So I just couldn’t nail down a stat line for Quintana I felt good about tonight, I do feel pretty good saying cards not hitting Strider if he on so I played cards Ff tt under 1.5.
No clue why the Steele k prop opened +120 and been bet the opposite I woulda thought? Dunno if I’m missing something or it just the fact he facing brewers in b2b starts? ya’ll know I don’t like that but +140 to fan 7 was just too good a price for me to pass up as I made his ov 6.5 -155ish!! I just don’t think it likely he gets run from this game early cause he a very tough matchup for the milw offense, assuming he goes 6 innings I feel pretty damn good he fans at least 7! Honestly think he could have 10!! I’m also on the cubs Ff +120, I woulda never believed this coming into the year but I honestly think we getting the better pitcher w steele ov Peralta who I always been a big fan of! I like steele that much tho and Freddy P has just been ok since coming off the IL.
They put Bubic right where I suspected but I woulda thought he would have carried some juice for over 3.5, flat 4 -120 where I had him, yet opened 3.5 -110 and now can get -105 on over?!! Usually these things move the direction I have them, not always but certainly way more than not. Maybe his previous start where he made me look pretty dumb not fanning anyone before being run in the 3rd has ppl facing him? My only real concern would be was that result cause he hurting and not telling anyone? If that the case this could obviously look bad again, but If it was just him having a bad day I see no reason why he doesn’t fan at least 4 against this pads lineup that been a total freaking disaster for whatever reason? I thought bout playin royals but I don’t trust them to score much of anything off musgrove either. It prob be a good game to play it in true
@Wiretowire fashion and take +2.5 around the same price it would be to play pads ml!!! (Damn sure won’t catch me laying -170 on pads with way they nose diving!!).
McCullers been solid since coming off IL but for a guy with a freaking 6.25 era I actually like Bradish, imo there is real potential with him. His xfip is a much more solid 3.91, not amazing but way better than that redic high era. He young enough he could turn out to be a solid pitcher, good enough for me to take the +160 on the scrappy O’s who have only lost 2 series since the Asb!! Looks like someone just hit Stros up even higher. If we can get +1.5 close to even money I would love that also!!
Think that’s everything I played. I was close with the Ff un3.5 in Seattle but Gilbert has really been disappointing to me in the 2nd half the season, dunno if he wearing down (pretty sure he has already eclipsed most innings he has thrown any season as a pro), or what but he went from one my favorite pitchers I cashed a ton of k props w to a real hamburger! If I decide to go back to casino for preseason games (havnt looked yet) I might add guardians Ff -.5 as I think +110 for Biebs to out pitch gilbert thru 5 is a pretty good play.
