mrpickem
SDQL Badass Stat Boss
FIGHT NIGHT: MACHADO GARRY/PRATES
T-Mobile Center, Kansas CityEarly Prelims:
- 2/5.56 Chelsea Chandler +278
- 3/3.15 Timmy Cuamba +105
- 2/2.40 Jaqueline Amorim wins in round 1 +120
- 2.46/2 Jaqualine Amorim (W) vs Polyana Viana u1½ -123
- 3/2.56 Malcolm Wellmaker -117
- 2/2.80 Cameron Saaiman/Malcolm Wellmaker u2½ +140

- Kinda weak opener for UFC card outside the Apex, with 2 non-de-script bantamweights trying to get noticed. Chandler (6-3) is a athletic grappler with good size for division vs Edwards (14-6) a technical striker that pushes pace. She got a sub win i n her last fight (a new wrinkle) but remain 1-2 in last 3...same as Chandler. I think it's a lock to go over but odds are way too high, so even though I do lean Edwards, I'll take a small shot on the dog a good plus money.
- Cuamba (8-3) lost his first 2 UFC fights on decision, but looked OK in the process. Romero (8-4-1) also has not won in the UFC so far at 0-1, he is a fierce competitor who has a very aggressive style. He's able to bring a mad striking onslaught mixed with opportunistic wrestling, at least on the regional level. This is Timmy likes to control the center too, so I see it very possible he could land a big knee or uppercut catching Romero on his entry for a mild upset.
- Polyana (13-7) would be best suited to move on to a different profession as she's just not suited to deal with these UFC killers. Amorim (9-1) has looked great with 3 straight finishes, all by sub. She's a top level BJJ specialist with good grappling and a killer instinct when to "finish her". Odds are crazy high so I'll look for a prop play or just stand aside. Viana is an attractive 332yo, but her fight career is on the ropes after going 3-6 in last 9...1-3 in L4.
- Saaiman (9-2) welcomes newcomer Wellmaker (8-0) in what looks like a coin flip. Malcolm has reach, power and is a proven finisher, not to mention undefeated while Cameron is more experienced with a high volume/technical striking style. He won his first 3 in UFC before getting 2 tough matchup losses in his last 2. I';; favor Wellmaker on size and power. I would expect he will let fly early and try and test Saaiman's chin.