Probably not gonna have much time to even post in the next couple weeks(maybe not even on my half ass blog either) so I figured for the Thanksgiving weekend I would post on CTG...
Cavs -2 -106 (3x) & ML -120 (2x) Middled ov198.5 -110 & Under 200.5 -110 (5x)
HUGE CONCERN IS THAT PINNY IS THE ONLY BOOK I SEE WITH -2 are they taking a position on CLE?? I would guess yes! bad sign
- After looking at this game very closely I cannot figure out a reason why Cavs would be only -2.5 here(think -4.5 was accurate). Think about SA was -7 in Tor but Cavs were just +5.5 in SA and won SU...also CLE was -5 in NYK!! I guess Larry Hughes could be a reason but a best I think he is worth 1 point in the spread. Raps have lost 6 or 7 straight now(win vs Philly) and coming back after a 5 game trip where the had lost the final 3 games SU but covered ATS . You could use the fact Cavs are 0-2 in back to backs BUT look at the situations they played in. First time they win @ SA for the 1st time in 4ever(like '88) and play @ Charlotte...emotional letdown...even in the NBA or lack of focus I would say. The next time they play Minny at home and travel to Wiz. Lebron has sucked in these 2 b to b games. However last year in 19 B to B's LeBron was at his best avg 33.6 ppg so rest IMO a non factor. Wash / Cle is now a great rivalry IMO after the playoffs last year. Close Wiz lost in the season opener was avenged by Arenas and his 45. Freaky stat cavs 8-1 as a fav SU while Raps are 0-6 SU as a dog( the Milw line though was -1 closed at +1 and they won so??). I think I jumped the gun on the total and maybe should middle / wash the whole thing out...Cavs only topped a 100 three times in 10 games and just once away(once above 102)..I have Cavs about 98-101 pts here says its 101-98 your barely getting close...so probably a complete wash just waiting...wouldnt be suprised to see 101 -95..
Indiana @ Orlando ...Over 189.5 -105 (8x) / Over 94 -124 (2x) 1st Half
Pacers Ml +270 (1x)
Someone please explain how this line is -7. I simply do not get it. Indy has won 7 of 10 with the Orl wins by 4 or less and Indy has won 5 of 6 in Orlando. Indy was just -5 at home by ORL won by 10 so how is this line moving 12 points? ...maybe I could see 8 possibly even 10 but WTF...I am totally lost as to why this line is where it is I could deal with -4 or -4.5 but -7 just seems like IND is a layup here..Magic were -7.5 to Char and -7 to Seattle in a game they won by 1...doesnt Indy qualify as a stronger team?? Is it Indys miracle 14-0 run to cover last nite??? Two down to the wire games with Milwaukee possibly?? For the total this is the lowest total since the opener at home for Orl. Indy has been in the 200's in all road games outside of Chicago. Both teams allow a high amount of FTs and both shot the three well and defend it poorly. Pacers avg 55 Fts(shot & allowed) and ORL 61... Pacers have had some trouble on the road losing badly @ CHI & Wash but those teams arent slightily better then ORL @ home IMO and the highest number was +6.5..
Charlotte ML +100 (7x) Over 198 -115 (3x) Really like Char might add at half
Knight will probably not play here but Felton & Knight really both play the point. So Morrison probably slides to the two spot like he did when Felton was out and May plays the four. Boston has lost alot of size with injutries to Al Jefferson , Candy Man (Olawkandi) , Ratliff and now even Perkins is questionable. Right know I myself play alot a ton of basketball and run alot and I am battling plantar facitis and this shit hurts alot!! I struggle to walk on it most days. Anyway theats what Perkins is now dealing with. Then put Wally World and West on the injured list. I just think witrh Okefor playing like a beast CHAR continues its ATS run versus Boston. RThe Celts are HOT last 5 games but real tough spot here. The over is based on Char and Bos both putting others on teh FT line...Celts three away games have seen 85 FTS!!! Cautious though cause Knight is a playmaker and is oUT (probably)
Not much to say other then I liked DET @ -6 but not touching it. Will play the under 188 -105 (3x). I said if it was 191 I would pound it. Really I wanted toplay the 1st H under but they shaded it so much cause of ATL propensity for slow starts it only 90 points..Basically I see DET winning SU and maxing at about 96 points...ATL depends heavily on the three ball for offense and DET should defend that well ask Korver...
Heat +10.5 -105 (3x) ML +600 (1/2x)
Spurs own them but maybe with Dallas on deck and Heat off poor performance they overlook this matchup some...Spurs tend to struggle as home chalk especially DD chalk...Spurs still dont shot FTs well and allow opps to hit 42% from 3....that could be a huge plus if guys liek Walker and Williams are HOT or it could spell disaster...Spurs 7th game in 9 days and last year in this spot playing Miami w/o Shaq line was -8.5 (but they did cover). All signs actually point to an over but wait for a halftime play......
