Feb. 2nd to Feb 8th NBA

SportsNut

Breaking it down briefly
1/02 -670
1/03 +1935
1/04 +800


1/05 +768
1/06 +872
1/07 +412
1/08 +240
1/09 +56
1/10 -480 (-544 on teaser & ML parlay / +64 rest)
1/11 +362

1/12 +340
1/13 -516
1/14 -148 (-240 teaser / +92 rest)
1/15 -190 ( -96 Player Prop)
1/16 -1,254 (-360 ML parlay & Teasers)
1/17 -2,884 (-120 Parlay )
1/18 -258

1/19 +24
1/20 -1328
1/21 +4
1/22 -210
1/23 -1102
1/24 -348 (+200 CBB )
1/25 +3690

1/26 -528 (-368 CBB)
1/27 -3182
1/28 +580
1/29 +148
1/30 +206 (+360 Props)
1/31 +220 (-440 ML Parlays -ughh!)
2/01 +776

The Whole month came be summed up by 1 theme consistenly pissing away good profits and ideas . The Magic did me in BIG for a stretch always on the wrong side . Continually though 1 game I get to heavily involved in and get crushed in . Perfect example lose -2700 on the Pacers and Lakers game on 1/27 . Thats really sad besides the obvious fact its alot of money thats actually almost what I would call 7 max bets ! . I can tell you for certain the one thing I LEARNED this month is the games I lose I big on are never games I love , they tend to be games I like but on a scale of 1-10 more like 7 range where you I usually got caught again at halftime trying to lessen the overall damage and only add to the carnage . Think it was 1/26 I was essentially 7-3 on the games I liked and lost -500...lol...My only issue with betting alot of games is the games I love I never really get to crush because by halftime the value is usually gone or maybe I dont see the point in essentially adding more at what amounts to the original game line . So maybe I win a max play or two on a game to see that I Lost basically 3 and 4 max plays on 2 losses is a serious flaw..

Entire Month posted every play but 6( 4 were yesterday in the DET game just sidetracked with the SB ) and amazingly (lol) won all those . Shocking isnt it (lol) but they were all relatively small and just things I forgot to post or were small 40 buck plays none bigger then 120 . Anyway netted +520 from those ...believe me or not does it really matter ?

Weeks were +2065 , +2230 , -4900 , +740 , -1780 essentially 5 terrible days did me in . Which left me at -1645 but +520 from the few unposted meant out of pocket down -1125 for the month . Bewteen CBB and player props was about +100 but ML parlays and teasers were my downfall . I know one day I made some money on those and have to find it in last weeks post but damn -1704 on what I listed in losses ! So essentially my NET losses are the doing of the parlays and teasers whioch means I need to get better them at quick or QUIT them ....

Just studying myself...:cheers:


 
Posted these in the discussion thread yesterday :

Mavs +7.5 -120 (280)
Kings +13 (160)
Over 224 Kings (400)


Why ????

At this point in the season everything has an ebb and flow to it so long reasoning seems kinda useless to me . Where are just basically looking at the teams now and saying IMO good number (as in spread or total) or bad number looking at the whole picture and betting accordingly ...at least that 's my take...

So why these ?
Cause I dont have a damn clue about ORL and have been fading them so why stop ? Actually think DALLAS has played well last few and could be getting hot while ORL did thump IND the Pacers cant defend anyone and ORL was of 2 SU losses ....

Took the Kings to early should have waited because the OT game was going to drive the game up . Curious to see how each teams responds here because SUNS need a sacrifical lamb and KINGS are a nice fit in that sense ...really dont like this bet anymore but riding it out because PHO has to blow someone out to impress me ....

The Over 224 because expected it to go higher but the greatest threat to it could be KINGS being blown out and losing by 25-30 so might look at SUNS TT over although any over is theraten by lopsided play here....

