145 2* Fanatics
 
KJ said:
Back to the well with Jalen. Should have at least done this one last night and I was so caught up in not betting this game based on Edwards's injury I screwed up and forgot about what's been so good to me. Hell it's hit chase mode at this point if it doesn't hit on Jalen. The other two are not sexy but after reading up and an expectation of the Wolves to change up logic in this game for obvious reasons, they make a bunch of sense.

5/22

Jalen Williams o10.5 reb/assts -125 4* b365
Gobert o6.5 pts -115 3* DK
Conley o5.5 reb/assts -145 2* Fanatics
Click to expand...
Cannot disagree with any of these wagers
 
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KJ said:
Conley delivered

Chasing Goober, I don't think it was incorrect but nil at HT made it an uphill climb

Jalen has been a fun gamble on these
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Jalen is a blast man.

He reminds me of Brunson in Dallas a bit. Does that make sense?
 
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5/23

Obi Toppin o12.5 pts/rebs/assts -120 3* b365
Obi Toppin o14.5 pts/rebs/assts +115 DK
 
Found this at DK

Brunson o6.5 made FTs -110 2* DK
Brunson o7.5 made FTs +150 DK
Brunson o8.5 made FTs +280 .5* DK
 
Didn't see the whole game, but I heard that Mitchell Robinson, who has a history of ankle problems, tweaked his ankle at around the 8:00 mark in the 4th and was not that effective after that. Anyone know which ankle it was?
 
Stew Baker said:
Didn't see the whole game, but I heard that Mitchell Robinson, who has a history of ankle problems, tweaked his ankle at around the 8:00 mark in the 4th and was not that effective after that. Anyone know which ankle it was?
Click to expand...

Looks like left

Robinson gave the Knicks a welcome boost during the first half of Game 2, extending multiple possessions due to his work on the offensive glass. He also recorded a few blocked shots, but New York’s many defensive lapses during the second half were too much to overcome. Also concerning for the Knicks was Robinson appearing to roll his left ankle during the third quarter. The good news is that he stayed in the game, and this was not the ankle operated on twice last season. Given the lack of consistent bench production, New York will need Robinson to be at his best for Game 3 on Sunday, especially now that they’re in a 0-2 hole.
 
Inspekdah said:
Looks like left

Robinson gave the Knicks a welcome boost during the first half of Game 2, extending multiple possessions due to his work on the offensive glass. He also recorded a few blocked shots, but New York’s many defensive lapses during the second half were too much to overcome. Also concerning for the Knicks was Robinson appearing to roll his left ankle during the third quarter. The good news is that he stayed in the game, and this was not the ankle operated on twice last season. Given the lack of consistent bench production, New York will need Robinson to be at his best for Game 3 on Sunday, especially now that they’re in a 0-2 hole.
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I assume you got this from some source. Which?

If it was the left ankle that was rolled, the "not the ankle operated on twice last season" part is wrong. It WAS the left ankle he had surgery on .:confused:

NEW YORK -- Knicks center Mitchell Robinson had surgery on his left ankle Monday, his second procedure on the ankle this season, league sources told ESPN. (May 13, 2024)
 
Stew Baker said:
I assume you got this from some source. Which?

If it was the left ankle that was rolled, the "not the ankle operated on twice last season" part is wrong. It WAS the left ankle he had surgery on .:confused:

NEW YORK -- Knicks center Mitchell Robinson had surgery on his left ankle Monday, his second procedure on the ankle this season, league sources told ESPN. (May 13, 2024)
Click to expand...

Rotoworld. Think it’s NBC roto now or something.
 
Brunson only 5 FT attempts. At home. In a desperation game. Fml. And writing was on the wall when Toppin didn't put up a single stat other than a turnover in his first 5 minutes of action. On to tonight, same stuff as Thursday, different units in play.

5/24

Jalen Williams o10.5 reb/assts -140 4* b365
Jalen Williams o11.5 reb/assts +100 2* DK
Gobert o5.5 pts -150 3* DK
Gobert o6.5 pts +105 2* DK
Conley o5.5 reb/assts -145 2* Fanatics

Probably be on Wolves in some fashion, not sure how I want to play them yet
 
Inspekdah said:
Rotoworld. Think it’s NBC roto now or something.
Click to expand...
The play I referred to was at the 7:41 mark of the 4th, apparently is an entirely different play than the one that Rotoworld was mentioning (3rd qtr,), anyway

"After a massive block on Haliburton that electrified the Garden, Robinson, who has long struggled with injuries and missed the first 60 games this season rehabbing, looked as if he might've rolled his ankle. One key offensive rebound notwithstanding, he didn't look the same after that play with 7:41 left."

