FriDay Bases and stuff/starting 2nd half

bloodhound

Sniffing out wins
won the Over and lost the side in the allstar game putting the YTD fig @ +104.00U

By this time of the season we have lost at least half of our starting cappers @CTG. It always happens as MLB is such a long and frustrating season and summers activities takes time away from capping. Hopefully the cappers that are left can get,or stay hot, and provide help to all of the lurkers.

There are lots of good matchups in todays slate of games.I hope I am seeing them correctly
Fri
902 Philadelphia Phillies* +156 vs Miami Marlins x half
902 Philadelphia Phillies* +1½ -120 vs Miami Marlins
901 Miami Marlins/Philadelphia Phillies* Under 7½ -140 x1
Miami has the second-worst road mark in the majors. The Marlins have dropped 19 of their last 26 away games. They are missing perhaps their three top bats in injured Stanton (broken hand), Gordon (dislocated thumb) and Prado (shoulder).
Fernandez is not nearly as effective on the road.The Phillies' offense is more effective at home. They are averaging 5.4 runs in their last five games at Citizens Band Park. The Phillies also would have a winning record during their last 11 home games if given plus 1 1/2 runs. This is the Phillies' first home game in more than two weeks. They should have a little spark coming off the break. The Marlins have lost 11 of their past 13 road matchups. Fernandez has looked very good in his first two starts coming back from TJ surgery. Both of those outings, however, came at Marlins Park. Fernandez is 14-0 at home with a 1.17 ERA. This is his first road start of 2015. Lifetime on the road, Fernandez is 4-8 with a 3.93 ERA.
Morgan is a rookie lefthander making his fourth start of the season. He didn't look good in his previous appearance facing the Dodgers on the road, but was solid during his first two starts giving up a combined three earned runs in 12 2/3 innings.
Morgan was considered the Phillies' top pitching prospect three years ago, but shoulder surgery robbed him of some of his velocity. Morgan is 1-2, 4.32 in his three starts (under 2-1).
The Marlins have lost six of the past seven times when facing a southpaw.I look for this dog to be highly competitive given 1 1/2 runs against a weakened Marlins offense.
 
Reasonable points. Currently looking at the other side but will think more on it. GL
 
904 Washington Nationals* -115 vs Los Angeles Dodgers x1
903 Los Angeles Dodgers/Washington Nationals* Under 7½ -125 x1
Bolsinger has not won in six starts since beating Arizona on June 8 but recorded his first quality start over that stretch holding Milwaukee to two runs and four hits over six innings in a no-decision. Bolsinger is 0-1 with a 3.30 ERA in six road starts this season and has only one road win in his brief big-league career.
Despite his worst outing in nearly a month, Zimmermann took a three-start winning streak into the break after yielding four runs on nine hits in five frames during a 7-4 victory at Baltimore on Saturday.He has been much better at home (4-3, 2.27 ERA, .239 batting average against) than on the road (4-2, 4.67, .324). Zimmermann has enjoyed mixed success in six career starts against the Dodgers, going 1-2 with a 5.06 ERA.


906 Atlanta Braves* +119 vs Chicago Cubs x half
905 Chicago Cubs/Atlanta Braves* Over 7 -115 x half
no need of me write much about the Braves. The are not a good tm but they are 'my' tm so when I see an opportunity i will be playing them small the rest of the yr.


907 Pittsburgh Pirates* +115 vs Milwaukee Brewers x2
907 Pittsburgh Pirates/Milwaukee Brewers* Under 9 -170 x1
Pittsburgh took more momentum into the break with wins in 11 of its last 13 contests, including back-to-back wins over the MLB-best Cardinals in extra innings on Sat and Sun. The Pirates have taken six of the first nine meetings with Milwaukee this season after dropping 12 of 19 in the series in 2014. Morton is 1-2 in his last four starts but was increasingly productive in those outings after being shelled for nine runs in two-thirds of an inning at Washington on June 21. Morton held Milwaukee scoreless on three hits over 7 1/3 innings to pick up a win on June 10 and is 3-6 with a 4.11 ERA in 12 career starts against the division rivals.
Fiers managed one win in five outings prior to the break but posted three quality starts in that span. He has had trouble with his command of late. Fiers was rocked for five runs in as many frames versus Pittsburgh on April 10 and is 2-4 with a 6.12 ERA in eight career games against the Pirates. IMO the Pirates are the best dog on the board tonite and a surprise to me being so much of a dog here.Pittsburgh won 10 of last 14 road games, with last four going over total. Milwaukee is 5-8 in its last 13 home games; under is 6-2-1 in their last nine home games.
 
