Keeneland - Entire Fall Meet & Breeders Cup

several scratches





Day #5

+$8,225.04
12-4-1-3
best bets: 4-2-0-1









race 4: 7-Big Thorn $80 W/P







race 5: 4-Nepotism $80 W/P






race 9: 10-Blissful $200 W/P **BB**
***turf only***






$6 pick 3:
4: 1,7,8
5: 1,4,8
6: 2,11
$108




$10 pick 3:
4: 7,8
5: 4,8
6: 2,11
$80
 
recap:






race 4: 7-Big Thorn
finished 2nd $5.40
$216






race 5: 4-Nepotism
winner $8.52 $4.44
$340.80 $177.60



race 9: 10-Blissful
best bet ran 8th





-$108
$6 pick 3:
4: 1,7,8
5: 1,4,8
6: 2,11




-$80
$10 pick 3:
4: 7,8
5: 4,8
6: 2,11






3-1-1-0
best bet: ran out
total bet: $908
total collected: $734.40
-$173.60






+$8,051.44
15-5-2-3
best bets: 5-2-0-1
 
+$8,051.44
15-5-2-3
best bets: 5-2-0-1










race 5: 3-Lady Puchi $200 W/P **BB**







race 7: 5-Sun Bee $80 W/P







race 8: 8-Angkor $80 W/P







$5 pick 3:
5: 3,4,9
6: 4,6
7: 2,5,9
$90






$5
5: 3,4
6: 4,6
7: 2,5,9
$60






$5 pick 4:
7: 2,5,9
8: 8,12
9: 2,4,7
10: 6,11
$180
 
recap:






race 5: 3-Lady Puchi
best bet winner $5.40 $3.68







race 7: 5-Sun Bee SCRATCHED







race 8: 8-Angkor
finished 3rd









-$60
$5 pick 3:
5: 3,4,9
6: 4,6
7: 2,9







-$40
5: 3,4
6: 4,6
7: 2,9
$40





-$120
$5 pick 4:
7: 2,9
8: 8,12
9: 2,4,7
10: 6,11






2-1–0-1
best bet: winner
total bet: $780
total collected: $908
+$128






+$8,179.44
17-6-2-4
best bets: 6-3-0-1
best bet winning prices:
$5.40 $9.68 $10.18
 
+$8,179.44
17-6-2-4
best bets: 6-3-0-1
best bet winning prices:
$5.40 $9.68 $10.18








race 2: 8-Curly Larry & Moe $80 W/P








race 4: 3-Lt Junior Grade $80 W/P











race 5: 8-Winfromwithin $200 W/P *BB*







$5
2: 8,9
3: 6,7
4: 3,6
5: 1,8
$80






$4
2: 4,8,9
3: 6,7
4: 3,6
5: 1,8
$96







$10 pick 3:
5: 8
6: 3,7
7: 2,5,9
$60




$5
5: 1,8
6: 3,7
7: 2,5,9
$60
 
recap:






race 2: 8-Curly Larry & Moe
winner $13.66 $8.82
$546.40
$352.80







race 4: 3-Lt Junior Grade
winner $12.24 $4.50
$489.60
$180










race 5: 8-Winfromwithin
best bet finished 5th







-$80
2: 8,9
3: 6,7
4: 3,6
5: 1,8







-$96
2: 4,8,9
3: 6,7
4: 3,6
5: 1,8







-$60
pick 3:
5: 8
6: 3,7
7: 2,5,9





-$60
5: 1,8
6: 3,7
7: 2,5,9





3-2-0-0
best bet: finished 5th
total bet: $1,016
total collected: $1,568.80
+$552.80







+$8,732.24
20-8-2-4
best bets: 7-3-0-1
best bet winning prices:
$5.40 $9.68 $10.18
 
