Just a guess

[tuck321]

Over in Padres 7 minus 10 cents
Padres half a unit not sure what it is but will bet it in a moment
I am seeing Cevelli catching tonight
Last season about 3.50 which is high
This season 5.79
Not sure if that is the whole problem. In fact I think it is just a part of something larger but this team and this pitcher are different and have a very weaken pen after the last 2 games.
Pitt at night this season has 68 runs in 8 games
Padres at night in 9 games have 79
GL

 

[B.A.R.]

Nice work on the over

 

[BetCrimes1984]

tuck on fire for Thursday. Who needs the NBA's 1st round.

 

[tuck321]

Had OKC minus 9.5 and teased OKC down and Houston up. for 2 wins
Should have mentioned that ref is fairly new but was a big over last year and seems to be continuing the good work this year

 

[edou1x]

will be on cubs today:runs>=10 and A and line<=-180 and division=o:division and 2007<=season

teams like cubs are 17-2SU in this situation . combined to other simple system: teams off a no hitter like the cubs yesterday playing the same opponent are 30%ROI and 66%SU

 

[edou1x]

HOU-BOS is an interesting match up: Mchugh is 12-0 SU, L12 after allowing no walks in its previous game. McHugh and Wright have both an ERA>6.5 in 1St inning so prop 1st inning yes seem mandatory for me with a neutral/overish ump.

Steven wright is gonna be hit pretty hard: 1.42 WHIP@ night 1.38 on 4 days rest and 1.59 WHIP in april. HOU OTT for me:shake2:

 

[tuck321]

Sounds good for Houston. Cubs???So far this season Reds have not lost consecutive home games.
CINCINNATI is 13-1 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in home games after getting shut out over the last 3 seasons.

 

[edou1x]

Jon Niese off a shut out since 2007: he allows 4 runs in avg. He is 0-4SU away off a shut out. opponent TT=9 runs

 

[tuck321]

CINCINNATI is 0-8 (-8.6 Units) against the money line in home games after allowing 10 runs or more over the last 2 seasons.
Complicated

 

[kdog]

Jon Niese off a shut out since 2007: he allows 4 runs in avg. He is 0-4SU away off a shut out. opponent TT=9 runs

Sample size = 4 games. In 8 years. All with another team that was mostly horrible. C'mon man.

 

[tuck321]

New team especially. No real value I would guess