Friday Discussion Thread

Let me tell you how cold I am in bases[did go 1-1 yesterday]. My top play of the day was Bost, which I posted yesterday, which won but my dumb ass forgot to play it. On to today. Lets see what I can screw up.

Mama said there be times like that. I dunno if this help your mood but years back when I did ncaa hoops full time like mlb I usually stayed up half the night capping games, sometimes I was exhausted by time I put plays in cause was working day job then I’d go to gym after. I posted 3 plays, at gym thought I was winning whole time so I was in a great mood , get home and my account not right at all. Somehow I bet opposite sides of all 3 games, I was sure they cheated me, like how you possibly do that?!??? 3 freaking games, I guess weed and exhaustion is how! God I was mad, so of course I added injury to insult and dropped 500 or so at casino like that make me feel better! Lol.

You will get it turned around buddy.
 
Singer to get the win +150..

Don’t do these a lot but like the price and the matchup. Singer has been just what the dr ordered for reds pitching staff. He should have no problem going 6+ vs pirates lineup and while counting on reds to get him runs might not be the best idea most days I feel pretty confident they can score off Bailey falter, a guy they have more extra base hits against than k’s. He has also pitched a few pretty good games against them in pit so he really struggles when having to pitch in reds bandbox. Think reds can get enough offense that by time singer leaves the game should be about out of reach.
 
Mama said there be times like that. I dunno if this help your mood but years back when I did ncaa hoops full time like mlb I usually stayed up half the night capping games, sometimes I was exhausted by time I put plays in cause was working day job then I’d go to gym after. I posted 3 plays, at gym thought I was winning whole time so I was in a great mood , get home and my account not right at all. Somehow I bet opposite sides of all 3 games, I was sure they cheated me, like how you possibly do that?!??? 3 freaking games, I guess weed and exhaustion is how! God I was mad, so of course I added injury to insult and dropped 500 or so at casino like that make me feel better! Lol.

You will get it turned around buddy.

That's the absolute worst.
 
Kc ml
Jays ml
Laa ml
Taj Bradley ov 6.5 k’s

Sorry I didn’t have much time to write today, tough not to take the plus money w these teams who you could argue all playing the better ball and/or could be the better team in kc case for sure. Jays/o’s not sure but think it closer this year, and Astros just look like shit to me, letting bregs walk and trading Tucker was some poor team shit, I don’t know anything bout the halo starter but it not like I’m scared of Blanco.
 
Let me tell you how cold I am in bases[did go 1-1 yesterday]. My top play of the day was Bost, which I posted yesterday, which won but my dumb ass forgot to play it. On to today. Lets see what I can screw up.

At least you had right side, pretty sure I bet jays and didn’t forget to put them in, lol. Oh yea I had Ferris ov 2.5 runs allowed also, they were 1 hit/play from it being another disaster for him in those 1st 2 innings and they let him off the hook. After that he found his confidence or whatever he been missing for a long time cause he looked like a totally different pitcher after that!
 
So i dunno what going on with @KJ fav pitcher Nola, it appears his velo down a tic and his 1st pitch strikes way down which I’d think that fixable. I’m not sure if he takes a month or so to get the velo cranked up or is this an issue? I do know it feels like they giving a tremendous discount on Phillies since they had to sit around all night to finish the game, I’ve heard lot of players say adrenaline gets them thru that next game it would 2marro game that they would normally drag,, if that is true and Nola is fine then Philly -109 against Pallante and the cards is fucking crazy! Just a matter if you can answer tnose “if’s”, if you think those are fine for Philly then i would say this a really cheap price to back them w the superior team and pitching matchup for hardly any juice!
 
wasn’t able to find how much my guy Edwardo Cabrera been stretched out, so not sure a reasonable explanation of pitches or innings is for him tonight. That said getting plus money on ov 4.5 k’s is super tempting, he could punch out 5 in 3 innings and wouldn’t shock me at all. If you tell me he going 4-5 innings this a no brainer.,
 
Bubic getting plus money on ov 5,5 k’s ain’t bad either. He pitching great right now. Typically I’ve avoided playing lot of k props vs cle as they a high contact team but they striking out vs lhp at a pretty high clip so far this year.
 
Sweet! 1 got the JA and Edwards money. Woulda been sweet had Jackson got a few blocks. Then the atl big hardly played after dominating 1st half. Wasn’t my best night. Ain’t the playoffs really close?
Yep very tough, bunch of teams have zero to play for at this point
 
Fucjing shit. Singer pitch count up there and he giving up runs, mfer at least needs to get thru 5th, even then won’t be super confident reds pen holds lead, I was counting on 6+ and less than 3 allowed.
 
Well at least he gets thru 5 innings so the win alive. Could use reds to hang a few more to avoid his win getting wiped out. Cabrera cashes his k’s, Bradley right there. Think there was another I can’t remember
 
Yep very tough, bunch of teams have zero to play for at this point

I could tell by the spreads we had to be close to last few games and teams not giving a shit. That shoulda keyed me to just stay on Ja/Edwards as that game has implications of some kind I assume, lol. I knew the lakers game did when I smashed their props and Ats vs Dallas.
 