:cheers:
 
Plays :

Under 193 -120 Wizards (280)
Under 93.5 Team Total Memphis (80)

Over 107.5 Team Total Orlando (120)

1st Half LAC +5.5 (120)

1st Half over 114 Knicks (240)
Over 223.5 Knicks (120)
1st Half Knicks 3 -115 (80)
Knicks +6 (200) ML +200 (40)

Portland +3.5 -120 (120)

1st Quarter Utah -2 (200)
3rd Quarter Charlotte +1.5 (120)
4th Quarter Charlotte +1.5 (120)

Over 213 GSW (200)
2nd Q GSW +1.5 (80)
GSW +5 (80)

Mavs +7.5 -120 (280)
Kings +13 (160)
Over 224 Kings (400)


:cheers:
 
Thoughts on SA/GS? I lean SA cuz they've been playing very well, experts like GS for some reason.

Like the over more then anything . Would be suprised if SA lost SU but GSW is good at losing by a possession at home so took a small shot at the points . If SA plays an A game they probably will just steamroll GSW . GSW last 3 home losses were by 1 , 1 and 2 . Previous to that they have a 1 pt loss and think 4 by 5 points ...WHich is I think 9 of their 11 home losses this season so far (think LAL by 8 , Houston and ORL were the 3 teams with losses more then 5 points:cheers:
 
Have to go play ball but my degenerate play is 2nd Half Under @Washington for (200)...should be about 96..:cheers:
 
Plays :

Under 193 -120 Wizards (280) -336
Under 93.5 Team Total Memphis (80) -88
-424
Over 107.5 Team Total Orlando (120) -132
-132
1st Half LAC +5.5 (120) -132
-132
1st Half over 114 Knicks (240) WIN
Over 223.5 Knicks (120) WIN
1st Half Knicks 3 -115 (80) -92
Knicks +6 (200) ML +200 (40) -260
+8
Portland +3.5 -120 (120) WIN
+120
1st Quarter Utah -2 (200) -220
3rd Quarter Charlotte +1.5 (120) -132
4th Quarter Charlotte +1.5 (120) -132
-484

Over 213 GSW (200) WIN
2nd Q GSW +1.5 (80) WIN
GSW +5 (80) changed my mind Spurs -4.5 -120 (80) Push / WIN
+360

Mavs +7.5 -120 (280) WIN
+280

Kings +13 (160) -176
Over 224 Kings (400) -440
-616

(-1020)

2nd H :
Wiz Under 97.5 (200) WIN
Over 92.5 Utah (200) -220
Under 108.5 Suns (240) HEDGE WIN
Suns +1.5 (200) WIN
GSW +5 -115 (240) -276
Over 108 GSW (400) WIN

(+544)




:shake: -476
 
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2nd Half:

Over 92.5 Utah (200)
Under 108.5 Suns (240) HEDGE
Suns +1.5 (200) Trying to make up for Kings game play:cheers:
 
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2nd Half:

GSW +5 -115 (240)
Over 108 GSW (400)

Back to liking GSW again seeing how soft they opened the 2nd H line..
 
Why not.....

Nuggets -11 (160) already see 12.5 may just middle it....

Under 92.5 TT Spurs (240)
Over 104 TT Nuggets (80)
1st Half SAS +7 (120)
 
Tuesday :

Over 194 Cavs (120)
Wolves +5 -120 (200)

Over 191 Philly (200)
Bucks +5 -120 (240)
Over 196 NJN (200)

1st H Bulls +4 (120)
Over 198 (120)

Nuggets 4th Quarter -1.5 (320)
Under 92.5 TT Spurs (240)
Over 104 TT Nuggets (80)
1st Half SAS +7 (120)

Nuggets -11 (160) middled SAS +14 -120 (150 only)

2nd Half :
Raps +0.5 (400)
Over 97 CLE (200)

Bucks -0.5 -105 (120)
Over 98 (80)

 
why toronto? I see cleveland's sharp 3 pt shooting, but both w big games 2m

I guess I am drifting into space because I totally missed this post . Old age ...lol ..

Basically what Ray said was my reasoning . CLE played the perfect 1st Quarter and Tor really out played them clearly for most of the 2nd Quarter although I was initially scared by the fact it finished just a 2 pt edge for the Raps. Thats why I went 280 then said fuck it and went for 400 .

Essentially saying CLE just hsot their load early and Raps showed effort in the 2nd Quarter which I thought gave them the edge for the rest of the game when they were down 19 points ...( edge as in be able to at least TIE next teh 24 minutes):cheers:

Thanks for the assist Ray :cheers:
 
Why not.....

