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Complete week 11 card...

1* Philadelphia ML -175
0.5* Live Philadelphia ML+128
1.5* KC / BUF under 46.5 -112

1* Pittsburgh +3.5 -120
1* GB / CHI under 40.5 -110
1* Cleveland ML -110
1* Jacksonville +14 -114
1* LV / MIA under 44 -110
 
Results through week 11

Sides 15-13 +1.345*
Totals 7-7 -1.795*
Live/2H 10-6 +2.88*
Parlay/Tease 8-7 +1.30*
Props 4-5 -2.15*

Overall 44-38 +1.58*


Rough week 11. 4-8 for a loss of just over 5 units. Ugh.
 
Week 12...

1* Carolina +11 -110
1* Washington -10 -110
1* Denver -5.5 -105
1* Green Bay ML -130
1* Parlay DET/HOU/MIA +102


I also took the Ravens/Chargers over 48.5 early in the week but won't count that since I neglected to post it at the time and the number has risen significantly since.
 
Same here.

I didn't even realize this total was this high.

Obviously something with the Chargers defense you aren't liking.

Not much into reading into lines but think this total def says something here, can’t imagine chargers totals generally higher than 44ish!
 
Same here.

I didn't even realize this total was this high.

Obviously something with the Chargers defense you aren't liking.
Yeah I thought it would be a back and forth game, tit for tat kind of thing. In the end though, I got lucky to cash. Its amazing how the Chargers offence changed when Dobbins went out.
 
Results through week 12

Sides 18-14 +3.245*
Totals 9-7 +0.705*
Live/2H 11-7 +2.86*
Parlay/Tease 9-8 +1.57*
Props 4-5 -2.15*

Overall 51-41 +6.23*


7-3 for 4.65 units in week 12. Basically won back what I lost in week 11. On we go.


Already down for week 13...
1* NYG / DAL 1H under 19.5 -115
1* Green Bay ML -170
1.5* LAC / ATL over 46.5 -115
 
Yeah I thought it would be a back and forth game, tit for tat kind of thing. In the end though, I got lucky to cash. Its amazing how the Chargers offence changed when Dobbins went out.
Just moments after the praise for him staying healthy this year.
 
Complete Week 13 card...

1* NYG / DAL 1H under 19.5 -115
1* NY Giants +4 -112

1.5* MIA / GB under 47.5 -110
1* Green Bay ML -170


1.5* LAC / ATL over 46.5 -115
1* Carolina +6.5 -110

1* Parlay DET / KC / WAS -109
1* Parlay Buffalo / Denver -102
 
I’m a bit worried bout Washington today. I know it crazy cause I’ve bashed Levis more than anyone but I think he getting better. Even tho kingsbury has done a great job his MO teams always have seemed to figure his offenses out as we get deeper into the season, before that blown coverage on the late td in Dallas Daniel’s numbers looked like shit vs Dallas d! I think titans d is better than cowboys. Love the +6 and really think commanders could be in trouble, losing eckler a big blow also.

Love the bills, in that weather they should take the beat up niners apart! Gl today
 
I’m a bit worried bout Washington today. I know it crazy cause I’ve bashed Levis more than anyone but I think he getting better. Even tho kingsbury has done a great job his MO teams always have seemed to figure his offenses out as we get deeper into the season, before that blown coverage on the late td in Dallas Daniel’s numbers looked like shit vs Dallas d! I think titans d is better than cowboys. Love the +6 and really think commanders could be in trouble, losing eckler a big blow also.

Love the bills, in that weather they should take the beat up niners apart! Gl today
I hear ya about Levis. I watched a substantial portion of last weeks Titans game and he looked like a different QB than we've seen before. I'm not sure if he's turned over a new leaf or just had one good outlier game. I guess we'll find out today.
 
I hear ya about Levis. I watched a substantial portion of last weeks Titans game and he looked like a different QB than we've seen before. I'm not sure if he's turned over a new leaf or just had one good outlier game. I guess we'll find out today.

I’m playing his over 205.5, never thought I’d say that but feels like to me. Preferably Washington gets a lead.
 
For week 14...

1.5* LA Chargers +4 -106

eta...upped this to 1.5* I really like this one.
 
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Results through week 13

Sides 20-16 +2.625*
Totals 10-9 -0.67*
Live/2H 12-7 +3.86*
Parlay/Tease 11-8 +3.57*
Props 4-6 -3.25*

Overall 57-46 +6.135*

6-5 for a small loss in week 13.

Locked in for week 14...
1.5* LA Chargers +4 -106
 
Great job overall bro. Love the chargers play, kc prob win but they can win/not cover the smallest of lines! That why I call them the bookies henchmen!