Day #8:
+$8,732.24
20-8-2-4
best bets: 7-3-0-1
best bet winning prices:
$5.40 $9.68 $10.18








race 3: 2-Grand Jury $100 W/P








race 5: 2-Sutherland $200 W/P **BB**








race 7: 8-Bout Time $100 W/P











$10
3: 2,4,6
4: 5
5: 2,4
$60






$8
3: 2,6
4: 1,2
5: 2,4,6
$96







$6
5: 2,4
6: 5,6,8
7: 8,10,11
$108




$5
5: 2,4,6
6: 5,6,8
7: 8,10,11
$135
 
recap:







race 3: 2-Grand Jury
finished 8th







race 5: 2-Sutherland
best bet finished 2nd $4.06








race 7: 8-Bout Time
finished 10th









-$60
3: 2,4,6
4: 5
5: 2,4







-$96
3: 2,6
4: 1,2
5: 2,4,6








-$108
5: 2,4
6: 5,6,8
7: 8,10,11





-$135
5: 2,4,6
6: 5,6,8
7: 8,10,11





3-0-1-0
best bet: 2nd
total bet: $1,199
total collected: $406
-$793









+$7,939.24
23-8-3-4
best bets: 8-3-1-1
best bet winning prices:
$5.40 $9.68 $10.18





first really bad day of the meet
until Weds…
 
Day #9
+$7,939.24
23-8-3-4
best bets: 8-3-1-1
best bet winning prices:
$5.40 $9.68 $10.18









race 5: 9-Morgs World $100 W/P







race 6: 8-Presider $100 W/P






race 8: 9-Opening Buzz $200 W/P






$1
5: 3,7,9
6: 3,5,8
7: 2,3,4,6
8: 4,6,9
$108




$2
5: 3,7,9
6: 3,8
7: 2,4,6
8: 4,6,9
$108





$10
6: 3,5,8
7: 2,3,4,6
8: 9
$120
 
Day #9
+$7,939.24
23-8-3-4
best bets: 8-3-1-1
best bet winning prices:
$5.40 $9.68 $10.18









race 5: 9-Morgs World $100 W/P







race 6: 8-Presider $100 W/P






race 8: 9-Opening Buzz $200 W/P






$1
5: 3,7,9
6: 3,5,8
7: 2,3,4,6
8: 4,6,9
$108




$2
5: 3,7,9
6: 3,8
7: 2,4,6
8: 4,6,9
$108





$10
6: 3,5,8
7: 2,3,4,6
8: 9
$120

Hey Lefty,

Curious on your capping strategy as I’m a novice with horses.

For example in the 5th is a 12-1 that's run all his life at Canterbury. I love the price but would love to know why you like it. Do you think there’s an area for improvement or you seeing something speed wise that makes him appealing?

Thanks! GL!
 
Hey Lefty,

Curious on your capping strategy as I’m a novice with horses.

For example in the 5th is a 12-1 that's run all his life at Canterbury. I love the price but would love to know why you like it. Do you think there’s an area for improvement or you seeing something speed wise that makes him appealing?

Thanks! GL!
here’s my explanation and I always welcome all questions



I envision the 5 8 & 10 all going for the lead
my choice is a closer
three times in a row a beaten favorite
McLean Roberstson is 29% trainer with beaten favorites
closed well in his last at 5F gets a extra 1/2 furlong to run into
David Cohen rides
has the best late pace figure 92
will get 8/1 or a bit more
32 days since last race

7-1-5-0 on the turf
 
Day #9
+$7,939.24
23-8-3-4
best bets: 8-3-1-1
best bet winning prices:
$5.40 $9.68 $10.18



changes made due to scratches in race 7





race 5: 9-Morgs World $100 W/P







race 6: 8-Presider $100 W/P






race 8: 9-Opening Buzz $200 W/P






$1
5: 3,7,9
6: 3,5,8
7: 1,2,6,7
8: 4,6,9
$108




$2
5: 3,7,9
6: 3,8
7: 1,2,6
8: 4,6,9
$108





$10
6: 3,5,8
7: 1,2,6,7
8: 9
$120
 
recap:






race 5: 9-Morgs World
finished 6th






race 6: 8-Presider
finished 8th







race 8: 9-Opening Buzz
best bet finished 4th





-$108
5: 3,7,9
6: 3,5,8
7: 1,2,6,7
8: 4,6,9




-$108
5: 3,7,9
6: 3,8
7: 1,2,6
8: 4,6,9







-$120
6: 3,5,8
7: 1,2,6,7
8: 9








3-0-0-0
total bet: $1,136
total collected: $0









two bad days in a row


+$6,803.24
26-8-3-4
best bets: 9-3-1-1
best bet winning prices:
$5.40 $9.68 $10.18
 