I could tell by the spreads we had to be close to last few games and teams not giving a shit. That shoulda keyed me to just stay on Ja/Edwards as that game has implications of some kind I assume, lol. I knew the lakers game did when I smashed their props and Ats vs Dallas.
Seeding between 3-8 in the West is all that's left really
 
Well that be inky time all year we get plus money on Cabrera over 4.5 k’s. Lol. Guess happy to get it once, he a bad mfer when he under control!
 
Does Singer record the win? Assuming the win/don’t lose the lead? Asking for a friend

Yes long as the starter pitches his 5 or more innings and the lead is never relinquished then he get the W, long as his team keeps scoring 1st it could end 40-30, but the minute they get down or it tied them he loses any claim to the result. I damn sure wasn’t expecting him to run into trouble that early and make us count on pen that long, we got away w it but normally If I’m playing that bet I’m counting on my starter giving me at least 6 strong innings!
 
Yes long as the starter pitches his 5 or more innings and the lead is never relinquished then he get the W, long as his team keeps scoring 1st it could end 40-30, but the minute they get down or it tied them he loses any claim to the result. I damn sure wasn’t expecting him to run into trouble that early and make us count on pen that long, we got away w it but normally If I’m playing that bet I’m counting on my starter giving me at least 6 strong innings!
Thx Bank. Wasn't sure, was tracking on ESPN app and saw pitcher #2 show up in the 5th. Wasn't sure if a pitcher needed to complete a full five, or just start the 5th. Tailed you and @Bandits for a nice dub yesterday.
 
Thx Bank. Wasn't sure, was tracking on ESPN app and saw pitcher #2 show up in the 5th. Wasn't sure if a pitcher needed to complete a full five, or just start the 5th. Tailed you and @Bandits for a nice dub yesterday.
Must go a full 5 to get the win

Not even sure the scenario, if he gets relieved in the 5th he can't get the win.
 
Must go a full 5 to get the win

Not even sure the scenario, if he gets relieved in the 5th he can't get the win.
That's odd then. Play paid out so he must've gone a full five but ESPN app was showing two pitchers at top of 6th. I must've been mistaken or didn't see it correctly. Either way, good to know moving forward. Will be adding these as an option and watching a little closer this year.
 
That's odd then. Play paid out so he must've gone a full five but ESPN app was showing two pitchers at top of 6th. I must've been mistaken or didn't see it correctly. Either way, good to know moving forward. Will be adding these as an option and watching a little closer this year.
This is from mlb.com, shows Singer went 5 full so 15 outs and got the win. Not sure what espn was doing but he didn't get relieved until the 6th.

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Looking at that box, 2 hits and 3 walks is unique. Might be worth paying attention to, not like his k rate is high. Seems like he's trying to avoid contact and a patient team will drive him bananas.
 
Thx Bank. Wasn't sure, was tracking on ESPN app and saw pitcher #2 show up in the 5th. Wasn't sure if a pitcher needed to complete a full five, or just start the 5th. Tailed you and @Bandits for a nice dub yesterday.

Has to complete 5 which he just barely did, I was getting pretty damn worried w his pitch count rising then pirates hit him for 3 runs. That why he was a great signing for reds tho, most their young guys lose an inning like that while he calms down and gets out of it. Hopefully a lot of him rubs off on guys like Greene and Lodolo, so far geene has been crazy efficient which never been his calling card.
 
That's odd then. Play paid out so he must've gone a full five but ESPN app was showing two pitchers at top of 6th. I must've been mistaken or didn't see it correctly. Either way, good to know moving forward. Will be adding these as an option and watching a little closer this year.

This 1st year im really playing them, for the moment the ones I been targeting are pitchers where their out prop is 17.5 w bunch of juice to over or 18.5 which I hate. But if I’m in agreement with the number and he has a pitching mismatch seems to make a lot of sense to take the nice plus money offered on those opposed to paying juice to go 6 or 6.1 innings!
 
This 1st year im really playing them, for the moment the ones I been targeting are pitchers where their out prop is 17.5 w bunch of juice to over or 18.5 which I hate. But if I’m in agreement with the number and he has a pitching mismatch seems to make a lot of sense to take the nice plus money offered on those opposed to paying juice to go 6 or 6.1 innings!
Yep the win wager is completely correlated with the outs wager. How to use that to an advantage could take some work with how bullpens can fuck up a soup sandwich in no time but they no doubt are similar wagers
 
Yep the win wager is completely correlated with the outs wager. How to use that to an advantage could take some work with how bullpens can fuck up a soup sandwich in no time but they no doubt are similar wagers

Yea I was sure after singer gave up the 3 that it be tied at some point. We obviously gonna take a few hits with pens but with getting so much plus money on those compared to the juice we often laying on the outs I think there are for sure times it the better play, it will just take a little fine tuning to figure out best times to use it. So we have that and I’ve been doing pretty well w these 1st inning un2.5 h,r,e plays so few new things to work on in the playbook.
 
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