G4M August Bases

[Grind_4_Mine]

July: 18-12-3, +5.48u

Sat, 8/1

951 CIN -1 (-140) (1.4/1)
951, 976 CIN, CHC ML parlay +155 (1/1.55)
959 TB -1.5 (-135) (1.35/1)
968 LAA 1st 5 ML +140 (1/1.4)
976 CHC 1st 5 -1/2 (-115) (1.15/1)

 

[Inspekdah]

GL G4M.

Like the Rays today. Great success vs. Balty hitters and the opposite for ole Wade.

 

[Grind_4_Mine]

Sun, 8/2

901 TB 1st 5 -1/2 (-140) (1.4/1)
911 CLE 1st 5 ML -102 (1.02/1)
915/16 PIT/CHC 1st 5 under 5 (-110) (1.1/1)
924 LAA 1st 5 ML +125 (1/1.25)
927 OAK 1st 5 -1/2 (-110) (1.1/1)

 

[Inspekdah]

You expect Otani to rebound?

 

[brada]

You expect Otani to rebound?

Just from a competitive standpoint, not recording an out in his first start, you would think he would be extremely motivated to have a productive outing.

 

[Timh]

BOL Grind.

 

[BenchCoach]

Just from a competitive standpoint, not recording an out in his first start, you would think he would be extremely motivated to have a productive outing.

I would have thought he would be motivated after he shit the bed in the summer training game where threw 16 straight balls. His velocity is down 5-6 mph and he can’t locate anything even in his bullpen sessions. That said Houston’s starter is also pretty garbage...I know I’m on the other side of G4M here but I see the logic and the more I look at it the more something smells off on this one. Considering buying some of mine back...good luck today Grind

 

[Grind_4_Mine]

921/22 TEX/SF over 9 (-112) (1.12/1)

 

[Grind_4_Mine]

You expect Otani to rebound?

more of a fade of James' command issues and feeling like there's some value at +125 at home than a play on Ohtani rebounding

 

[Grind_4_Mine]

923/24 HOU/LAA 1st 5 over 5.5 (-105) (1.05/1)

 

[Grind_4_Mine]

923/24 HOU/LAA over 10 (-120) (1.2/1)

 

[Grind_4_Mine]

8/1: 2-1-1, +0.25
8/2: 6-2, +3.83

YTD: 26-15-4, +9.56u

Mon, 8/3

951/52 CLE/CIN 1st 5 under 4 (-112) (1.12/1)

 

[Big daddy naught]

8/1: 2-1-1, +0.25
8/2: 6-2, +3.83

YTD: 26-15-4, +9.56u

Mon, 8/3

951/52 CLE/CIN 1st 5 under 4 (-112) (1.12/1)

on it w you bro

 

[Timh]

BOL Grind.

 

[Grind_4_Mine]

Tues, 8/4

905 CLE -1.5 (-110) (1.1/1)
907 BOS ML +130 (1/1.3)
915/16 TOR/ATL under 9 (-110) (1.1/1)
917/18 CHW/MIL under 8.5 (-110) (1.1/1)
923/24 TEX/OAK under 8 (-110) (1.1/1)
926 SD ML +116 (1/1.16)
927 HOU ML -113 (1.13/1)

 

[Grind_4_Mine]

905, 929 CLE, LAA ML parlay +149 (1/1.49)

 

[Grind_4_Mine]

915/16 TOR/ATL 1st 5 under 4.5 (-110) (1.1/1)
917/18 CHW/MIL 1st 5 under 4.5 (-115) (1.15/1)
919/20 KC/CHC 1st 5 under 4 (-110) (1.1/1)

 

[B.A.R.]

I love first 5 sweats...let's gooo

 

[wiseplayer]

Amazing how many here are jumping on the 1st 5 unders. GL!

 

[Ryno14]

Was eyeing that Royals/Cubs F5 under myself. BOL, Grind

 

[Grind_4_Mine]

Was eyeing that Royals/Cubs F5 under myself. BOL, Grind

yeah, two guys who throw strikes and rely on weak contact with wind blowing in hard to pass up, even on the small number. really love Singer's mound presence/competitiveness and how quickly he works...

 

[Grind_4_Mine]

912 WAS -1 (-119) (1.19/1)

 

[Grind_4_Mine]

8/3: 1-0, +1.0
8/4: 7-5, +2.19

YTD: 34-20-4, +12.75u

Wed, 8/5

963 TOR 1st 5 ML +110

 

[Big daddy naught]

8/3: 1-0, +1.0
8/4: 7-5, +2.19

YTD: 34-20-4, +12.75u

Wed, 8/5

963 TOR 1st 5 ML +110

ryu is due

 

[Timh]

BOL Grind - nice work on the season.

