G-Man
Banned
Recap/ 6-2 for the day :shake: :cheers:
Last year went 2-2 on Pro Sides & totals. (Won the College side W.Virginia)
Over the years I have played these Pro games well. Lost one time (1-3) and had one 2-2 day(last year) and have had several sweeps in pros with sides & totals going 4 -0. Usually something happens with turnovers, and I go 3-1.
This year, there are 6 plays on the Pros for me to challenge - and all of them are playable. We have a division game, an inter-conference game and a conference game.
Many of the factors for these games are somewhat more difficult to get a good read on. Formula driven systems like I use, have to be good enough to warrant a play on a side or a total. Knowing what each teams schedules are like, means a lot. Especially how tough it is.
There are a few factors that matter here, that usually don't play into a regular Sunday game, for all these games on T-Day. Short week to prepare. Large disadvantage for the road team. And the effort in the game before this one. Not necessarily who won, but who played good enough to win.
Maimi -3 over Detroit & under 40., Detroit usually plays a great game at home on T-Day. They often play the role of underdog that wins SU. Miami has played several T-Day games and won SU as well and covered the spread.
This is an AFC-NFC match-up. These two teams have trouble scoring. But only one of these teams can play defense. It really matters in a short week, and also, the level of the opponent on offense.
Kitna can move the Lions some on offense, but he is very prone to sacks and int's.
The Dolphins are just getting used to QB Harrington, and he is lookng better each week with the team. Detroit has enough offense to win any game at any time. But, when they play good defensive teams they will always get beat. They scored 6 pts on Chicago and 7 on Seattle. At that time both teams were playing better defense, then they are playing in the middle of the season. After those two, they have played low scoring teams with bad defenses. The Phins have played at least 4 teams that are better than Detroit. Pittsburgh, New England, Chicago and KC. Collectively, they have been held to an average of 17 pts per game. The Lions are nowhere near any of these teams and will be in trouble all day.
The Play. Miami and Under 40.
Tampa Bay +11 over Dallas & over 38. The same factors apply to this game. Dallas though, has barely played well for any stretch in the last 2 years. They have a 2 game winning streak after beating the Colts and Arizona. The Colts have been lucky to win 9 in a row. On average, their 9 wins came by outscoring the opponents by only7 points! Sooner or later they were going to have some bad plays and wouldn’t be able to overcome it. That was last week, at Dallas.
The Cowboys are playing better since replacing Bledsoe, but they also haven’t played a good physical team since. The eleven points here are too much.
The Buc’s are able to run the ball and they are improving in the passing game as well. They do play good one week and poorly the next, but they have the capacity to slow down opponent’s offenses. On the road Tampa has held Atlanta to 14 pts, N. Orleans to 24, the Giants to 17 pts, and Carolina to 26pts in which Tampa scored 24. Combined that averaged 21 points on defense.. If they can keep Dallas under 30 they should cover the number.
The Play. Tampa Bay and Over38.
Denver Pk over Kansas City & Under 38. The Chiefs at home are always a good play. Larry Johnson is running like a mad man. Green is back and could get this team to the playoffs.
Plummer is one of the worst QB on the road. Denver usually struggles in division games. i.e. SD last week. Denver has a great balance of offense and defense. Lately though they were exposed by the Colts and Chargers. Two teams known for offense. Denver had a big lead in that game and ended falling asleep and turned it into a loss. Also, Bell was a last minute scratch and it cost them.
The Chiefs were totally out of sync with the Raiders - BUT the Raider s have a very, very underrated defense. If Denver comes to play, they will do much more then they did in the wacky game they played earlier against the Chiefs in a 9-6 win. KC still has a way to go to be considered an even team against Denver. They’ll probably end up a 1 to 2 point favorite if they get enough action on KC which I feel they will. With both teams coming off tight games, I see Denver being able to play better defensively here. KC is going to have trouble passing against Denver. That will mean they will try to run with Larry and keep the game close. Check status on TE Gonzales.
The Play. Denver & Under 38.
College Play. Miami Hurricanes +4 over Boston College &under 37. I must be nuts!
Not really. The Canes have played well at home. Although they lost, the ONE time they were a home dog this year, - they are much better then when on the road. BC on the other hand has played 4 road games, averaging only 21 pts per game. BC is 1-3 ats and 0-3 ats when the favorite. When laying points on the road you have to have an advantage somewhere. They don’t. Miami scores 24 and only gives up 10 per game. What is more important – Miami only allows 2.2 yds, per rush. BC had already won some big games and after winning last week against Maryland, the intensity needed to win on the road against a good home defense will be to much to expect from BC in this one. The Canes after a bad loss to Virginia, will like nothing better, then to beat a team with a winning record and finish the season at 6-6. Don’t be surprised to se a one sided win here for the Canes!
Miami, Fla. & Under 37.
