JULY-AUGUST ~ 2020

Rest of my card today...
  • 912 Washington Nationals -148 vs New York Mets
    3.18 To Win $2.15
  • 915 Toronto Blue Jays +157 vs Atlanta Braves
    2.4/3.77
  • 920 Chicago Cubs* -185 vs Kansas City Royals
    3.33/1.8
  • 922 Colorado Rockies -168 vs San Francisco Giants
    2.1/1.25
  • 915 Toronto Blue Jays/Atlanta Braves Under 9 -110
    2.75/2.5
  • 917 Chicago White Sox/Milwaukee Brewers Under 8 +100
    2.65/2.65
  • 922 Colorado Rockies -1½ +100 vs San Francisco Giants
    2.5/2.5
  • 921 San Francisco Giants/Colorado Rockies Under 12 +102
    2.5/2.55
f2rN6kC.jpg
 
​
[76-64 +12u]​
  • 954 Tampa Bay Rays -138 vs Boston Red Sox
    3.8/2.75
  • 957 Minnesota Twins -179 vs Pittsburgh Pirates
    3.92/2.19
  • 974 Oakland Athletics -165 vs Texas Rangers
    3.96/2.4
  • 975 Los Angeles Dodgers -128 vs San Diego Padres
    3.2/2.5
 
​
adds...​
  • 967 Milwaukee Brewers +103 vs Chicago White Sox
    2.6/2.68
  • 985 Miami Marlins (7 innings) +115 vs Baltimore Orioles (7 innings)
    7 inning game, extra innings apply, must go 7 innings (6½ if home team is winning) for total & run-lines to have action
    2.6/2.99
  • 951 New York Mets/Washington Nationals Under 8½ +105
    2.6/2.73
  • 965 Chicago Cubs -1½ -125 vs Kansas City Royals
    3/2.4

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Chasing the line...

Sides - 4-2 yesterday and 11-3 last 3 days. Still only 21-25 on the year but showing good signs.

Indicated for today: TOR, SEA, WA

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Unders - 3-1 yesterday and 10-5-1 ytd (None today)

Overs - none yesterday and 8-11-1 ytd (None today)
 
​
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  • 901 Minnesota Twins -200 vs Pittsburgh Pirates
    4.2/2.1
  • 901 Minnesota Twins -1½ -120 vs Pittsburgh Pirates
    3/2.5
  • 904 Colorado Rockies -152 vs San Francisco Giants
    3.8/2.5
  • 909 Cincinnati Reds +106 vs Cleveland Indians
    2.75/2.92
  • 909 Cincinnati Reds/Cleveland Indians Under 7½ -120
    3/2.5
  • 917 Chicago Cubs -152 vs Kansas City Royals
    3.8/2.5
  • 920 Arizona Diamondbacks -110 vs Houston Astros
    2.86/2.6
  • 926 Philadelphia Phillies +1½ -115 vs New York Yankees
    2.99/2.6

sJdLa62.jpg
 
Model not very good yesterday overall but went 4-1 on value plays. The value plays are really the only one I would recommend or play.

3 more today...usual suspects - SEA, COL, CUBS

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Chasing the line

Sides 2-1 yesterday AZ, CIN, MIN indicated today

13-4 runs over last four days !

1596747059189.png

Unders 0-0 yesterday a nd Reds under indicated today

Overs none yesterday or today
 
​
​
1596819957060.png​

Friday Action...
  • 951 Baltimore Orioles +152 vs Washington Nationals
    2.25/3.42
  • 971 Los Angeles Angels -159 vs Texas Rangers
    3.69/2.32
  • 973 Arizona Diamondbacks +110 vs San Diego Padres
    2.5/2.75
  • 975 Houston Astros +114 vs Oakland Athletics
    3/3.42
  • 977 Colorado Rockies +115 vs Seattle Mariners
    2.8/3.22
  • 979 San Francisco Giants +230 vs Los Angeles Dodgers
    2/4.6
  • 961 Toronto Blue Jays +1½ -190 vs Boston Red Sox
    3.8/2
  • 961 Toronto Blue Jays/Boston Red Sox Over 10½ -103
    2.58/2.50
  • 964 Kansas City Royals +1½ -110 vs Minnesota Twins
    2.86/2.6
  • 963 Minnesota Twins/Kansas City Royals Under 9½ -115
    2.99/2.6
  • 965 Cleveland Indians/Chicago White Sox Over 8½ -107
    3.04/2.84
  • 970 St. Louis Cardinals* +1½ -140 vs Chicago Cubs
    3.5/2.50
  • 971 Los Angeles Angels* -1½ -105 vs Texas Rangers
    2.73/2.60

​
 
Chasing the line

Sides 1-1 last night and 24-27 on year. (14-5 last 5 days)

SF, MIA, BAL today.

