Feb. 2nd to Feb 8th NBA

Thursday Plays / Thoughts :

Utah Jazz ML -150 (320) - Just prefer the ML as a safety net .

Small situational edge with Utah coming in with 2 days off versus DAL playing B2B and a 3rd in 4 days which included win @ ORlando , then go home and defeat Portland yesterday and now out to play Utah . Really only CJ Miles is a question mark healthwise at this point . Utah has played well ecept when playing on no rest an amazing 1-11 SU but with 2 days rest 8-2 SU (7-3 UNDER allowing 95 points). Recent home loss to the CLE and think earlier away loss at Milw but still just 5-5 ATS .

My feelings are simple in that I just feel things clicked for Utah in that Charlotte game and they will seem some carryover in terms of play from that game . Dallas is in a tough spot relying heavily on 4 key players and winning @ Orl , vs Port then @ Utah is etremely tough in a 4 day strecth IMO . Natually it can be done but guessing it wont be.

The rest of the scenario can be read in any article about the game . Dallas hasnt played well at Utah recently think 1-10-1 L12 meetings and Diggler has his issues with the rough play , etc that he feels goes own in Utah ...etc,etc,etc...

Total : Thinking Under 208.5 but might play it differently (quarter ,half , Team total maybe ) .....

Sixers Team Total Over 110.5 (200) -

Lets just look at the backdrop ...Sixers had a meltdown at home vs NJN in the 4th Quarter and choked away a big win then came out vs Boston somewhat flat falling behind 12 after 1 QUARTER . Only say somewhat flat because C's have been CRUSHING teams in the 1st Q lately so a DD lead isnt really special in their case. However Philly fought back and lead the ENTIRE 4th Quarter (or tied obviously) until Ray Allen hit a TREY with 0.5 left in the game to win by 1 point .....Mix in the Brand news and Philly now 1 game below .500 is in a scary spot where IMO things could slip away ..

Huge game for them IMO ....

Now look at the season series though . Indiana 1st meeting at home jumps out to a 25 pt lead after 1 quarter . TWENTY FIVE!! Philly however rallied in the 2nd Quarter and eventually won by 2 points . Next meeting ya know INDY had some revenge in mind. Problem was the whole damn team was OUT : Granger , Murphy , Daniels , Dunleavy !!! Today they may be w/o Jeff Foster ... Well they copied the 1st game falling behind by DD's after 1 quarter and then rallying to win by 2 in Philly !!!

So for that you have to think Philly has some payback in mind trying to defend their home court especially after consecutive 4th Quarter HOME COURT CHOKES !! Dont think point spread matters here ...sixers win by 6+ points or lose SU IMO ...

1st Quarter Indiana +1.5 -105 (200)
2nd Quarter Sixers -1.5 (80)
3rd Quarter Sixers -1.5 (160)

Props :
Thaddeus Young +2.5 points -120 vs Mike Dunleavy (300)- Reasoning is for the most part Dunleavy has contributed 14 ppg well really 13-15 range. Think 9 of 15 he has 14 or less and 10 of 15 he had 15pts or less . While Thaddeus Young sort of works the same way where he tends to score 11pts or less or 17 points or more ..1st meeting he had 25 pts next he had just 10 points ....The BASIC point though is IND does a poor job of guarding forwards who are able hit to jump shots ..

Andre Iguadola 33.5 Pts + Rbs +A -150 (160) - Same deal since Iggy is at the Forward spot now . Expect him to drop 25 pts maybe more and would prefer a plain points prop to this one but beggars cant be choosers...

1st Quarter Boston Celtics -2 (240) - Last 5 games Boston 30pts to 22.6 and LAL is 26.4 to 28 but those are just avgs anyway...On the season adjusted for Home / away Boston is +4.7 pts in the 1st Q and LAL is +1.5 pts...Boston even won the 1st Q in LAL this season 24-23...

4th Quarter Boston Celtics -1.5 (120)

Team Total Under 99.5 LAL (120) - Think with KG back in the MIX so is the Boston defense but concerned with the small ball LAL has to play with Bynum out ion Gasol in the middle ( at least their version of it )...

Team Total Over 106.5 Boston (160) - LAL allowed 107 , 108 and 131 in three of the four meetings at Boston last season..


