43-25-5 +14.49 units
I go hard on myself in capping hoops. I expect success with the time and effort I put into it. Pretty solid start to the season. Up 2900 in 2 weeks time is satisfying but I feel like I have left a few plays out there and burned myself on a couple. Some bad luck on some and some good luck on others evens itself out over time(unless you possess the 'curse of the killa'). The league is really odd this year. I knew the east would be wide open. Washington, Jersey and Cleveland really could represent the East in finals. Crazy. The west is a bit more like usual. Utah has been most impressive so far.
As for the hometown team, I hope they do something by all-star break to shake the team up a bit. I knew they would start slow but I don't know if they can grow enough. We are spoiled around here though. Two problems with this team. First, they need to get uptempo. No reason not to. It was talked about and of course they are just walking it up. I hate that. Second, the interior defense is awful. Dice is not a good defender. Shhed and Nazr can block shots but their on the ball defense is not as good as some may think. Now, the bench was iffy last year. This year, with Flip, Delfino, Dice and Maxiell they are an excellent group. The style and inside defense need to change. My solution-Sheed, Delfino and a first round pick for KG(lol). That would really change things. Will not happen but don't be suprised to hear those rumors in a few months.
Okay, Friday lines are here. I projected my lines on Wed and they are pretty much dead on. I valued HOU at 8.5 instead of 10.5 and had Lakers 4.5. Also had Wiz 4.5 but that line is inflated due to last night.
First, some general thoughts:
I will not play any Detroit games for another few weeks. Very inconsistent. I think Lakers win easily. Off a loss, this scrappy Lakers team will be up for the game and should play well. Kobias has to chase Rip around. Thats the factor working for Stons. Its DET's natuire to come out and control this game though(lol). BTW, game is off board now at Pinnacle.
Portland catching 3 from a New Orleans team on a back to back?. Hmm
The linesmakers actually priced Utah right. I was hoping they may throw out a foolish -1 or PK.
Alright...plays
Toronto vs Atlanta
Sam Mitchell wants hic club to get 100 FGA's each game. They have been doing a solid job. Its something to see the difference in FG attempts each game. I think their shooting will start improving and this is going to become a very high-scoring team.
The Hawks may not impress anyone scoring wise but in an uptempo affair in TOR they have the guys to get some points. Its not always about a team when handicapping totals...it can be the opponent. I think TOR dictates the pace at home.
Two awful defenses in my opinion(especially Raptors) hava a shootout. Number is 6-7 points low IMO
Toronto-Atlanta Over 200 -111
Philadelphia vs Denver
First of all...can you believe that Denver hasn't won yet this season? Me neither. This team is better than that and I think they will start to rebound soon. Looks like they got comfortable Wednesday against Knicks and got blindsided late. Kmart is out again(whats new) but he hadn't done much in my opinion anyway.
The Sixers started hot but have faltered last 2 games. This is a below .500 team still in my opinion. I was shocked they started as they did but much credit to their players. This line should be a PK IMO.
Denver is another team with a more 'offensive' system. They want to get shots up in the first 14 seconnds of the shot clok. What this does is make them more uptempo and use their strenghts. Other than JR Smith this team is lacking from perimeter. Now, with a running style, this makes baskets easier to come by.
I think Philly will adhere to that running style. Guys like AI, Iggy, Ashton and Willie green have no problem getting out into transition. I think it will be a fun exciting game and Denver is the better team and will get off the scneid.
Denver+3 -105
Denver-Philly Over 207 -105 (2 units)
ADD: DENVER ML +128
Best of luck. I would say this will be my plays. No need to force even though its a big card. Will re-evalute the other matches tomorrow afternoon and will update at that time. Leave any questions and thoughts and I will get back to you.
I go hard on myself in capping hoops. I expect success with the time and effort I put into it. Pretty solid start to the season. Up 2900 in 2 weeks time is satisfying but I feel like I have left a few plays out there and burned myself on a couple. Some bad luck on some and some good luck on others evens itself out over time(unless you possess the 'curse of the killa'). The league is really odd this year. I knew the east would be wide open. Washington, Jersey and Cleveland really could represent the East in finals. Crazy. The west is a bit more like usual. Utah has been most impressive so far.
As for the hometown team, I hope they do something by all-star break to shake the team up a bit. I knew they would start slow but I don't know if they can grow enough. We are spoiled around here though. Two problems with this team. First, they need to get uptempo. No reason not to. It was talked about and of course they are just walking it up. I hate that. Second, the interior defense is awful. Dice is not a good defender. Shhed and Nazr can block shots but their on the ball defense is not as good as some may think. Now, the bench was iffy last year. This year, with Flip, Delfino, Dice and Maxiell they are an excellent group. The style and inside defense need to change. My solution-Sheed, Delfino and a first round pick for KG(lol). That would really change things. Will not happen but don't be suprised to hear those rumors in a few months.
Okay, Friday lines are here. I projected my lines on Wed and they are pretty much dead on. I valued HOU at 8.5 instead of 10.5 and had Lakers 4.5. Also had Wiz 4.5 but that line is inflated due to last night.
First, some general thoughts:
I will not play any Detroit games for another few weeks. Very inconsistent. I think Lakers win easily. Off a loss, this scrappy Lakers team will be up for the game and should play well. Kobias has to chase Rip around. Thats the factor working for Stons. Its DET's natuire to come out and control this game though(lol). BTW, game is off board now at Pinnacle.
Portland catching 3 from a New Orleans team on a back to back?. Hmm
The linesmakers actually priced Utah right. I was hoping they may throw out a foolish -1 or PK.
Alright...plays
Toronto vs Atlanta
Sam Mitchell wants hic club to get 100 FGA's each game. They have been doing a solid job. Its something to see the difference in FG attempts each game. I think their shooting will start improving and this is going to become a very high-scoring team.
The Hawks may not impress anyone scoring wise but in an uptempo affair in TOR they have the guys to get some points. Its not always about a team when handicapping totals...it can be the opponent. I think TOR dictates the pace at home.
Two awful defenses in my opinion(especially Raptors) hava a shootout. Number is 6-7 points low IMO
Toronto-Atlanta Over 200 -111
Philadelphia vs Denver
First of all...can you believe that Denver hasn't won yet this season? Me neither. This team is better than that and I think they will start to rebound soon. Looks like they got comfortable Wednesday against Knicks and got blindsided late. Kmart is out again(whats new) but he hadn't done much in my opinion anyway.
The Sixers started hot but have faltered last 2 games. This is a below .500 team still in my opinion. I was shocked they started as they did but much credit to their players. This line should be a PK IMO.
Denver is another team with a more 'offensive' system. They want to get shots up in the first 14 seconnds of the shot clok. What this does is make them more uptempo and use their strenghts. Other than JR Smith this team is lacking from perimeter. Now, with a running style, this makes baskets easier to come by.
I think Philly will adhere to that running style. Guys like AI, Iggy, Ashton and Willie green have no problem getting out into transition. I think it will be a fun exciting game and Denver is the better team and will get off the scneid.
Denver+3 -105
Denver-Philly Over 207 -105 (2 units)
ADD: DENVER ML +128
Best of luck. I would say this will be my plays. No need to force even though its a big card. Will re-evalute the other matches tomorrow afternoon and will update at that time. Leave any questions and thoughts and I will get back to you.
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