 

[Timh]

ryu is due

For a diet

 

[Grind_4_Mine]

ryu is due

I think he makes his adjustments, but the velocity dip is a little concerning, which is ironic considering he's a soft tosser. Every hit the Nats produced in his last outing came off his breaking pitches as he wasn't able to command his fastball to go along with the velo dip. That said, I felt like there was some value here. Been pondering the over as well...

 

[2daBank]

Ryu cutter seems to be where the drastic velo dip has been. 4 seamer and sinker within 1mph of normal, the cutter is way way down tho!

 

[2daBank]

I’m kinda willing to say Ryu just off to a slow start/wasn’t stretched out in the shortened camp possibly? Overall he hasn’t been a slow starter but there have been a few seasons he was bad early on.

 

[Grind_4_Mine]

I’m kinda willing to say Ryu just off to a slow start/wasn’t stretched out in the shortened camp possibly? Overall he hasn’t been a slow starter but there have been a few seasons he was bad early on.

Hopefully you're right and he's not dealing with yet another injury.

 

[2daBank]

Hopefully you're right and he's not dealing with yet another injury.

Maybe it was foolish but figured even him and guys like rich hill could make it thru 60! Lol

 

[wiseplayer]

Fricken solid G4M

 

[BenchCoach]

Thata boy

 

[cogenman]

Solid season so far Grind. Keep it up.

 

[Grind_4_Mine]

Thanks fellas.

Thurs, 8/6

915 TOR 1st 5 ML +110 (1/1.1)

 

[Timh]

Nice work Grind, BOL today.

 

[2daBank]

Thanks fellas.

Thurs, 8/6

915 TOR 1st 5 ML +110 (1/1.1)

Great get, I waited to long and now jays have flipped to favs.

 

[Grind_4_Mine]

917 CHC 1st 5 -1/2 (-120) (1.2/1)
919/20 HOU/ARI 1st 5 under 5 (-110) (1.1/1)

 

[Grind_4_Mine]

Fri, 8/7

967 CIN ML -109 (1.09/1)
971 LAA 1st 5 -1/2 (-125) (1.25/1)
971 LAA -1.5 (-115) (1.15/1)
974 SD ML -124 (1.24/1)
980 LAD 1st 5 -1/2 (-180) (1.8/1)
980 LAD -1.5 (-145) (1.45/1)

 

[Grind_4_Mine]

971, 980 LAA, LAD ML parlay +116 (1/1.16)

 

[Timh]

BOL Grind

 

[wiseplayer]

Angels pitching is atrocious.

 

[Ryno14]

Angels pitching is atrocious.

Well, Defense actually did them in tonight

 

[Grind_4_Mine]

Well, Defense actually did them in tonight

yup, still sick over that bang bang double play groundball La Stella booted that would have ended the 4th up 3-1

 

[Grind_4_Mine]

8/5: 1-0, +1.1
8/6: 1-2, -1.2
8/7: 4-3, +0.60

YTD: 40-25-4, +13.25

Sat, 8/8

901 CLE 1st 5 ML -120 (1.2/1)
901/02 CLE/CHW 1st 5 under 5 (-115) (1.15/1)
917 CIN 1st 5 ML -110 (1.1/1)

 

[Grind_4_Mine]

914 KC ML +139 (1/1.39)

 

[Big daddy naught]

914 KC ML +139 (1/1.39)

Debating that myself

 

[Grind_4_Mine]

Debating that myself

yeah, too much value to pass up. Was debating 1st 5 initially but Odorizzi likely on limited pitch count coming off the intercostal strain, so KC should see that pen fairly early and hopefully a crooked number to come with it. Duffy been spinning it well, think he negates Rosario and Kepler - Cruz the matchup that scares me. Give me 5-6 from Duffy, hand the ball off to Kennedy in a high-leverage situation when Duffy gets into that jam after Minny sees him for the third time around, then Barlow and Rosenthal to close her out again. Wishful thinking.

 

[Grind_4_Mine]

927/28 COL/SEA over 9 (-117) (1.17/1)

 

[Big daddy naught]

yeah, too much value to pass up. Was debating 1st 5 initially but Odorizzi likely on limited pitch count coming off the intercostal strain, so KC should see that pen fairly early and hopefully a crooked number to come with it. Duffy been spinning it well, think he negates Rosario and Kepler - Cruz the matchup that scares me. Give me 5-6 from Duffy, hand the ball off to Kennedy in a high-leverage situation when Duffy gets into that jam after Minny sees him for the third time around, then Barlow and Rosenthal to close her out again. Wishful thinking.

yeah Jake prob 50-70 pc range.