ML Parlay: ( I suck at these so far )
-150 Utah , -220 Sixers , -320 Boston (180/393)
Utah -3 , Sixers -5 , Boston ML -320 (120/454)

Good Luck ....playing hoops in a bit myself












 
Very good situational spot here SN, must agree with you on Utah, but I'm getting a strong feeling with Dallas...Health on that. GL tonight on the rest bro.
 
Thanks Cashe and Good Luck as well...

be back later but rounded out my card with Over 216 Philly (80) and Under 209 Dallas (120) at least for now...already late for my hoops game....

GL:cheers:
 
Thursday Plays -

Utah Jazz ML -150 (320)+320
Under 209 Utah (120) +120

Sixers Team Total Over 110.5(200) -220
1st Quarter Indiana +1.5 -105 (200) -210
2nd Quarter Sixers -1.5 (80) -88
3rd Quarter Sixers -1.5 (160) +160
Thaddeus Young +2.5 points -120 vs Mike Dunleavy (300) -360
Andre Iguadola 33.5 Pts + Rbs +A -150 (160) +160
Over 216 Philly (80) -88
1st Quarter Boston Celtics -2(240) -264
4th Quarter Boston Celtics -1.5(120) -132
Team Total Under 99.5 LAL (120) -132
Team Total Over 106.5 Boston (160) +160

ML Parlay: -300
-150 Utah , -220 Sixers , -320 Boston (180/393)
Utah -3 , Sixers -5 , Boston ML -320 (120/454)


2nd Half : +372
Celtics - 4 (200) -220
Jazz +1 (280)+280
Parlay : Jazz +1 and Under 104 (120/312) +312


Quarter plays @ Utah : +48

Mavs 1st Quarter +1 (160) -176
Jazz 4th Quarter -0.5 (160) -176
Jazz 3rd Quarter -1 (120) +120
Jazz 2nd Quarter -1 (80) +80
1st Quarter Under 53.5 (80)+80
2nd Quarter Over 53 (40) +40
1st Half Under 105.5 (80) +80




:cheers:-454
 
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wasnt watching the lakers game.. Im at fuckin work.. could u give me a quick SN recap? Thanks
 
Quarter plays @ Utah :

Mavs 1st Quarter +1 (160)
Jazz 4th Quarter -0.5 (160)
Jazz 3rd Quarter -1 (120)
Jazz 2nd Quarter -1 (80)
1st Quarter Under 53.5 (80)
2nd Quarter Over 53 (40)
1st Half Under 105.5 (80)

Good Luck:cheers:

 
So far :

Pacers +7 (200)
1st Half Pacers +3.5 (160)
Bobcats ML -105 (320)
NOH ML -135 (160)
LAC +5 -120 (240)
1st Half LAC +2.5 (80)
Blazers -5.5 -120 (320)
Kings +3.5 -125 (240)
Suns -9.5 (160)
1st Half Suns -6 (200)

Under 216 Pacers (80)
Over 90 TT Charlotte (80)
Over 99 TT LAC (120)
Under 100.5 TT NYK (120)

3rd Quarter Knicks +1.5(120)
4th Quarter Knicks +1.5 (80)
Same above 2 plays with NOH -0.5

GL ....:cheers:
 
it's funny how similiar our thought process is in betting. i make my bets early in the day and every day i check your plays they are nearly identical. anyway, GL. i'm on clips and sactown w/ ya.
 
it's funny how similiar our thought process is in betting. i make my bets early in the day and every day i check your plays they are nearly identical. anyway, GL. i'm on clips and sactown w/ ya.

Good Luck Jimbo. Running in and out tonight so if I reply late you caught me in bewteen . Glad we can "agree" w/o even communicating ...Tough to pass up on SAC playing a Utah team 1-11 SU( I believe) on NO REST this season. Then again it still doesnt feel like enough points to play SAC in alot ways especially since I was on UTAH last game (yesterday) because I thought they were coming together despit ethe injuries ...LAC basically winless trip , getting healthier and fading MEMPHIS as favs (off consecutive WINS as well )...

:cheers:
 
Props :

Amare Over 23 points -130 (160): Now we can see just how religious Amare is. Check his recents quotes if you dont get it...

Nash Pts + Assists Over 26.5 -150 (240) : Had DD assists in 11 of 15 before the recent 9 and 9 he put up ..:cheers:
 
Quarters :

1st Q Kings +0.5 -105 (120)
1st Q Suns -3 (160)
3rd Q Kings +0.5 (80)
3rd Q Suns -3 (80)

:cheers:


 
I also like phoenix, but do you have an opinion on the total? if i need phoenix to win by 10 and the over i would basically need phoenix to put up 120-125.
 