Torn on the lions/pack, I don’t fully trust love and I think lions more suited to bottle up Jacobs/run games in general than they are passing games so think love gonna have to be the driving force for packers to put up points which we know ya gotta hang 30 to have a chance vs lions.
 
Great job overall bro. Love the chargers play, kc prob win but they can win/not cover the smallest of lines! That why I call them the bookies henchmen!

Torn on the lions/pack, I don’t fully trust love and I think lions more suited to bottle up Jacobs/run games in general than they are passing games so think love gonna have to be the driving force for packers to put up points which we know ya gotta hang 30 to have a chance vs lions.
Thanks man. Chiefs are coasting on their brand at this point. The only way they seem to win is with a 4th quarter comeback. They have no business laying 4.

I actually think this Packers D can keep the Lions to 3 TDs or less. I'm picturing like a 26-23 type game either way.
 
Thanks man. Chiefs are coasting on their brand at this point. The only way they seem to win is with a 4th quarter comeback. They have no business laying 4.

I actually think this Packers D can keep the Lions to 3 TDs or less. I'm picturing like a 26-23 type game either way.

Totally with you on chargers. Being in Detroit worries me, might be more a prop game for me but I really havnt looked all that close yet. Packets really controlled the clock in the 1st meeting, I assume just going off amount of plays. Despite 400 yards of offense they only managed 14 points in Green Bay, that concerns me a bit. Reed killed lions which not shocking cause I do think you can pass on lions. Normally I wouldn’t take this game all that serious on a Thu but since they both played last Thu that kinda changed this w the full week to prepare. Sounds like you would lean under 51.5? That will be decided totally by game script imo, if packers can stick with them and not fall behind I think under is prob a decent play, if lions come out strong and get up early then ya gotta worry love is forced to throw a lot and I’d want no part of it! Jacobs went for 7.3 a carry in the 1st meeting, combined with love passing I gotta think their expected points were much higher than the 14 they put up! Lions ran effectively but packers did limit the explosives who huge against this team. I don’t think Jamison Williams played for lions in that game which concerns me cause he really opens everything up as you have to leave a safety over the top to respect his home run ability!! Should be one the better thu night games the year w great matchup and neither on short rest! Williams is def the x-factor here imo, not sure pack d can play the same way with him or if they do does he hit them for a explosive play or 2? Tough game imo. Dont think ill be against you but dunno if I can fade lions here, think im more likely to play love or his wrs props if I end up liking them. Either way thanks for talking it out with me and hope you cash brother!
 
Totally with you on chargers. Being in Detroit worries me, might be more a prop game for me but I really havnt looked all that close yet. Packets really controlled the clock in the 1st meeting, I assume just going off amount of plays. Despite 400 yards of offense they only managed 14 points in Green Bay, that concerns me a bit. Reed killed lions which not shocking cause I do think you can pass on lions. Normally I wouldn’t take this game all that serious on a Thu but since they both played last Thu that kinda changed this w the full week to prepare. Sounds like you would lean under 51.5? That will be decided totally by game script imo, if packers can stick with them and not fall behind I think under is prob a decent play, if lions come out strong and get up early then ya gotta worry love is forced to throw a lot and I’d want no part of it! Jacobs went for 7.3 a carry in the 1st meeting, combined with love passing I gotta think their expected points were much higher than the 14 they put up! Lions ran effectively but packers did limit the explosives who huge against this team. I don’t think Jamison Williams played for lions in that game which concerns me cause he really opens everything up as you have to leave a safety over the top to respect his home run ability!! Should be one the better thu night games the year w great matchup and neither on short rest! Williams is def the x-factor here imo, not sure pack d can play the same way with him or if they do does he hit them for a explosive play or 2? Tough game imo. Dont think ill be against you but dunno if I can fade lions here, think im more likely to play love or his wrs props if I end up liking them. Either way thanks for talking it out with me and hope you cash brother!

Great thoughts. I do slightly lean to the under. I would think 49.5 is a better number but I have low confidence in that. Its maybe a 51% bet. Pretty hard to take an under with an explosive offence like the Lions.

We'll find out in a few hours.
 
1* NY Jets +6 -110
1* Carolina +13.5 -105


Looks like an all-dog week for me. bark bark

Eagles scare me but those usually the best plays, on panthers with you. I can’t get down with jets, fish a play on team for me when they home or just not in cold, I think they run these losers out the building but more importantly to me is waddle ov 47.5 and tia 1.5 tds… gl this week brother
 
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