+$6,803.24
26-8-3-4
best bets: 9-3-1-1
best bet winning prices:
$5.40 $9.68 $10.18











race 3: 4-Prince of Roses $100 W/P











race 4: 7-Burning Bright $100 W/P








race 5: 9-Constitutional Law $100 W/P










race 7: 9-Justify My Love $200 W/P **BB**







$3
2: 3,9
3: 1,4,7
4: 5,7
5: 6,9,10
$108






$10
4: 7
5: 6,9,10
6: 1,2
$60






$4
5: 6,9,10
6: 1,2
7: 9,10
8: 1,7,11
$144






$5
5: 6,9,10
6: 1,2
7: 9
8: 1,7,11
$90
 
+$6,803.24
26-8-3-4
best bets: 9-3-1-1
best bet winning prices:
$5.40 $9.68 $10.18











race 3: 4-Prince of Roses $100 W/P











race 4: 7-Burning Bright $100 W/P








race 5: 9-Constitutional Law $100 W/P










race 7: 9-Justify My Love $200 W/P **BB**







$3
2: 3,10
3: 1,4,7
4: 5,7
5: 6,9,10
$108






$10
4: 7
5: 6,9,10
6: 1,2
$60






$4
6: 1,2
7: 9,10
8: 1,7,11
9: 5,6,8
$144






$5
6: 1,2
7: 9
8: 1,7,11
9: 5,6,8
$90
 
recap:





race 3: 4-Prince of Roses
finished 11th











race 4: 7-Burning Bright
finished 8th








race 5: 9-Constitutional Law
finished 6th










race 7: 9-Justify My Love
best bet finished 6th







-$108
2: 3,10
3: 1,4,7
4: 5,7
5: 6,9,10
$108






-$60
4: 7
5: 6,9,10
6: 1,2
$60






-$144
6: 1,2
7: 9,10
8: 1,7,11
9: 5,6,8
$144






-$90
6: 1,2
7: 9
8: 1,7,11
9: 5,6,8
$90






4-0-0-0
total bet: $1,408
total collected: $0
-$1,408






+$5,395.24
30-8-3-4
best bets: 10-3-1-1
best bet winning prices:
$5.40 $9.68 $10.18
 
+$5,395.24
30-8-3-4
best bets: 10-3-1-1
best bet winning prices:
$5.40 $9.68 $10.18









race 4: 7-Carcano $100 W/P







race 5: 5-Easy Time $100 W/P







race 7: 7-Seas of Normandy $100 W/P








race 10: 5-Mesaoria $200 W/P **BB**








$5
4: 1,4,7
5: 5,7
6: 3,9
$60






$8
8: 4,5,8
9: 4,8
10: 1,5
$96





$3
7: 3,5,7
8: 4,5,8
9: 4,8
10: 1,5
$108





$4
7: 5,7
8: 4,5,8
9: 4,8
10: 1,5
$96
 
race 4: 7-Carcano
finished 2nd $3.62
$181




race 5: 5-Easy Time
finished 2nd $10.08
$504







race 7: 7-Seas of Normandy
finished 10th








race 10: 5-Mesaoria
best bet finished 3rd








-$60
4: 1,4,7
5: 5,7
6: 3,9
$60






-$48
8: 4,5,8
9: 4,8
10: 5
$48





-$54
7: 3,5,7
8: 4,5,8
9: 4,8
10: 5
$54





-$48
7: 5,7
8: 4,5,8
9: 4,8
10: 5
$48






4-0-2-1
total bet: $1,210
total collected: $685
-$525











+$4,870.24
34-8-4-5
best bets: 11-3-1-2
best bet winning prices:
$5.40 $9.68 $10.18
 
