July - August Bases

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
LAST - [5-12 -20.8u]
2022 - [448-487 +77.77u]

A totally forgettable day where both chalk and overs went 10-5...not good for a dog/under player :riphair:

Monday:

• 4/4.72 Marlins +118
• 4/3.88 Red Sox -103
• 3/2.97 ANGELS -101
• 2/3.40 Rockies +170
• 2/3.24 Phillies +162
• 2/1.74 BRAVES o8 -115
• 2/2.08 ROYALS u8 +104
• 1/1.99 ATHLETICS +199
• 2/1.37 RANGERS +1½ -146
• 2/2.10 GUARDIANS o9½ +105
• 2/2.16 PADRES -1½ +108

CHASIN THE LINE...​

​

LAST ML - 2-3​

3+ Years ML - 60.0% +5.9% ROI ​

LAST RLF- 1-2​

3+ Years RLF- 50.2% +1.1% ROI​

LAST UN - 2-3​

3+ Years UN - 56.4% +8.2% ROI​

LAST OV - 1-1​

3+ Years OV - 53.3% +2.4% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: ATL​

RLF: ATL​

UNDER: CHW, KC​

OVER: PHI, BOS​

​

 

[Gandolf]

The Pirates/Marlins game was especially galling. 4-2 Marlins in bottom of the ninth, they give up 2 to kill the under, then go up 6-4 in the 10th only to give up 1 in the bottom of the 10th to re-kill the run line. Leaving their closer on the bench because Mattingly used him for 2 innings in a loss the night before.

 

[mrpickem]

The Pirates/Marlins game was especially galling. 4-2 Marlins in bottom of the ninth, they give up 2 to kill the under, then go up 6-4 in the 10th only to give up 1 in the bottom of the 10th to re-kill the run line. Leaving their closer on the bench because Mattingly used him for 2 innings in a loss the night before.

Damn I didn’t even realize they went back up 2 in the 10th as I gave up on it after they blowed 4-2 lead in 9th. Another stinker for me was I was out driving and Sports Grid radio gave a final score with COL winning 10-9 lol.
It’s all about to change though as I was struck by the good luck bug. Did you notice my units on the season
7 7 7 7

:tongueout2:

 

[2daBank]

The Pirates/Marlins game was especially galling. 4-2 Marlins in bottom of the ninth, they give up 2 to kill the under, then go up 6-4 in the 10th only to give up 1 in the bottom of the 10th to re-kill the run line. Leaving their closer on the bench because Mattingly used him for 2 innings in a loss the night before.

Not to rub salt on you guys but that game was the exact reason I play mostly 1st 5 unders opposed to games. 1-1 after 5 and I was done with it!! I didn’t even realize there ended up being so much scoring late till this morning. That sucks.

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
LAST - [7-4 +6.7u]
2022 - [455-491 +84.47u]

Tuesday:

• 5/4.67 White Sox -107
• 5/2.91 Cubs -172
• 5/2.67 Padres -187
• 3/5.34 O'S +178
• 3/2.52 DBACKS +1½ -119
• 1/2.11 NATS +211
• 3/3.12 A'S u7 +104
• 3/2.88 PHILLIES u7½ -104

Pend: BOS

​

CHASIN THE LINE...​

​

LAST ML - 0-1​

3+ Years ML - 60.0% +5.8% ROI ​

LAST RLF- 0-1​

3+ Years RLF- 50.2% +1.0% ROI​

LAST UN - 0-0​

3+ Years UN - 56.3% +8.2% ROI​

LAST OV - 0-0​

3+ Years OV - 53.3% +2.4% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: CHC, TB, BOS, SD, OAK, SF, WA​

RLF: CHC, TB, BOS, SD, SF​

UNDER: PHI, COL, OAK​

OVER: CHC​

 

[mrpickem]

adds

• 2/3.34 DIAMONDBACKS +167
• 4/2.88 Red Sox -139

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
LAST - [8-2 +19.66u]
2022 - [463-493 +104.13u]

Wednesday:
4/5.40 Marlins +135
4/6.04 YANKEES +151
4/4.00 RED SOX u8½ +100
4/3.60 ASTROS -1½ -111
4/4.36 BREWERS -1½ +109
4/2.50 DIAMONDBACKS +1½ -160
3/3.03 MARINERS u8 +101
3/2.91 TIGERS u7-103
3/3.33 WHITE SOX -1½ +111
3/2.68 BLUE JAYS -1½ -112
5/2.04 BLUE JAYS -245
3/2.27 DODGERS -1½ -132
3/2.88 ATHLETICS u7 -104
3/2.73 BREWERS u8 -110

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 4-2​

5 Years ML - 60.1% +6.0% ROI ​

LAST RLF- 1-3​

5 Years RLF- 51.4% +3.2% ROI​

LAST UN - 0-3​

5 Years UN - 57.0% +9.4% ROI​

LAST OV - 0-0​

5 Years OV - 54.2% +4.1% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: ATL, DET, MIL, CHW, LAD, HOU, TEX, CIN, NYM, TOR​

RLF: ATL, MIL, CHW, LAD, HOU, CIN, NYM, TOR​

UNDER: MIL, TOR, BOS​

OVER: PHI​

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
LAST - [5-8-1 -14.96u]
2022 - [468-501 +89.17u]

Big chalk killed me, need to avoid at all costs! :deadhorse:

Thursday:

• 4/3.03 Giants -132
• 3/2.68 PHILLIES o7½ -112
• 2/3.84 TIGERS +192
• 3/2.78 ANGELS u7½ -108
• 2/2.50 Mariners +125

​

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 4-4​

5 Years ML - 60.1% +5.9% ROI ​

LAST RLF- 2-4​

5 Years RLF- 51.3% +3.1% ROI​

LAST UN - 1-2-1​

5 Years UN - 56.9% +9.3% ROI​

LAST OV - 0-0-1​

5 Years OV - 54.2% +4.1% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: LAA​

RLF: LAA​

UNDER: LAA​

OVER: PHI​

​

 

[chipnotized]

Quick favor to ask of you @mrpickem ...

