Going to fade the Mets from 5.20-5.30 (10 games, 3 series)

[Gyno]

Marlins Fade:
7-2 +1.74 units

Astros Fade: (still pending)
31-11 +4.08 units



I'm going to do a 10 game fade of the New York Mets.. I will lighten up when Harvey pitches..

Here is the schedule:

3 vs Reds
3 vs ATL
2 @ NYY
2 vs NYM


5.20: Cueto vs Marcum
5.21: Leake vs Niese
5.22: Latos vs Harvey

5.24: Medlen vs Hefner
5.25: Minor vs Gee
5.26 Teheran vs Marcum


Last 7 games stats for Mets offense

Ba. 217
obp.274
ops. 623

For those worried about Mets being @ home for 8 of these games:

Mets ba:
Away .244
Home .216 !

Overall the Mets bat .230 as a team.

Mets ERA as a whole
4.50

Without Harvey over 5+


Mets have the 2nd worst bullpen ERA behind Astros @ 4.77

 

[Gyno]

Game 1:

0.5* Reds -1 -117

 

[Elbutre88]

whoops. backing marcum today.

 

[bet10heinekens]

Sound like a good plan Dr. G.:cheers:

i will join you on this quest, but I will lay off in Harvey's starts

 

[nbafan88]

there is an error in your post gyno that could be confusing to some

you mixed up the marlins and mets


gl

 

[Gyno]

from poster METFAN:

ADDING:

4 positions in the mets batting order are under .200

leadoff..Switching to Murphy

cleanup..Ike Davis to be demoted soon if things don't pick up

#5 spot

#8 spot

that is 4 out of 8 spots

giving the Mets oppositon and the strength of those bullpens..chase the Mets team total under could be successful as well

 

[swngus44]

love the thread. Been following but really haven't commented. Love the fade threads. I would stay away from the Mets team total under. I know sometimes it's about the opponent but their team total over under record it 17-22-2.

 

[swngus44]

the best team total over under record is the Marlins at 9-31-4.

 

[Gyno]

Hate pushing, guess its better than losing..

Mets W/L Record: 0-1 (9 games left)
Mets Series Record: 0-0 (2 series left)


0.6* Reds -110

 

[metsrp86]

I've been fading the Mets alot this year, but I would be careful tonight. Niese has gone back to being aggresive on the mound, and not relying on his cutter too much. He's mixing up his pitches and attacking hitter again. I think he is over his neck issues too. Leake was shaky against the Marlins in his last outing, which is a red flag too me. He has good numbers against the Mets though. I am going with the Under and the Mets ML in this one.

My basic strategy is back Harvey and Niese, and fade everyone else. Also play Unders in Harvey and Niese games.

 

[Gyno]

thanks for your thoughts bro.. Please chime in on a daily basis and tell me what you think..

Mets W/L Record: 0-2 (8 games left)
Mets Series Record: 0-1 (1 series left)

Overall Wagers: 1-0-1 +0.60 units​

 

[bet10heinekens]

You still fading the Mets today Gyno, tough go against Harvey but Latos is no slouch

good luck on what you decided

I think the under 3 FF is a good option

 

[Gyno]

Mets W/L Record: 0-2 (8 games left)
Mets Series Record: 0-1 (1 series left)

Overall Wagers: 1-0-1 +0.60 units



0.25* Reds +104
​

Reds win: 2-0-1 +0.85 units
Reds lose 1-1-1 +0.35 units

 

[Gyno]

Mets W/L Record: 0-3 (8 games left)
Mets Series Record: 0-1 (1 series left)

Overall Wagers: 2-0-1 +0.85 units

 

[JumpOnBoard]

Mad props to what u do bro...congrats

 

[metsrp86]

Game with Niese was odd, he was cruising through the first and then just lost it with 2 outs nobody on. That said, if Wright fields the ground ball hit right at him, the game may have been scoreless going to extras. Niese then recovered and was rock solid the rest of the way through. I took a push on that game.

Laid off the game today even though I wanted to back Harvey. Latos just had great numbers against the Mets, and I was hoping Dusty would have sat some regs but he didnt. Nice call on the Reds.

Playing the opponent and game under should be a winning recipe in Mets games, similar to the Marlins. Until they pull Ike out of that lineup, they will really struggle to get over 3 runs in any game. Odds are the Mets get swept by the Bravos this weekend. You'll be looking good.

 

[Schrute]

Hell of a start Gyno

 

[Gyno]

0.5* Braves -1 -130
Medlen great #'s vs Mets..

 

[bet10heinekens]

I'm calling for a Braves sweep and fade the Mets all 3 games

 

[Gyno]

A lot of money to be made if that happens brother.. Lets do this my good friend, lets get that sweep.

 

[Gyno]

0.8* Braves -1 -122

 

[Gyno]

Mets W/L Record: 0-3 (8 games left)
Mets Series Record: 0-2 (only 1 series left)

Overall Wagers: 3-0-1 +1.65 units

 

[MusicCityGambler]

Beast mode. GL

 

[Gyno]

[h=2][/h]

Mets W/L Record: 0-5 (5 games left)
Mets Series Record: 0-2 (only 1 series left)

Overall Wagers: 3-0-1 +1.65 units
​

Profit secured.. going light on this one..


0.3* ATL -125

 

[Gyno]

Reds Series:
2-0-1 +0.85 units

Braves Series:
1-1 +0.43 units


Mets W/L Record: 1-5 (4 games left)
Mets Series Record: 0-2 (only 1 series left)

Overall Wagers: 3-1-1 +1.28 units


0.3* Yanks -110
​

 

[Gyno]

Reds Series:
2-0-1 +0.85 units

Braves Series:
1-1 +0.43 units


Mets W/L Record: 3-5 (2 games left)
Mets Series Record: 1-2

Overall Wagers: 3-2-1 +0.95 units


0.3* Yanks -1 -131

 

[Gyno]

0.3* ML parlay (-108)
Yanks
Heat game 5