KJ Champions League Qualifiers 2023

[KJ]

-1.625 thru 8/30

Going to be pretty selective on these, many teams I've never heard of until we get into the last week of July. That said it's not all that tough to research some of them and figure out which teams should roll.

6/27

Breidablik (Iceland) tt o3.5 +100 4*

7/18

New Saints (Wales)/Hacken (Sweden) u3 -125 2*
Breidablik (Iceland)/Shamrock Rovers (Ireland) u2.5 -120 2*

7/19

Qarabag (Azerbaijan) tt o2.5 -155 3*
Qarabag (Azerbaijan) tt o3.5 +165
Ludogorets (Bulgaria) -1.25 -120 2*
Larne (N Ireland)/HJK (Finland) u2 -125 2*

7/25

Galatasaray -1 -125 2*
Galatasaray -1.25 +100
HJK/Molde u2.5 -125 2*
Genk pk -130 2*
Genk ML +145

8/1

Panathinaikos/Dnipro o2.75 -110 2*

8/2

Dinamo Zagreb tt o1.5 +100 2*
Genk -1 -130 2*
Copenhagen -1.75 -105 2*
Galatasaray -2.5 -105 2*
Galatasaray o3.5 +145

8/8

Copenhagen ML +105 2*
PSV ML and u3.5 +115 2*
Molde ML and u3.5 +100 2*
Molde ML and u2.5 +240 .5*
Braga ML and u3.5 -115 2*
Braga ML and u2.5 +230 .5*

8/9

Panathanaikos/Marseille u2 -120 2*
Slovan Bratislava/Maccabi Haifa u2.25 -115 2*
Rangers tt o1.5 -200 2*
Rangers tt o2.5 +160 .5*

8/15

Aris -.25 -110 4*
Aris ML +125 2.5*
Aris to advance +180 2*
Aris/Rakow o2.25 -135 2*
Aris tt o1.5 +125 2*
Aris tt o2.5 +425
1h Maccabi/Slovan o1.25 +100
1h Maccabi/Slovan o1.5 +140 .5*
Sparta Prague/Copenhagen u2.5 -130 2*
1h Sparta Prague/Copenhagen u1 -120 1.5*
1h Sparta Prague/Copenhagen u.75 +135 .5*
Galatasaray HT/FT -125 3*
Braga tt o1.5 -170
Braga tt o2.5 +195 .5*
Dinamo Zagreb -.25 -130 2*
Dinamo Zagreb ML +110
Rangers tt o1.5 -110 3*
Rangers tt o2.5 +310 .5*
2h PSV ML +125 2*
Marseille to advance -125 2*

8/29

Galatasaray/Molde o2.75 -115 3*
Young Boys ML -125 2*
Young Boys -.75 +100
Panathinaikos/Braga BTTS -150 1.5*

8/30

PSV -1 -125 3*
PSV ML/o1.5 -135 2*
PSV ML/o2.5 +105
Copenhagen/Rakow u2.5 -115 2*
AEK Athens/Antwerp u2.5 -125 2*
Antwerp pk +240

 

[KJ]

6/27

Breidablik (Iceland) tt o3.5 +100 2*

Even though Tre Penne are listed as the home team, this match is in Iceland and all odds favor a score of 4-0 for Breidablik. While I like the over, even the double chance of Brediablik and o3.5 is -170 while the team from San Marino has their tt of o.5 at +175. Yeah, read between the lines and Breidablik should keep a clean sheet and only 4 goals gets the money. Talking myself into adding, wouldn't be shocked to see 6-0 or 7-0. It's San Marino ffs.

Adding 2 more units to make it 4*

 

[Ryno14]

Nice call. Wish I would’ve been paying attention. Would’ve tailed

 

[KJ]

Nice call. Wish I would’ve been paying attention. Would’ve tailed

I know the winners today will play to move on but I can't find anywhere that shows where they slot in to the next round. Going to assume these two will only play one match to advance, the next round begins the homa and home starting 7/11 and I don't see a spot on the bracket where a team is waiting for the winner of this qualifying round. Hell UEFA's site is showing as restricted right now.

 

[KJ]

Will finally get into matches that matter a bit more next week, found a couple teams I want to fade today but with soccer lines it's not quite that simple

Want to fade New Saints but with Hacken already up 3-1 it's hard to justify doing anything that requires them scoring, so under it is. Pretty sure if it loses it will be Hacken scoring 3+ to do it but I don't know the motivation for them to push it.

New Saints (Wales)/Hacken (Sweden) u3 -125 2*

Shamrock Rovers are the other fade, already down 0-1 and get to go to Iceland and try to somehow win sounds unlikely, expecting something similar to the match in Ireland

Breidablik (Iceland)/Shamrock Rovers (Ireland) u2.5 -120 2*

 

[KJ]

Against the beloved Red Imps today, think Qarabag can name the score at home

Qarabag tt o2.5 -155 3*
Qarabag tt o3.5 +165

and another that will likely see a crooked number

Ludogorets -1.25 -120 2*

 

[KJ]

Number is low for good reason I believe. Greek ref to boot that loves low scoring matches

Larne (N Ireland)/HJK (Finland) u2 -125 2*

 

[KJ]

7/25

Galatasaray -1 -125 2*
Galatasaray -1.25 +100
HJK/Molde u2.5 -125 2*

 

[KJ]

F'n Gala fuckin' the man in mystery time. Prolly win 4-0 next week now.