Do you have a real-time percentage of 1-run games this season? I'm wondering if the extra innings rules have skewed the historic 28% of games being decided by one run.

Thanks and GL today.

 

[mrpickem]

Quick favor to ask of you @mrpickem ...

Do you have a real-time percentage of 1-run games this season? I'm wondering if the extra innings rules have skewed the historic 28% of games being decided by one run.

Thanks and GL today.

422 1-run games out of 1478 total games thru Wed ~ 28.55%

252 when the favorite wins out of 894 ~ 28.19% :rofl:

 

[chipnotized]

422 1-run games out of 1478 total games thru Wed ~ 28.55%

252 when the favorite wins out of 894 ~ 28.19% :rofl:

Much obliged sir.

I'm working an angle with my local sports lottery that changed their rules this season to consider 1-run games as ties.

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
LAST - [3-2 +4.49u]
2022 - [471-503 +93.66u]

Friday:

• 4/7.16 ATHLETICS +179
• 6/3.87 Brewers -155
• 4/4.32 PHILLIES o8½ +108
• 5/2.40 RANGERS +1½ -208
• 5/2.89 Cardinals -173
• 4/5.60 Phillies -1½ +140
• 5/2.99 Astros -167
• 2/3.88 ROCKIES +194
• 4/2.42 Yankees -1½ -165
• 3/2.61 Blue Jays u8½ -115
• 3/3.30 Astros u7 +110

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 0-2​

5 Years ML - 60.0% +5.8% ROI ​

LAST RLF- 0-2​

5 Years RLF- 51.3% +3.0% ROI​

LAST UN - 1-0​

5 Years UN - 56.9% +9.4% ROI​

LAST OV - 0-1​

5 Years OV - 54.2% +4.1% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: NYY, SL, TOR, HOU​

RLF: NYY, SL, TOR, HOU​

UNDER: TOR, HOU​

OVER: PIT, WA​

randoms...

• Reports: Mets acquire OF Tyler Naquin from Reds
• SF: Giants snap seven game losing streak against Cubs
• TEX: Rangers eke out win over Shohei Ohtani, Angels
• LAD: Tyler Anderson, Dodgers dominate Rockies in 13-0 win
• HOU: Alex Bregman knocks in three as Astros dump Mariners
• PHI: Phillies build big lead, hold on to beat Pirates
• TOR: Blue Jays clip Tigers behind Matt Chapman's two homers
• NYY: Aaron Judge's walk-off blast gives Yanks 1-0 win over Royals
• MIA: Marlins' hot bats hold off Reds
• BAL: Orioles' Trey Mancini delivers inside-the-park HR in win over Rays

STREAKS: PIT -4
GAMES IN TOR OVER 22-8 +40.5% ROI L60 DAYS
GAMES IN SEA UNDER 22-9 +35.6% ROI L60 DAYS
Braves w/avg 10% more runs than opp: 12-1 +32% ROI since May

FRIDAY AT SITE(HOME/AWAY) L730 DAYS EXCLUDING SEPT

• CIN 13-6 +31.4% ROI
• ATL 15-7 +20.7%
• TB 13-6 +20.4%
• SD 16-6 +18.4%
• LAD 15-6 +15.0%
• NYM 6-10 -24.4%
• PIT 6-12 -25.0%
• AZ 6-15 -28.4%
• LAA 7-15 -35.2%
• WA 6-13 -37.1%
• CHC 5-13 -39.7%
• TEX 5-15 -46.8%

Starter vs opponent(alltime):

• Madison Bumgarner 10-7 +15.9% ROI vs ATL (6-2 +53% away)
• Julio Urias 11-3 +15.7% ROI vs COL (7-2 +21.2% away)
• Justin Verlander 23-13 +5.2% ROI vs SEA (13-5 +8.6% at home)

TEAM w/STARTER TODAY AT SITE(HOME/AWAY) L730 DAY EXCLUDING SEPT(MIN 10 STARTS)

• Chad Kuhl 10-6 +49.2% ROI (5 straight W's and 11-2 L13)
• Martin Perez 16-7 +43.8%
• Kyle Wright 10-3 +27.5%
• Chris Bassitt 18-9 +27.2%
• J Kaprielian 10-7 +25.6%
• Shane Bieber 18-7 +19.8%
• Alex Wood 14-7 +10.5%
• Mad Bumgarner 6-15 -32.1%
• Mike Minor 6-16 -41.5% (Lost 9 straight @home and 1-15 L16 overall)

 

[mrpickem]

could not resist...

• 4/1.94 BRAVES -206
• 2/1.98 BRAVES -1½ -101

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
LAST - [10-3 +19.42u]
2022 - [481-506 +113.08u]

Saturday:

• 5/3.94 Giants -127
• 3/7.38 TIGERS +246
• 4/4.00 Astros o8 +100
• 3/2.50 PIRATES +1½ -120
• 3/2.75 BRAVES -1½ -109
• 3/3.09 BREWERS o10 +103
• 2/3.24 Athletics +162
• 3/3.06 Orioles +102
• 3/2.36 Padres -127

Pend: NYM, KC

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 3-1​

5 Years ML - 60.0% +5.8% ROI ​

LAST RLF- 3-1​

5 Years RLF- 51.3% +3.0% ROI​

LAST UN - 1-1​

5 Years UN - 56.9% +9.4% ROI​

LAST OV - 0-2​

5 Years OV - 54.1% +3.9% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: KC, DET, PHI​

RLF: PHI​

UNDER: CIN​

OVER: BOS, HOU​

​

5* SF, DET​

4* HOU O, ​

3* NYM, PIT 1', ATL, KC, OAK, BOS O, BAL, SD​

 

[chipnotized]

Tore the cover off the ball last night, nice work my man.