Reasonable points. Currently looking at the other side but will think more on it. GL

Thanks tuck...I make an initial run thru all of the games for my initial take on sides and any totals that jumpout and the Fish got the chk mark to start with...but on 2nd look after seeing some maybe some not so obvious stats/info I made the change to Phillies....but as u can see, small plays for me. I am going to try hard to better manage my funds the 2nd half of the season. I should be at +200 units posted by now but have pissed some units away on what I think should happen in games instead of what 'will' happen
Dont be a stranger tuck, keep me straight
GL
 
910 St. Louis Cardinals* -124 vs New York Mets x1
910 St. Louis Cardinals* -1 +124 vs New York Mets x1
909 New York Mets/St. Louis Cardinals* Under 7½ -160 x2
Not real hi on the Cards here but they are the much better tm so had to give the -1 RL a try.While the Mets' pitching has been as good, their offense has been limited at best, they will need all hands on deck against St. Louis, which saw its lead over Pittsburgh in the NL Central trimmed to 2 1/2 games after losing three straight to the Pirates. Syndergaard was downright spectacular in his outing last Friday, striking out a career-best 13 batters over eight innings in a 4-2 victory over Arizona. But he hasn't fared well when he has left Citi Field going 0-3 with a 5.33 ERA while allowing the opposition to bat .286 against him. Syndergaard, who has a 1.23 ERA over his last three trips to the mound will be making his 12th start of the season and the first of his career versus St. Louis.
Lynn suffered his first loss since May 22 after surrendering five runs on nine hits in a season-low four innings of a 5-2 setback to Pittsburgh last Friday and was making his fourth start since returning from the disabled list, and had yielded only two runs (one earned) in 19 innings over the first three. Lynn owns a 4-1 mark at home this season but is just 1-3 in his career versus the Mets.


911 San Francisco Giants* +110 vs Arizona Diamondbacks x half
911 San Francisco Giants/Arizona Diamondbacks* Over 8 -125 x half
this is a tossup imo. Giants got hot just before break but i dont trust them.Giants won six of last seven games with Arizona where last five stayed under total. SF lost last seven road games and over is 20-7 in last 27 road games. D'backs won three of last four home games, won their last four home series openers. Cain is 1-1, 4.09 in his two starts (under 1-1). Ray is 1-3, 4.62 in his last four starts and under is 5-2-1 in his last eight.


913 Colorado Rockies* +132 vs San Diego Padres x2
913 Colorado Rockies/San Diego Padres* Over 6 -155 x2
Wrong tm favored in my opinion. Col playing decnt ball of late and De La Rosa is unbeaten in his last four outings, yielding a total of five runs over 24 frames, and has given up more than three runs just once in his last 10 turns. De La Rosa is 8-5 with a 4.90 ERA in 25 career games (21 starts) versus San Diego but lost both of his meetings with the Padres this year. Rockies lost seven of last nine road games, four of last five road openers- four of their last five games stayed under. Shields is 0-3, 5.65 in his last five starts where the over is 14-5 in his last 19. San Diego lost six of last eight home games and over is 12-4-1 in their last 17 at home.
 
916 New York Yankees* -1 -116 vs Seattle Mariners x2
915 Seattle Mariners/New York Yankees* Over 7 -185 x2The Yankees won seven of their final 10 games before the break to open up a 3 1/2-game lead in the division, and they appear primed for a strong stretch run with the recent returns of center fielder Ellsbury and closer Miller. Seattle has exchanged wins and losses each day of the month, capped by a 10-3 loss to the Los Angeles Angels on Sunday that left it 7 1/2 games out in the AL West. Montgomery is 3-1, 1.88 in his last four starts and four of his last five went under Tanaka is struggling @ 1-1, 6.84 in his last four starts and all of which went over. Seattle lost last six games with Bronx, but road team won last ten series tilts, with three of last four going over total. Mariners is 12-8 in last 20 road games and they are 6-0 in game after their last six losses. Under is 7-2 in Seattle's last nine road games. Bronx won seven of last ten games and over is 11-2 in their last 13 home games. I dont believe the M's O can score enough to win this game and I cant turn down a seven in this total.