The 8 PM's on deck...
Cavs -2 -106 (3x) & ML -120 (2x) Middled ov198.5 -110 & Under 200.5 -110 (5x)
HUGE CONCERN IS THAT PINNY IS THE ONLY BOOK I SEE WITH -2 are they taking a position on CLE?? I would guess yes! bad sign
- After looking at this game very closely I cannot figure out a reason why Cavs would be only -2.5 here(think -4.5 was accurate). Think about SA was -7 in Tor but Cavs were just +5.5 in SA and won SU...also CLE was -5 in NYK!! I guess Larry Hughes could be a reason but a best I think he is worth 1 point in the spread. Raps have lost 6 or 7 straight now(win vs Philly) and coming back after a 5 game trip where the had lost the final 3 games SU but covered ATS . You could use the fact Cavs are 0-2 in back to backs BUT look at the situations they played in. First time they win @ SA for the 1st time in 4ever(like '88) and play @ Charlotte...emotional letdown...even in the NBA or lack of focus I would say. The next time they play Minny at home and travel to Wiz. Lebron has sucked in these 2 b to b games. However last year in 19 B to B's LeBron was at his best avg 33.6 ppg so rest IMO a non factor. Wash / Cle is now a great rivalry IMO after the playoffs last year. Close Wiz lost in the season opener was avenged by Arenas and his 45. Freaky stat cavs 8-1 as a fav SU while Raps are 0-6 SU as a dog( the Milw line though was -1 closed at +1 and they won so??). I think I jumped the gun on the total and maybe should middle / wash the whole thing out...Cavs only topped a 100 three times in 10 games and just once away(once above 102)..I have Cavs about 98-101 pts here says its 101-98 your barely getting close...so probably a complete wash just waiting...wouldnt be suprised to see 101 -95..
Indiana @ Orlando ...Over 189.5 -105 (8x) / Over 94 -124 (2x) 1st Half
Pacers Ml +270 (1x)
Someone please explain how this line is -7. I simply do not get it. Indy has won 7 of 10 with the Orl wins by 4 or less and Indy has won 5 of 6 in Orlando. Indy was just -5 at home by ORL won by 10 so how is this line moving 12 points? ...maybe I could see 8 possibly even 10 but WTF...I am totally lost as to why this line is where it is I could deal with -4 or -4.5 but -7 just seems like IND is a layup here..Magic were -7.5 to Char and -7 to Seattle in a game they won by 1...doesnt Indy qualify as a stronger team?? Is it Indys miracle 14-0 run to cover last nite??? Two down to the wire games with Milwaukee possibly?? For the total this is the lowest total since the opener at home for Orl. Indy has been in the 200's in all road games outside of Chicago. Both teams allow a high amount of FTs and both shot the three well and defend it poorly. Pacers avg 55 Fts(shot & allowed) and ORL 61... Pacers have had some trouble on the road losing badly @ CHI & Wash but those teams arent slightily better then ORL @ home IMO and the highest number was +6.5..
Charlotte ML +100 (7x) Over 198 -115 (3x) Really like Char might add at half
Knight will probably not play here but Felton & Knight really both play the point. So Morrison probably slides to the two spot like he did when Felton was out and May plays the four. Boston has lost alot of size with injutries to Al Jefferson , Candy Man (Olawkandi) , Ratliff and now even Perkins is questionable. Right know I myself play alot a ton of basketball and run alot and I am battling plantar facitis and this shit hurts alot!! I struggle to walk on it most days. Anyway theats what Perkins is now dealing with. Then put Wally World and West on the injured list. I just think witrh Okefor playing like a beast CHAR continues its ATS run versus Boston. RThe Celts are HOT last 5 games but real tough spot here. The over is based on Char and Bos both putting others on teh FT line...Celts three away games have seen 85 FTS!!! Cautious though cause Knight is a playmaker and is oUT (probably)
Not much to say other then I liked DET @ -6 but not touching it. Will play the under 188 -105 (3x). I said if it was 191 I would pound it. Really I wanted toplay the 1st H under but they shaded it so much cause of ATL propensity for slow starts it only 90 points..Basically I see DET winning SU and maxing at about 96 points...ATL depends heavily on the three ball for offense and DET should defend that well ask Korver...
Heat +10.5 -105 (3x) ML +600 (1/2x)
Spurs own them but maybe with Dallas on deck and Heat off poor performance they overlook this matchup some...Spurs tend to struggle as home chalk especially DD chalk...Spurs still dont shot FTs well and allow opps to hit 42% from 3....that could be a huge plus if guys liek Walker and Williams are HOT or it could spell disaster...Spurs 7th game in 9 days and last year in this spot playing Miami w/o Shaq line was -8.5 (but they did cover). All signs actually point to an over but wait for a halftime play......
The 8 PM's on deck...
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