An epic two-day run of unparalleled doe-eyed beauty as an added bonus. Mag-fucking-nificent!

 

[2daBank]

Quick favor to ask of you @mrpickem ...

Do you have a real-time percentage of 1-run games this season? I'm wondering if the extra innings rules have skewed the historic 28% of games being decided by one run.

Thanks and GL today.

It only when I have the dog +1.5 and under does the extra inning rule fuck things up!

 

[mrpickem]

Nats 13-38 in conference at home as +125 or more dog last 3 seasons (6-20 this season) ... +130 with Cards visiting today




Snakes 5-45 as road dogs over +175 last 3 years...fade for 26.6% ROI (+190 at Atlanta today)

 

[mrpickem]

ADDS

• 3/2.17 Cardinals -138
• 3/2.61 METS -1½ -115
• 2.50/2 Braves o5½ -125 5-Inn

Not sure why, but Yanks line not listed at either of my books

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
LAST - [6-6 +2.39u]
2022 - [487-512 +115.47u]

Sunday:

• 6/2.70 Braves -222
• 6/2.21 Blue Jays -272
• 4/6.48 Rockies +162
• 3/2.80 Cardinals -107
• 4/3.03 Brewers -132
• 4/3.85 MARLINS u7 -104
• 4/3.67 GIANTS u7½ -109
• 2/2.40 Mariners +120
• 3/1.80 MARINERS +1½ -167
• 3/2.80 BRAVES u8 -107
• 3/3.03 PIRATES u7 +101
• 3/3.15 RAYS u6½ +105

​

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 2-3​

5 Years ML - 60.0% +5.8% ROI ​

LAST RLF- 1-1​

5 Years RLF- 51.3% +3.0% ROI​

LAST UN - 0-1​

5 Years UN - 56.9% +9.3% ROI​

LAST OV - 3-2​

5 Years OV - 54.1% +3.9% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: ATL, KC, TB, MIA, CHW, SEA, COL, SF​

RLF: ATL, TB, CHW, SF​

UNDER: ATL, TB, MIA​

OVER: SD​

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
LAST - [6-6 -4.02u]
2022 - [493-518 +111.45u]
JULY - [171-145 +107.11U]

Monday:

• 4/2.90 METS -1½ -138
• 4/5.12 Giants +128
• 3/2.86 Giants u7½ -105
• 4/4.44 YANKEES -1½ +111
• 4/2.82 Guardians -142

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 2-4​

5 Years ML - 60.0% +5.7% ROI ​

LAST RLF- 2-2​

5 Years RLF- 51.3% +3.0% ROI​

LAST UN - 1-2​

5 Years UN - 56.8% +9.2% ROI​

LAST OV - 0-1​

5 Years OV - 54.1% +3.8% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: NYY​

RLF: NYY​

UNDER: NA​

OVER: NA​

https://www.reddit.com/r/sexygirls/comments/wct8ef

 

[2daBank]

Damn, yanks havnt lost a home game to a lefty starter all year? Guess they don’t lose all that much in general but still seems crazy.

 

[mrpickem]

ADDS

• 4/4.88 TIGERS +122
• 5/4.63 MARLINS -108

​

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
LAST - [3-4 -5.84u]
2022 - [496-522 +105.61u]


Tuesday:

• 8/2.79 METS -287
• 5/6.60 Rays +132
• 6/2.64 PADRES GM-1 -227
• 2/4.44 PIRATES +222
• 4/4.20 ASTROS -1½ +105
• 4/4.00 Phillies +1½ +100
• 5/2.78 Orioles +1½ -180
• 4/3.42 Angels -117
• 4/4.92 Diamondbacks +123
• 3/4.05 Giants +135
• 2/3.34 Tigers +167
• 3/3.00 Twins o9 +100

Pend: SD (G2)

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 1-0​

5 Years ML - 60.0% +5.7% ROI ​

LAST RLF- 1-0​

5 Years RLF- 51.3% +3.1% ROI​

LAST UN - 0-0​

5 Years UN - 56.8% +9.2% ROI​

LAST OV - 0-0​

5 Years OV - 54.1% +3.8% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: SD, NYM, MIN, HOU​

RLF: SD, NYM, MIN, HOU​

UNDER: CLE, AZ​

OVER: MIN​

 

[mrpickem]

adds

• 4/2.21 PADRES GM-2 -181
• 3/3.00 Guardians u7½ +100

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
LAST - [7-7 -6.25u]
2022 - [503-529 +99.36u]
Sorry ass Mets put it to me last night as foolishly, that was my highest risk for one game this season.
I place my wagers systematically where I rate selections 1/2/3 where 1's get 5u risk, 2's get 4u risk & 3's get 3u risk, but I then adj for larger ML's...when FAV over -150 add 1u, when over -200 add 2u, when over -250 add 3u(This happened with Mets -SMH. Then it works the other way with DOGS, when +150 or more subtract 1u, when > +200 subtract 2u and when > +250 subtract 3u. Since using this system I reduced unit value to a point where 4 listed units actually equal 1 unit for me...just seems easier for posting.