Day #12

+$4,870.24
34-8-4-5
best bets: 11-3-1-2
best bet winning prices:
$5.40 $9.68 $10.18









race 2: 10-Weehawken $100 win
$20 exacta: 10/1,2,6
$10 exacta: 10/3
$10 exacta: 1,2,6/10









race 5: 3-She’s Fancy $100 win
$20 exacta: 3/1,4,6
$10 exacta: 3/5
$10 exacta: 1,4,6/3








race 7: 3-Storm Kiss $200 win **BB**
$60 exacta: 3/2,6
$40 exacta: 2,6/3










race 9: 5-Fingal’s Cave $100 win
$40 exacta: 5/7,8
$10 exacta: 7,8/5







$4
7: 3
8: 1,4,6,10
9: 5
10: 1,5,7,11,12
$80





$2
7: 3,6
8: 6,10
9: 5,7
10: 1,5,7,11,12
$80
 
Day #12

+$4,870.24
34-8-4-5
best bets: 11-3-1-2
best bet winning prices:
$5.40 $9.68 $10.18









race 2: 10-Weehawken $100 win
$20 exacta: 10/1,2,7
$10 exacta: 10/3
$10 exacta: 1,2,7/10









race 5: 3-She’s Fancy $100 win
$20 exacta: 3/1,4,6
$10 exacta: 3/5
$10 exacta: 1,4,6/3








race 7: 3-Storm Kiss $200 win **BB**
$60 exacta: 3/2,6
$40 exacta: 2,6/3










race 9: 5-Fingal’s Cave $100 win
$40 exacta: 5/7,8
$10 exacta: 7,8/5







$4
7: 3
8: 1,4,6,10
9: 5
10: 1,5,7,11,12
$80





$2
7: 3,6
8: 6,10
9: 5,7
10: 1,5,7,11,12
$80
 
RECAP










race 2: 10-Weehawken
finished 8th
$20 exacta: 10/1,2,7
$10 exacta: 10/3
$10 exacta: 1,2,7/10









race 5: 3-She’s Fancy
finished 4th
$20 exacta: 3/1,4,6
$10 exacta: 3/5
$10 exacta: 1,4,6/3








race 7: 3-Storm Kiss
finished 7th
$60 exacta: 3/2,6
$40 exacta: 2,6/3










race 9: 5-Fingal’s Cave
finished 2nd
hit 8-5 exacta paying $17.72 per $1
$40 exacta: 5/7,8
$10 exacta: 7,8/5







-$80
7: 3
8: 1,4,6,10
9: 5
10: 1,5,7,11,12
$80





-$80
7: 3,6
8: 6,10
9: 5,7
10: 1,5,7,11,12
$80







4-0-1-0
total bet: $1,160
total collected: $177.20
-$982.80









+$3,887.44
38-8-5-5
best bets: 12-3-1-2
best bet winning prices:
$5.40 $9.68 $10.18
 
+$3,887.44
38-8-5-5
best bets: 12-3-1-2
best bet winning prices:
$5.40 $9.68 $10.18








race 1: 1-Primer Dimer $100 win
$30 exacta: 1/5
$20 exacta: 1/3,6
$10 exacta: 3,5,6/1










race 5: 4-King Vega $100 win
$30 exacta: 4/7
$20 exacta: 4/10,12
$10 exacta: 7,10,12:4












race 6: 5-More Than Five $100 win
$30 exacta: 5/2
$20 exacta: 5/3,4
$10 exacta: 2,3,4/5









race 9: 10-Evan Sing $400 win **BB**
$60 exacta: 10/1,4,6
$40 exacta: 1,4,6/10







$10
5: 4,7
6: 2,5
7: 1,5,7
$120






$6
6: 2,5
7: 1,5,7
8: 3,8,9
9: 10
$108





$2
6: 2,5
7: 1,5,7
8: 3,8,9
9: 1,6,10
$108
 
Hate to be that guy again but in race 6 More than Five is the 6 horse not the five. I appreciate the picks and am obviously tailing so I apologize if I am coming off bad with these corrections as its really easy to make mistakes with so many races and numbers.
 
Hate to be that guy again but in race 6 More than Five is the 6 horse not the five. I appreciate the picks and am obviously tailing so I apologize if I am coming off bad with these corrections as its really easy to make mistakes with so many races and numbers.
no problem at all
appreciate the comments & catching my mistakes
 
+$3,887.44
38-8-5-5
best bets: 12-3-1-2
best bet winning prices:
$5.40 $9.68 $10.18