Happy Thanksgiving To Everyone
Last year went 2-2 on Pro Sides & totals. (Won the College side W.Virginia)
Over the years I have played these Pro games well. Lost one time (1-3) and had one 2-2 day(last year) and have had several sweeps in pros with sides & totals going 4 -0. Usually something happens with turnovers, and I go 3-1.
This year, there are 6 plays on the Pros for me to challenge - and all of them are playable. We have a division game, an inter-conference game and a conference game.
Many of the factors for these games are somewhat more difficult to get a good read on. Formula driven systems like I use, have to be good enough to warrant a play on a side or a total. Knowing what each teams schedules are like, means a lot. Especially how tough it is.
There are a few factors that matter here, that usually don't play into a regular Sunday game, for all these games on T-Day. Short week to prepare. Large disadvantage for the road team. And the effort in the game before this one. Not necessarily who won, but who played good enough to win.
Maimi -3 over Detroit & under 40., Detroit usually plays a great game at home on T-Day. They often play the role of underdog that wins SU. Miami has played several T-Day games and won SU as well and covered the spread.
This is an AFC-NFC match-up. These two teams have trouble scoring. But only one of these teams can play defense. It really matters in a short week, and also, the level of the opponent on offense.
Kitna can move the Lions some on offense, but he is very prone to sacks and int's.
The Dolphins are just getting used to QB Harrington, and he is lookng better each week with the team. Detroit has enough offense to win any game at any time. But, when they play good defensive teams they will always get beat. They scored 6 pts on Chicago and 7 on Seattle. At that time both teams were playing better defense, then they are playing in the middle of the season. After those two, they have played low scoring teams with bad defenses. The Phins have played at least 4 teams that are better than Detroit. Pittsburgh, New England, Chicago and KC. Collectively, they have been held to an average of 17 pts per game. The Lions are nowhere near any of these teams and will be in trouble all day.
The Play. Miami and Under 40.
Tampa Bay +11 over Dallas & over 38. The same factors apply to this game. Dallas though, has barely played well for any stretch in the last 2 years. They have a 2 game winning streak after beating the Colts and Arizona. The Colts have been lucky to win 9 in a row. On average, their 9 wins came by outscoring the opponents by only7 points! Sooner or later they were going to have some bad plays and wouldn’t be able to overcome it. That was last week, at Dallas.
The Cowboys are playing better since replacing Bledsoe, but they also haven’t played a good physical team since. The eleven points here are too much.
The Buc’s are able to run the ball and they are improving in the passing game as well. They do play good one week and poorly the next, but they have the capacity to slow down opponent’s offenses. On the road Tampa has held Atlanta to 14 pts, N. Orleans to 24, the Giants to 17 pts, and Carolina to 26pts in which Tampa scored 24. Combined that averaged 21 points on defense.. If they can keep Dallas under 30 they should cover the number.
The Play. Tampa Bay and Over38.
Denver Pk over Kansas City & Under 38. The Chiefs at home are always a good play. Larry Johnson is running like a mad man. Green is back and could get this team to the playoffs.
Plummer is one of the worst QB on the road. Denver usually struggles in division games. i.e. SD last week. Denver has a great balance of offense and defense. Lately though they were exposed by the Colts and Chargers. Two teams known for offense. Denver had a big lead in that game and ended falling asleep and turned it into a loss. Also, Bell was a last minute scratch and it cost them.
The Chiefs were totally out of sync with the Raiders - BUT the Raider s have a very, very underrated defense. If Denver comes to play, they will do much more then they did in the wacky game they played earlier against the Chiefs in a 9-6 win. KC still has a way to go to be considered an even team against Denver. They’ll probably end up a 1 to 2 point favorite if they get enough action on KC which I feel they will. With both teams coming off tight games, I see Denver being able to play better defensively here. KC is going to have trouble passing against Denver. That will mean they will try to run with Larry and keep the game close. Check status on TE Gonzales.
The Play. Denver & Under 38.
College Play. Miami Hurricanes +4 over Boston College &under 37. I must be nuts!
Not really. The Canes have played well at home. Although they lost, the ONE time they were a home dog this year, - they are much better then when on the road. BC on the other hand has played 4 road games, averaging only 21 pts per game. BC is 1-3 ats and 0-3 ats when the favorite. When laying points on the road you have to have an advantage somewhere. They don’t. Miami scores 24 and only gives up 10 per game. What is more important – Miami only allows 2.2 yds, per rush. BC had already won some big games and after winning last week against Maryland, the intensity needed to win on the road against a good home defense will be to much to expect from BC in this one. The Canes after a bad loss to Virginia, will like nothing better, then to beat a team with a winning record and finish the season at 6-6. Don’t be surprised to se a one sided win here for the Canes!
Miami, Fla. & Under 37.
Happy Thanksgiving To Everyone
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