Wednesday:

• 5/6.40 Phillies +128
• 5/5.25 Rays +105
• 4/4.56 MARLINS -1½ +114
• 4/3.77 ANGELS -1½ -106
• 2/3.74 Pirates +187
• 3/3.03 BLUE JAYS o8 +101
• 3/2.54 YANKEES u7½ -118
• 3/3.03 TWINS -1½ +101
• 3/4.11 RANGERS -1½ +137
• 3/2.80 ANGELS u7 -107
• 3/2.88 DIAMONDBACKS o8½ -104

Pend:

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 0-5​

5 Years ML - 59.9% +5.5% ROI ​

LAST RLF- 0-4​

5 Years RLF- 51.2% +2.9% ROI​

LAST UN - 0-1​

5 Years UN - 56.8% +9.1% ROI​

LAST OV - 0-2​

5 Years OV - 54.0% +3.6% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: PHI, CLE, MIN, TEX, WA, MIA, PIT, LAA​

RLF: CLE, MIN, TEX, MIA, LAA​

UNDER: ATL, NYY, LAA​

OVER: TB, CLE, WA​

​

​

randoms...

• STREAKS: SD 4, ATL 4, CIN 4, COL -4, MIA -5
• GAMES IN ATL UNDER 20-10 +27.4% ROI L60 DAYS
• GAMES IN SF UNDER 16-10 +14.5% ROI L60 DAYS
• GAMES IN TB OVER 14-9 +15.8% ROI L8 WEEKS
• AZ 22-78 -33.3% ROI LAST 2 SEASONS WHEN ROAD DOG > +120
• NYM 34-21 +11.0% ROI on the road this season
• NYM 18-6 +38.9% ROI RL on the road in DIV this season
• WA 5-23 +33.8% ROI(FADE) at home in DIV this season
• TB 16-8 +24.7% at home in DIV this season

TUESDAY AT SITE(HOME/AWAY) L730 DAYS EXCLUDING SEPT

• DET 12-6 +60.3% ROI
• BOS 12-8 +34.4%
• TOR 14-5 +34.0%
• CHC 11-9 +29.3%
• MIL 14-7 +23.3%
• NYY 13-6 +12.1%
• HOU 12-6 +00.7%
• MIN 6-12 -37.0%
• WA 6-14 -37.0%
• CIN 5-12 -37.1%
• PIT 4-13 -49.9%
• COL 4-13 -51.7%

Starter vs opponent(alltime):

• Miles Mikolas 8-3 +44.9% ROI vs CUBS *Won 4 straight
• Lance Lynn 9-2 +39.4% vs KC *Also 9-2 RL +52% ROI
• Martin Perez 4-9 -53.3% vs BAL *2-8 last 5 years

TEAM w/STARTER TODAY AT SITE(HOME/AWAY) L730 DAY EXCLUDING SEPT(MIN 10 STARTS)

• Freddy Peralta 12-3 +36.9% ROI (10-1 in DIV)
• James Kaprielian 11-7 +32.8%
• Chris Bassitt 18-9 +27.5%
• Miles Mikolas 8-4 +14.2%
• Brady Singer 5-13 -33.2%
• Luis Castillo 7-17 -41.0%

RIP Vin

​

 

[mrpickem]

Who's hot
...over last 60 days, the O's been the best bet while Doyer under hit 66%

 

[mrpickem]

adding

• 2/5.32 ROCKIES +266

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
LAST - [7-5 +13.55u]
2022 - [510-534 +116.91u]

Thursday:

• 4/6.48 Tigers +162
• 5/6.00 Rangers +120
• 3/5.52 GIANTS +184
• 4/3.51 PHILLIES -1½ -114
• 5/2.63 ATHLETICS +1½ -190
• 3/3.66 Royals +122
• 1/2.18 PIRATES +218
• 1/2.53 ROCKIES +253
• 3/2.86 ATHLETICS o8 -105
• 3/2.04 Cardinals GM1 -147
• 3/2.88 CARDINALS GM1 u7½ -104

​

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 5-4​

5 Years ML - 59.9% +5.5% ROI ​

LAST RLF- 4-2​

5 Years RLF- 51.3% +2.9% ROI​

LAST UN - 2-1​

5 Years UN - 56.8% +9.2% ROI​

LAST OV - 3-1​

5 Years OV - 54.0% +3.8% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: MIL, LAD, PHI, CHC​

RLF: MIL, LAD, PHI​

UNDER: SD, SL​

OVER: LAA​

randoms...

• SD: Drury hit a grand slam on the first pitch he saw as a Padre
• DET: Castro went 3-for-4 in Wednesday's 4-1 loss to the Twins
• LAD: Dodgers honor Vin Scully with a commemorative patch on uniforms
• SEA: Castillo, early power send Mariners past Cole, Yankees 7-3
• HOU: Alvarez gets away with four-strike at-bat as Astros beat Red Sox 6-1
• PIT: Reynolds' leadoff HR in 9th powers Pirates past Brewers 8-7
• PIT: Oneil Cruz hits a 434-foot home run in Pirates win
• MIA: Alcantara throws MLB-most 3rd complete game, Marlins beat Reds 3-0
• NYM: Vogelbach's slam, Alonso's HR send Mets past Nationals 9-5
• COL: Chad Smith was recalled from Triple-A Albuquerque on Wednesday
• STREAKS: SD 5, LAA 4, COL -5
• GAMES IN LAA UNDER 16-10 +17.1% ROI L60 DAYS
• GAMES IN SF UNDER 17-10 +17% ROI L60 DAYS
• GAMES IN PHI OVER 14-9 +17% ROI L60 DAYS

THURSDAY AT SITE(HOME/AWAY) L730 DAYS EXCLUDING SEPT

• OAK 10-4 +51.4% ROI
• HOU 11-3 +47.0%
• TB 10-4 +37.8%
• NYM 9-3 +30.4%
• DET 9-6 +25.2%
• CLE 9-5 +23.5%
• SD 10-3 +22.4%
• LAD 12-4 +19.4%
• CHW 3-5 -30.2%
• TEX 3-7 -36.9%
• COL 3-9 -39.8%
• WA 1-12 -83.5%