918 Toronto Blue Jays* -1 -103 vs Tampa Bay Rays x1
917 Tampa Bay Rays/Toronto Blue Jays* Under 9 -150 x1
I was impressed with the Rays three consecutive wins before the All-Star break After losing 15 of their previous 18 contests, the Rays allowed just four runs during their sweep of Houston last weekend. But I like Hutchison ,even though he has struggled in his last two starts, yielding 11 runs (nine earned) over 9 2/3 innings after going 5-0 in his previous seven outings. He has been much better at home (6-1, 2.12 ERA) than on the road (2-1, 8.81). Hutchison is one of those pitchers who is just so tough to figure out because he is so good at home and so bad on the road. He hasn’t allowed more than one run in a home games since May 20th. While I like Odorizzi, the Jays are the better team here...I think :)
 
920 Detroit Tigers* -1 +137 vs Baltimore Orioles x1
919 Baltimore Orioles/Detroit Tigers* Under 9 -170 x1
I can make a case for both sides here and both ov and un also. I chose these...hope I'm right



2pm game
931 Kansas City Royals* +103 vs Chicago White Sox x half
931 Kansas City Royals/Chicago White Sox* Under 7½ -105 x half
KC is the better tm imo with a much better pen. KC is 10-6 in last 16 road games...as u cn see, not in love with this matchup
 
926 Oakland Athletics* -1 -132 vs Minnesota Twins x2
925 Minnesota Twins/Oakland Athletics* Under 7½ -165 x1


I have spent 30 min on the Tex/Hous game and still cant make a call....Maybe yall can talk me thru a play here.

Having a tuff time on the Reds and Indians also. I will come back to it

I like KC and Young tonite but will wait untill after the early game to make a play

looking at series plays and parlays now

BOL to All
 
Nats now catching +15...just don't get it
Definitely playing Pirates & Jays
I think the Fish/Under would be solid play because Fernandez is gonna have to pitch near shutout to win and he is capable

GL Hound an glad we got bases back!

:popcorn:
 
Series play, late wk

6902 PHI Phillies (3 Game Series)* +140 vs MIA Marlins (3 Game Series) x half

6904 WAS Nationals (3 Game Series)* -120 vs LOS Dodgers (3 Game Series) x1

6906 ATL Braves (3 Games Series)* +120 vs CUB Cubs (3 Game Series) x1

6907 PIT Pirates (3 Game Seires)* -125 vs MIL Brewers (3 Game Series) x1

6910 STL Cardinals (3 Game Series)* -230 vs NYM Mets (3 Game Series) x2

6911 SFO Giants (3 Game Series)* +100 vs ARI Diamondbacks (3 Game Series) x half

6913 COL Rockies (3 Game Series)* +165 vs SDG Padres (3 Game Series) x half

6916 NYY Yankees (3 Game Series)* -145 vs SEA Mariners (3 Game Series) x2

6918 TOR Blue Jays (3 Game Series)* -140 vs TAM Rays (3 Game Series) x1

6920 DET Tigers (3 Game Series)* -140 vs BAL Orioles (3 Game Series) x1

6924 HOU Astros (3 Game Series)* -190 vs TEX Rangers (3 Game Series) x1

6926 OAK Athletics (3 Game Series)* -185 vs MIN Twins (3 Game Series) x1

6928 LAA Angels (Series 1st 3 Games)* -160 vs BOS Red Sox (Series 1st 3 Games) x half

6929 CLE Indians (3 Game Series)* -125 vs CIN Reds (3 Game Series) x half


parlay

  1. 7/17/2015 7:00 PM Props Baseball 6904 WAS Nationals (3 Game Series)* -120 vs LOS Dodgers (3 Game Series)
    Fixed Price
    M.Bolsinger & J.Zimmermann must start in Game 1 for action
  2. 7/17/2015 7:30 PM Props Baseball 6906 ATL Braves (3 Games Series)* +120 vs CUB Cubs (3 Game Series)
    Fixed Price
    K.Hendricks & J.Teheran must start in Game 1 for action
  3. 7/17/2015 8:05 PM Props Baseball 6907 PIT Pirates (3 Game Seires)* -125 vs MIL Brewers (3 Game Series)
    Fixed Price
    C.Morton & M.Fiers must start in Game 1 for action
Risking 50 To Win 313



