Friday why do i even try unders Discussion

GWarner27

GWarner27

Meatballin' in Celtics Stadium
leans from the BOL open:
CHC -113
PHI +161
SD u6 -115
DET u7.5 -105
BOS o9 -115
HOU +153/u7 -105
LAA -123 (now -110)/u7.5 -105


on the radar:
ATL +120
MIL -101
StL u7 +105
 
You really eyeing philles?

Correia career 1.42 whip, philles are hopeless on the road this season.
 
Gabe said:
Love that stl kc under
Click to expand...

it's a little low, i made it 7.5u20 but certainly lean that way

Gabe said:
You really eyeing philles?

Correia career 1.42 whip, philles are hopeless on the road this season.
Click to expand...

Correia and the Phillies suck, but he's been good to me in his career. More of an anti-Locke move, but I hate PHI vs LHP and fear that even shitty Utley may sit as he's starting to get days off vs LHP (which would be a huge loss to that lineup)
 
If you bet Braves hope the BP doesn't hurt you. That BP is disgusting.
 
Mets ML - 1.87
Rockies ML - 2.16
Nationals ML - 2.04
Rangers ML - 1.81
M's/Astros Under 7.5 - 1.85
Jays ML - 1.96
 
really like the under in the astros/M's game felix will keep those stros bats quiet and I still don't think the M's bats have awaken and Ober can hold them at home IMO
 
gsro said:
really like the under in the astros/M's game felix will keep those stros bats quiet and I still don't think the M's bats have awaken and Ober can hold them at home IMO
Click to expand...

when they do wake up that team is gonna hit the ground running, we'll see if that happens though
 
updated leans:
CHC -110
PHI +165
SD u6 +105
DET u7.5 +105
BOS o9
LAA -107/u7.5 -112
WAS +101
 
I have absolutely no feel for bases right now. Best to not go crazy looking for plays and let it come to me
 
June is an interesting month. I have had some really bad Junes, in 2013 I lost so much that I almost had to reload my account. 2010 and 2011 were not good Junes for me either.

Down about 4 units already this June. I am grinding away til I start getting a better feel and once that happens my unit size will increase. Since 2006 I had never had a losing July, some July's were epic. Hoping this season will be the same.


Love the Pirates -1 -111 and Cards under 7 -105. Received good lines in both. At least if I am going to lose, getting good lines will limit the damage. Baseball is the streakiest sport imo. You can go on runs where you win almost everyday for a week and a half, then can't buy a win for a week. Just need to be patient and utilize money mgmt. Don't get too high when you win and don't get too low when you lose.
 
@SportsInsights: Since '05 the Reds have been the best team in Wrigley day games, going 33-21 for +14.16 units.
 
Excepts from C-Notes

MLB > (963) ARIZONA@ (964) SAN FRANCISCO | 06/12/2015 - 10:15 PM
Play AGAINST SAN FRANCISCO using the money line in Home games in June games
The record is 5 Wins and 15 Losses for the last two seasons (-13.8 units)
MLB > (973) MINNESOTA@ (974) TEXAS | 06/12/2015 - 08:05 PM
Play ON MINNESOTA using the in All games on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5
The record is 16 Wins and 1 Losses for the last two seasons (+14.3 units)


MLB > (979) KANSAS CITY@ (980) ST LOUIS | 06/12/2015 - 08:15 PM
Play ON KANSAS CITY using the in Road games in June games
The record is 13 Wins and 1 Losses for the last two seasons (+12.7 units)

MLB > (961) LA DODGERS@ (962) SAN DIEGO | 06/12/2015 - 10:10 PM
Play AGAINST LA DODGERS using the money line in Road games after 3 or more consecutive wins
The record is 0 Wins and 9 Losses for the last two seasons (-10.45 units)

MLB > (975) SEATTLE@ (976) HOUSTON | 06/12/2015 - 08:10 PM
Play ON SEATTLE using the money line in Road games in June games
The record is 12 Wins and 3 Losses for the last two seasons (+13.04 units)
 
Last edited:
2 early leans Pitt RL
Texas RL
The idea of betting on Philadelphia is---interesting.
The team is 5-15 last 20 and in the last 15 losses 2 were by 1 run.
Locke is playing on 5 at night and at home all good things for a fairly poor pitcher.
Pitt is off a losing home series and unlike Philadelphia is playing for something not passing time waiting for the season to end
Still thinking. Pitt by the way as a 175 to 200 fave is 16-2 last 3 years
Philadelphia by the way is 4-1 off a day off this season. There are always angles pointing for every side but I do not like this spot for them at all.
Glanced at his 2014 splits and saw 4-9 at night with a 6.13 ERA
He is better on the road.
 