Starter vs opponent(alltime):

• Miles Mikolas 8-3 +44.9% ROI vs CUBS *Won 4 straight
• Brandon Woodruff 9-3 +8.3% vs PIT (8-4 on RL for +21.7% ROI)

TEAM w/STARTER TODAY AT SITE(HOME/AWAY) L730 DAY EXCLUDING SEPT(MIN 10 STARTS)

• JAKOB JUNIS 7-2 +53.3% ROI
• JOHNNY CUETO 12-6 +44.2%
• J VERLANDER 8-2 +30.8%
• KRIS BUBIC 10-8 +21.5%

Teams over last 90 days at site today(home/away)


Of note...A's 65% unders away(25-15) and Rox 70.7% losers away

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
LAST - [8-2-1 +17.76u]
2022 - [518-536 +134.67u]

Friday:

• 5/5.50 Twins +110
• 4/7.00 GUARDIANS +175
• 5/3.33 Dodgers -150
• 3/4.80 Rangers +160
• 4/2.05 RAYS -195
• 4/2.78 YANKEES -144
• 3/2.78 REDS +1½ -108
• 3/3.03 REDS o9 +101
• 3/3.09 DODGERS u8½ +103
• 3/3.18 BLUE JAYS o9 +106

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 3-1​

5 Years ML - 59.9% +5.5% ROI ​

LAST RLF- 2-2​

5 Years RLF- 51.3% +2.9% ROI​

LAST UN - 1-1​

5 Years UN - 56.8% +9.1% ROI​

LAST OV - 2-0​

5 Years OV - 54.1% +3.9% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: WA, CHW, SD​

RLF: CHW​

UNDER: TEX​

OVER: MIN​

randoms...

• STREAKS: LAD 5, SL 4, SF -4, MIL -4, CHC -5
• GAMES IN SEA UNDER 19-9 +29.7% ROI L60 DAYS
• GAMES IN LAD UNDER 16-7 +27.2% ROI L60 DAYS
• GAMES IN MIL OVER 16-9 +21.6% ROI L60 DAYS
• AZ 25-18 AS HOME FAVE L2 YEAR BUT COVERED RL 24 TIMES(RL: 24-19 +32.9%ROI)
• TB 44-14 +28.1% ROI L3 seasons and 15-2 L15(25-6 on road inc 6 straight W's)

THURSDAY AT SITE(HOME/AWAY) L730 DAYS EXCLUDING SEPT

• BOS 15-6 +36.0% ROI
• SEA 15-7 +30.9%
• HOU 16-6 +30.5%
• PHI 14-6 +24.9%
• SD 13-7 +22.3%
• CHW 11-7 +20.2%
• ATL 12-6 +20.1%
• LAD 13-8 -11.4%
• PIT 5-13 -28.8%
• SL 7-11 -29.5%
• DET 4-11 -36.4%
• LAA 6-15 -39.6%

Starter vs opponent(alltime):

• Tony Gonsolin 4-0 vs SD
• Madison Bumgarner 25-15 +10.6% vs COL (15-5 at home inc 3-0 in zona)

TEAM w/STARTER TODAY AT SITE(HOME/AWAY) L730 DAY EXCLUDING SEPT(MIN 10 STARTS)

• Josiah Gray 8-3 +95.9% ROI
• Tony Gonsolin 14-2 +29.1%
• Kyle Gibson 17-8 +27.6%
• M Bumgarner 12-9 +25.3%
• Dylan Cease 16-8 +24.4%
• Corey Kluber 6-10 -30.1%
• Justin Steele 4-9 -34.4%

 

[mrpickem]

mlb adds

• 4/6.84 ANGELS +171
• 3.33/6 TIGERS +180

I'm buying off the Rays with a small extra on Tigs plus rolling with Angels opcorn:

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
LAST - [5-7 -2.43u]
2022 - [523-543 +132.24u]

Saturday:

• 3/2.86 Yankees -105
• 5/3.52 Orioles -142
• 4/2.72 Dodgers -147
• 3/3.36 Braves +112
• 3/6.96 TIGERS +232
• 4/4.96 DIAMONDBACKS -1½ +124
• 5/2.10 PHILLIES -238

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 2-2​

5 Years ML - 59.9% +5.5% ROI ​

LAST RLF- 1-1​

5 Years RLF- 51.3% +2.9% ROI​

LAST UN - 1-0​

5 Years UN - 56.8% +9.2% ROI​

LAST OV - 0-0​

5 Years OV - 54.1% +3.9% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: PHI, CLE, TB, CIN, AZ​

RLF: PHI, TB, AZ​

UNDER: NYM​

OVER: NA​

LAST 25 GAMES THE DOYERS HAVE BEEN SMOKING

• LAD 21-4
• BAL 18-7
  
• SEA 17-8
• NYM 17-8
• ATL 16-9

Last 90 days home/away
Team Site W L Win% ROI%
Orioles home 23 14 62.2 +29.0
ChiSox away 23 16 59.0 +19.6
Reds away 16 16 50.0 +19.0
RedSox away 22 17 56.4 +14.8
Astros away 27 14 65.9 +14.5
Cards home 26 15 63.4 +13.5
Rockies away 12 29 29.3 -26.1
Rays away 15 25 37.5 -29.8
Giants away 14 23 37.8 -30.6
Angels away 12 24 33.3 -33.0

Team Site OV UN Over %
Pirates away 12 24 30.8
M's home 13 25 33.3
Nats away 14 18 38.9
Astros away 16 23 39.0
Tigers home 16 18 41.0

 

[mrpickem]

