how they rank by my power ratings

RetroVK

RetroVK

This claim is disputed
Not putting my numbers but this is how they rank out, for what its worth

1. florida
2. georgia
3. usc
4. ohio state
5. oklahoma
6. auburn
7. west virginia
8. missouri
9. lsu
10. texas
11. south florida
12. clemson
13. penn state
14. wisconsin
15. tennessee
16. texas tech
17. south carolina
18. kansas
19. virginia tech
20. oregon
21. pittsburgh
22. wake forest
23. california
24. byu
25. arizona state
26. utah
27. north carolina
28. alabama
29. florida state
30. maryland
31. fresno state
32. illinois
33. boise state
34. michigan
35. notre dame
36. oklahoma state
37. michigan state
38. cincinnati
39. miami florida
40. iowa
41. rutgers
42. mississippi
43. arizona
44. boston college
45. connecticut
46. nebraska
47. mississippi state
48. northwestern
49. colorado
50. tcu ( very surprised they didnt come out better, but it is what it is )
51. kentucky
52. ucla
53. arkansas
54. purdue
55. oregon state
56. east carolina
57. virginia
58. georgia tech
59. texas am
60. tulsa
61. louisville
62. washington
63. hawaii ( surprised they came out this good )
64. kansas st
65. indiana
66. ncsate
67. ucf
68. florida atlantic
69. central michigan
70. vanderbilt
71. nevada
72. western michigan
73. houston
74. stanford
75. washington state
76. iowa state
77. navy
78. ball state
79. wyoming
80. minnesota
81. bowling green
82. southern miss
83. air force
84. san jose st
85. new mexico
86. troy state
87. miami ohio
88. memphis
89. marshall
90. colorado st
91. kent state
92. syracuse
93. san diego state
94. unlv
95. utep
96. duke
97. baylor
98. northern illinois ( surprised they didnt show up better too. )
99. buffalo
100. temple
101. smu
102. toledo
103. ohio
104. rice
105. ulm
106. louisiana tech
107. uab
108. middle tennessee state
109. arkansas state
110. tulane
111. nmsu
112. akron
113. e michigan
114 ul lafayette
115. idaho
116. north texas
117. utah state
118. army
119. florida international
120. western kentucky
 
Good stuff Kyle

Florida is my team this year to win....them and SC basically

FL has a tough road to hoe but that defense is gonna be sooo much better

anyways..next week...we gonna start talking some mad CFB like last yar

I gotta catch up to you whipper-snappers
 
Despite having florida and georgia as my two top teams i just dont think a team from this conference plays for the title this year. 6 of my top 17 teams are in the SEC .... there will be casualties.
 
Alright , just want to share my process with you all. You can read gmans thread about how i handicap games. When I do my power ratings before the start of the season what i like to do ..... is do it 5 or 6 times. Creating these values is VERY subjective and so i think if i do it 5 or 6 times , that the average of these ratings will be very accurate ... or atleast as close to accurate as i am capable of making them. The more times i do it , the more times it should approach the proper number. This also prevents me from doing it just once ... where a bias that i might have alters the rating significantly. I would have to have the same bias every time that i did my ratings in order for it to show up after the fifth or sixth time. In any event , it should reduce any bias that i have.

Here is the average of my first power rating session and second power rating session. I also put to the side where they have moved in relation to my first power ratings. Note that a move of 4 or 5 teams one way or the other often doesn't signify a major difference, as the difference between the teams could be 1/10 th of a point and any change could move a team up or down the rankings without significantly changing what the line between the two teams would be. In other words a power rating shift of just 0.25 pts could move a team three or four spots. There should be less and less movement up and down the rankings , the more times i do it,unless there are major injuries in the fall. Anyway , here is the updated power ratings as an average between what i completed this week and what i completed in post 1

