i need SN's numbers on marquis w/ extended rest. if they are bad i will no doubt be on the over.
Tough spot to figure Jimbo. Marquis was skipped last time and his last start was the game @ SFG which is a place in 5 career starts he has exceled. This year general much better pitcher on the road and much better in day starts . So simply being home is not his best situation.
So he was skipped or pushed back in early May and pitched on the 9th day(8 days rest) vs SD and was medicore 5.2 inn 9 h 4 runs but really seemed to be just a bad 4th inning where they scored all his runs .
Cain has 6 career starts vs Cubbies 4 excellent and 2 poor. So another extreme scenario as he was excellent 2 weeks ago vs them (poor @ Wrigley in 07 but excellent in 06).
Very important here and UNLIKE yesterday with 2 flyball pitchers is Marquis lives on his 2 seamer ( being a STL product ) and allowed but 8Hrs all year . Cain has allowed 12 Hrs but NONE in his past 6 starts and 2 in his past 8 starts . Also very important Fuki sitting takes away there toughest LH bat and Edmonds is another head scratching sit (see his day and Wrigley numbers) .
Current Roster 16-86 vs Cain with 7 bbs 25Ks 1hr 5 rbi think 13-52 current lineup .
Marquis home scores :
16 ,14 ,17 7,7, 12 , 18 , 15
<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=1 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=15><TD align=left>
Home</TD><TD align=right>
3</TD><TD align=right>
3</TD><TD align=right>
6.29</TD><TD align=right>
8</TD><TD align=right>
8</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
44.1</TD><TD align=right>
59</TD><TD align=right>
33</TD><TD align=right>
31</TD><TD align=right>
5</TD><TD align=right>
1</TD><TD align=right>
11</TD><TD align=right>
2</TD><TD align=right>
27</TD><TD align=right>
2</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
2</TD><TD align=right>
.321</TD></TR><TR class=bg3 vAlign=center align=right height=15><TD align=left>
Away</TD><TD align=right>
3</TD><TD align=right>
2</TD><TD align=right>
3.38</TD><TD align=right>
8</TD><TD align=right>
8</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
48.0</TD><TD align=right>
41</TD><TD align=right>
19</TD><TD align=right>
18</TD><TD align=right>
3</TD><TD align=right>
2</TD><TD align=right>
26</TD><TD align=right>
1</TD><TD align=right>
22</TD><TD align=right>
6</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
1</TD><TD align=right>
2</TD><TD align=right>
.234</TD></TR><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=15><TD align=left>
Day</TD><TD align=right>
4</TD><TD align=right>
1</TD><TD align=right>
4.56</TD><TD align=right>
8</TD><TD align=right>
8</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
47.1</TD><TD align=right>
49</TD><TD align=right>
26</TD><TD align=right>
24</TD><TD align=right>
6</TD><TD align=right>
2</TD><TD align=right>
16</TD><TD align=right>
2</TD><TD align=right>
26</TD><TD align=right>
5</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
1</TD><TD align=right>
.269</TD></TR><TR class=bg3 vAlign=center align=right height=15><TD align=left>
Night</TD><TD align=right>
2</TD><TD align=right>
4</TD><TD align=right>
5.00</TD><TD align=right>
8</TD><TD align=right>
8</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
45.0</TD><TD align=right>
51</TD><TD align=right>
26</TD><TD align=right>
25</TD><TD align=right>
2</TD><TD align=right>
1</TD><TD align=right>
21</TD><TD align=right>
1</TD><TD align=right>
23</TD><TD align=right>
3</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
1</TD><TD align=right>
3</TD><TD align=right>
.288</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=1 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=15><TD align=left>
5 Days Rest</TD><TD align=right>
3</TD><TD align=right>
4</TD><TD align=right>
5.12</TD><TD align=right>
9</TD><TD align=right>
9</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
51.0</TD><TD align=right>
54</TD><TD align=right>
31</TD><TD align=right>
29</TD><TD align=right>
2</TD><TD align=right>
2</TD><TD align=right>
23</TD><TD align=right>
2</TD><TD align=right>
28</TD><TD align=right>
4</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
1</TD><TD align=right>
1</TD><TD align=right>
.271</TD></TR><TR class=bg3 vAlign=center align=right height=15><TD align=left>
> 5 Days Rest</TD><TD align=right>
3</TD><TD align=right>
1</TD><TD align=right>
4.00</TD><TD align=right>
6</TD><TD align=right>
6</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
36.0</TD><TD align=right>
38</TD><TD align=right>
16</TD><TD align=right>
16</TD><TD align=right>
5</TD><TD align=right>
1</TD><TD align=right>
13</TD><TD align=right>
1</TD><TD align=right>
19</TD><TD align=right>
2</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
3</TD><TD align=right>
.275</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=1 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=15><TD align=left>
Last 7 Appearances</TD><TD align=right>
4</TD><TD align=right>
2</TD><TD align=right>
4.54</TD><TD align=right>
7</TD><TD align=right>
7</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
41.2</TD><TD align=right>
37</TD><TD align=right>
22</TD><TD align=right>
21</TD><TD align=right>
2</TD><TD align=right>
1</TD><TD align=right>
17</TD><TD align=right>
1</TD><TD align=right>
20</TD><TD align=right>
3</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
1</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
.234</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Last year 7-2 in day games with a .240 BAA and extra rest 6-2 4.15 in10 starts .234 BAA (.262 on normal)
Definetly better in day starts and extra rest scenarios past few seasons then normal rest and night games IMO. SFG Winn 7-16 2hrs and Aurilia 6-17 1 HR are the 2 guys who hit him. Otherwise 2-26 . Lewis is 2-4 as well. So 15-37 for 3 guys and the rest 2-26 .
