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KJ Champions League Phase MD1

KJ

KJ

Minister of Communication
+2.155 qualies

3 days this week is incredible! Just getting the thread started so I have a point of reference, going to be pretty busy the next couple days so might get to cap one game or a full day, just don't know. As a City fan, obviously the week is highlighted by the home match against Napoli on Thursday with KDB coming home for a day for his swan song. Doubt I bet that one.

9/16

Athletic Bilbao +.5 -103 2*
Union-SG +.5 +103 2*
Union-SG pk +225 .5*
Benfica to win to nil -120 3.5*
Benfica -2 +105
1h Dortmund tt o.5 +140 1.5*
1h Juve/Dortmund o1.5 +170 .5* DK
Real Madrid to score in both halves -120 2* DK

9/17

Olympiacos ML/2h tt o.5 -150 5*
InterMilan ML -114 2*
Bayern -.75 -105 4*
Bayern -1 +125 2* DK
PSG/Atalanta BTTS -140 2.5* DK
Hakimi anytime goal +500 .5* DK

9/19

Club Brugge +.25 +1.025 4*
Club Brugge ML +142 1.5*
Leverkusen tt o1.5 +120
Leverkusen tt o2.5 +390 .5*
Frankfurt tt o1.5 -135 3* DK
Frankfurt tt o2.5 +250 1.5*
Frankfurt ML/match total o2.5 +180 DK
Newcastle/Barcelona BTTS and o2.5 -150 4*

+11.405
 
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Most wagers for the footy will be on bet365 unless otherwise noted

9/16

Athletic Bilbao +.5 -103 2*
Union-SG +.5 +103 2*
Union-SG pk +225 .5*
 
Favorite match of the day is expensive on Benfica but I'll play. Cap it at 2-0 or 3-0 so there's some value

Benfica to win to nil -120 3.5*
Benfica -2 +105
 
Top of the head no capping....Juve/Dortmund dog, RM/OM under, Spurs/Villarreal fireworks but that is zero effort to this point. Heavy eyelids but that's where I'd start with those three
 
1h Dortmund tt o.5 +140 1.5*
1h Juve/Dortmund o1.5 +170 .5* DK
Real Madrid to score in both halves -120 2* DK

Othier match is way too conflicting. Spurs don't beat teams from Spain and Villarreal don't score away from home in CL so I guess a case could be made for 0-0 draw but I'd only entertain playing something like that starting at HT based on how the match is being played.
 
How TF Benfica lose at home to Qarabag up 2-0 is mind blowing. Such a struggle today with that and all 8 goals in Turin being scored in the 2h. At least got the Belgian team home.

Had a bit written up on this early Cyprus v Greece matchup, lots to enjoy about a Cypriot team that I'd never heard of til this campaign. They hardly ever make it through qualifiers and in the random case they do anything in Europe, it's Europa at best. So a CL match in Greece is pretty big. Playing at the Greek gods has to be a dream come true for a lot of these guys. If they score it will be shocking. Olympicos ML and to score in the 2h when the fitness will be an incredible difference is all I need for this one.

9/17

Olympiacos ML/2h tt o.5 -150 5*
 
No play Slavia/Bodo, both seem fade worthy which probably means goals but not interested. Bigger fish to fry.
 
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InterMilan ML -114 2*

Not great form but I'm more interested in fading the two Dutch powerhouses this season especially against elite teams
 
If I have to explain why I think Bayern could curb stomp Chelsea it would be a futile conversation

Bayern -.75 -105 4*
Bayern -1 +125 2* DK
 
Should be the most fun game of the day

PSG/Atalanta BTTS -140 2.5* DK
Hakimi anytime goal +500 .5* DK (this is +275 on b365)
 
That's a wrap pregame. Can't make a case for anything between the two heavyweights. Can easily see Pool/Atletico end 1-0 either way and can make a case that both teams can score more than once. Entertaining game on paper but doubt it sees much action, team that scores first will likely just sit back and defend. Not for me.
 
Man this shit is so frustrating. 11 v 10 in Greece, 18-6 shots, 69% possession, 9-0 corners! 0-0 final after plenty of chances in extra time to bring it home. Obviously Cyprus did well to not break but that bet had no business losing.

Next.
 
On to today, this one has 2-0 Brugge written all over it but I'm not close to being in that zone to bet exact scores.

Club Brugge +.25 +1.025 4*
Club Brugge ML +142 1.5*
 
No bet on City Napoli but lean to Italians, massive sandwich spot for City between United and Arsenal weekends. Hard to imagine a CL home match with KDB coming home while his statue hasn't even been built yet being a sandwich but it's possible.
 
Newcastle/Barcelona BTTS and o2.5 -150 4*

Sporting v the Kazakhstan team is impossible to bet on for me with the tariff so high but I'd be against the team traveling 4500 miles to ultimately get their asses kicked.
 
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