Last one today

Genk pk -130 2*
Genk ML +145

 

[KJ]

Of course wanted to wait for a bit to possibly hit Copenhagen team total and they score in the first minute. This gonna get ugly so might still hit it a few minutes before HT if it sets up well.

 

[KJ]

8/1

Panathinaikos/Dnipro o2.75 -110 2*

Like over in BATE/Aris match too but don't have it available

 

[KJ]

8/2

Dinamo Zagreb tt o1.5 +100 2*

Not sure if I'll be awake for the start of that one

 

[KJ]

Slept in today but it can probably be played live at a better number

Genk -1 -130 2*

 

[KJ]

Copenhagen -1.75 -105 2*
Galatasaray -2.5 -105 2*
Galatasaray o3.5 +145

Need some goals from the two big favorites

 

[KJ]

8/8

Copenhagen ML +105 2*
PSV ML and u3.5 +115 2*
Molde ML and u3.5 +100 2*
Molde ML and u2.5 +240 .5*
Braga ML and u3.5 -115 2*
Braga ML and u2.5 +230 .5*

Trying to get on the favorites a different way to keep juice down, in all matchups I'm clearly playing against the dogs scoring. Only Molde are visitors and the team from Faroe Islands has to play down the road because their stadium only holds 2500 which doesn't meet UEFA guidelines, so moving to a 6k plus stadium to play. Team from FI are part time pros, concern is Molde going bananas but hope that's not the case on the road.

 

[KJ]

8/9

Panathanaikos/Marseille u2 -120 2*
Slovan Bratislava/Maccabi Haifa u2.25 -115 2*
Rangers tt o1.5 -200 2*
Rangers tt o2.5 +160 .5*

 

[KJ]

Finally getting close to the real thing, only 3 more weeks of qualifying. Whether successful or not the 2nd legs of these ties are much more enjoyable to cap. All 10 ties go on Tuesday, only 9 get decided because last week's match in Athens was postponed due to hooligans which means Dinamo Zagreb get screwed if this goes extra time in the 2nd leg which will now be played in Athens this weekend. Raw deal there.

8/15

Aris -.25 -110 4*
Aris ML +125 2.5*
Aris to advance +180 2*
Aris/Rakow o2.25 -135 2*
Aris tt o1.5 +125 2*
Aris tt o2.5 +425

Obv I like the match for Aris, been eyeballing it the minute they lost the first leg. Naturally going to deal with the Poles parking the bus to protect their goal lead but Aris has plenty of fire power and at home...just a great situation for my money. Happens to be an early match so going a bit stout on it out the gate, would love 4-0 or 4-1 type match. If they score first the Poles will have to try something offensively, they'd become big dogs to progress at that point.

 

[KJ]

1h Maccabi/Slovan o1.25 +100
1h Maccabi/Slovan o1.5 +140 .5*
Sparta Prague/Copenhagen u2.5 -130 2*
1h Sparta Prague/Copenhagen u1 -120 1.5*
1h Sparta Prague/Copenhagen u.75 +135 .5*

Everything about Molde says to play them, team from Faroe Islands somehow beat them 2-1 last week and they are assured to be the first team ever from FI to be in a European group stage. Pulling for them to advance, not betting on it. If they don't they automatically qualify for Europa Conference groups which is huge anyway for them, just pulling for that to be the worst case scenario.

 

[KJ]

Galatasaray HT/FT -125 3*
Braga tt o1.5 -170
Braga tt o2.5 +195 .5*
Dinamo Zagreb -.25 -130 2*
Dinamo Zagreb ML +110

 

[KJ]

Rangers tt o1.5 -110 3*
Rangers tt o2.5 +310 .5*
2h PSV ML +125 2*
Marseille to advance -125 2*

That's a wrap, hope it wasn't a waste of time

 

[KJ]

Finally get past the qualifiers after this week. Been a grind.

8/29

Galatasaray/Molde o2.75 -115 3*
Young Boys ML -125 2*
Young Boys -.75 +100
Panathinaikos/Braga BTTS -150 1.5*

 

[KJ]

8/30

PSV -1 -125 3*
PSV ML/o1.5 -135 2*
PSV ML/o2.5 +105
Copenhagen/Rakow u2.5 -115 2*
AEK Athens/Antwerp u2.5 -125 2*
Antwerp pk +240

Crazy that PSV/Rangers were 2-2 in the same spot last year and PSV lost 1-0 at home, the revenge is perfect for this one.

Side note, woulda been pretty cool to have 3 group stage matches played at Molde if they could've gotten through today, stadium would have gotten a lot of run.