Heavy lean
- Thread starter tuck321
- Start date
Big daddy naught
Pretty much a regular
Tempted to take the over as well. Day games at the stadium are usually go for the over and don’t think I’ve seen a total at 7.5 at the stadium.
tuck321
Not all those who wander are lost
Will look at it
Quick shift
Boston at Twins
Rick on 5 has about a 2 ERA
He has lost his last 2 games and his team is in danger of being swept. 3.43 day ERA. No history with ump a major homer ump with a mild lean to under this year although in general he has been a big over. This is a situation where Rick almost has to play slow and careful. His opponent Kyle has decent numbers but is playing a little better than usual because things are going good. he on a very small sample has about a 10 ERA with the ref. I expect him to ignore that and the first 5 innings to be slow as the stakes are very high for both sides and I will make an average bet on it. With this homer ump there is a real chance Boston Will be swept. I could be totally wrong
Quick shift
Boston at Twins
Rick on 5 has about a 2 ERA
He has lost his last 2 games and his team is in danger of being swept. 3.43 day ERA. No history with ump a major homer ump with a mild lean to under this year although in general he has been a big over. This is a situation where Rick almost has to play slow and careful. His opponent Kyle has decent numbers but is playing a little better than usual because things are going good. he on a very small sample has about a 10 ERA with the ref. I expect him to ignore that and the first 5 innings to be slow as the stakes are very high for both sides and I will make an average bet on it. With this homer ump there is a real chance Boston Will be swept. I could be totally wrong
mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
I had to look, and 28 day games under 8 total at NYY. 17-11 under...but Yanks were 17-11 SU. Since 2016 3 overs, 6 unders https://goo.gl/hBGNvn
team = Yankees and H and total < 8 and season > 2012 and DAY
SU: 17-11 (0.39, 60.7%) avg line: -123.5 / 113.2 on / against: +$471 / -$572 ROI: +13.3% / -18.8%
RL: 13-15 (-0.14, 46.4%) avg line: 121.9 / -135.6 on / against: +$44 / -$186 ROI: +1.3% / -4.5%
OU: 11-17-0 (-0.86, 39.3%) avg total: 7.4 over / under: -$812 / +$510 ROI: -25.7% / +16.9%
tuck321
Not all those who wander are lost
The Padres this season are 1-6 on Thursday. There is an excellent chance I will play them today against SF. Ross is 9-2 this season after a loss. He is playing on 6 days rest 2.63 ERA. 3.11 ERA at night and Bumgarner has been a disaster playing at night the last 2 years. When someone loses and loses and loses fading them is very reasonable
Johnnyonthespot
CTG Regular
screw the jinx, great analysis with Paxton. thanks.