Friday Plays:

Pacers +7 (200) Win
1st Half Pacers +3.5 (160) Win
Bobcats ML -105 (320) Loss -336 ( up 12 at Halftime ) -could have started the day 10-0 as well
NOH ML -135 (160) Win
LAC +5 -120 (240) Win
1st Half LAC +2.5 (80) Win
Blazers -5.5 -120 (320) Loss -384
Kings +3.5 -125 (240)
Suns -9.5 (160)
1st Half Suns -6 (200) Loss -220 (FTs with 1sec left to lose up by 5 only)
(-100)

Under 216 Pacers (80) Win
Over 90 TT Charlotte (80) Win
Over 99 TT LAC (120) Win
Under 100.5 TT NYK (120) Win (mad dash at the end to end at 100-whew)
(+400)

3rd Quarter Knicks +1.5(120) Win
4th Quarter Knicks +1.5 (80) Loss -88
3rd Quarter NOH -0.5 (120) Win
4th Quarter NOH -0.5 (80) Win
1st Q Kings +0.5 -105 (120) Loss -126 (allow last 4 points of Q where up 1)
1st Q Suns -3 (160) Win
3rd Q Kings +0.5 (80)
3rd Q Suns -3 (80)
(+266)


At the Half :
Indiana +6 and Under 108 parlay (80/208) Win +208
Under 108 ORL (80) Win
Over 93 Bobcats (80) Win

Over 101.5 BOS(120) Win
NYK +5 (120) Loss -132

Blazers -6.5 (240) Win
Wiz -1.5 (80) Loss -88
Under 100 Wiz (80) Loss -88
(+420)

Props :
Amare Over 23 points -130 (160):

Nash Pts + Assists Over 26.5 -150 (240)
 
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I also like phoenix, but do you have an opinion on the total? if i need phoenix to win by 10 and the over i would basically need phoenix to put up 120-125.

Exactly its a matter of do you feel PHO scores 121 ++ here . I kinda think they do but it all depends on if they play a good game Or if they play solid (and cover the DD) how poorly does GSW play ?? Would say 1st Quarter or 1st Half over if anything IMO...or PHO TT over as well ...I think GSW plays a solid game but 1 bad probably terrible quarter does them in ...:cheers:
 
what u got for UTAH SAC? total wise

Prefer the UNDER but dont think enough to play it . Wait to see what the 1st Half brings . Utah with the defensive adjustments playing better D last few and the offense on the road with DWilliams having to play B2b on paper should have be so-so compared to home . However its still the SAC KINGS playing defense against them ...same deal I think as the above comment prefer 1st Quarter Over or 1st Half Over if thats the way you see it playing out but full game tend to lean UNDER. SAC off a terrible game and retiring CWEBB # i sabout the best case scenario motivation wise for them ..also playing the KMART PTS over prop think 25 or 25.5 at home is never a bad route to look at either:shake: GL
 
2nd Half @ Sac-town ....

Under 111 (120)
Kings +4 (120)

Was all set to play 2nd Q over @ PHO and it was OTB already ..
 
i think sac takes out their frustration here, perhaps eclipsing over the 2h total though... gl bro
 
Sat :

Sixers -3 -120 (280)
1st Half Sixers -1.5 -115 (80)
Under TT Heat 95 (80)
Clippers +7.5 -120 (120) and +8 -120 (320) , ML +250 (80)
1st Quarter LAC +2 (80)
1st Half LAC +4 (120)
1st Quarter Nets +1 (200)
1st Half Nets +1.5 (200)
Nets +3.5 -125 (240)
Over 102 NJN TT (120)

Good Luck !:cheers:


 
added:

Under 105 Denver TT (80)
Under 208 -120 NJ (120)
1st Quarter Houston -2 (200)
1st Half Houston -4 (320)
4th Quarter Wolves +1.5 (160)
Under 200-120 Houston (120)
Pistons mL -175 (200)
Under 185 -120 Milw (120)
Under 90 Milw TT (120)

all done ...GOOD LUCK!:cheers:

 
guess I will dabble with the Mavs game ...