- 2025 NBA playoffs: Eastern and Western Conference finals takeaways - ESPN

Back to square one regarding which ankle was rolled in the 4th qtr. Mitchell's health figures to factor largely in Gm. 3.

paint_help
 
1Q Wolves ML -110 3* b365

Doing a 3/6 chase on this, I firmly believe they will win one of the first two quarters

No need to go further on them as I have the series +2.5 games obviously meaning I need this to go 6 games. I do like the Wolves to win tonight and probably take it to the wire on Monday. Not really sweating the series bet just because OKC pulled away late in both games at home. Probably should play Randle props tonight after he got held out of the 4th qtr the other night, he'll either show up big or not at all me thinks. I expect the former.
 
KJ said:
1Q Wolves ML -110 3* b365

Doing a 3/6 chase on this, I firmly believe they will win one of the first two quarters

No need to go further on them as I have the series +2.5 games obviously meaning I need this to go 6 games. I do like the Wolves to win tonight and probably take it to the wire on Monday. Not really sweating the series bet just because OKC pulled away late in both games at home. Probably should play Randle props tonight after he got held out of the 4th qtr the other night, he'll either show up big or not at all me thinks. I expect the former.
Click to expand...

I really think ant has to put them on his back and maybe hang 40, I don’t trust Randle at all. I have more confidence in McDaniel for real but this gotta be a huge ant game and he gotta knocked down some 3s for them to win imo, he should get better help at home but not sure it be Randle, he should be fine but I don’t think he have monster numbers., gl buddy, let’s go ant!!
 
5/25

1h Knicks ML -110 3* b365
Haliburton double double -105 3* b365
Robinson o8.5 rebs -150 2.5* Fanatics
Robinson o9.5 rebs +105 b365
Brunson o5.5 made FTs -160 4* DK
Brunson o6.5 made FTs +110 2* DK
Brunson o7.5 made FTs +210 1.5* DK
Brunson o8.5 made FTs +380 .5* DK

Chasing the FTs from Fridays dismal effort. Robinson getting Hart's playing time would be larger if not for the ankle concerns.

Regarding the 1h ML, I'm not the biggest trends player over a lengthy period of time, much more about recency to me but this is one I can't ignore, from AN.

According to our Action Labs database, playoff teams on a two-game losing streak are a robust 174-98-2 (68.89 units) on the first half moneyline. This angle is all about motivation, making it a great way to back the Knicks in Game 3.
 
Nice call w the Brunson ft props! I initially had played his over points which was done in by his own foul trouble but I liked this idea so much I tagged along and at least got that loss back. I had fucking towns under, I was counting my money for 3 qrtrs, dunno who that was in the 4th! Lol
 
Think tonight is a TIGHT game, Period. Catching over a bucket is a play. As @2daBank mentioned Randle should get his and I think the cousin is reasonable as well. Going back in on Conley and Jalen. Bunch of ladders breaking up the overall units I wanted to play. As for ANT, little doozie from AN today:

Minnesota has Rudy Gobert, who has averaged 10+ rebounds in each of the last 10 years, and Julius Randle, who has averaged over nine rebounds per game in his career.

Yet, their best rebounder at the moment may be their best player, Anthony Edwards. The 23-year-old has led or tied for the team lead with nine rebounds in each of the first three games.

Edwards has had at least nine rebounds in each of his last five games against the Thunder, averaging 10 per game in that span.

He has averaged 14.2 rebound chances in those games and 12.4 over his last 10 games overall. He has had eight rebounds in seven of those games and finished with seven in another.

5/26

Wolves +3.5 -110 3* Fanatics
Randle o18.5 pts -110 2* b365
Randle o19.5 pts +125 b365
NAW o8.5 pts +100 2* DK
NAW o9.5 pts +135 b365
Jalen Williams o10.5 reb/assts -125 4* b365
SGA o6.5 assts/o29.5 pts parlay +180 2* b365
SGA o9.5 made FTs +125 2* DK
ANTMan o7.5 rebounds -140 4* Fanatics
ANTMan o8.5 rebounds +120 2* Fanatics
Conley o5.5 reb/assts -140 3* b365
Conley o6.5 reb/assts +114 DK
Conley o.5 steals -125 2* b365
Conley o1.5 steals +390 .5* DK

Call me Fondy. I clearly will have liked this game a LOT more now than I will at the end. Banking on 6 players to exceed book expectations is not the way to do well in this game and will likely be a one time deal in any sport for the foreseeable future.
 
KJ said:
Or do anything
Click to expand...

