Really comes down to whether the Houston Oline can block Tulane or not, and whether, if given the chance, King can hit open receivers. If so, Houston should be fine ... if not, the better defense will eventually make the needed play. i think the total might be a tad high but I could see that going a lot of different ways too. I think Houston has advantages outside that could lead to big plays and the Houston defense seems quite capable of giving up big chunk plays so far this year. So while i like the pace and matchups on most plays to favor an under at this number, there is also the potential for a shootout in this one too.
I took 4.5 thinking it wouldn't see 6 and not being too concerned about the game landing 5 if it upticked. It upticked right after I made my bet (the bookies rightfully move the line expecting me to be on the wrong side) and I am a tad worried that it could move upward still.
Good backdoor cover offense for Houston if needed.
King has played bad. He will have to play more like last year to get the job done in this one. Would think the more he learns willie wonka, the better he gets. ... that goes for the team in general.