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Unders 1-0 last night and 11-5-1 +31% ROI on year

KC game today

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Overs 0-0 last night and 8-11-1 on year

NYM game indicated today

1596820580762.png

EVYWIWA.jpg
 
​
1596888368784.png​

Saturday action...
  • .903 Detroit Tigers +112 vs Pittsburgh Pirates
    2.5/2.8
  • 910 Washington Nationals -172 vs Baltimore Orioles
    3.87/2.25
  • 916 Texas Rangers +130 vs Los Angeles Angels
    2.65/$3.45
  • 926 San Diego Padres -143 vs Arizona Diamondbacks
    3.72/2.6
  • 929 San Francisco Giants/Los Angeles Dodgers Under 8 +100
    2.8/2.8
 
​
few more​
  • 902 Chicago White Sox* +105 vs Cleveland Indians
    2.8/2.94
  • 901 Cleveland Indians/Chicago White Sox* Over 9 -105
    2.94/2.80
  • 916 Texas Rangers* +1½ -125 vs Los Angeles Angels
    3.5/2.8
 
​
Rest of my card...​
  • 905 Houston Astros* +133 vs Oakland Athletics
    2.6/3.46
  • 917 Cincinnati Reds* +102 vs Milwaukee Brewers
    2.5/2.55
  • 919 Miami Marlins* +140 vs New York Mets
    2.25/3.15
  • 921 Toronto Blue Jays* +113 vs Boston Red Sox
    2.4/2.71
  • 927 Colorado Rockies* +100 vs Seattle Mariners
    2.5/2.5
  • 913 Minnesota Twins/Kansas City Royals* Under 9½ -110
    2.75/2.5
  • 921 Toronto Blue Jays/Boston Red Sox* Under 10 +100
    2.6/2.6
  • 925 Arizona Diamondbacks/San Diego Padres* Over 7½ +110
    2.5/2.75

ee8egd43zie51.jpg
 
Made adjustments to model. Now using more up to date starter numbers and reduced home advantage even further,

1596904323587.png
 
Chasing the line...

Sides 2-2 last nite and 5 selected today

1596904418157.png

Unders 1-0 last nite and one for tonight(can't count NYY because 7inn total changes dynamic)

1596904521329.png

Overs none last nite and one tonight(NYY nixed because of 7inn thingy)

1596904648457.png

143569.jpg
 
Sunday:
  • 957 Miami Marlins +207 vs New York Mets
    2.13/4.41
  • 970 Texas Rangers +110 vs Los Angeles Angels
    2.8/3.08
  • 971 Colorado Rockies -164 vs Seattle Mariners
    3.53/2.15

​
 
Decent day for value picks from model yesterday...only 2 today (COL & NYY)...reverse value with fish

1596983591006.png
 
977 Houston Astros* +142 vs Oakland Athletics
2.5/3.55
958 New York Mets* -1½ -110 vs Miami Marlins
2.64/2.4
959 Detroit Tigers/Pittsburgh Pirates* Over 9 -105
2.73/2.6
962 Boston Red Sox* -1½ +130 vs Toronto Blue Jays
2.6/3.38
961 Toronto Blue Jays/Boston Red Sox* Under 10 +100
2.75/2.75
968 Milwaukee Brewers* -1½ +175 vs Cincinnati Reds
2.4/4.2
967 Cincinnati Reds/Milwaukee Brewers* Under 7 +100
2.25/2.25
974 Los Angeles Dodgers* -1½ -130 vs San Francisco Giants
3.25/2.5
976 San Diego Padres* -1½ +115 vs Arizona Diamondbacks
2.2/2.53
 