Well I played his under points so I’m ok there. I have a parlay with mvdaniels points which he damn meat has already, Chet par and he looking good, few baseball that cashed, but Need ant boards/dimes. Need Randle points in another and he looks like shit. Wolves bench and Mcdaniels doing all the work
 
Then again I was counting my towns under points for 3 qrtrs last night and we know how that went! Lol
 
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Back to keeping it pretty simple tonight

5/27

1h Pacers ML -140 4* b365
KAT o1.5 threes -140 3* Fanatics
KAT o2.5 threes +230 Fanatics
Haliburton double double +105 3*
Robinson u14.5 pts/rebs -115 2* b365
Brunson o 6.5 FTs made -125 4* b365
Brunson o7.5 FTs made +110 1.5* DK
Brunson o8.5 FTs made +190 DK
Brunson o9.5 FTs made +350 .5* DK
Brunson o10.5 FTs made +600 .25* DK
 
Short on time but if I find something to parlay Brunson top NYK scorer with before tip I'll do it. Can't be included in a SGP so something bases or hockey. Don't have time to peruse the baseball thread atm so feel free to chime in w/suggestions.
 
KJ said:
Short on time but if I find something to parlay Brunson top NYK scorer with before tip I'll do it. Can't be included in a SGP so something bases or hockey. Don't have time to peruse the baseball thread atm so feel free to chime in w/suggestions.
Click to expand...

Burnes total outs. He outta be able to go 7 vs pirates
 
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2daBank said:
Burnes total outs. He outta be able to go 7 vs pirates
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Ah I like that, his control is a ton better now than when his pitch count was getting up there in the 5th in April. Pitching with much more command now.
 
KJ said:
Ah I like that, his control is a ton better now than when his pitch count was getting up there in the 5th in April. Pitching with much more command now.
Click to expand...

Yea he has looked really good his last 3-4 starts. Went 7 twice vs lad, I don’t think pirates ever hit him when he pitched for milw. If he right he could go 8 or all game vs these losers
 
Live HT 3Q o54.5 -115 2* Fanatics

Just playing the number that's better than others
 
KJ said:
Back to keeping it pretty simple tonight

5/27

1h Pacers ML -140 4* b365
KAT o1.5 threes -140 3* Fanatics
KAT o2.5 threes +230 Fanatics
Haliburton double double +105 3*
Robinson u14.5 pts/rebs -115 2* b365
Brunson o 6.5 FTs made -125 4* b365
Brunson o7.5 FTs made +110 1.5* DK
Brunson o8.5 FTs made +190 DK
Brunson o9.5 FTs made +350 .5* DK
Brunson o10.5 FTs made +600 .25* DK
Click to expand...
Brunson FT ladder loving this 3rd quarter!!
 
KJ said:
Back to keeping it pretty simple tonight

5/27

1h Pacers ML -140 4* b365
KAT o1.5 threes -140 3* Fanatics
KAT o2.5 threes +230 Fanatics
Haliburton double double +105 3*
Robinson u14.5 pts/rebs -115 2* b365
Brunson o 6.5 FTs made -125 4* b365
Brunson o7.5 FTs made +110 1.5* DK
Brunson o8.5 FTs made +190 DK
Brunson o9.5 FTs made +350 .5* DK
Brunson o10.5 FTs made +600 .25* DK
Click to expand...
Alright, this is pretty kick ass!

You're up 9-10 units with just the KAT and Robinson left to decide....

Deficit so we'll see threes in the 4th as well.

Maybe less Robinson time going small to come back?
 
B.A.R. said:
Alright, this is pretty kick ass!

You're up 9-10 units with just the KAT and Robinson left to decide....

Deficit so we'll see threes in the 4th as well.

Maybe less Robinson time going small to come back?
Click to expand...
Was a fun 4th qtr with those going but KAT didn't even attempt a three. Sucks. Only 2 attempts in the game is not the MO against Minny for him. Great game for yours truly regardless, hopefully back on track for tonight.
 
Bummer, no FT props at DK for SGA as of now. Just going to play what b365 has available.

5/28

NAW o9.5 pts -125 4* b365
NAW o11.5 pts +135 Fanatics
NAW o14.5 pts +320 .5* b365
SGA o39.5 pts/assts -140 2.5* DK
SGA o40.5 pts/assts -115 2* b365
SGA o8.5 FTs made -125 3* b365
SGA o10.5 FTs attempt +100 b365
SGA o1.5 made 3s -125 DK
SGA o2.5 made 3s +245 .5* DK
 
Like the Alexander-walker props, he been the best player on wolves last few games. Gl buddy
 
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Only playing on two guys tonight in completely different ways

5/29

1h Pacers +3 -110 4* DK
1h Pacers ML +140 b365
Tyrese o14.5 reb/assts -125 3* Fanatics
Tyrese o15.5 reb/assts +105 DK
Tyrese double double -120 3* b365 (big discrepancy in lines on this one)
Brunson o7.5 FTs made -160 5* b365 (even more massive discrepancy than the d/d)
Brunson o9.5 FTs made -120 DK
Brunson o10.5 FTs made +140 .5* DK
Brunson o11.5 FTs made +200 .25* DK
Brunson o29.5 pts -135 4* DK (another massive discrepancy)
Brunson o30.5 pts -105 2* DK (again, way different than others)
 
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