Nuggets -11 (160) already see 12.5 may just middle it....

Under 92.5 TT Spurs (240)
Over 104 TT Nuggets (80)
1st Half SAS +7 (120)

This is the most unMike like play I've ever seen. The guy who taught me to fade the injury news plays with the injuries. Sitting on +12 and +700 ML for half unit each and got stuck with an over 198 ticket for a bit more than a unit. And then I see not only did you not fade the injuries, but you played with them. Well at least you got the 1st half fade. Probably going to jump off both side plays and if possible the total at half time.
 
This is the most unMike like play I've ever seen. The guy who taught me to fade the injury news plays with the injuries. Sitting on +12 and +700 ML for half unit each and got stuck with an over 198 ticket for a bit more than a unit. And then I see not only did you not fade the injuries, but you played with them. Well at least you got the 1st half fade. Probably going to jump off both side plays and if possible the total at half time.

I did middle the -11 though(with +14 -120) just didnt post it seperately ...I like your plays...Lets see how the 1st Half plays out..:cheers:
 
I kinda regret playing the SAS TT so strong but they were only avg about 94 I think on no rest to begin with ...was hoping for a slow 2nd H especially 4th Quarter ...I did kind of tie my hands more then I realized...Just exhausted the brains working slow .:shake:
 
Tuesday :

Over 194 Cavs (120) -132
Wolves +5 -120 (200) WIN
Over 191 Philly (200) WIN
Bucks +5 -120 (240) -288
Over 196 NJN (200) -220
1st H Bulls +4 (120) WIN
Over 198 (120) WIN

Nuggets 4th Quarter -1.5 (320) -352
Under 92.5 TT Spurs (240) -264
Over 104 TT Nuggets (80) PUSH
1st Half SAS +7 (120) -132

Nuggets -11 (160) middled SAS +14 -120 (150 only) -26 NET
(-774)

2nd Half :
Raps +0.5 (400) WIN
Over 97 CLE (200) -220

Bucks -0.5 -105 (120) -126
Over 98 (80) WIN
Over 98.5 Houston (120) WIN
Over 97.5 SAS (200) WIN
Denver -4 (240) -264
(+190)

-584

Done in by the late game ..(-838)
 
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I kinda regret playing the SAS TT so strong but they were only avg about 94 I think on no rest to begin with ...was hoping for a slow 2nd H especially 4th Quarter ...I did kind of tie my hands more then I realized...Just exhausted the brains working slow .:shake:

ya the spurs/over 1st half followed up with the nuggets 2nd half/under was probably the best way to play this one. hopefully the spurs stay close for this first half for my sake.
 
ya the spurs/over 1st half followed up with the nuggets 2nd half/under was probably the best way to play this one. hopefully the spurs stay close for this first half for my sake.

SA looked good for 6-7 minutes but thats about all ...still hope hope though:cheers:
 
Over 97.5 (200)
Denver -4 (240)

Not to crazy about laying 4 in the 2nd half but cant get past the fact DEN was down 16-10 halfway through the 1st Quarter and still leads by 12 so they are +18 last 18 minutes....The over because the pace is there but the FG% stink and while SAS may not improve I would be shocked if it got much worse while DEN could easily hit 60% in a half up from 42% IMO....Billups and JR are 1-9 so far ...:shake:
 
just seems too easy betting on a superior team to blowout another team without their star players
 
I posted in the other thread i was going to run off the total. Not a real fight any more and denver has high scoring games with OKC. will be very happy with the sideif it wins.
 
The whole game was Denver beating the Spurs and the spurs did not play so no motivation and i was out placing bets locally and found out after the fricking game started.
 
The whole game was Denver beating the Spurs and the spurs did not play so no motivation and i was out placing bets locally and found out after the fricking game started.

dont worry tuck, stuff like that happens. at least your den side cashed
 
I'm fine but what did this spread actually go to. i was at 3 casino sports books and no one had it listed. What did this line end on. when was it announced?
 
Didnt have a chance to post earlier but so far so good ....

Suns -5 -120 (240)
Under 112 (240)

:cheers:
 
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