parlay

  1. 7/17/2015 8:10 PM Props Baseball 6910 STL Cardinals (3 Game Series)* -230 vs NYM Mets (3 Game Series)
    Fixed Price
    N.Syndergaard & L.Lynn must start in Game 1 for action
  2. 7/17/2015 7:00 PM Props Baseball 6916 NYY Yankees (3 Game Series)* -145 vs SEA Mariners (3 Game Series)
    Fixed Price
    M.Montgomery & M.Tanaka must start in Game 1 for action
Risking 200 To Win 285
 
7pm par

  1. 7/17/2015 7:05 PM MLB Baseball 904 Washington Nationals* +111 vs Los Angeles Dodgers
    M Bolsinger - R Listed J Zimmermann - R Listed
  2. 7/17/2015 7:35 PM MLB Baseball 906 Atlanta Braves* +118 vs Chicago Cubs
    K Hendricks - R Listed J Teheran - R Listed
  3. 7/17/2015 8:10 PM MLB Baseball 907 Pittsburgh Pirates* +108 vs Milwaukee Brewers
    C Morton - R Listed M Fiers - R Listed
Risking 50 To Win 428


par

  1. 7/17/2015 7:05 PM MLB Baseball 916 New York Yankees* -162 vs Seattle Mariners
    M Montgomery - L Listed M Tanaka - R Listed
  2. 7/17/2015 7:05 PM MLB Baseball 918 Toronto Blue Jays* -142 vs Tampa Bay Rays
    J Odorizzi - R Listed D Hutchison - R Listed
  3. 7/17/2015 7:05 PM MLB Baseball 920 Detroit Tigers* +2½ -250 vs Baltimore Orioles
    U Jimenez - R Listed A Sanchez - R Listed
Risking 100 To Win 286
 
par with pts bought

  1. 7/17/2015 7:05 PM MLB Baseball 904 Washington Nationals* +2½ -245 vs Los Angeles Dodgers
    M Bolsinger - R Listed J Zimmermann - R Listed
  2. 7/17/2015 7:35 PM MLB Baseball 906 Atlanta Braves* +2½ -240 vs Chicago Cubs
    K Hendricks - R Listed J Teheran - R Listed
  3. 7/17/2015 8:10 PM MLB Baseball 907 Pittsburgh Pirates* +2½ -315 vs Milwaukee Brewers
    C Morton - R Listed M Fiers - R Listed
  4. 7/17/2015 7:05 PM MLB Baseball 916 New York Yankees* +2½ -430 vs Seattle Mariners
    M Montgomery - L Listed M Tanaka - R Listed
Risking 200 To Win 448
 
  1. 7/17/2015 7:05 PM MLB Baseball 916 New York Yankees* +2½ -430 vs Seattle Mariners
    M Montgomery - L Listed M Tanaka - R Listed
  2. 7/17/2015 7:05 PM MLB Baseball 918 Toronto Blue Jays* +2½ -360 vs Tampa Bay Rays
    J Odorizzi - R Listed D Hutchison - R Listed
  3. 7/17/2015 8:10 PM MLB Baseball 924 Houston Astros* +2½ -370 vs Texas Rangers
    M Perez - L Listed C McHugh - R Listed
  4. 7/17/2015 10:05 PM MLB Baseball 926 Oakland Athletics* +2½ -610 vs Minnesota Twins
    E Santana - R Listed S Gray - R Listed
  5. 7/17/2015 10:05 PM MLB Baseball 928 Los Angeles Angels* +2½ -350 vs Boston Red Sox
    W Miley - L Listed C Wilson - L Listed
Risking 100 To Win 199
 
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