Halloween is the BEST FOOTBALL/FUTBOL BETTING WEEKEND of the YEAR + 2 Days of BREEDERS CUP

DOUBLEUP4LIFE

Proud Member of Bills Mafia
Well in WESTERN NEW YORK that is πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚

Because it's the first round of the SECTION 6 HIGH SCHOOL 🏈🏈🏈, And CHAMPIONSHIP weekend for HIGH SCHOOL ⚽⚽⚽

Oh yeah and the Kansas City Chiefs are coming to town !!!!!


Can't wait for Thursday night lights tonight as City school McKinley welcomes mega rich suburb Clarence into Buffalo's ALL HIGH STADIUM to kick off the massive slate ...



Obviously this thread is more geared towards to my fellow western New Yorkers who wager through the locals who now thrive on HS and NYS college action ... Been their golden goose since the legal sportsbooks and betting apps opened ...

Strongly urge any of you that come here as guests to please sign up as members here at CTG ( Capping the Game ) ...These forums are loaded with far better handicappers than myself. Also there are so many awesome members here to talk to about anything that life brings us !!!



Anyways ...Need to get some work done on this fine rainy Thursday morning. ..Be back at lunch time to start the game/match predictions and bets ...
 
Thursday Night Lights

CLASS AA

#5 Niagara Falls

#4 LANCASTER 18.5. 19.5 19 ( lines from 3 different locals )

Their regular season meeting was a track meet with defending Class AA champion Lancaster winning 42-28. The Legends pounded the rock for 225 yards on only 26 carries....The Falls could not establish the run but dual threat QB Michael Taylor waa able to throw for 341 yards ..He did throw 2 ints ...Both teams were sloppy on special teams coverage.

The Falls were able to get into the backfield that day for 10 tackles for loss including 2 sacks , but one of the key defenders from that day is out tonight ...

When playing at Lancaster you can always expect some shady calls that favor the Legends.
Notoriously the offensive line will false start numerous times without a flag.

Prediction ...

Lancaster 33-14
Think the locals are sharp here , it's been raining all day , and while the wind is going away there still should be light showers until almost halftime ...
Was hoping to bet the under on a expected high total , but none of the 3 locals are posting a total tonight due to the possible bad weather..

While no result would shock me I expect Lancaster to win by 3+ scores ..


The bet PASS
 
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Have fun this weekend mate. For me Breeder's Cup beats all of it!


Literally my favorite betting weekend of the year ...Love that it's right back at Del Mar ...Might only bet the late pick 4 on Friday , and then most of the slate on Saturday....Thankfully technology allows us to bet from home ...Always hated betting at OTB or the track in Breeders day ( crowded )

Do you have any horses you're bullish on ?


Best of luck brother ..Hope you have your most profitable Breeders cup to date πŸ€‘πŸ€‘πŸ€‘
 
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Do you have any horses you're bullish on ?
Nothing crazy yet but I'll be including Sierra Leone in the Classic among others. I really have barely looked at PPs to this point but likely be doing something with Aiden O'Brien horse(s) on turf, guy always gets me and not going to let that happen again lol. Appleby/Buick combo also. Brits love the turf!
 
Class A Thursday night lights

#5. Clarence

#4. MCKINLEY. 3.5. 3. 3


I've been calling everywhere and hawking social media for 2 days since the lines were released at 10.5/11/10 then quickly dropped to around 7 at all 3 books just hours later ..Figured suspension or injury News was coming on the Macks before this must see dream playoff game. Nobody i know , or who they know has any inside information on the monster line drop.
Maybe it's just another example of the rich boy alums hammering their Red Dragons..Sure they're #1 in WNY in soccer , but this is an absolute horrible matchup for them vs Mckinley on the football field who should be pissed they were given the #4 seed despite the 6-2 record that included a loss to Health and sciences ( who might be the #1 class b team in the state ) and the narrow 1 point opener to big school Lancaster ...

Mckinley QB Kalaugn Ford should easily be the best player on the field tonight. Led the Macks with 1142 rushing yards 12.4 ypc , while throwing for over 22 yards per completion ( albeit on 56 completions ) ... McKinley's top 4 rushers average between 10.8 and 15.3 YPC ...Which forces teams to stack the box , that opens up the deep balls for Ford ...
On defense McKinley is known for the Bermuda Triangle ( their 3 stud defenders combined for 66 tackles for loss , including 40 sacks this season ) .