MLB adds

• 3/6.09 ATHLETICS +203
• 4/7.40 ANGELS GM-1 +185

Note: Early Braves play is for Game 1

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
LAST - [4-5 -1.7u]
2022 - [527-548 +130.54u]

Sunday:

• 4/6.24 TIGERS +156
• 6/3.68 ORIOLES -163
• 6/2.08 PHILLIES -289
• 6/2.28 BREWERS -263
• 3/4.68 DODGERS -1½ +156
• 4/2.86 Rockies +1½ -140
• 4/3.20 Rangers +1½ -125
• 3/4.38 Twins +146
• 3/4.05 Angels +135
• 2/4.04 ATHLETICS +202
• 3/3.78 BRAVES +126
• 3/2.33 YANKEES -129
• 3/3.00 ROCKIES o9 +100

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 6-3​

5 Years ML - 59.9% +5.5% ROI ​

LAST RLF- 1-4​

5 Years RLF- 51.2% +2.8% ROI​

LAST UN - 0-1​

5 Years UN - 56.8% +9.1% ROI​

LAST OV - 0-1​

5 Years OV - 54.1% +3.8% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: PHI, MIL, DET, TOR, NYY, CHW​

RLF: PHI, MIL, TOR, NYY, CHW ​

UNDER: NA​

OVER: SEA, AZ​

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----

LAST - [3-10 -28.24u]
2022 - [530-558 +102.3u]

Monday:

• 5/7.00 Orioles +140
• 2/5.18 REDS +259
• 4/6.76 NATIONALS +169
• 4/3.08 GIANTS +1½ -130
• 3/3.15 METS u8½ +105
• 3/2.68 Yankees -112
• 1/2.12 PIRATES +212

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 3-5​

5 Years ML - 59.9% +5.4% ROI ​

LAST RLF- 2-4​

5 Years RLF- 51.2% +2.7% ROI​

LAST UN - 1-0​

5 Years UN - 56.8% +9.2% ROI​

LAST OV - 2-2​

5 Years OV - 54.1% +3.8% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: SD​

RLF: SD ​

UNDER: NA​

OVER: NA​

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
LAST - [4-3 +8.91u]
2022 - [534-561 +111.21u]

Tuesday:

• 2/5.20 REDS +260
• 2/4.06 MARLINS +203
• 6/2.96 DODGERS -203
• 3/3.03 DODGERS u8½ +101
• 5/6.90 Red Sox. +138
• 4/4.40 Angels -1½ +110
• 3/3.00 Dbacks o9 +100
• 3/3.75 Astros -1½ +125
• 3/2.75 CUBS u8 -109
• 3/2.70 CARDS -1½ -111
• 2/3.26 GIANTS +163

Pend: TB​

​

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 0-1​

5 Years ML - 59.8% +5.4% ROI ​

LAST RLF- 0-1​

5 Years RLF- 51.1% +2.6% ROI​

LAST UN - 0-0​

5 Years UN - 56.8% +9.2% ROI​

LAST OV - 0-0​

5 Years OV - 54.1% +3.8% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: TOR, CIN, SL, LAA, PIT​

RLF: TOR, SL, LAA ​

UNDER: BAL, OAK​

OVER: AZ​

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
LAST - [4-7 -5.89u]
2022 - [538-568 +105.32u]

Wednesday:

• 5/6.60 Orioles +132
• 5/7.60 Tigers +152
• 4/4.68 Marlins +117
• 4/5.88 Rays +147
• 3/7.83 REDS +261
• 3/2.97 GIANTS o8½ -101
• 3/2.46 PHILLIES -122
• 3/2.80 GUARDIANS o8 -107
• 3/4.56 Rockies +152
• 3/3.96 Red Sox +132

Pend: MIN, LAA​

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 1-5​

5 Years ML - 59.8% +5.3% ROI ​

LAST RLF- 1-3​

5 Years RLF- 51.1% +2.5% ROI​

LAST UN - 2-1​

5 Years UN - 56.8% +9.2% ROI​

LAST OV - 0-1​

5 Years OV - 54.1% +3.8% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: WA, DET, HOU​

RLF: HOU​

UNDER: NA​

OVER: SEA, SD, DET​

randoms...

SD: Manny Machado clobbers walk-off three-run home run​

SD: Juan Soto crushes first Padres homer in victory​

HOU: Aledmys Diaz belts grand slam in win over Rangers​

LAA: Ohtani fires six scoreless, goes deep in victory​

ARZ: Tommy Henry strikes out three in win over Pirates​

WAS: Ruiz slugs two home runs to fuel Nats past Cubs​

WAS: Nelson Cruz lifted Tuesday due to a sore shoulder​

ATL: Austin Riley hits 30th homer, drives in five runs​

ATL: Orlando Arcia (hamstring) to be placed on the IL​

BAL: Rougned Odor rips go-ahead homer in the eighth​

​

​

​

 

[mrpickem]

adds

• 4/4.48 ANGELS +112
• 4/5.96 TWINS +149

 

[AtlHawks]

Question

At Site Home/Away last 730 days

It seems to be a day behind? Or is that just a typo?

 

[mrpickem]

Question

At Site Home/Away last 730 days

It seems to be a day behind? Or is that just a typo?

It's todays, my sheet imports the daily stuff but doesn't change the actual written day, I have to do that manually and I seem to forget more often than I should, if I post it, it's current.