Over 108 Dallas TT (120)
2nd Q Dallas -2 (120)
3rd Q Dallas -2 (160)
Over 209 (160)

Good Luck !:cheers:
 
Saturday Plays:

Sixers -3 -120 (280)
1st Half Sixers -1.5 -115 (80) Loss -92
Under TT Heat 95 (80)
Clippers +7.5 -120 (120) and +8 -120 (320) , ML +250 (80)
1st Quarter LAC +2 (80) Win
1st Half LAC +4 (120) Win
1st Quarter Nets +1 (200) Win
1st Half Nets +1.5 (200)
Nets +3.5 -125 (240)
Over 102 NJN TT (120)

Under 105 Denver TT (80)
Under 208 -120 NJ (120)
1st Quarter Houston -2 (200)
1st Half Houston -4 (320)
4th Quarter Wolves +1.5 (160)
Under 200-120 Houston (120)
Pistons mL -175 (200)
Under 185 -120 Milw (120)
Under 90 Milw TT (120)

Over 108 Dallas TT (120)
2nd Q Dallas -2 (120)
3rd Q Dallas -2(160)
Over 209 Bulls (160)


At the Half:
Sixers -2.5 (80)
 
Mavs are 1-7 o/u when allowing 110+ points in their previous game.

That sucks...guess I am going to say they were minus Kidd so should it count ? Thanks for the heads up...its the only game I had going over so going to let it ride but if I lose damn I am going to be pissed at myself for NOT listening:cheers:
 
Saturday Plays:

Sixers -3 -120 (280) Win
1st Half Sixers -1.5 -115 (80) Loss -92
Under TT Heat 95 (80) Win
Clippers +7.5 -120 (120) and +8 -120 (320) , ML +250 (80) Win , Win , Win +200
1st Quarter LAC +2 (80) Win
1st Half LAC +4 (120) Win
1st Quarter Nets +1 (200) Win
1st Half Nets +1.5 (200) Win
Nets +3.5 -125 (240) Win
Over 102 NJN TT (120) Win

Under 105 Denver TT (80) Win
Under 208 -120 NJ (120) Win
1st Quarter Houston -2 (200) Loss -220
1st Half Houston -4 (320) Loss -352
4th Quarter Wolves +1.5 (160) Loss -176
Under 200-120 Houston (120) Win
Pistons mL -175 (200) Win
Under 185 -120 Milw (120) Loss -144
Under 90 Milw TT (120) Loss -132

Over 108 Dallas TT (120) Win
2nd Q Dallas -2 (120) PUSH
3rd Q Dallas -2(160) Win
Over 209 Bulls (160) Win

(+1804)

At the Half:
Sixers -2.5 (80) Win
Rockets -5-105 (280) Win
Over 103 Dallas (120) Win
(+480)

Think it was a good day kinda hammered at the moment...:cheers:
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glad to see you on clev, nut.

also laid the 4 with king james and co tomorrow for a big play.
motivation really on the side of clev here, plus theyre well rested.

game 6 of the tail end of a road trip for LA in which they went 5-0 on it and won in boston?? think theyll be happy enough with that result.

still believe this is a NBA finals preview.... but just a very bad spot for LA.
kobe vs bron? well we know who the better player is anyways:tiphat:

GL, lets cash :cheers:
 
Good Luck Cap ...Not sure I would label it a bad spot so much for LAL though . Just the absence of Bynum puts Gasol in the middle and changes the complexion of the team. Kinda obvious statement but here vs CLE plays a more significant role with Big Z back in the middle IMO then vs Boston or the 1st meeting ....If you were going to make Boston 7 pt favs and you have CLE who has been as good probably better at home then Boston open 3 points lower seemed like some good value IMO ..with all the other minor factors we mentioned taken into the decision making process..

Plus I'll always take a stab at fading teams looking to complete PERFECT ATS ROAD TRIPS of at least 5 games ...:cheers:



 
Sunday Plays :

Cavs -4 -120 (320)
Heat -7 -120 (120)

Under 205 Cavs (120)
Under 100 LAL TT (160)
Over 105 Cavs (40)
Over 197 Suns (200)

Parlays:
(ML)Cavs -210 , Heat -340 (240/218) pays 109 for 120 risked or 91 for 100..
Cavs -5 , Under 205 LAL , Over 197 Det (40/240)
 
Think Cle is 23-0 at home so 23 home games only 2 teams I believe has passed 100 pts and both uptempo squads of SAC and Indiana ..only 4 others cracked 95-99 range ...so LAL go the over @ Boston thanks to OT at 101-101...thinking this time it finds a way to go under rather then over like it did it Boston ...
 