Prediction

MCKINLEY. 33 Clarence 13

The BET.
7.5 UNIT mortgage payment sized wager on the MACKS -3 spread between 2 locals ...
$1650 to win $1500
Should be my largest football wager this weekend ..

I can't wait any longer for possible breaking news ..Kickoff is in less than 3 hours . Praying this dropped nearly 8 points in two days solely based on the rich boy homer money ..πŸ˜‚

..Fired up to see this one in the flesh at Bennett's All High stadium ( the classic baseball movie The Natural with Redford was partly filmed here ) .
 
Class B

7. South Park

#2. IROQUOIS 32.5. 28 30.5


Wow what a difference a year makes , last season South Park played in the class b championship in the BILLS stadium ...Every key piece either graduated or jumped ship to Health Sciences or Bennett.. Been a very tough humbling season for the Sparks who lost ugly to schools they've absolutely hammered the last 7 seasons...
Sure Iroquois is 7-1 , but who have they beat ??? The only teams they played with any pulse resulted in a 14-45 loss at Grand Island and a one score win over a very average Lackawanna squad ...

Prediction

IROQUOIS 28. South Park 8

Sure IROQUOIS won 6 games by a combined 188 points but they were against some of the worst teams in WNY , possibly the state lol ...




The Bet. South Park +32.5.
1 unit $220 to win $200

Couldn't stomach going any larger on the weakest South Park squad in maybe 70 years , but 32.5 is way too many to not take a little bite
 
Enjoy those matchups friend, because Sunday will not be good for the locals lol


πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚

I absolutely love the Chiefs Sunday ...


Put down a nice chunk locally a couple weeks back on KC plus money. ( Doesn't count here thou)...
Bills are finally getting healthy in some key spots but it's a horrible matchup for Buffalo right now imo....Nice spot for KC before the bye .
My meaningless numbers have the Chiefs -5.03..



Sweep your weekend slate Brother πŸ’Έ
 
Nothing crazy yet but I'll be including Sierra Leone in the Classic among others. I really have barely looked at PPs to this point but likely be doing something with Aiden O'Brien horse(s) on turf, guy always gets me and not going to let that happen again lol. Appleby/Buick combo also. Brits love the turf!


We call Aidan=Potatoes O'Brien...Although thats not even a Irish dish lol ...
Yeah he's also killed me when I leave one of his horses out of the pick 4 .. Usually beats me on a bomber too πŸ™ƒπŸ™ƒπŸ™ƒ
Glad you brought him up here .

Backing the Brits on the grass is usually a good idea.
 
Thursday Night Lights

CLASS AA

#5 Niagara Falls

#4 LANCASTER 18.5. 19.5 19 ( lines from 3 different locals )

Their regular season meeting was a track meet with defending Class AA champion Lancaster winning 42-28. The Legends pounded the rock for 225 yards on only 26 carries....The Falls could not establish the run but dual threat QB Michael Taylor waa able to throw for 341 yards ..He did throw 2 ints ...Both teams were sloppy on special teams coverage.

The Falls were able to get into the backfield that day for 10 tackles for loss including 2 sacks , but one of the key defenders from that day is out tonight ...

When playing at Lancaster you can always expect some shady calls that favor the Legends.
Notoriously the offensive line will false start numerous times without a flag.

Prediction ...

Lancaster 33-14
Think the locals are sharp here , it's been raining all day , and while the wind is going away there still should be light showers until almost halftime ...
Was hoping to bet the under on a expected high total , but none of the 3 locals are posting a total tonight due to the possible bad weather..

While no result would shock me I expect Lancaster to win by 3+ scores ..


The bet PASS


Was way too close for too long ( 8-7 at the half ) .. McKinley dominated the 2nd half , looked like Clarence had nothing left in the tank ...
The Macks ran for 403 yards on 49 carries ...

Final score
MCKINLEY 36-14
+$1500
 
Class B

7. South Park

#2. IROQUOIS 32.5. 28 30.5


Wow what a difference a year makes , last season South Park played in the class b championship in the BILLS stadium ...Every key piece either graduated or jumped ship to Health Sciences or Bennett.. Been a very tough humbling season for the Sparks who lost ugly to schools they've absolutely hammered the last 7 seasons...
Sure Iroquois is 7-1 , but who have they beat ??? The only teams they played with any pulse resulted in a 14-45 loss at Grand Island and a one score win over a very average Lackawanna squad ...