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
LAST - [4-7-1 -13.29u]
2022 - [542-575 +92.03u]

~ mired in another slump.
Last 4 days: [24-39 -42.64u]

Thursday:

• 4/6.48 Royals +162
• 5/6.00 Orioles +120
• 4/3.74 Cardinals -107
• 3/4.56 Tigers +152
• 4/4.80 DIAMONDBACKS -1½ +120
• 3/2.91 GUARDIANS o8½ -103
• 4/4.96 PHILLIES -1½ +124

​

CHASIN THE LINE... (Been on a really rough stretch last couple weeks)​

LAST ML - 0-5​

5 Years ML - 59.7% +5.1% ROI ​

LAST RLF- 0-1​

5 Years RLF- 51.0% +2.4% ROI​

LAST UN - 0-0​

5 Years UN - 56.8% +9.2% ROI​

LAST OV - 4-1​

5 Years OV - 54.1% +3.9% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: PHI, CHW, AZ, BAL​

RLF: PHI, CHW, AZ​

UNDER: NA​

OVER: SEA, SD, DET​

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
LAST - [2-5 -7.72u]
2022 - [544-580 +84.31u]

Friday:

• 6/2.76 Dodgers -217
• 3/5.16 Phillies +172
• 4/5.88 Brewers +147
• 4/6.08 Guardians +152
• 4/2.82 Rays -142
• 5/5.35 RED SOX +107
• 4/2.96 PADRES -1½ -135
• 4/3.64 WHITE SOX -1½ -110
• 3/2.04 Braves -147

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 0-3​

5 Years ML - 59.6% +5.0% ROI ​

LAST RLF- 0-2​

5 Years RLF- 51.0% +2.4% ROI​

LAST UN - 0-1​

5 Years UN - 56.8% +9.2% ROI​

LAST OV - 0-0​

5 Years OV - 54.1% +3.9% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: SD, CHW, NYM​

RLF: SD, CHW, NYM​

UNDER: NA​

OVER: WA​

 

[mrpickem]

one more...

• 4/5.64 Rangers +141

​

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
LAST - [7-3 +15.99u]
2022 - [551-583 +100.3u]

Saturday:

• 5/5.60 Marlins +112
• 5/8.45 PHILLIES +169
• 4/4.88 Cardinals +122
• 4/5.32 ROCKIES +133
• 1.40/3 PIRATES +215
• 4/2.78 ORIOLES +1½ -144
• 2/3.54 Tigers +177
• 1/2.32 Athletics +232
• 4.11/3 Yankees -137
• 4/4.08 Angels +102
• 3/3.12 ANGELS u8 +104
• 5/2.20 Dodgers -227

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 1-1​

5 Years ML - 59.6% +5.0% ROI ​

LAST RLF- 1-1​

5 Years RLF- 51.0% +2.4% ROI​

LAST UN - 0-0​

5 Years UN - 56.8% +9.2% ROI​

LAST OV - 1-0​

5 Years OV - 54.2% +4.0% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: TB, OAK, PHI, MIL, NYY, AZ, PIT​

RLF: TB, MIL, NYY, AZ​

UNDER: NA​

OVER: NA​

 

[mrpickem]

back with fish again in game 2

• 3/4.74 MARLINS GM-2 +158

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
LAST - [3-9-1 -20.12u]
2022 - [554-592 +80.18u]

Sunday:

• 5/11.30 ATHLETICS +226
• 5/10.45 ROYALS +209
• 4/2.96 Twins -135
• 4/5.00 Marlins +125
• 4/2.86 Cardinals -140
• 4/3.39 Rockies -118
• 3/4.50 Orioles +150
• 3/2.68 ORIOLES o7½ -112
• 3/2.59 MARINERS -116
• 3/3.00 DIAMONDBACKS o12 +100
• 3/2.50 BLUE JAYS u7½ -120

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 7-3​

5 Years ML - 59.6% +5.0% ROI ​

LAST RLF- 4-3​

5 Years RLF- 51.0% +2.3% ROI​

LAST UN - 2-2​

5 Years UN - 56.8% +9.1% ROI​

LAST OV - 1-0​

5 Years OV - 54.2% +4.0% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: MIA, BAL, CHC, KC, SL, SEA, COL, MIN​

RLF: CHC, SL, COL, MIN​

UNDER: TOR​

OVER: TB, MIA, SL, COL, LAA​

randoms...

STREAKS: LAD 12, ATL 5, CIN -5, DET -6, OAK -7
KC 26-22 +22.7% ROI VS LEFTIES L13 MONTH EXCLUDING SEPT
ATL 39-17 +15.6% ROI VS LEFTIES L13 MONTH EXCLUDING SEPT
SL 23-13 +14.6% ROI VS LEFTIES L13 MONTH EXCLUDING SEPT
TOTALS IN SL UNDER 15-8 +24.6% OVER LAST 8 WEEKS
TOTALS IN LAA UNDER 13-8 +17.5% OVER LAST 8 WEEKS
TOTALS IN TB OVER 13-7 +24% OVER LAST 8 WEEKS
ATL 24-5 +21.1% ROI SINCE MAY15 WHEN AVG > 10% RUNS THAN OPP (14-2 over L16)
LAD 48-14 +12.1% ROI SINCE MAY15 WHEN AVG > 10% RUNS THAN OPP (Won last 12)

SUNDAY AT SITE(HOME/AWAY) L730 DAYS EXCLUDING SEPT
MIL 18-5 +39.5% ROI
PIT 11-10 +38.9%
MIN 12-6 +30.8%
SEA 11-10 +22.5%
HOU 14-4 +19.4%
KC 7-13 -33.1%
DET 4-14 -39.0%
NYY 7-14 -39.2%
BAL 4-17 -55.7%

TEAM w/STARTER TODAY AT SITE(HOME/AWAY) L730 DAY EXCLUDING SEPT(MIN 10 STARTS)
Logan Gilbert 15-5 +64.3%
Michael Wacha 10-4 +24.7%
Miles Mikolas 9-4 +18.1%
Shane Bieber 17-7 +17.8%
Jameson Taillon 15-8 +17.4%
Zach Thompson 2-11 -45.8%

Record as -150 FAV or more last 730 days
STARTER W L ROI
Drew Rasmussen 7 1 +51.3
Tyler Anderson 15 4 +23.9
Lance Lynn 14 6 +2.7
Alex Wood 17 7 +5.4
Cristian Javier 10 6 -6.8

 

[mrpickem]

shitty as Pirates are, I can't resist the value at this price...