​
​
1597060817502.png​

Monday action...
  • 902 Philadelphia Phillies* -143 vs Atlanta Braves
    3.72/2.6
  • 901 Atlanta Braves/Philadelphia Phillies* Under 9 -113
    2.94/2.6
  • 904 Detroit Tigers* +142 vs Chicago White Sox
    2.5/3.55
  • 913 Arizona Diamondbacks/Colorado Rockies* Over 12 +100
    2.75/2.75
  • 916 Texas Rangers* -165 vs Seattle Mariners
    3.96/2.4
  • 915 Seattle Mariners/Texas Rangers* Under 9 -105
    2.94/2.8
  • 919 Oakland Athletics* -125 vs Los Angeles Angels
    3.25/2.6

v6KSWnA.jpg
 
Chasing the Line

Has not proved profitable to this point but has shown signs of improvement. Just monitoring this angle for now and not really playing unless I have other reasons.

Sides 2-2 yesterday and 30-33 on season

Today- TEX

1597081900820.png

Unders 4-5 yesterday and 16-12-1 on season

Today: MIL & TEX

1597082014648.png

Overs 0-1 yesterday and 10-12-1 on year

Today: PHI

1597082126956.png
 
​
few more...​
  • 907 Tampa Bay Rays* -125 vs Boston Red Sox
    3/2.4
  • 918 Houston Astros* -188 vs San Francisco Giants
    3.76/2
  • 907 Tampa Bay Rays/Boston Red Sox* Under 9½ -110
    2.64/2.4
143635.png
 
​
1597147406476.png​
  • 958 Philadelphia Phillies* -165 vs Baltimore Orioles
    2.97/1.8
  • 961 Chicago White Sox* -113 vs Detroit Tigers
    3.28/2.9
  • 972 Colorado Rockies* +101 vs Arizona Diamondbacks
    2.6/2.63
  • 973 Seattle Mariners* +115 vs Texas Rangers
    2.6/2.99
  • ti Reds* -1½ +110 vs Kansas City Royals
    2.6/2.86
  • 978 Los Angeles Angels* -1½ +145 vs Oakland Athletics
    2.4/3.48

 
​
rest of my card...​
  • 951 Miami Marlins* +141 vs Toronto Blue Jays
    2.5/3.53
  • Astros* -170 vs San Francisco Giants
    3.4/2
  • 959 Chicago Cubs/Cleveland Indians* Under 9 +100
    2.75/2.75
  • 971 Arizona Diamondbacks/Colorado Rockies* Over 11 -110
    2.75/2.5
 
​
1597231045299.png​
Wednesday action...
  • 906 Colorado Rockies* +103 vs Arizona Diamondbacks
    2.6/2.68
  • 907 Oakland Athletics* -108 vs Los Angeles Angels
    2.7/2.5

​
 
​
more...​
  • 913 Kansas City Royals* -103 vs Cincinnati Reds
    2.75/2.67
  • 924 Houston Astros* -190 vs San Francisco Giants
    3.42/1.8
  • 925 Tampa Bay Rays* -157 vs Boston Red Sox
    4.24/2.7
  • 930 Los Angeles Dodgers* -149 vs San Diego Padres
    2.98/2
  • 909 Chicago Cubs/Cleveland Indians* Under 7½ +100
    2.75/2.75
  • 916 New York Yankees* -1½ +105 vs Atlanta Braves
    2.6/2.73
  • 925 Tampa Bay Rays/Boston Red Sox* Under 9 -105
    2.73/2.6
  • 930 Los Angeles Dodgers* -1½ +130 vs San Diego Padres
    2.25/2.93

​
 
Another off night for model, probably just simply not enough data yet for this season as I believe it take at least 4-6 weeks to establish baselines for model. But for what it's worth, I will trudge on...