Prediction

IROQUOIS 28. South Park 8

Sure IROQUOIS won 6 games by a combined 188 points but they were against some of the worst teams in WNY , possibly the state lol ...




The Bet. South Park +32.5.
1 unit $220 to win $200

Couldn't stomach going any larger on the weakest South Park squad in maybe 70 years , but 32.5 is way too many to not take a little bite


Was impressed on how the Sparks just kept playing, never gave up despite the big talent discrepancy.

IROQUOIS won 35-13 ..
+$200

Should be fading them again next week as they likely host West Seneca East . Guessing the line will be +14 or more .
 
Switching Gears to the class A2 mens soccer championship..


Undefeated Lewiston Porter takes on ulta deep and talented East Aurora. These are supposedly the #3 and 4 schools in western New York .
Lewiston is also ranked #3rd in the state in class A , EA is 7th ..


Lew Port -120. -125
East Aurora. -105. -105


Thankful for Hudl , would hate driving down to Hamburg for a 5pm kickoff on a Friday .
Leaning Lew Port but this is probably a coin flop at best ...Don't want to pay the juice right now
 
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Currently handicapping todays Breeders cup card. Really appreciate reading the old school racing form. $12 is wild thou , feel like a kid again circling Christmas wish list ideas out of the Sears/Brand Names/JC Penny/Macy's catalogs πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚Screenshot_20251031-111115.png
 
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Late pick 4 handicapping

Grade key

A. Looks worth a single on some tickets

B+. Single on a a ticket or two

B/B- Must use

C+. Bomber that looks live to possibly blow up the tote board , boosting the pick 4 payout

C/C- Probably a good idea to to use these on at least one ticket at long odds ..Hopefully an open leg.




Race 7

7. B+. Will be singling on the first ticket

5. B. Must use
2. B. Both of these will be on ticket 2 and the rest of them as well ( other than the first ticket )

4. B-
1. B-

9. C+. Very live at a nice price ..Will likely also wheel this horse on the bottom of the Tri and super

8. C- Better use on one ticket
 
Race 8.
Big scratch of the heavy chalk #13 ..Love this for the pick 4 ..This LEG might be wide open ..Nice spot to go deep , hoping for bombs away



9. B
3. B.

1. B-

5. C+
11. C+


4. C
12. C-
 
Race 9.
Scratches hurt this all important leg with only 6 entries now

8. A. Looks like the strongest single in the multi leg wagers ..The scratch of the #2 makes me like the 8 here much more

7. B. If you're a speed figure capper you must use this horse .
1. B-
 
Race 10

After the top 2 choices I think you could make a case for the all button lol ..No way way am I spending that kind of money here ..

14. B
9 B

13. B-

8. C+
3. C+ Using at least the top 5 choices on every ticket looks like a good idea ..

2. C- Just good enough to be used on one ticket
12. C- same as 2

10. D Can't make a case for any of these next 4 , but wheeling them on the bottom of the supers might be required
1. D
3. D-
6. D-
 
Ticket A1 50 cent
Using the 7 as a single on all the A tickets. If he gets beat z which he very well may I'll have plenty of coverage anyways .

Race 7. 7
Race 8. 1,3,4,5,9,11,12
Race 9. 8.
Race 10. 2,3,8,9,12,13,14
Cost 24.50


Ticket A 2 50 cent

Race 7 7
Race 8. 1,3,9
Race 9. 1,7
Race 10. 3,8,9,13,14
Cost $15
 
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Ticket B 1. 50 cent

Race 7. 2,5
Race 8. 1,3,9
Race 9. 8
Race 10. 3,8,9,13,14
Cost $15

B2 25 cent ( splitting tickets with a buddy)
2,5
1,3,9
1,7
3,8,9,13,14
Cost $15
 
Ticket C 1. 25. Cent
Race 7. 14,8,9
Race 8. 1,3,9
Race 10. 8
Race 11. 3,8,9,13,14
Cost $15


Ticket C2. 25. Cent
1,4,8,9
3,9
1,7
3,,8,9,14
Cost $16
 
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Bombs away in race 6 ???

#5 Obliteration $18 win
$1 ex. 1,8,9,10,11,12 over 5
$1 ex wh. 8,9,10,11 over 5

10 cent super
8,910,11
1,8,910,11,12
1,3,6,8,9,10,11,12
5
Cost 12

10 cent super
8,9,10,11
1,8,9,10,11,12
5
1,3,6,8,9,10,11,12
Cost 12


Lots of action for a measley $52
 
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Class AA Friday night lights

#3 JAMESTOWN. 37.5. 39. 38

6. LOCKPORT

Just met last week with Jamestown winning 57-14...

