Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans
Handicapper Analysis
It might be tempting to dismiss Matt Ryan's strong performance last week as an anomaly, but he put up similar numbers against Tennessee.
Given Ryan's improvement, that of his offensive line, Indianapolis' new up-tempo tendencies, and Tennessee's atrocious pass defense ranking, it seems to me that the Colts can put up a lot of points on Sunday.
When these two teams met, the Titan offense managed to sustain a single solid drive.
More careful avoidance of turnovers will keep the Colts from gifting Tennessee points and a win.
Best Bet: Colts +2.5 at -102 with FanDuel
Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans
Handicapper Analysis
It is no coincidence that Matt Ryan put up the numbers that he did against Jacksonville while not taking any sacks.
This improvement in pass protection is necessary to giving Ryan time to find his favorite targets downfield.
Indianapolis' better offensive play should also translate to more production on the ground.
Jonathan Taylor is much better than his numbers suggest, and it seems like he will be healthy enough to play on Sunday.
But the Titans with their strength in running the ball should also score a lot of points, especially against a Colt run defense that, especially but not only last week, proved to be vulnerable.
Best Bet: Over 42.5 at -110 with FanDuel
Green Bay Packers vs. Washington Commanders
Handicapper Analysis
Its last game, against Chicago, creates a very misleading picture of Washington's run defense capabilities.
A mobile quarterback and a couple of breakaway runs led to a great statistical output for Chicago's ground game.
But the Commander run defense has generally been excellent this year, holding the likes of Philadelphia to 72 rushing yards on 30 attempts.
Green Bay doesn't have a quarterback who will hurt them on the ground like Justin Fields did, so Washington's repeated success against opposing running backs is highly relevant.
The Packers won't run the ball well, and they won't pass well, either, in view of their weakness at wide receiver.
Meanwhile, Washington's offense has failed to exceed 17 points in four straight games.
Best Bet: Under 41.5 at -115 with FanDuel
Houston Texans vs. Las Vegas Raiders
Handicapper Analysis
Texan quarterback Davis Mills' passer rating is 40 points higher at home than on the road.
As many other stats show, he is unreliable on the road.
And he won't get help from his running back against Vegas' fifth-ranked run defense.
Conversely, Houston's run defense has been porous all season and ranks towards the bottom.
So, Josh Jacobs will have a third straight game with over 140 rushing yards for Las Vegas while it looks like Davante Adams will be on the field for the Raiders.
Carr and Adams finally have nice chemistry together, and their connection will give make Vegas' offense well-rounded.
Best Bet: Raiders -7 at -108 with FanDuel
Seattle Seahawks vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Handicapper Analysis
In terms of stats like points scored and points allowed, these two teams are about dead-even.
While, stat-wise the Seahawks lag a bit behind L.A. defensively, the Seahawk defense turned a page last week against Arizona.
By not having to think as much after their coach simplified their defense, Seahawk players are more aggressive and more instinctive.
Justin Herbert is anyhow still not himself given his rib injury.
Geno Smith, however, is his best version of himself this year.
Helped by a ground game that exploits a low-ranked Charger run defense, Smith will continue having the best season of his career against a poorly-tested Charger pass defense.
Best Bet: Seahawks +6 at -115 with FanDuel
Handicapper Analysis
It might be tempting to dismiss Matt Ryan's strong performance last week as an anomaly, but he put up similar numbers against Tennessee.
Given Ryan's improvement, that of his offensive line, Indianapolis' new up-tempo tendencies, and Tennessee's atrocious pass defense ranking, it seems to me that the Colts can put up a lot of points on Sunday.
When these two teams met, the Titan offense managed to sustain a single solid drive.
More careful avoidance of turnovers will keep the Colts from gifting Tennessee points and a win.
Best Bet: Colts +2.5 at -102 with FanDuel
Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans
Handicapper Analysis
It is no coincidence that Matt Ryan put up the numbers that he did against Jacksonville while not taking any sacks.
This improvement in pass protection is necessary to giving Ryan time to find his favorite targets downfield.
Indianapolis' better offensive play should also translate to more production on the ground.
Jonathan Taylor is much better than his numbers suggest, and it seems like he will be healthy enough to play on Sunday.
But the Titans with their strength in running the ball should also score a lot of points, especially against a Colt run defense that, especially but not only last week, proved to be vulnerable.
Best Bet: Over 42.5 at -110 with FanDuel
Green Bay Packers vs. Washington Commanders
Handicapper Analysis
Its last game, against Chicago, creates a very misleading picture of Washington's run defense capabilities.
A mobile quarterback and a couple of breakaway runs led to a great statistical output for Chicago's ground game.
But the Commander run defense has generally been excellent this year, holding the likes of Philadelphia to 72 rushing yards on 30 attempts.
Green Bay doesn't have a quarterback who will hurt them on the ground like Justin Fields did, so Washington's repeated success against opposing running backs is highly relevant.
The Packers won't run the ball well, and they won't pass well, either, in view of their weakness at wide receiver.
Meanwhile, Washington's offense has failed to exceed 17 points in four straight games.
Best Bet: Under 41.5 at -115 with FanDuel
Houston Texans vs. Las Vegas Raiders
Handicapper Analysis
Texan quarterback Davis Mills' passer rating is 40 points higher at home than on the road.
As many other stats show, he is unreliable on the road.
And he won't get help from his running back against Vegas' fifth-ranked run defense.
Conversely, Houston's run defense has been porous all season and ranks towards the bottom.
So, Josh Jacobs will have a third straight game with over 140 rushing yards for Las Vegas while it looks like Davante Adams will be on the field for the Raiders.
Carr and Adams finally have nice chemistry together, and their connection will give make Vegas' offense well-rounded.
Best Bet: Raiders -7 at -108 with FanDuel
Seattle Seahawks vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Handicapper Analysis
In terms of stats like points scored and points allowed, these two teams are about dead-even.
While, stat-wise the Seahawks lag a bit behind L.A. defensively, the Seahawk defense turned a page last week against Arizona.
By not having to think as much after their coach simplified their defense, Seahawk players are more aggressive and more instinctive.
Justin Herbert is anyhow still not himself given his rib injury.
Geno Smith, however, is his best version of himself this year.
Helped by a ground game that exploits a low-ranked Charger run defense, Smith will continue having the best season of his career against a poorly-tested Charger pass defense.
Best Bet: Seahawks +6 at -115 with FanDuel