Looks like about 11 ( reg season and 2 playoffs) times this year and last the SAS have played with 3 days rest(or more) and they all seem to be lower scoring...
<TABLE class=data cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2><TBODY><TR class=datarow><TD>11/06/07</TD><TD>@ Houston </TD><TD>L 81-89</TD><TD>Regular Season</TD><TD>L -2.5</TD><TD>U 184.5</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE class=data cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2><TBODY><TR class=datarow><TD>11/20/07</TD><TD>@ Atlanta </TD><TD>W 95-83</TD><TD>Regular Season</TD><TD>W -6</TD><TD>U 190</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE class=data cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2><TBODY><TR class=datarow><TD>12/11/07</TD><TD>@ Golden State </TD><TD>L 84-96</TD><TD>Regular Season</TD><TD>L 2.5</TD><TD>U 215</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE class=data cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2><TBODY><TR class=datarow><TD>12/26/07</TD><TD>Chicago </TD><TD>W 94-79</TD><TD>Regular Season</TD><TD>W -9.5</TD><TD>U 186.5</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE class=data cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2><TBODY><TR class=datarow><TD>01/03/08</TD><TD>@ Denver </TD><TD>L 77-80</TD><TD>Regular Season</TD><TD>L 2.5</TD><TD>U 198</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE class=data cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2><TBODY><TR class=datarow><TD>02/05/08</TD><TD>@ Indiana </TD><TD>W 116-89</TD><TD>Regular Season</TD><TD>W -5.5</TD><TD>O 194</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE class=data cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2><TBODY><TR class=datarow><TD>02/19/08</TD><TD>Charlotte </TD><TD>W 85-65</TD><TD>Regular Season</TD><TD>W -11</TD><TD>U 185</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE class=data cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2><TBODY><TR class=datarow><TD>05/03/08</TD><TD>@ New Orleans </TD><TD>L 82-101</TD><TD>Conference Semifinals</TD><TD>L 3</TD><TD>P 183
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE class=data cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2><TBODY><TR class=datarow><TD>05/19/08</TD><TD>@ New Orleans </TD><TD>W 91-82</TD><TD>Conference Semifinals</TD><TD>W 4.5</TD><TD>U 183

</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
<TABLE class=data cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2><TBODY><TR class=datarow><TD>11/04/08</TD><TD>Dallas </TD><TD>L 81-98</TD><TD>Regular Season</TD><TD>L -4.5</TD><TD>U 188</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE class=data cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2><TBODY><TR class=datarow><TD>11/11/08</TD><TD>New York </TD><TD>W 92-80</TD><TD>Regular Season</TD><TD>W -4.5</TD><TD>U 198</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>


Plays:
Under 186 (80)
Under 89.5 SAS TT (120)
1st Quarter Under 46.5 (120)
1st Half Under 91.5 -105 (200)
3 rd Quarter Over 47 (120)
ML Parlay: Bos -275 , Cavs -210 , Heat -340 (40/) :cheers:
 
Sunday Plays :

Cavs -4 -120 (320) ML -215 (120) -384 , -269 (Total -653)
Heat -7 -120 (120)

Under 205 Cavs (120) Win
Under 100 LAL TT (160) -176
Over 105 Cavs TT (40) -44
Over 197 Suns (200)

Under 186 SAS(80) -88
Under 89.5 SAS TT (120) -132
1st Quarter Under 46.5 (120) Win
1st Half Under 91.5 -105 (200) -220
3 rd Quarter Over 47 (120) -132

Parlays: -360
(ML)Cavs -210 , Heat -340 (240/218) pays 109 for 120 risked or 91 for 100.. -240
Cavs -5 , Under 205 LAL , Over 197 Det (40/240) -40

ML Parlay: Bos -275 , Cavs -210 , Heat -340 (80/128) -80

Quarters : -100
1st Quarter Boston -2 (200) -220
3rd Quarter Boston -1.5 (120) Win


2nd Half : +68
Under 101.5 LAL (200) Win
Cle +1.5 (120) -132
 
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Boston blows the late 1st Quarter lead ONLy wins by 1 laying a deuce but the under still sneaks in at 45 (46.5) ....oh well ...:cheers:
 
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