Last edited:
ST LOUIS is 21-4 (+15.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing with a day off over the last 3 seasons.
 
If you take away that weird sweep of the Nats by the Reds at home 2 weeks ago they are 2-11 vs above .500 teams.
 
Just glanced at the Houston game. Just assumed the first game was a throw away
Brett is on his best rest 5 days career 3.30 ERA 4-5
vs Seattle 2-0 1.20 ERA based on 15 inning. Will think more about that after refs
 
Killersport trends
JUNE 12, 2015
Featuring
the SDQL
Presented By SportsBook Breakers
DAILY MLB TIPSHEET
SBB’S SDQL SU TREND OF THE DAY:
T
he Athletics are 0-11 SU against since Aug 24, 2014 after a
home win in which they allowed 6 or fewer hits.
SDQL TEXT:
team=Athletics and po:hits<=6 and p:HW and
date>=20140824
SBB’S SDQL PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:
W
hen Bartolo Colon starts the Mets are 11-0 OU since April
19, 2014 after his team scored a total of fewer than three
runs in his last start for a net profit of $1105 when playing the
over.
SDQL TEXT:
starter=Bartolo Colon and s:runs<3 and
date>=20140419
MLB BIBLE ACTIVE TREND :
T
he Twins are 0-12 (+$1,223) since 2011 following a game
where they trailed by at least four runs after the first inning
and score less than seven runs.
SDQL TEXT:
team=Twins and p:M1<=-4 and p:runs<7 and
season>=2011
SBB’S SDQL CHOICE TREND:
W
hen Clayton Kershaw starts the Dodgers are 12-0 since
June 08, 2014 after he had a WHIP of less than one his last
start and they won in his previous start for a net profit of $1200.
SDQL TEXT:
starter=Clayton Kershaw and s:SWHIP<1 and s:W
and date>=2014060
KILLERSPORTS.COM ACTIVE TRENDS:
T
he Pirates are 11-0 SU on since Jul 18, 2014 vs a team that
has lost at least their last two games and it is the first game
of a series.

 
Wow, A's 5-21 L26 vs LHP, and Chavez gets no run support, lean under but possible parlay LAA/under
 
Just saw Vegas experts mlb. trends
2 that stuck out Pitt 14-2 last 16 at home on Friday and Kershaw 16-0 as a 2 dollar fav with Padres 15-30 after a 5 or longer road trip. Kershaw being another June superman for a while now.
Another disses SF which is very scary with Bumgarner on 5
 
tuck321 said:
2 early leans Pitt RL
Texas RL
The idea of betting on Philadelphia is---interesting.
The team is 5-15 last 20 and in the last 15 losses 2 were by 1 run.
Locke is playing on 5 at night and at home all good things for a fairly poor pitcher.
Pitt is off a losing home series and unlike Philadelphia is playing for something not passing time waiting for the season to end
Still thinking. Pitt by the way as a 175 to 200 fave is 16-2 last 3 years
Philadelphia by the way is 4-1 off a day off this season. There are always angles pointing for every side but I do not like this spot for them at all.
Glanced at his 2014 splits and saw 4-9 at night with a 6.13 ERA
He is better on the road.
Click to expand...

it certainly ain't pretty, but I'd argue Jeff Locke can not be bigger than a half-run favorite at home/that is the basis for my lean
 
My only problem with Yanks is I don't want to go against Ubaldo at home and more importantly Pineda missed a start and I like pitchers in a routine
 
Over another real possibility as Pineda has a losing record 1-6 3.87 ERA on 6+. Yanks are going to score one way or another.
 
Over Fenway: 3rd time around this season both pitchers vs lineups, Hutch 7 era in his previous 2 starts vs Bos this season, Kelly allowed 5 ER and 6 ER in his previous two tries this season vs Tor. Hutch way better splits home than road career, 7.80 6 road starts season and 5.31 road career, 5.74 in 3 Fenway starts. Jays bats on fire.
 
Play2win said:
Over Fenway: 3rd time around this season both pitchers vs lineups, Hutch 7 era in his previous 2 starts vs Bos this season, Kelly allowed 5 ER and 6 ER in his previous two tries this season vs Tor. Hutch way better splits home than road career, 7.80 6 road starts season and 5.31 road career, 5.74 in 3 Fenway starts. Jays bats on fire.
Click to expand...
Some Sox bats with solid numbers vs Hutch, both teams should do enough scoring
 
Is that better than first half over? I am reading Hutch 9-1 over first 5 this year?
 
Over is 8-3 L11 Hutch starts overall and over is 13-3 L16 Hutch road starts, over 4-1 L5 Hutch vs Bos, over 5-2 L7 Kelly vs AL East
 
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