G-Man's NLF Week 7.

G-Man

G-Man

Pretty much a regular
Thursday
Bengals +6 (-120) over Pitt. 5 units
Cincy gave Green bay a solid game holding the Packers to only 10 points in the first 3 qtrs last week. The offense looked better with Flacco at QB on just 4 days to prepare.
Steelers have nothing as far as any big advantage statistically. They suffer with the run game and have been out yarded all year on passing yards totals.
Laying points to a division rival on the road doesnt show any reason they should be laying 5.5 or 6 points.
The closest team that Cincy can be compared to is the Jets/Steelers game in week one. Since then Pitt hasnt scored over 24 points in any game.
Flacco should bring up the scoring by at least a TD from Cincys poor scoring avg of 17 pts/gm. IF he does that - they cover.
 
Sunday
9:30am London
Rams -3 over Jags. 5 units.
Rams defense allowing 18pts/gm/ best defense that Jags faced all year.

New England -7 over Tennessee. 10 units
Tenn is the worst team in thenFL . Theyare minus -13 pts per game with a 27pt defense.
Patriots likely to be the most improved team this year.

Saints +4 over Chicago. 4 units
Rattler has played well last few games. Competition last three was with better teams than the bears.

NYGiants +8 over Denver. 5 units
Nix is solid but Denver has faced the last four team with issues. The win over the Jets last wweek was only 13-11.
One of 2 common opponent was the Eagles who are slumping. The other was Chargers, Giants beat them while Denver lost.
Looking for a cover by NY. But Denver could win SU

More soon'
 
Love The Giants play as well. I was leaning Tenn, but you make some good points against that play for me. GL @G-Man
 
Eagles-2 over Minnesota. 6 units
Philly has been terrible but Wentz isnt good enough to beat Hurts IMO. Philly has injuries but Minnesota has stopped no one. They beat Cincy (No QB), Ckleveland (rookie QB and soft Chicago who is a negative scoring team.

Miami.+2.5 over Cleveland. 4 units
Phins have scored 120pts (24pts avg) over the last 5 games. Clevelnd has NEVER scored over 17.

Colts +1.5 over Chargers. 5 units
Colts score on everyone. Home or Road.
Chargers are a 21pt offense. They beat Miami last week on three Miami turnovers.
Colts turned the bal over only 4 times all year.
Colts are a huge postitve scoring team - putting up 32pts/gm while only allowed 19.
Colts dont have their top RB today, but it may not matter as the Chargers dont stop the run anyway allowing 5.0 yds/rush!
Backups should do well..

Arizona +7 over Green Bay. 5 units
Regardles of who is at QB forthe Cardinals, they score.
The Packers in road games have struggled. They allowed more points than they scored. Both road ganes were to losing team,s Cle and Dallas. Laying 7 seems to be too much.
May be back later.
 
SF ML -105. over Atlanta.
4 units.
Low scoring Falcons on the road faced two teams. Tampa, who won and Carolina who won 30-.0
Sf at home is a good defenseive team.They lost to Jacksonville but SF had 4 turnovers in the loss.
 
Detroit -6 over Tampa. 5 units

Last year Tampa (+7.5 points) - had Goodwin, Evans, Irvin and Mayfield all healthy - and Tampa was held to 14 first downs -70yds rushing and only 146 yds passing.
Now - Irvin is out, Evans not 100% if he plays w/hamstring issues and no Goodwin?
Its been noted that Baker is playing with some injuries since last week.
Tampa was also gifted two turnovers from Detroit.

The Lions had 324 yds passing , 139 yds rushing amd 26 first downs.and Lost. 20-16 last year.

The Lions defensive backfield still has several key injuries as noted last week.
Tampa's defense is not playing as good as it was last year at this point. Soooo - if Detroit doesnt gift them scores with turnovers, I wonder how they will catch up to the Lions offense thats putting up 32pts/gm.
Tampa also was out-yarded in 2 of the three road games. They only beat Houston in total yardage way back in week two, when Houston was under-performing on offense.

Houston +3 over Seattle. 7 units
Guess who the best defensive team is now in the NFL?
The TEXANS! They are allowing a league best 12 points per game. And suddenly they have an offense that put up 70 points in the last 2 weeks while allowing only 10 points!

Not only that -In spite of their 2-3 record they are out scoring opponents on average by 10 points per game! 22-12.
C.J.Stroud is playing well with a QB rating now of 101..
The first 3 games were against the Rams, Tampa and Jacksonville. all postive scoring teams and they were all held to 20 pts or less!
One more fact. In those first three games,, two were road games and those two happen to be the lowest points allowed on the season tnen - and so was last week on the road in Baltimore. So in THREE road games they allowed a total of 41points!


Lets not forget - this is the team that Dumped QB Watson to Cleveland for 6 top draft picks and they are now paying off!
Last week they ran the ball for 167 yards.
Oh Yeah! They also stole Nick Chubb from Cleveland this year by out-bidding Cleveland for him as a free agent.
Talk about a franchise that is stupid >Cleveland, While Houston is smart - as the> Texans!
 
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