Prediction
Look for the Red Raiders to get up big anday e take the foot off the pedal ...But I wouldn't bet on it lol

Jamestown 44-12

Bet ...PASS
 
Class B football

#1. WILLIAMSVILLE SOUTH 30.5 30. 30.5
8. Olean


Might be too many for the Billies to cover..Either way it's a pass for me ...

Prediction
Will South 34-6
 
Class A Football


#1. WILLIAMSVILLE NORTH. 34. 33. 34.5
#8. GRAND ISLAND.


Sure North has had their share of blowouts but this looks like possibly 10 points too many .


Prediction
Will North. 41-19

The Bet

GRAND ISLAND+34.5.
1.5 UNITS $330/300
 
Class A


#2. HEALTH SCIENCES. 27. 28. XX
7. KENMORE WEST

HS names their score but I'll take a pass here as maybe they rest players later in the game ..


Prediction
Health Sciences. 43-14

Bet Pass
 
Class A Football


#1. WILLIAMSVILLE NORTH. 34. 33. 34.5
#8. GRAND ISLAND.


Sure North has had their share of blowouts but this looks like possibly 10 points too many .


Prediction
Will North. 41-19

The Bet

GRAND ISLAND+34.5.
1.5 UNITS $330/300


Wow ..Grand Island upsets Will North 28-7
+$300
 
Thursday Night Lights

CLASS AA

#5 Niagara Falls

#4 LANCASTER 18.5. 19.5 19 ( lines from 3 different locals )

Their regular season meeting was a track meet with defending Class AA champion Lancaster winning 42-28. The Legends pounded the rock for 225 yards on only 26 carries....The Falls could not establish the run but dual threat QB Michael Taylor waa able to throw for 341 yards ..He did throw 2 ints ...Both teams were sloppy on special teams coverage.

The Falls were able to get into the backfield that day for 10 tackles for loss including 2 sacks , but one of the key defenders from that day is out tonight ...

When playing at Lancaster you can always expect some shady calls that favor the Legends.
Notoriously the offensive line will false start numerous times without a flag.

Prediction ...

Lancaster 33-14
Think the locals are sharp here , it's been raining all day , and while the wind is going away there still should be light showers until almost halftime ...
Was hoping to bet the under on a expected high total , but none of the 3 locals are posting a total tonight due to the possible bad weather..

While no result would shock me I expect Lancaster to win by 3+ scores ..


The bet PASS



Tighter than expected 20-14
 
Class AA. Saturday football

#2. ORCHARD PARK. 40.5. 40. 42
#7. Hutch Tech.

Just met a few weeks back with OP winning 48-6 , now several HT players have quit the team to focus on the coming basketball season.
This is a ton of point to cover but I wouldn't be surprised if OP won by 60 ....

Prediction
Orchard Park 50-6

The bet
PASS
 
Class A Saturday

#3 WEST SENECA WEST 15.5. 16. 15.5
6. Williamsville East.


Surprised to see this number rise from 12's across the board when it opened Tuesday.
West's defense has only allowed 2 TD total in the last 3 games. While East is coming off an impressive 14-19 loss to powerhouse Health Sciences.
While Will East hasn't really beat any quality teams other than the opener vs rival Will South , this looks like a good spot to take the points in what should be a tight one ...Another game where I wish the locals posted a total ..Have a hard time seeing this reach 40 points scored

Prediction
West Seneca West. 20-13


The Bet
WILLIAMSVILLE EAST +16
2 UNITS. $440/400
 
Class AA Soccer championship πŸ†
To win
CLARENCE -180. -160
Williamsville East. +145. +135


Shocked this isn't on the other side of -200. Although apparently the Clarence defense has two players dealing with hamstring issues ...Whatever I'll take the bait ..Was planning on betting them to win in regulation but that's not even offered today.

Prediction
Clarence 3-1


The Bet
CLARENCE to win 2.5 units ( max bet allowed by this the local on soccer )
$800/$500
 
Girls section 6 Championships πŸ†

Putting together a parlay as I have no interest in paying all this juice ...

All to lift trophy
CLASS AA. CLARENCE. -225
CLASS A. STARPOINT. -150
Parlay +141
2 units $400 to win $564
 
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