• 3/6.60 PIRATES +220

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
LAST - [2-10 -21.69u]
2022 - [556-602 +58.49u]

Been on a terrible run although still up nicely on the year.

What a roller coaster...



Monday:

• 4/6.48 BREWERS +162
• 5/6.05 MARLINS +121
• 4/2.86 Braves -140
• 4/5.60 ORIOLES +140
• 3/5.04 Royals +168
• 4/2.29 Phillies -175

Pend: AZ

CHASIN THE LINE... (Chasin pure shit this season after 8 str winning years)​

LAST ML - 2-7​

7 Years ML - 59.8% +5.1% ROI (2022: 56.1% / -2.7%)​

LAST RLF- 1-4​

7 Years RLF- 50..4% +2.8% ROI (2022: 45.5% / -7.3%)​

LAST UN - 0-3​

7 Years UN - 56.8% +9.1% ROI (2022: 47.9% / -7.5%)​

LAST OV - 1-3​

7 Years OV - 55.0% +5.6% ROI (2022: 45.65 / -12%)​

​

Today:​

ML: NA​

RLF: NA​

UNDER: NA​

OVER: NA​

Quite a letdow after Chief NOC-A-HOMA I grew uo with...

​

randoms...

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
LAST - [4-2 +9.8u]
2022 - [560-604 +68.29u]

Tuesday:

• 3/2.50 PADRES o7 -120
• 6/3.39 PHILLIES -177
• 4/5.20 Mets +130
• 3/3.15 Braves u8½ +105
• 3/6.12 ROCKIES +204
• 4/4.16 DODGERS +104
• 2/3.00 Rays +150
• 4/3.81 Blue Jays -1½ -105
• 3/5.55 Tigers +185
• 5/4.20 ASTROS -119
• 4/6.80 Royals +170
• 4/4.00 White Sox u7 +100
• 5/2.94 Mariners -170
• 3/2.83 MARINERS o7½ -106
• 3/2.29 Red Sox -131

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 0-0​

7 Years ML - 59.8% +5.1% ROI ​

LAST RLF- 0-0​

7 Years RLF- 50..4% +2.8% ROI ​

LAST UN - 0-0​

7 Years UN - 56.8% +9.1% ROI​

LAST OV - 1-0​

7 Years OV - 55.0% +5.6% ROI ​

​

Today:​

ML: TB, TOR, MIL, SEA​

RLF: TOR, SEA​

UNDER: CHW​

OVER: MIA, LAA​

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
LAST - [7-6-2 -2.85u]
2022 - [567-610 +65.44u]

Wednesday:

• 3/4.53 Nats +151
• 4/5.48 Marlins +137
  
• 3/2.88 MARLINS u7 -104
• 5/7.10 Braves +142
• 3/3.09 BRAVES u7½ +103
• 3/5.43 ROCKIES +181
• 6/3.51 DODGERS -171
• 5/2.44 GIANTS -205
• 3/3.39 GIANTS u7 +113
• 4/6.72 ROYALS +168
• 5/3.88 O'S +1½ -129
• 5/6.60 Rays +132
• 3/2.88 RAYS o8 -104
• 5/3.29 Rangers -152
• 4/4.20 A'S o9 +105
• 5/4.20 PIRATES +1½ -119

Pend: SEA, SEA O​

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 2-1​

7 Years ML - 59.8% +5.1% ROI ​

LAST RLF- 1-1​

7 Years RLF- 50..4% +2.8% ROI ​

LAST UN - 0-0-1​

7 Years UN - 56.8% +9.1% ROI​

LAST OV - 1-0​

7 Years OV - 55.1% +5.7% ROI ​

​

Today:​

ML: BAL, SEA, NYM, TEX, LAD, SF​

RLF: SEA, NYM, TEX, LAD, SF​

UNDER: ATL​

OVER: NYY, LAA, TEX, CHW​

• ARZ: Kelly takes no-decision despite seven shutout IP
  
• HOU: Aledmys Díaz (groin) may be headed to 10-day IL
• NYY: Yankees expected to promote OF Estevan Florial
• ATL: Braves sign Michael Harris II to 8-yr, $72M deal
• NYY: Clay Holmes (back) may require a 15-day IL stint
• MIA: Nick Fortes cranks two homers in Marlins' win
• PHI: Brandon Marsh will undergo MRI for a knee injury
• PHI: Kyle Gibson ties career high with 11 strikeouts
• TB: Wander Franco exits rehab debut with a sore hand
• PHI: Rhys Hoskins homers twice, drives in five runs

 

[mrpickem]

---- MLB ----
LAST - [3-12-1 -40.22u]
2022 - [570-622 +25.22u]

Thursday:

• 4/2.94 GIANTS -136
• 2/4.12 ROCKIES +206
• 1/3.06 NATIONALS +306
• 4/5.68 Cubs +142
• 3/3.39 RANGERS -1½ +113

Pend: BOS -1'

CHASIN THE LINE...​

LAST ML - 3-4​

7 Years ML - 59.8% +5.0% ROI​

LAST RLF- 2-3​

7 Years RLF- 50.4% +2.7% ROI​

LAST UN - 2-1​

7 Years UN - 56.8% +9.1% ROI​

LAST OV - 2-1-1​

7 Years OV - 55.1% +5.7% ROI​

​

Today:​

ML: SL, TEX, AZ, BOS​

RLF: SL, TEX, BOS​

UNDER: NA​

OVER: SL​