5 was scratched race 1
12 was scratched race 5
race 6 wrote right name wrong number






race 1: 1-Primer Dimer $100 win
$30 exacta: 1/7
$20 exacta: 1/3,6
$10 exacta: 3,6,7/1










race 5: 4-King Vega $100 win
$30 exacta: 4/7
$20 exacta: 4/2,10
$10 exacta: 2,7,10/4












race 6: 6-More Than Five $100 win
$30 exacta: 6/2
$20 exacta: 6/3,4
$10 exacta: 2,3,4/6









race 9: 10-Evan Sing $400 win **BB**
$60 exacta: 10/1,4,6
$40 exacta: 1,4,6/10







$10
5: 4,7
6: 2,6
7: 1,5,7
$120






$6
6: 2,6
7: 1,5,7
8: 3,8,9
9: 10
$108





$2
6: 2,6
7: 1,5,7
8: 3,8,9
9: 1,6,10
$108
 
RECAP:







race 1: 1-Primer Dimer
finished 6th











race 5: 4-King Vega
finished 2nd













race 6: 6-More Than Five
finished 5th










race 9: 10-Evan Sing
best bet finished 3rd








-$120
5: 4,7
6: 2,6
7: 1,5,7
$120






-$108
6: 2,6
7: 1,5,7
8: 3,8,9
9: 10
$108





-$108
6: 2,6
7: 1,5,7
8: 3,8,9
9: 1,6,10
$108








4-0-1-1
total bet: -$1,536
total collected: $0









+$2,351.44
42-8-6-6
best bets: 13-3-1-3







a really shitty week
Breeders Cup quickly approaching
 
Day #14:
+$2,351.44
42-8-6-6
best bets: 13-3-1-3









race 2: 7-Bonanza Grade $100 W/P









race 5: 5-Epimythium $100 W/P







race 7: 4-Brazillionaire $200 W/P
$50DD: 4/10,11
 
RECAP:







race 2: 7-Bonanza Grade
finished 8th









race 5: 5-Epimythium
finished 8th







race 7: 4-Brazillionaire
best bet winner $17.26 $6.44
$50DD: 4/10,11










3-1-0-0
best bet: winner $17.26
total bet: $900
total collected: $2,370
+$1,470





+$3,821.44
45-9-6-6
best bets: 14-4-1-3
best bet winning prices:
$5.40 $9.68 $10.18 $17.26
 
Day #15:
+$3,821.44
45-9-6-6
best bets: 14-4-1-3
best bet winning prices:
$5.40 $9.68 $10.18 $17.26










race 4: 6-Bear Oak $100 win
$40 exacta box: 6/7
$10 exacta box: 6/5









race 5: 10-Gal Wonder $100 W/P











race 8: 1-Elle Est Forte $200 win *BB*
$50 exacta box: 1/3
$60 exacta: 1/5,8
$40 exacta: 5,8/1
 
recap:






race 4: 6-Bear Oak
finished 4th went off at 2/1
$40 exacta box: 6/7
$10 exacta box: 6/5









race 5: 10-Gal Wonder
finished 5th went off at 5/1











race 8: 1-Elle Est Forte $200 win *BB*
best bet finished 5th went off at 5/1
$50 exacta box: 1/3
$60 exacta: 1/5,8
$40 exacta: 5,8/1






3-0-0-0
total bet: $900
total collected: $0
-$900








+$2,921.44
48-9-6-6
best bets: 15-4-1-3
best bet winning prices:
$5.40 $9.68 $10.18 $17.26
 
Day #16
+$2,921.44
48-9-6-6
best bets: 15-4-1-3
best bet winning prices:
$5.40 $9.68 $10.18 $17.26







race 2: 4-Golden Luna $100 win
$30 exacta box; 4/3
$20 exacta box: 4/1







race 5: 1-Buttons $100 win
$30 exacta box: 1/5
$20 exacta box: 1/9








race 7: 11-Somebody’s Problem $200 win **BB**
$60 exacta: 11/1,6
$40 exacta: 1,6/11








$2
7: 11
8: 1,3,5,6
9: 6,8
10: 2,6,8,10,11
$80








$2
7: 1,11
8: 3,5,6
9: 6,8
10: 2,6,8,10,11
$120
 
Day #16
+$2,921.44
48-9-6-6
best bets: 15-4-1-3
best bet winning prices:
$5.40 $9.68 $10.18 $17.26







race 2: 4-Golden Luna $100 win
$30 exacta box; 4/1
$20 exacta box: 4/10







race 5: 1-Buttons $100 win
$30 exacta box: 1/5
$20 exacta box: 1/9








race 7: 11-Somebody’s Problem $200 win **BB**
$60 exacta: 11/1,6
$40 exacta: 1,6/11