1. florida SAME
2. Georgia SAME
3. ohio state up 1
4. usc down 1
5. oklahoma SAME
6. Auburn SAME
7. missouri up 1
8. w virginia down 1
9 lsu same
10. texas same
11. clemson up 1
12. south florida down 1
13. penn stte same
14. texas tech up 2
15. wisconsin down 1
16. tennessee down 1
17. south carolina same
18. kansas same
19. va tech same
20. oregon same
21. pittsburgh same
22. wake forest same
23. california same
24. byu same
25. utah up 1
26. arizona st down 1
27. florida st up 2
28. alabama same
29. maryland up 1
30. north carolina down 3
31. illinois up 1
32. boise st up 1
33. notre dame up 2
34. fresno st down 3
35. oklahoma st up 1
36. michigan down 2
37. rutgers up 4
38. cincy same
39. iowa up 1
40. michigan st down 3
41. miami florida down 2
42. ole miss same
43. nebraska up 3
44. boston college same
45. arizona down 2
46. tcu up 4
47. miss st same
48. northwestern same
49. colorado same
50. uconn down 5
51. ucla up 1
52. oregon state up 3
53. kentucky down 2
54. purdue same
55. arkansas same
56. virginia up 1
57. kansas state up 7
58. louisville up 3
59. east carolina down 3
60. georgia tech down 2
61. tamu down 2
62. washington same
63. tulsa down 3
64. ncstate up 2
65. western mich up 7
66. c michigan up 3
67. indiana down 2
68. hawaii down 5
69. florida atlantic up 1
70. ucf down 3
71. nevada same
72. stanford up 2
73. washington st up 2
74. iowa st up 2
75. ball st up 3
76. minnesota up 4
77. vanderbilt down 7
78. wyoming up 1
79. navy down 2
80. bowling green up 1
81. houston down 8
82. new mexico down 3
83. miami ohio up 4
84. air force down 1
85. troy up 1
86. southern miss down 4
87. sjsu down 3
88. marshall up 1
89. memphis down 1
90. kent st up 1
91. n illinois up 7
92. temple up 8
93. colorado st down 3
94. syracuse down 2
95. duke up 1
96. unlv down 2
97. toledo up 5
98. utep down 3
99. baylor down 2
100. buffalo down 1
101. sdsu down 8
102. smu down 1
103. ul monroe up 2
104. ohio down 1
105. rice down 1
106. la tech same
107. nmsu up 4
108. mtsu same
109. arkansas st same
110. uab down 3
111. eastern mich up 2
112. ul lafayette up 2
113. tulane down 3
114. akron down 2
115. idaho same
116. n texas same
117. utah st same
118. army same
119. flor intl same
120. w kentucky same


Want to make note of a few things here.... mostly for me .. and to share some weaknesses i have with you. The first thing i make note of here is that my analysis of the MAC seems to be the most different , power ranking over power ranking. That means that i either had a bias one of the two times that i did it or it means that i have a harder time evaluating that league. Historically, i have done worse in the MAC than any other conference , so i am not all too surprised that there was a lot of movement in the ratings from those teams.

There were other teams that moved a lot....
kstate
uconn
hawaii
vanderbilt
houston
sdsu

this likely means that i dont have as good a feel for these teams right now. If they continue to have major fluctuation in my power ratings , it is a likely indicator that i should avoid games involving them until the point that i am more confident in the number that i gave them.

I am trying as hard as i can to be prepared for 2008 cfb. Realize this particular thread is more for me than the rest of ctg but it helps my organiztional skills which are not a strength of mine.
 
vegaskyle said:
Alright , just want to share my process with you all. You can read gmans thread about how i handicap games. When I do my power ratings before the start of the season what i like to do ..... is do it 5 or 6 times. Creating these values is VERY subjective and so i think if i do it 5 or 6 times , that the average of these ratings will be very accurate ... or atleast as close to accurate as i am capable of making them. The more times i do it , the more times it should approach the proper number. This also prevents me from doing it just once ... where a bias that i might have alters the rating significantly. I would have to have the same bias every time that i did my ratings in order for it to show up after the fifth or sixth time. In any event , it should reduce any bias that i have.

Here is the average of my first power rating session and second power rating session. I also put to the side where they have moved in relation to my first power ratings. Note that a move of 4 or 5 teams one way or the other often doesn't signify a major difference, as the difference between the teams could be 1/10 th of a point and any change could move a team up or down the rankings without significantly changing what the line between the two teams would be. In other words a power rating shift of just 0.25 pts could move a team three or four spots. There should be less and less movement up and down the rankings , the more times i do it,unless there are major injuries in the fall. Anyway , here is the updated power ratings as an average between what i completed this week and what i completed in post 1
.
Click to expand...

thank you, cant say that enough.

SEC East :seeya:4 teams in your top 17.
 
I enjoyed doing PR's last summer VK, but the task of keeping them up to date and keeping them accurate each week was what ultimately led me to give up on them. I couldn't stand spending hours and hours every Sunday to get them done before lines came out.

I might do them again just because I'm bored, and only use them for non-conference. I won't be capping anything but BCS this year in conference play, so I doubt I'll keep using them once conference play gets underway.
 
Im putting together a player ratings system for nfl. glad to see someone else around here messes with math. math is everything. :shake:
 
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