ROX & A's again tonight

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Chasing the line

Side 4-3 yesterday

1597250592931.png

Unders in CLE & BOS today,,,none yesterday

Overs in NYM, PHI, CIN & COL today...none yesterday

1597250690734.png
 
Had a decent night finally, but short board today


​
1597319496008.png​
  • 956 Philadelphia Phillies* -1½ +105 vs Baltimore Orioles
    Fixed Price
    2.6/2.73
  • 957 Tampa Bay Rays* -151 vs Boston Red Sox
    Fixed Price
    3.7/2.45
  • 963 San Diego Padres/Los Angeles Dodgers* Under 8½ -108
    Fixed Price
    2.7/2.5

Mostly all my action is with 5D and they are not listing pitchers at all this year. Odds are fixed and even if a starter is scratched, the odds stay the same. This is the first time I have encountered this and I'm really trying to find an angle to exploit it if anyone has any ideas...

​
 
​
couple more...​
  • 960 Cincinnati Reds* -171 vs Pittsburgh Pirates
    Fixed Price
    3.57/2.09
  • 953 Milwaukee Brewers/Chicago Cubs* Under 8½ -117
    Fixed Price
    2.57/2.2

​
 
Chasing the line

Sides went 3-0 yesterday, woukd have been 4-0 but mets # dropped out of qualifying
Very stout 27-15 +17.8% ROI since AUG 1
Cubbies today
1597341335731.png
 
​
1597412238774.png​
Friday action...
  • 901 Tampa Bay Rays* -1½ +120 vs Toronto Blue Jays
    2.5/3
  • 901 Tampa Bay Rays* -128 vs Toronto Blue Jays
    3.2/2.5
  • 903 Washington Nationals* -157 vs Baltimore Orioles
    3.14/2
  • 903 Washington Nationals* -1½ -105 vs Baltimore Orioles
    2.31/2.2
  • 910 Detroit Tigers* +163 vs Cleveland Indians
    2.18/3.55
  • 912 Cincinnati Reds* -182 vs Pittsburgh Pirates
    3.91/2.15
  • 912 Cincinnati Reds* -1½ +110 vs Pittsburgh Pirates
    2.4/2.64
  • 913 Atlanta Braves* -1½ +155 vs Miami Marlins
    2.4/3.72
  • 916 Minnesota Twins* -172 vs Kansas City Royals
    3.87/2.25
  • 916 Minnesota Twins* -1½ +108 vs Kansas City Royals
    2.25/2.43
  • 915 Kansas City Royals/Minnesota Twins* Under 9½ -105
    2.94/2.8
  • 919 Texas Rangers* -127 vs Colorado Rockies
    3.05/2.4
  • 919 Texas Rangers* -1½ +115 vs Colorado Rockies
    2.8/3.22
gj3on0445yg51.jpg
 
​
few adds for me​
  • 907 New York Mets* +110 vs Philadelphia Phillies
    2.6/2.86
  • 912 Cincinnati Reds* -190 vs Pittsburgh Pirates
    3.33/1.75
  • 921 Seattle Mariners* +205 vs Houston Astros
    2/4.1

29TAQWB.jpg
 
1597496358538.png​
​
Saturday...​
  • 954 Philadelphia Phillies* -156 vs New York Mets
    3.9/2.5
  • 953 New York Mets/Philadelphia Phillies* Under 9 -110
    2.86/2.6
  • 957 Cleveland Indians* -175 vs Detroit Tigers
    4.2/2.4
  • 967 Seattle Mariners* +185 vs Houston Astros
    2.2/4.07
  • 973 Texas Rangers* +150 vs Colorado Rockies
    2.4/3.6
  • 973 Texas Rangers/Colorado Rockies* Over 11½ -105
    2.73/2.6
  • 979 Los Angeles Dodgers* -156 vs Los Angeles Angels
    3.9/2.5
  • 979 Los Angeles Dodgers* -1½ +100 vs Los Angeles Angels
    2.25/2.25
​
Happy Birthday J-Law...30 today! :rosesmile:​
​
 
  • 962 Toronto Blue Jays +116
    2.5/2.9
  • 962 Toronto Blue Jays +1½ -130
    3.25/2.5
  • 969 Oakland Athletics -140s
    3.85/2.75
  • 978 Chicago Cubs +106
    2.5/2.65
  • 981 St. Louis Cardinals (7 innings) +158
    2.05/3.24
143745.jpg
​
 
couple more...
  • 973 Texas Rangers/Colorado Rockies Under 11½ -105
    4.2/4
  • 977 Milwaukee Brewers/Chicago Cubs Under 9 +110
    1.6/1.76

​
 
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