$2
7: 11
8: 1,6,7,11
9: 6,8
10: 4,6,10,11,15
$80








$2
7: 1,11
8: 1,6,7
9: 6,8
10: 4,6,10,11,15
$120
 
RECAP:





race 2: 4-Golden Luna
winner $5.22








race 5: 1-Buttons
finished 11th








race 7: 11-Somebody’s Problem
best bet finished 8th









-$80
7: 11
8: 1,6,7,11
9: 6,8
10: 4,6,10,11,15
$80








-$120
7: 1,11
8: 1,6,7
9: 6,8
10: 4,6,10,11,15
$120






3-1-0-0
total bet: $1,000
total collected: $261
-$739










+$2,182.44
51-10-6-6
best bets: 16-4-1-3
best bet winning prices:
$5.40 $9.68 $10.18 $17.26





tomorrow I really really like one horse
will be making only one bet, gonna let it ride…
 
Day #27:
+$2,182.44
51-10-6-6
best bets: 16-4-1-3
best bet winning prices:
$5.40 $9.68 $10.18 $17.26










race 4: 4-Braganza $600 win **BB**
$100 exacta: 4/6,7
$50 exacta: 6,7/4
$100DD: 4/3,9


$50 pick3:
4: 4
5: 3,9
6: 2,6
$200
 
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☹️recap☹️






race 4: 4-Braganza
best bet finished 6th
horses I used behind ran 1-2
my choice was just AWFUL…
$100 exacta: 4/6,7
$50 exacta: 6,7/4
$100DD: 4/3,9


$50 pick3:
4: 4
5: 3,9
6: 2
$100

6 scratched race 6






bet: $1,200
collected: $0








+$982.44
52-10-6-6
19% win
42% ITM


best bets: 17-4-1-3
23.5% win
47% ITM



best bet winning prices:
$5.40 $9.68 $10.18 $17.26




the meet ended today & I showed a little profit



really looking forward to Breeders Cup friday
saturday not so much…
 
+$982.44
52-10-6-6
best bets: 17-4-1-3








BC Friday:




race 1: 4-Business Model $80 win
$30 exacta: 4/6,8,9
$15 exacta: 6,8,9/4








race. 3: 3-Spartan Army $150 win
$60 exacta box: 3/11
$40 exacta: 3/1,6
$20 exacta: 1,6/3







race 4: 12-Protege $80 win
$30 exacta: 12/2,11
$20 exacta box: 12/9
$15 exacta: 2,11/12






$5 pick 4:
4: 12
5: 1,5,9
6: 3,10,12
7: 2,3
$90






$2
4: 2,11,12
5: 1,5,9
6: 3,10,12
7: 2,3
$108







race 7: 2-You’re My Girl $80 win
$30 exacta box: 2/3








race 9: 5-Verifying $80 win
$60 exacta: 5/3,10
$40 exacta: 3,10/5
$50DD: 5/2
$30DD: 3,10/2







race 10: 2-Packs A Wallop $200 win **BB**
$80 exacta: 2/1,6,8
$40 exacta: 1,6,8/2

$10 trifecta: 2/1,6,8/ALL
$5 trifecta: 1,6,8/2/ALL
 
RECAP BC Friday:






race 1: 4-Business Model
DH winner $8.64 ($345.60)
4/6 exacta pays $18.86 per $1 (30x) ($565.80)
6/4 exacta pays $12.23 per $1 (15x)
($183.45)









race. 3: 3-Spartan Army
finished 6th








race 4: 12-Protege
finished 5th






-$90
$5 pick 4:
4: 12
5: 1,5,9
6: 3,10,12
7: 2,3
$90






-$108
4: 2,11,12
5: 1,5,9
6: 3,10,12
7: 2,3
$108







race 7: 2-You’re My Girl
finished 5th









race 9: 5-Verifying
finished 6th








race 10: 2-Packs A Wallop
BB finished in the shitter





6-1-0-0
best bet:
total bet: $2,643
total collected: $1,094.85
-$1,548.15









-$565.71
58-11-6-6
best bets: 18-4-1-3




started off well & then shit the bed
need a rebound tomorrow
 
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