Cain has been TERRIBLE in day games so far . .
SFG 22-10 OVER in day games .....Cubs at home 4-0 Over with 11+ totals
SF had 9 Hits the entire mets series and Cubs only had 26 but managed 19runs .
<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=1 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=15><TD align=left>
Day</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
4</TD><TD align=right>
6.31</TD><TD align=right>
7</TD><TD align=right>
7</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
41.1</TD><TD align=right>
43</TD><TD align=right>
30</TD><TD align=right>
29</TD><TD align=right>
7</TD><TD align=right>
1</TD><TD align=right>
21</TD><TD align=right>
2</TD><TD align=right>
35</TD><TD align=right>
2</TD><TD align=right>
1</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
2</TD><TD align=right>
.272</TD></TR><TR class=bg3 vAlign=center align=right height=15><TD align=left>
Night</TD><TD align=right>
5</TD><TD align=right>
3</TD><TD align=right>
3.23</TD><TD align=right>
12</TD><TD align=right>
12</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
78.0</TD><TD align=right>
66</TD><TD align=right>
29</TD><TD align=right>
28</TD><TD align=right>
5</TD><TD align=right>
1</TD><TD align=right>
29</TD><TD align=right>
2</TD><TD align=right>
77</TD><TD align=right>
1</TD><TD align=right>
3</TD><TD align=right>
1</TD><TD align=right>
1</TD><TD align=right>
1</TD><TD align=right>
.231</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
His day stats dont add up seems every jam produces runs as .272 BAA isnt terrible enought to produce a 6.31 ERA . So some bad breaks ...
<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=1 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=bg3 vAlign=center align=right height=15><TD align=left>
5 Days Rest</TD><TD align=right>
4</TD><TD align=right>
4</TD><TD align=right>
3.63</TD><TD align=right>
13</TD><TD align=right>
13</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
86.2</TD><TD align=right>
73</TD><TD align=right>
35</TD><TD align=right>
35</TD><TD align=right>
8</TD><TD align=right>
1</TD><TD align=right>
33</TD><TD align=right>
2</TD><TD align=right>
80</TD><TD align=right>
2</TD><TD align=right>
2</TD><TD align=right>
1</TD><TD align=right>
1</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
.230</TD></TR><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=15><TD align=left>
> 5 Days Rest</TD><TD align=right>
1</TD><TD align=right>
3</TD><TD align=right>
7.33</TD><TD align=right>
5</TD><TD align=right>
5</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
27.0</TD><TD align=right>
33</TD><TD align=right>
24</TD><TD align=right>
22</TD><TD align=right>
4</TD><TD align=right>
1</TD><TD align=right>
13</TD><TD align=right>
2</TD><TD align=right>
27</TD><TD align=right>
1</TD><TD align=right>
2</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
0</TD><TD align=right>
2</TD><TD align=right>
.311</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
Hard to pass an OVER here but I just dont like it . Just totally different scenario then yesterday . Reds are a HR team and hit 7 while SFG is the lowest Hrs in the NL at like 57 facing a sinkerball pitcher who does struggle @ Wrigley because the ball does carry . Cain could really miss alot of bats today .......Dont like that yesterdays game made the over look so easy .....
Played : SFG 1st to score prop and probably gonna play SFG 1st 5 ml or game ML small ......expected Cubs to be higher here on the open like -160 -165..:cheers: